London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Saturday, Feb 22, 2025

US companies are still betting on Chinese consumers, despite coronavirus impact

US companies are still betting on Chinese consumers, despite coronavirus impact

A survey of 119 companies from March 13 to 18 by the Beijing-based American Chamber of Commerce in China found that the proportion of respondents saying they are experiencing significant revenue declines increased to 50%, up from 28% last month.

The consumer industry was among the most pessimistic about the disease’s impact on market growth this year, with 38% of businesses in the sector expecting a decrease of at least 50%,

But the consumer sector had the highest proportion of businesses saying they would maintain previously planned investments -at 46% -and 8% saying they would increase planned investments, the survey found.

American companies in China are still betting on the local consumer, even if business disruptions from the coronavirus are dragging down revenues.

A survey of 119 companies from March 13 to 18 by the Beijing-based American Chamber of Commerce in China found that the proportion of respondents saying they are experiencing significant revenue declines increased to 50% — that’s up from 28% last month.

“The consumer sector as we see in this survey has been particularly hard hit,” Alan Beebe, AmCham China president, said on a call with reporters Wednesday morning. ”(It’s) the sector that had one of the largest revenue disruptions.”

“On the other hand, it’s the sector, along with technology, where investment plans really haven’t changed,” he said. “The way I interpret that is, while they’re taking a hit short term, there’s no fundamental change in outlook.”

Officially called COVID-19, the highly contagious disease that emerged in late December in the Chinese city of Wuhan, has spread rapidly across the globe in the last few weeks. As of Wednesday, the virus has killed more than 16,000 people worldwide, with China accounting for over 3,200 of those deaths. Governments in countries from Italy to the United States have called for people to stay at home and for non-essential businesses to close.

The shutdowns have spurred fears of a global recession, sending financial markets worldwide churning.

Operating earnings per share for the S&P 500 are expected to grow just 0.2% this year, with that of consumer discretionary falling 1.3%, according to a March 20 note from Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA.

Many companies, especially those in the consumer discretionary sector — which provide nonessential goods and services such as cars, apparel and entertainment — have mentioned “coronavirus” or “COVID-19″ on their quarterly earnings calls, according to analysis from FactSet, published March 20.

The report by Senior Earnings Analyst John Butters said that for the 213 companies in the S&P 500 that discussed those two terms, their average revenue exposure to China is 6%.

When the coronavirus first broke out in China, businesses were most concerned about disruptions to global supply chains and growth in the world’s second-largest economy. The acceleration of the outbreak overseas has shifted worries to global growth, even as China and its hundreds of millions of consumers get back to work.

“Now that we’re in a global pandemic situation, demand for our member companies’ products and services has changed significantly, somewhat for reasons of supply chain, but others, really just consumer demand,” Greg Gilligan, AmCham chairman, said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia” Wednesday.

He said members are planning to cut costs, revise budgets and change projections for the year, but have not yet adjusted or reduced staff.

An increased proportion of respondents in March said demand for their products fell — 39% of firms versus 22% in February.

On the supply chain side, AmCham members were less affected by the relatively slower resumption of work for small and medium-sized firms. The survey found that nearly two-thirds of respondents said these smaller businesses accounted for no more than a quarter of their supply chain, while only 11% have a strong reliance.


Consumer businesses still planning to invest


The chamber’s annual business conditions survey late last year found the consumer sector was one of the industries more optimistic about their market opportunity in China for 2020, given the country’s large and growing middle class.

In last week’s flash survey of members, the consumer, as well as resources and industrial industries, were the most pessimistic about the virus’ impact on market growth this year, with 38% of firms in both industries expecting a decrease of at least 50%.

But the consumer sector had the highest proportion of businesses saying they would maintain previously planned investments — at 46%, while 8% said they would increase planned investments, the survey found.

The services sector was the only other industry to report businesses planning to increase investments, also at 8%, while the technology industry had the second-highest proportion of businesses maintaining investments — at 43%.

Foreign direct investment in China plunged 25.6% in February, bringing the total for the first two months of the year to 134.4 billion yuan ($19.2 billion), a decline of 8.6% year-over-year in yuan terms, according to China’s Ministry of Commerce.

For AmCham members overall, 40% said in the latest survey they would maintain previously planned levels of investment, up from 23% last month. Only 2% said they would consider exiting the Chinese market in the next three to five years, the March survey found.

“This indicates both patience and confidence that eventually business will return back to normal in China and this wouldn’t lead to any abrupt changes in long term strategy,” Beebe said.

