London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Sunday, Oct 19, 2025

Britain could face 50,000 coronavirus cases per day by mid-October, top government scientists warn

Britain could face 50,000 coronavirus cases per day by mid-October, top government scientists warn

Britain could face 50,000 coronavirus cases a day by mid-October if it stays on its current trajectory, top government scientists warned Monday.

In a rare televised address from 10 Downing Street, Patrick Vallance, the British government’s chief scientific adviser, and Chris Whitty, chief medical officer for England, said the number of coronavirus cases is doubling roughly every seven days.

“If, and that’s quite a big if, but if that continues unabated . . . you would end up with something like 50,000 cases in the middle of October, per day,” Vallance said. A month later, this could result in more than 200 deaths a day, he said.

The ominous warning comes amid speculation that the British government is set to introduce a new round of restrictions. Prime Minister Boris Johnson is expected to make a statement to Parliament on Tuesday on Britain’s next steps.

The reports of new measures, along with growing concern over outbreaks elsewhere in Europe, helped to send stocks tumbling on Monday. London’s FTSE 100 index was down 3.4 percent, and the Pan-European Stoxx 600 index sank 3.2 percent.


Many countries in Europe that have seen a renewed rise in coronavirus cases have opted for targeted local restrictions over a repeat of the full-scale lockdowns from earlier in the year. For instance, starting Monday, people in the hardest-hit areas of Madrid are only allowed to move beyond their local area for work, education or medical reasons.

Johnson, too, has said he wants to avoid another broad shutdown of the economy, and has made it clear on several occasions that he wants schools, in particular, to remain open.

Analysts said the government may introduce new curfews, fines and limits on families mixing. Another possibility would be two-week mini lockdowns that could act as a “circuit breaker.”

Just last week, the government introduced a “rule of six,” reducing the number of people who are allowed to meet socially, both indoors and outdoors. An estimated 13.5 million people across the country are already living under local lockdown restrictions.

Britain’s coronavirus caseload began rising again in July, the government scientists said, especially among young adults. On Monday, 4,368 daily cases were reported. At the peak of Britain’s outbreak in April, about 5,000 daily cases were being reported.

The United Kingdom’s chief medical officers issued a statement Monday recommending that Britain’s coronavirus alert level be increased from 3 to 4, meaning the transmission is “high or rising exponentially.”

Vallance said that about 8 percent of the population may have antibodies, which can fade over time. He said the “virus has genetically moved a bit, but it has not changed in terms of its propensity and its ability to cause disease and to cause death.”

Britain’s death toll of 41,777 is the highest in Europe.

“We are now seeing a second wave coming in. We’ve seen it in France, in Spain, across Europe,” Johnson said last week. “It’s been absolutely inevitable, I’m afraid, that we would see it in this country.”

Last week, the World Health Organization said the number of new weekly infections in Europe had surpassed numbers reported during the first peak in the spring. The spike reflected more testing as well as “alarming” rates of transmission, the organization said.

In Britain, Whitty said that “if we don’t do enough, the virus will take off. At the moment, that is the path that we are clearly on.”

He said that disruptions may be here for some time — “we should see this as a six-month problem” — and stressed that society as a whole needs to take action.

“A lot of people say, ‘Well, can’t people just be allowed to take their own risk?’ ” he said. But the problem is that “sooner or later, the chain will meet people who are vulnerable or elderly or have a long-term problem for covid,” he added. “You cannot, in an epidemic, just take your own risk. Unfortunately, you’re taking a risk on behalf of everyone else.”

