London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Wednesday, May 13, 2026

'It's crazy. There is no inventory.' Housing industry veteran marvels at real estate boom

'It's crazy. There is no inventory.' Housing industry veteran marvels at real estate boom

Jeffrey Mezger is a 40-year veteran of the real estate industry. He's never seen a stronger housing market than this one.

"It's crazy. There is no inventory," the CEO of KB Home told CNN Business.

For wannabe buyers, the shortage of homes on the market, combined with a surge of competition from other purchasers is setting off bidding wars, all-cash offers and no end of sticker shock.

But this one-two punch of very low supply and roaring demand is suiting homebuilders just fine.

"This is the best housing market I've seen in my career," Mezger said. "It's a good time to be a homebuilder."

KB Home's first-quarter profit swelled by 62%. It handled more home transactions than in any first quarter since 2008. The company's backlog surged by 74% in value, and nearly doubled in the West Coast.

"There isn't a city we're in where I would say it's a tough market," Mezger said.

Not only is KB Home (KBH) making far more money now than a year ago, it's making more money per home built. Profitability per unit is up 73% year-over-year to $41,000.

Record-low inventory


It's the polar opposite of what the company faced during the subprime bust that began around 2007, when the housing market was gripped with a massive oversupply problem that took almost a decade to correct. Construction of new homes collapsed in the aftermath of that crisis and never recovered. The supply of new homes remains very low today.

"We've been under-building for the last 15 years," said Mezger.

As of the end of February, housing inventory tumbled by nearly 30% year-over-year to a record low of 1.03 million, according to National Association of Realtors data that goes back to 1982. Last month, homes typically sold in just 20 days — a record low.

Supply is so short that it's limiting the number of homes getting sold. Existing home sales fell by almost 7% between February and March, according to the NAR, which blamed the decline on "historically low inventory."

Mortgage rates are creeping higher


New home sales have also cooled off recently.

In February, new home sales tumbled by 18% to a nine-month low. Economists blamed last month's freezing temperatures in parts of the United States but also said the sales drop points to concerns about high prices and affordability.

"Mortgage rates are rising, consumers are shifting spending to reopening activities vs. at-home and we aren't looking at the same degree of pent-up demand as in early 2020," economists at Bank of America wrote in a note to clients this week. "We think housing activity is set to moderate."

Mortgage rates remain very low historically, although they have crept higher in recent months. The average interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage hit 3.09% last week, the highest since June.

Higher borrowing costs will help cause housing affordability to decline by 5% to 6% this year, despite strong income growth, according to Bank of America.

Surging lumber costs are making homes more expensive


Still, housing CEOs remain upbeat, in part because demand is being driven by a new flock of buyers. Millennials make up the largest cohort of buyers for KB
Home, a trend the company said began before the pandemic.

"Post financial crisis, millennials either saw their parents lose their home, couldn't get a job or had a lot of student debt. Millennials deferred their first home purchase much longer than previous generations," said Mezger.

He added that KB Home is also seeing strong demand from Gen Z homebuyers.

Beyond affordability, one challenge facing homebuilders is skyrocketing construction costs.

Ninety-six percent of builders surveyed in the 2020 National Association of Home Builders survey reported building materials as the top challenge, up from just 66% in 2019.

The No. 1 culprit is the shortage of lumber. Prices for lumber have skyrocketed in recent months because surging demand and shrinking supply, making it much more expensive to build new homes.

The elevated price of lumber alone is adding about $24,000 to the price of new homes, according to the NAHB.

As for KB Home, "We've been able to raise price enough to cover the cost and raise our margin," Mezger said. "Demand is that strong."

