London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Saturday, Feb 14, 2026

Markets react to PM's political crisis and oil falls 10% as investors fret over global recession

Markets react to PM's political crisis and oil falls 10% as investors fret over global recession

A report by the Bank of England did nothing to soothe investor concern that Western economies are facing the real prospect of going into reverse as the year progresses.

Global financial markets are enduring a day of turmoil over rising fears of a recession for the US and Europe, while a slump in the value of the pound has accelerated amid the crisis engulfing Boris Johnson's government.

There was a rush for safe havens in Europe on Tuesday, later mirrored in the US, with stock markets plunging and the pound and euro coming under intense pressure from the dollar - a traditional place of shelter in volatile times.

Sterling hit its lowest level against the greenback since the start of the pandemic at $1.18.9 - a plunge of almost two cents on the day - while the single currency slumped to a 20-year low versus the dollar.


The pound's value barely moved when it emerged that Sajid Javid and Rishi Sunak had quit their government roles, leaving the UK without a health secretary or chancellor and the PM clinging precariously to power.

Traders reported that while a strong dollar was evident in the currency market, there were particular concerns in Europe over mounting gas prices.

However Norway, the second-largest supplier on the continent after sanctions-hit Russia, later alleviated fears around tightness of supply after a union claimed the country's government had used its power to impose a settlement and end a strike that had threatened crucial exports.

The Bank of England also added to the general gloom when its latest Financial Stability Report warned that the economic outlook for the UK and the wider world had darkened because of the backdrop of surging inflation - much of it energy linked.

It told UK banks to ramp up capital buffers - a requirement for cash to be held in reserve - to help them withstand the slowdown ahead.

The growing fears of an inflation-led slump did help Brent crude oil, which reached 14-year highs in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, fall by more than 10% on the day to $101 a barrel in anticipation of falling demand.


A sustained period around that level could help bring down the cost of fuel at the petrol pumps but there are many other factors at play for forecourt costs despite accusations from motoring groups that retailers had already been slow to pass on falling wholesale costs.

Stock markets were widely down by more than 2% across Europe.

The FTSE 100 in London closed the day 2.9% lower at 7,025 points, with mining and energy stocks enduring the worst of the pain.

It meant that £54bn was erased from the market value of the index.

Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at online trading platform IG, said there was evidence of a 4th July bank holiday hangover.

"The return of US traders from their holiday has dealt the death blow to hopes of a European market rally that lasts longer than about 24 hours.

"This recurrence of selling has put indices across the board into the red, as growth and inflation fears return right on cue.

"Normally July provides some welcome relief to markets after a choppy June, but so far the instinct to sell any bounce, no matter how small, remains all-encompassing," he wrote.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Peter Mandelson Asked to Testify Before US Congress Over Jeffrey Epstein Links
Walmart's Earnings and UK Economic Data Highlight Upcoming Financial Trends
UK Green Party Considering Proposal to Legalize Heroin for an Inclusive Society
SpaceX's New Vision: Lunar City Takes Precedence Over Mars Colonization
OpenAI and DeepCent Superintelligence Race: Artificial General Intelligence and AI Agents as a National Security Arms Race
Document Suggests Prince Andrew Shared UK Briefing on Afghan Investment Opportunities with Jeffrey Epstein
We will protect them from the digital Wild West.’ Another country will ban social media for under-16s
McDonald's Shortens Breakfast Hours in Australia Due to Egg Shortage
Heineken announces cut of 6,000 jobs due to declining beer demand
Beijing Brands UK Hong Kong Visa Expansion ‘Despicable and Reprehensible’ After Jimmy Lai Sentencing
Tesco Chief Warns UK Is ‘Sleepwalking’ Toward a Joblessness Crisis
Trump’s ‘Act of Great Stupidity’ Comment on UK Chagos Deal Reverberates Through Diplomacy and Strategy
New U.S. filings say Jeffrey Epstein repaid Les Wexner one hundred million dollars after theft allegation
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick acknowledges 2012 visit to Jeffrey Epstein’s private island as lawmakers scrutinise past ties
Helsing and Stark Defence loitering-munition drones and Germany’s race to industrialise battlefield autonomy
UK orders deletion of Courtsdesk court-data archive, reigniting the fight over who controls public justice records
UK Police Review Fresh Claims Involving Prince Andrew as Senior Royals Respond to Epstein Files
Keir Starmer’s Premiership Faces Unprecedented Strain as Epstein Fallout Deepens
Starmer Vows to Stay in Office as UK Government Faces Turmoil After Epstein Fallout
China and UK Signal Tentative Reset with Commitment to Steadier, Professionally Managed Relations
UK Confirms Imminent Increase in ETA Fee to £20 as Entry Rules Tighten
UK Signals Possible Seizure of Russia-Linked ‘Shadow Fleet’ Tanker in Escalation of Sanctions Enforcement
Epstein Scandal Piles Unprecedented Pressure on UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s Leadership
UK’s ‘Most Romantic Village’ Celebrates Valentine’s Day and Explores the Festival’s Rich History
The Implications of Expanding Voting Rights to Non-EU Foreign Residents in France
Ghislaine Maxwell to Testify Before US Congress on February 9
Al.com Acquired by Crypto.com Founder for $70 Million
Apple iPhone Lockdown Mode blocks FBI data access in journalist device seizure
Belgium: Man Charged with Rape After Faking Payment to Sex Worker
KPMG Urges Auditor to Relay AI Cost Savings
US and Iran to Begin Nuclear Talks in Oman
Winklevoss-Led Gemini to Slash a Quarter of Jobs and Exit European and Australian Markets
Canada Opens First Consulate in Greenland Amid Rising Geopolitical Tensions
China unveils plans for a 'Death Star' capable of launching missile strikes from space
NASA allows astronauts to take smartphones on upcoming missions to capture special moments.
Trump administration to launch TrumpRx.gov for direct drug purchases
Investigation Launched at Winter Olympics Over Ski Jumpers Injecting Hyaluronic Acid
U.S. State Department Issues Urgent Travel Warning for Citizens to Leave Iran Immediately
Wall Street Erases All Gains of 2026; Bitcoin Plummets 14% to $63,000
Epstein Case Documents Reignite Global Scrutiny of Political and Business Elites
Eighty-one-year-old man in the United States fatally shoots Uber driver after scam threat
UK Royal Family Faces Intensifying Strain as Epstein-Linked Revelations Rock the Institution
Political Censorship: French Prosecutors Raid Musk’s X Offices in Paris
AI Invented “Hot Springs” — Tourists Arrived and Were Shocked
Tech Mega-Donors Power Trump-Aligned Fundraising Surge to $429 Million Ahead of 2026 Midterms
UK Pharma Watchdog Rules Sanofi Breached Industry Code With RSV Vaccine Claims Against Pfizer
Melania Documentary Opens Modestly in UK with Mixed Global Box Office Performance
Starmer Arrives in Shanghai to Promote British Trade and Investment
Harry Styles, Anthony Joshua and Premier League Stars Among UK’s Top Taxpayers
New Epstein Files Include Images of Former Prince Andrew Kneeling Over Unidentified Woman
×