London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Saturday, Mar 14, 2026

BP's transition and HSBC's outlook for China and Hong Kong to set tone on Tuesday

BP's transition and HSBC's outlook for China and Hong Kong to set tone on Tuesday

Final results are also due from Premier Inn owner Whitbread, though they are unlikely to make for positive reading

Two of the FTSE 100’s top ten largest companies report on Tuesday, HSBC and BP, as well as Premier Inn owner Whitbread.

Transition will likely be a keyword for BP PLC (LON:BP.) as it updates the market ahead of big rival Shell later in the week.

The themes facing each of what were once called the ‘oil super majors’ are very similar, though each have slightly different priorities and PR.

One of the changes from BP boss Bernard Looney, who started in February last year, is that income will be reported in new segments to help investors and analysts see where the company is making its money these days: the former exploration and production operations are split between the new Gas & Low Carbon Energy and Oil Production & Operations segments, while Customers & Products contains the old downstream businesses of refining and trading and customers but with the petrochemicals business having been sold.

Overall BP’s first-quarter numbers are expected to be reasonably strong compared to last year, with the price of Brent Crude Oil having more than trebled.

However, BP shares, since the start of 2019, are down over 40% while the oil price is roughly flat.

“The turgid share price performance may in part reflect investor scepticism that BP can juggle its cashflows to the point whereby it can maximise value from its current hydrocarbon assets, invest effectively in renewable and alternative energy sources and pay out healthy dividends,” said analyst Danni Hewson at AJ Bell.

She said these results will be the latest test of the new strategy, though investors may be more focused on the dividend, which BP halved in the second quarter of last year to 5.25 US cents a quarter, where it stayed in the third and fourth quarters.

However, City analysts expect no change in the payout this year, what with the recently confirmed US$35bn debt pile and share buyback strategy taking priority.

HSBC heralds bank results week


Dividends are also a big question hovering over Britain’s big banks, where investors know they are coming but what size they will be.

HSBC PLC (LON:HSBA) will kick off first-quarter reporting season with the wider sector having been one of the best performers so far this year.

Part of the recent strong performance is likely to be down to the implied benefits for banks of the improving UK outlook, sector’s underperformance in 2020 and before, but also down to a strong final quarter of last year, when most of the banks beat consensus profit forecasts, helped by lower losses from expected customer loan defaults.

Loan impairment charges in the quarter are expected to be low and, following the example of US banks, analysts at Barclays said there is “increasing potential for writebacks” of loan loss provisions, especially where there was high provision building last year, as seen at all the UK names.

The analysts expect the primary focus in HSBC's results will be on the revenue outlook, “with rates-driven net interest margin pressure in retail divisions offset by loan growth (UK mortgages, Asia retail and commercial)”.

Barclays expects a solid quarter for the Global Banking and Markets (GBM) division, where it is forecasting a 13% year-on-year increase in revenues, with markets up 12%.

“Wealth Management could be supported by higher market levels and rebuilding activity, albeit rebound on China/HK border re-opening (likely in H2),” Barclays continued.

Speaking for the sector as a whole, analysts at UBS said the UK re-opening trade has been “running into the sand somewhat” due to lingering concerns about new variants, with the key catalysts for the UK domestic banks likely to become resolved later in the summer, with details around the full relaxation of mobility restrictions perhaps in June and more dividend clarity likely in July and August.

Whitbread finals to see rude awakening


The last year has not been the best for hotel chains, with lockdown measures across the world forcing most of them to close their doors for months on end.

With this in mind, final results from Premier Inn owner Whitbread PLC (LON:WTB) on Tuesday are unlikely to be positive reading, however, the company has managed to keep itself afloat while awaiting the end of the pandemic.

The benefits from the recent relaxation in the UK won’t show up in the figures, as the financial year ended in February, so as a result, the company’s cash reserves are likely to be the key metric for investors to watch.

Shareholders will also be eyeing any updates on the firm's expansion plans for Germany, as well as any strategy it has to capitalise on the assumed pent-up demand of UK consumers when hotels are allowed to reopen in late April and May.

Will US tech put things in perspective?


Putting the £7bn tiddler Whitbread and tens-of-billions giants HSBC and BP pretty firmly in the shade in terms of sheer market size, tonight it’s the turn of US$700bn Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) and tomorrow a pair of the trillion dollar club, US$1.5trn Google parent company Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) and near US$2trn Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT).

