London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Tuesday, Mar 10, 2026

Covid-19: UK deaths likely to come down slowly, Whitty warns

Covid-19: UK deaths likely to come down slowly, Whitty warns

The number of daily coronavirus deaths in the UK is likely to come down "relatively slowly", England's chief medical officer has warned.

Prof Chris Whitty said the UK was going to see "a lot more deaths" over the next few weeks before the effects of the vaccination programme were felt.

Current restrictions were "just about holding" in lowering infection rates, he told a Downing Street briefing.

It comes as the UK surpassed 100,000 coronavirus deaths on Tuesday.

A further 1,631 deaths within 28 days of a positive test were recorded in the daily figures.

And 20,089 coronavirus cases were reported on Tuesday, continuing a downward trend in the number of UK cases seen in recent days.

'Incredibly high number'


Prof Whitty told a Downing Street news conference the rolling seven-day average for deaths was 1,242 - "an incredibly high number" - and unlikely to come down quickly.

"I think we have to be realistic that the rate of mortality, the number of people dying a day, will come down relatively slowly over the next two weeks - and will probably be flat for a while now."

Prof Whitty said the number of people testing positive for coronavirus was "still at a very high number, but it has been coming down".

But he cautioned against relaxing restrictions "too early", as Office for National Statistics data showed a "rather slower" decrease.

The number of people in hospital with Covid-19 in the UK had "flattened off", he said, but was still an "incredibly high number" and "substantially above the peak in April".



Prof Whitty said the new, more transmissible variant discovered in the south east of England at the end of last year had altered the UK's situation "very substantially" and had made it "much harder" to bring infection levels down.

"We were worried two weeks ago that the measures we have at the moment were not enough to hold this new variant," he told the news conference.

"I think what the data I showed you at the beginning of the slide sessions shows is that the rates are just about holding with the new variant, with what everybody's doing.

"It's going to be much harder because of this new variant and I think we have to be realistic about that."

Sir Simon Stevens, chief executive of NHS England, said that more than a quarter of a million severely ill coronavirus patients have been looked after in hospital since the pandemic started last year.

"This is not a year that anybody is going to want to remember nor is it a year that across the health service any of us will ever forget," he said.



The daily Covid figures have seen the number of deaths top 100,000. But they also contain some signs of hope.

Just over 20,000 new infections have been reported - down from 22,000 yesterday.

This compares to an average of 60,000 at the start of the year.

It is a sharp fall, although Prof Whitty cautions it may actually be a little slower than that.

Not everyone who is infected comes forward for testing and the government surveillance programme which involves random testing of the population suggests the fall has not been quite so great.

Nonetheless, it is clear the infection rate is coming down - and that offers hope.

Hospital cases have plateaued and should soon start falling. That will eventually lead to a reduction in the number of deaths.

Then, in February, the vaccination programme should start having an impact, leading, hopefully, to a rapid drop in deaths.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson told the briefing the coronavirus infection rate remained "pretty forbiddingly high" to ease lockdown restrictions, which have been in place in England since 5 January.

But he said "at a certain stage we will want to be getting things open".

He added: "What I will be doing in the course of the next few days and weeks is setting out in more detail, as soon as we can, when and how we want to get things open again."

Under the national lockdown, people in England must stay at home and only go out for limited reasons - including for food shopping, exercise, or work if they cannot do so from home. Similar measures are in place across much of Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.

'Drastically reduced'


Meanwhile, the epidemiologist whose modelling prompted the UK government to impose the first lockdown has told BBC Radio 4's PM he believes more action in autumn last year could have "drastically reduced" the number of lives lost in the second wave - some 60,000.

Prof Neil Ferguson said: "They couldn't have been eliminated, but they could have been drastically reduced by earlier action, unfortunately.

"How much is difficult to judge, the new variant was unpredictable and did change our understanding of how much was needed to control spread, but we did just let the autumn wave get to far, far too high infection levels."

Reacting to the UK's death toll, Mr Johnson said he took "full responsibility" for the government's actions, but added: "We truly did everything we could."


