UK Employment Declines at Fastest Rate Since 2020 Amid Rising Costs
Latest data reveals significant job cuts in the UK private sector alongside modest growth in overall activity.
UK businesses are experiencing the steepest job cuts since November 2020, as rising payroll costs and weak demand pressurize the workforce.
A recent survey by S&P Global indicates that the decline in staffing numbers in February represents the sharpest contraction since the onset of the pandemic, with only the global financial crisis periods showing comparable declines in employment levels.
The S&P Global flash UK composite purchasing managers' index (PMI) for February registered a reading of 50.5, slightly down from January's 50.6. This index is a key gauge of economic activity, with scores above 50 indicating growth and scores below suggesting contraction.
The survey data reflects a combination of factors leading to job cuts, including increased payroll costs, anticipated rises in the National Insurance Contributions, and a push to automate processes which has resulted in the non-replacement of departing staff.
The latest PMI report indicates that business activity has been effectively stalled for four consecutive months, with job losses reported amid declining sales volumes and escalating operational costs.
Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, has noted that a significant number of firms are raising prices in response to increased expenses, particularly linked to impending national insurance hikes and minimum wage adjustments announced in the previous autumn Budget.
Amid these employment challenges, the UK government is initiating reforms to the Contracts for Difference (CfD) scheme aimed at enhancing renewable energy investments.
These reforms target the removal of planning barriers to accelerate the deployment of clean energy projects in line with a commitment to decarbonize the electricity grid by 2030. Last year's renewable auction round resulted in the allocation of 128 new projects, enhancing the capacity to power roughly 11 million homes and showing significant growth in the services sector, which has countered some private sector employment challenges.
Overall, the current economic landscape is characterized by a juxtaposition of stagnant business activity alongside mounting inflationary pressures, complicating the decisions facing the Bank of England on monetary policy.