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Windows’ Own ‘Siri’ Has Arrived: You Can Now Talk to Your Computer
Thailand and Singapore Investigate Cambodian-Based Prince Group as U.S. and U.K. Sanctions Unfold
‘No Kings’ Protests Inflate Numbers — But History Shows Nations Collapse Without Strong Executive Power
Chinese Tech Giants Halt Stablecoin Launches After Beijing’s Regulatory Intervention
Manhattan Jury Holds BNP Paribas Liable for Enabling Sudanese Government Abuses
Trump Orders Immediate Release of Former Congressman George Santos After Commuting Prison Sentence
S&P Downgrades France’s Credit Rating, Citing Soaring Debt and Political Instability
Ofcom Rules BBC’s Gaza Documentary ‘Materially Misleading’ Over Narrator’s Hamas Ties
Diane Keaton’s Cause of Death Revealed as Pneumonia, Family Confirms
Former Lostprophets Frontman Ian Watkins Stabbed to Death in British Prison
"The Tsunami Is Coming, and It’s Massive": The World’s Richest Man Unveils a New AI Vision
Outsider, Heroine, Trailblazer: Diane Keaton Was Always a Little Strange — and Forever One of a Kind
Dramatic Development in the Death of 'Mango' Founder: Billionaire's Son Suspected of Murder
Two Years of Darkness: The Harrowing Testimonies of Israeli Hostages Emerging From Gaza Captivity
EU Moves to Use Frozen Russian Assets to Buy U.S. Weapons for Ukraine
Europe Emerges as the Biggest Casualty in U.S.-China Rare Earth Rivalry
HSBC Confronts Strategic Crossroads as NAB Seeks Only Retail Arm in Australia Exit
U.S. Chamber Sues Trump Over $100,000 H-1B Visa Fee
Shenzhen Expo Spotlights China’s Quantum Step in Semiconductor Self-Reliance
China Accelerates to the Forefront in Global Nuclear Fusion Race
Yachts, Private Jets, and a Picasso Painting: Exposed as 'One of the Largest Frauds in History'
Australia’s Wedgetail Spies Aid NATO Response as Russian MiGs Breach Estonian Airspace
McGowan Urges Chalmers to Cut Spending Over Tax Hike to Close $20 Billion Budget Gap
Victoria Orders Review of Transgender Prison Placement Amid Safety Concerns for Female Inmates
U.S. Treasury Mobilises New $20 Billion Debt Facility to Stabilise Argentina
French Business Leaders Decry Budget as Macron’s Pro-Enterprise Promise Undermined
Trump Claims Modi Pledged India Would End Russian Oil Imports Amid U.S. Tariff Pressure
Surging AI Startup Valuations Fuel Bubble Concerns Among Top Investors
Australian Punter Archie Wilson Tears Up During Nebraska Press Conference, Sparking Conversation on Male Vulnerability
Australia Confirms U.S. Access to Upgraded Submarine Shipyard Under AUKUS Deal
“Firepower” Promised for Ukraine as NATO Ministers Meet — But U.S. Tomahawks Remain Undecided
Brands Confront New Dilemma as Extremists Adopt Fashion Labels
The Sydney Sweeney and Jeans Storm: “The Outcome Surpassed Our Wildest Dreams”
Erika Kirk Delivers Moving Tribute at White House as Trump Awards Charlie Presidential Medal of Freedom
British Food Influencer ‘Big John’ Detained in Australia After Visa Dispute
ScamBodia: The Chinese Fraud Empire Shielded by Cambodia’s Ruling Elite
French PM Suspends Macron’s Pension Reform Until After 2027 in Bid to Stabilize Government
Orange, Bouygues and Free Make €17 Billion Bid for Drahi’s Altice France Telecom Assets
Dutch Government Seizes Chipmaker After U.S. Presses for Removal of Chinese CEO
Bessent Accuses China of Dragging Down Global Economy Amid New Trade Curbs
U.S. Revokes Visas of Foreign Nationals Who ‘Celebrated’ Charlie Kirk’s Assassination
AI and Cybersecurity at Forefront as GITEX Global 2025 Kicks Off in Dubai
DJI Loses Appeal to Remove Pentagon’s ‘Chinese Military Company’ Label
EU Deploys New Biometric Entry/Exit System: What Non-EU Travelers Must Know
Australian Prime Minister’s Private Number Exposed Through AI Contact Scraper
Ex-Microsoft Engineer Confirms Famous Windows XP Key Was Leaked Corporate License, Not a Hack
China’s lesson for the US: it takes more than chips to win the AI race
Australia Faces Demographic Risk as Fertility Falls to Record Low
California County Reinstates Mask Mandate in Health Facilities as Respiratory Illness Risk Rises
Israel and Hamas Agree to First Phase of Trump-Brokered Gaza Truce, Hostages to Be Freed
×