Prof Chris Whitty described today as a very sad day, as England surpassed 100,000 Covid deaths


Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Roman Abramovich Signals Legal Fight if UK Seeks to Seize Chelsea Sale Funds
UK Ready to Back Emergency Oil Reserve Release as Middle East Conflict Pushes Prices Higher
Study of 40,000 Articles Sparks Debate Over Alleged Anti-Muslim Bias in UK Media
US and UK Army Chiefs Strengthen Cooperation on the Future of Armored Warfare
Britain’s Search for the Next ARM Intensifies as Startups and Investors Target the Semiconductor Frontier
Three US Strategic Bombers Arrive at RAF Fairford as Iran Conflict Intensifies
Cancer Death Rates in the UK Fall to the Lowest Level on Record
UK Government Bond Yields Retreat Slightly After Sharp Spike Triggered by Middle East Conflict
UK Chancellor Warns Middle East War Could Push Inflation Higher
UK Prime Minister Warns Iran Conflict Could Drive Up Prices and Threaten Economic Stability
Trump Declines UK Offer to Deploy Aircraft Carriers to Middle East Amid Iran Conflict
Prince Harry and Meghan Markle to Return to Australia After Seven Years for Philanthropic and Business Engagements
UK Government Signals Independence From Washington as Cooper Says Britain Does Not Agree With Trump on Every Issue
UK Experts Warn AI Chatbots Are Fueling Surge in Claims of Organised ‘Satanic’ Ritual Abuse
UK Political Parties Divided Over Strategy as Iran Conflict Reshapes Foreign Policy Debate
Britain Discloses Secret Military Repair Hubs Operating Inside Ukraine
Trump Says US No Longer Needs UK Carrier Support After Delayed Offer Amid Iran Conflict
Why Britain Has Become Involved in the US-Israel Military Campaign Against Iran
UK Gas Storage Falls to Under Two Days as Iran Conflict Jolts Global Energy Markets
UK Warned to Brace for Economic Shock as Iran War Drives Global Energy Price Surge
Starmer and Trump Hold First Call After Public Dispute Over Iran Conflict
UK Dentists Returned £1.3 Billion to Government as Shift Toward Private Care Accelerates
Expert Warns UK Must Build Emergency Food Stockpiles to Prepare for Climate Shocks or War
UK Plans Charter Flight to Evacuate British Nationals from Gulf as Regional Conflict Disrupts Air Travel
Families of Zimbabwe’s Liberation Fighters Call on Britain to Help Locate Skulls Taken During Colonial War
Iran’s Ambassador Warns Britain to ‘Be Very Careful’ Over Deeper Role in Expanding Middle East War
UK Military Leadership Defends Britain’s Defensive Role in Expanding Middle East Conflict
Four U.S. Strategic Bombers Arrive in Britain as Iran War Intensifies
Soham Murderer Ian Huntley Dies After Violent Attack in High-Security Prison
UK Lawmakers and Experts Condemn Scale of Overseas Human Remains Held in British Museums
Royal Navy Aircraft Carrier HMS Prince of Wales Placed on Standby for Potential Deployment
United Kingdom Confirms U.S. Military Using British Bases for Operations Targeting Iranian Missile Sites
Starmer Defends UK Role in Iran Conflict After Renewed Criticism from President Trump
Blue Owl Reveals £36 Million Exposure After Collapse of UK Lender Serving Wealthy Clients
UK Asylum Reform Plan Triggers Fierce Debate Over Border Control and Humanitarian Impact
US Stealth Bombers Head to UK Base as Trump Issues Stark Warning to Iran
UK Deputy Prime Minister Says Legal Case Could Exist for British Strikes on Iranian Missile Sites
Investigators Link Mysterious Parcel Fires Across Europe to Russian Intelligence Operation
Debate Intensifies Over Britain’s Legal Justification for US Military Operations Launched From UK Bases
Britain Faces Heightened Energy Price Risks as Iran-Linked Tensions Threaten Global Oil and Gas Supplies
British Counter-Terror Police Arrest Four Suspected of Spying on Jewish Community for Iran
Axel Springer Agrees $770 Million Deal to Acquire Britain’s Daily Telegraph
Iceland Supermarket Drops Trademark Challenge Against Icelandic Government in Long-Running Naming Dispute
UK Defence Secretary Visits Cyprus Following Scrutiny of Britain’s Response to Drone Attacks
Questions Grow Over Britain’s Military Readiness as Response to Iran Conflict Draws Scrutiny
UK Offers Failed Asylum Seeker Families Up to Forty Thousand Pounds to Leave Voluntarily
Saharan Dust Could Bring ‘Blood Rain’ to Parts of the UK as Weather Systems Shift
UK Deploys Additional Typhoon Fighter Jets to Qatar and Helicopters to Cyprus Amid Rising Middle East Tensions
Experts Urge Britain to Accelerate Renewable Energy Push as Global Conflicts Drive Up Costs
British Public Shows Strong Reluctance to Join Wider War in Iran
×