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
The Great Western Exit: Why Best Citizens Are Fleeing the Rich World [PODCAST]
The New Robber Barons of Intelligence: Are AI Bosses More Powerful Than Rockefeller?
The End of the Old Order [Podcast]
Britain’s Democracy Is Now a Costume
The AI Gold Rush Is Coming for America’s Last Open Spaces [Podcast]
The Pentagon’s AI Squeeze: Eight Tech Giants Get In, Anthropic Gets Shut Out [Podcast]
The War Map: Professor Jiang’s Dark Theory of Iran, Trump, China, Russia, Israel, and the Coming Global Shock [Podcast]
Labour Is No Longer a National Party [Podcast]
AI Isn’t Stealing Your Job. It’s Dismantling It Piece by Piece.
Lawyers vs Engineers: Why China Builds While America Litigates [Podcast]
Churchill’s Glass: The Drunk, the Doctor, and the Myth Britain Refuses to Sober Up From
Apple issues an unusual warning: this is how your iPhone can be hacked without you doing anything
Kennedy’s Quiet War on Antidepressants Sparks Alarm Across America’s Medical Establishment
The Met Gala Meets the Age of Billionaire Backlash
Russian Oligarch’s Superyacht Crosses Hormuz via Iran-Controlled Route
Gunfire Disrupts White House Correspondents’ Dinner as Trump Is Evacuated
A Leak, a King, and a Fracturing Alliance
Inside the Gates Foundation Turmoil: Layoffs, Scrutiny, and the Cost of Reputational Risk
UK Biobank Breach Exposes Health Data of 500,000, Listed for Sale on Chinese Platform
KPMG Cuts Around 10% of US Audit Partners After Failed Exit Push
French Police Probe Suspected Weather-Data Tampering After Unusual Polymarket Bets on Paris Temperatures
CATL Unveils Revolutionary EV Battery Tech: 1000 km Range and 7-Minute Charging Ahead of Beijing Auto Show
Crypto Scammers Capitalize on Maritime Chaos Near the Strait of Hormuz: A Rising Threat to Shipping Companies
Changi Airport: How Singapore Engineered the World’s Most Efficient Travel Experience
Power Dynamics: Apple’s Leadership Shakeup, Geopolitical Risks in the Strait of Hormuz, and Europe's Energy Strategy Amidst Global Challenges
Apple's Leadership Transition: Can New CEO John Ternus Navigate AI Challenges and Geopolitical Pressures?
Italy’s €100K Tax Gambit: Europe’s Soft Power Tax Haven
News Roundup
Microsoft lost 2.5 millions users (French government) to Linux
Privacy Problems in Microsoft Windows OS
News roundup
Péter András Magyar and the Strategic Reset of Hungary
Hungary After the Landslide — A Strategic Reset in Europe
Meghan Markle Plans Exclusive Women-Focused Retreat During Australia Visit
Starmer and Trump Hold Strategic Talks on Securing Strait of Hormuz Amid Rising Tensions
Unofficial Australia Visit by Prince Harry and Meghan Expected to Stir Tensions with Royal Circles
Pipeline Attack Cuts Significant Share of Saudi Arabia’s Oil Export Capacity
UK Stocks Rise on Ceasefire Momentum and Renewed Focus on Diplomacy
UK to Hold Further Strategic Talks on Strait of Hormuz Security
Starmer Voices Frustration as Global Tensions Drive Up UK Energy Costs
UK Students Voice Concern Over Proposal for Automatic Military Draft Registration
Rising Volatility Drives Uncertainty in UK Fuel and Petrol Prices
UK Moves to Deploy ‘Skyhammer’ Anti-Drone System to Strengthen Airspace Defense
New Analysis Explores UK Budget Mechanics in ‘Behind the Blue’ Feature
Man Arrested After Four Die in Channel Crossing Tragedy
UK Tightens Immigration Framework with New Sponsor Rules and Fee Increases
UK Foreign Secretary Highlights Impact of Intensified Strikes in Lebanon
UK Urges Inclusion of Lebanon in US-Iran Ceasefire Framework
UK Stocks Ease as Ceasefire Doubts in Middle East Weigh on Investor Confidence
UK Reassesses Cloud Strategy Amid Criticism Over Limited Support Measures
×