Slightly more than a fifth of respondents are already back at work, with 13% expecting to resume normal operations by the end of this month, and 23% by the end of April, the survey found.

When it comes to government support, the top ask is tax alleviation, followed by consistency of policy and travel restrictions across different regions of China, according to the survey.

Based on the survey results, AmCham’s chairman Gilligan was also optimistic that pressure from the coronavirus would give China further impetus to follow through on reforms to the business environment.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Good News: Senate Confirms Kash Patel as FBI Director
Officials from the U.S. and Hungary Engage in Talks on Economic Collaboration and Sanctions Strategy
James Bond Franchise Transitions to Amazon MGM Studios
Technology Giants Ramp Up Lobbying Initiatives Against Strict EU Regulations
Alibaba Exceeds Quarterly Projections Fueled by Growth in Cloud and AI
Tequila Sector Faces Surplus Crisis as Agave Prices Dive Sharply
Residents of Flintshire Mobile Home Park Grapple with Maintenance Issues and Uncertain Future
Ronan Keating Criticizes Irish Justice System Following Fatal Crash Involving His Brother
Gordon Ramsay's Lucky Cat Restaurant Faces Unprecedented Theft
Israeli Family Mourns Loss of Peace Advocate Oded Lifschitz as Body Returned from Gaza
Former UK Defense Chief Calls for Enhanced European Support for Ukraine
Pope Francis Admitted to Hospital in Rome Amid Rising Succession Speculation
Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell, at the age of 83, Declares His Retirement.
Whistleblower Reveals Whitehall’s Focus on Kabul Animal Airlift Amid Crisis
Politicians Who Deliberately Lie Could Face Removal from Office in Wales
Scottish Labour Faces Challenges Ahead of 2026 Holyrood Elections
Leftwing Activists Less Likely to Work with Political Rivals, Study Finds
Boris Johnson to Host 'An Evening with Boris Johnson' at Edinburgh's Usher Hall
Planned Change in British Citizenship Rules Faces First Legal Challenge
Northumberland Postal Worker Sentenced for Sexual Assaults During Deliveries
British Journalist Missing in Brazil for 11 Days
Tesco Fixes Website Glitch That Disrupted Online Grocery Orders
Amnesty International Critiques UK's Predictive Policing Practices
Burglar Jailed After Falling into Home-Made Trap in Blyth
Sellafield Nuclear Site Exits Special Measures for Physical Security Amid Ongoing Cybersecurity Concerns
Avian Influenza Impact on Seals in Norfolk: Four Deaths Confirmed
First Arrest Under Scotland's Abortion Clinic Buffer Zone Law Amidst International Controversy
Meghan Markle Rebrands Lifestyle Venture as 'As Ever' Ahead of Netflix Series Launch
Inter-Island Ferry Services Between Guernsey and Jersey Set to Expand
Significant Proportion of Cancer Patients in England and Wales Not Receiving Recommended Treatments
Final Consultation Launched for Vyrnwy Frankton Power Line Project
Drug Misuse Deaths in Scotland Rise by 12% in 2023
Failed £100 Million Cocaine Smuggling Operation in the Scottish Highlands
Central Cee Equals MOBO Awards Record; Bashy and Ayra Starr Among Top Honorees
EastEnders: Four Decades of Challenging Social Norms
Jonathan Bailey Channels 'Succession' in Bold Richard II Performance
Northern Ireland's First Astronaut Engages in Rigorous Spacewalk Training
Former Postman Sentenced for Series of Sexual Offences in Northumberland
Record Surge in Anti-Muslim Hate Crimes Across the UK in 2024
Omagh Bombing Inquiry Concludes Commemorative Hearings with Survivor Testimonies
UK Government Introduces 'Ronan's Law' to Combat Online Knife Sales to Minors
Metal Detectorists Unearth 15th-Century Coin Hoard in Scottish Borders
Woman Charged in 1978 Death of Five-Year-Old Girl in South London
Expanding Sinkhole in Godstone, Surrey, Forces Evacuations and Road Closures
Bangor University Announces Plans to Cut 200 Jobs Amid £15 Million Savings Target
British Journalist Charlotte Peet Reported Missing in Brazil
UK Inflation Rises to 3% in January Amid Higher Food Prices and School Fees
Starmer Defends Zelensky Amidst Trump's 'Dictator' Allegation
Zelensky Calls on World Leaders to Back Peace Efforts in Light of Strains with Trump
UK Prime minister, Mr. Keir Starmer, has stated that any peace agreement aimed at ending the conflict in Ukraine "MUST" include a US security guarantee to deter Russian aggression
×