Significant announcements expected on Tuesday April 27:


Trading announcements: HSBC Holdings PLC (LON:HSBA), BP PLC (LON:BP.), AVEVA Group PLC (LON:AVV), IWG PLC (LON:IWG), PZ Cussons PLC (LON:PZC), Vivo Energy PLC (LON:VVO)

Finals: Whitbread PLC (LON:WTB), Inspiration Healthcare Group PLC (LON:IHC), Gaming Realms PLC (LON:GMR), Anexo Group PLC (LON:ANX)

Interims: Focusrite PLC (LON:TUNE)

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Middle East War Highlights Strategic Importance of Strong UK–Ireland Cooperation
Weak Growth Signals UK Economy Was Faltering Even Before Middle East Energy Shock
Marks & Spencer Tops UK Fashion Retail Rankings as Most Considered Brand
United States Launches Trade Investigation Into Allies Over Forced Labour Practices
United States Launches Trade Investigation Into Allies Over Forced Labour Practices
Russia Accuses Britain Over Storm Shadow Strike as London Reaffirms Ukraine’s Right to Self-Defence
Russia Accuses Britain Over Storm Shadow Strike as London Reaffirms Ukraine’s Right to Self-Defence
Royal Navy to Acquire Twenty Uncrewed Surface Vessels for Autonomous Warfare Testing
Russia Summons British and French Envoys After Ukrainian Storm Shadow Strike on Strategic Facility
Starmer Confirms Britain Will Maintain Sanctions on Russia Despite U.S. Policy Shift
UK Moves to Refine AI Definition in Investment Security Reform
UK Economy Stalls in January as Growth Unexpectedly Falls to Zero
Asian Energy Security Tested as Strait of Hormuz Disruption Threatens Oil Supplies
Iran Sets Three Conditions for Ending Regional War as Diplomatic Efforts Intensify
Tesla Secures Approval to Supply Electricity Directly to Homes Across Britain
Prince William Delivers Tribute to Australia’s Naval Alliance Amid Renewed Royal Spotlight on the Country
UK Foreign Secretary Travels to Saudi Arabia to Reinforce Support for Regional Allies
Putin’s ‘Hidden Hand’ May Be Assisting Iran in Conflict With Trump, UK Defence Secretary Warns
UK Sets April Deadline for Tech Platforms to Strengthen Online Protections for Children
Elon Musk Moves Into Britain’s Energy Market as Tesla Wins Licence to Supply Power
UK Watchdog Warns Fuel Retailers Against Profiteering Amid Iran War Price Surge
Report Claims Iran Used UK Charity Network to Expand Influence
United States and United Kingdom Establish Joint Standards for Counter-Drone Technology
Iran May Be Laying Naval Mines in Strait of Hormuz, UK Warns Amid Escalating Gulf Tensions
US Deploys Bunker-Buster Bombs to UK Airbase as Iran Conflict Intensifies
British Troops in Iraq Intercept Iranian Drones Targeting Coalition Base
Release of Mandelson Files Raises Tensions as UK Seeks Stable Relations With Donald Trump
UK Documents Reveal Starmer Was Warned About Mandelson’s Epstein Links Before Ambassador Appointment
Nearly Five Hundred UK Mortgage Deals Withdrawn in Two Days as Market Volatility Forces Lenders to Reprice
Three Cargo Ships Hit Near Iran as Attacks Spread to Strategic Strait of Hormuz
Why British Police Repeatedly Declined to Investigate Jeffrey Epstein’s UK Links
UK Parliament Ends Hereditary Seats in House of Lords, Closing Chapter on Centuries of Aristocratic Lawmaking
EU and UK Urge Israel to Act Against Rising West Bank Settler Violence Amid Regional Tensions
US Senator John Kennedy Says Keir Starmer Should Not Be Trusted for Military Advice Amid Iran War Debate
UK High Court Rejects Attempt to Revive Terrorism Charge Against Kneecap Rapper
Revolut Secures Full UK Banking Licence After Multi-Year Regulatory Wait
Kentucky’s Bench Boost Powers Wildcats Past LSU in SEC Tournament Opener
British Couple Die After Being Pulled From Water at Australian Beach During Family Visit
Global Energy Agency Announces Record Release of 400 Million Barrels to Stabilize Oil Markets Amid Hormuz Disruption
British Airways Suspends UK Repatriation Flights as Middle East Travel Disruption Deepens
US Forces Prepare Ordnance at RAF Fairford as Strategic Bombers Deploy for Middle East Operations
Nigel Farage Faces Criticism After Saying Britain Should Stay Out of Iran War
Landmark UK Trial Begins Over Sony’s PlayStation Store Pricing
UK High Court Rejects Bid to Challenge Britain’s Chagos Islands Agreement With Mauritius
Finnish Duo Triumphs in England’s Annual Wife-Carrying Race, Winning a Barrel of Ale
How U.S. and UK National Security Strategies Are Reshaping the Global Business Landscape
Green Party Gains Momentum as Labour Shifts Toward the Political Centre
Royal Navy Destroyer HMS Dragon Sets Sail for Eastern Mediterranean as Regional Tensions Rise
UK Homebuilder Persimmon Warns Iran Conflict Could Dent Property Buyer Confidence
Roman Abramovich Signals Legal Fight if UK Seeks to Seize Chelsea Sale Funds
×