London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Friday, Oct 02, 2026

UK forced to borrow more than expected as soaring inflation bites

UK forced to borrow more than expected as soaring inflation bites

Budget deficit drops to £20.5bn in August but is offset by high interest payments on national debt

UK government borrowing increased by more than expected in August as rising inflation pushed up debt interest payments.

The Office for National Statistics said the government’s budget deficit – the gap between spending and income – dropped to £20.5bn in August from about £26bn in the same month a year earlier as Britain’s economy recovers from lockdown.

However, the latest snapshot showed that the gains from a rebound in tax receipts were offset by inflation driving up interest payments on the national debt by 84% compared with the same month a year ago.

City economists had forecast a lower August borrowing figure of about £15.6bn.


The figures come as Rishi Sunak prepares to scale back emergency Covid support schemes and set out the government’s post-pandemic tax and spending plans at next month’s autumn budget and three-year spending review.

The chancellor has indicated that inflation is a significant risk to the public finances. “We are determined to get our public finances back on track – that’s why we have set out the focused and responsible steps we are taking to keep debt under control,” he said.

Economists said the drop in the August budget deficit was driven by stronger tax receipts and lower spending on pandemic support as the economy recovers from lockdown. For the year so far, borrowing stood at £93.8bn, almost £32bn below a forecast made by the Office for Budget Responsibility in March.

Figures published by the Treasury showed businesses have now returned £1.3bn in furlough cash they did not ultimately need, with £300m paid back in the past three months as employers return more staff to work. The government has paid out a total of £68.5bn on furlough so far.

However, officials said the fallout from higher inflation eroded some of the gains. According to the latest snapshot from the ONS, interest payments on government debt rose by £2.9bn from the same month a year ago to stand at £6.3bn in August, lower than a monthly record of £8.7bn spent on servicing the national debt in June.

Reflecting the surge in government borrowing during the pandemic, public sector net debt stood at £2.2tn at the end of August, or about 97.6% of GDP, the highest ratio since March 1963.

Britain’s economic recovery from lockdown has faltered as shortages of workers and supplies weigh on growth. Inflation has also risen to the highest level in a decade. Although this is largely owing to temporary factors as the economy recovers from lockdown, some economists warn that persistent disruption from Covid and Brexit will maintain pressure on living costs.

The ONS said recent high levels of debt interest were mainly due to movements in the retail prices index (RPI) measure of inflation, to which some government bonds are pegged. The RPI jumped to 4.8% in August, up from 0.5% a year earlier to stand at the highest level in a decade.

The OBR said the rise in inflation meant debt interest for the financial year to date was £4.7bn, or 20.5%, higher than its March forecast.

However, annual debt interest payments remain at historically low levels. Even though the national debt has hit the highest GDP ratio since the 1960s, servicing costs are at a 320-year low. The OBR’s March forecast estimated debt interest would hit £24.8bn this year, £13bn lower than its forecast for 2021-22 made before Covid-19 struck.

Jo Michell, associate professor in economics at Bristol Business School, said interest payments in August amounted to less than 1% of tax received in the past 12 months, and that much of the national debt was held by the Bank of England, effectively incurring interest at Threadneedle Street’s 0.1% base rate.

“Although gilt interest payments have been pushed up by recent increases in inflation, nominal figures for individual months should be seen in the context of ongoing very low borrowing costs,” he said.

The ONS also revised upwards its estimate for borrowing in the financial year to the end of March 2021 by £27.1bn, taking the deficit to £325.1bn, in a reflection of the hit from Covid-19.

It said this was driven mainly by the inclusion of expected losses on government-backed emergency Covid loans to businesses worth £20.9bn, which it had included in the estimates for the first time. Although representing about a quarter of the total £80bn lent through Covid business loan schemes, the estimated losses are lower than the previous £27bn forecast made by the OBR.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
UK Councils to Receive Sweeping Planning Powers to Ban New Vape and Betting Shops
Chancellor John Healey Faces Tax and Pension Scrutiny Ahead of Autumn Budget
Metropolitan Police Apologise for Accidental Disclosure in High-Profile Investigation
UK Universities Report Record International Enrolment as Housing Pressure Grows
UK Logistics Firms Monitor Rhine Disruption as Low Water Threatens European Supply Chains
UK Food Industry Warns Inflation Could Approach 7%
UK Introduces Vaping Duty and Mandatory Retail Stamps
Scotland Raises Property Taxes and Expands Child Payment in Annual Budget
Greggs Plans Four Factory Closures With 740 Jobs at Risk
OECD Raises UK 2026 Growth Forecast to 1.1%
UK Inflation Rises to 3.1% as Bank of England Faces Rate Debate
Andy Burnham Criticises Brexit and Says Rejoining EU Single Market Remains an Option
UK Imposes New Sanctions on Russian Military Networks and Propagandists
UK Launches Nationwide Early-Release Prison Scheme
Andy Burnham Says Security Services See Signs of Iranian Involvement in RAF Fairford Incident
Manchester City Found Guilty on Premier League Financial Charges After Independent Investigation
Scottish Court to Rule on Bid to Force No-Confidence Vote Against Aberdeen Council Co-Leader
UK Bans Extra Charges for Seating Children Under 12 Beside Accompanying Adults
UK Introduces Vaping Duty and New Licensing Requirements
Greggs to Close Four UK Factories and Cut 740 Jobs
Hundreds of Prisoners Released Early as England and Wales Prisons Reach 98% Capacity
UK Unveils New Russia Sanctions Targeting War Funding and Shadow Fleet
Burnham Says There Are Strong Indications of Iranian Involvement in RAF Fairford Security Breach
Prime Minister Andy Burnham Raises Prospect of Reviewing Britain's Post-Brexit EU Relationship
Markets Price in Bank of England Rate Increases as Inflation Rises to 3.1%
UK Borrowing Costs Climb Toward 5.5% as Global Bond Sell-Off Intensifies
UK-France One-In-One-Out Migration Agreement Expires as London Seeks Alternative Measures
Southwest England Faces Flood Alerts After Heavy Autumn Storms
UK Expands Funding for Rapid Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure
Welsh Government Approves Funding to Upgrade South Wales Transport
Northern Ireland Tensions Rise as Orange Order Rejects Drumcree Compromise
NHS Leaders Back Early Design of Proposed National Care Service
More Than One-Third of Regional UK Universities Face Financial Deficits
UK Current Account Deficit Narrows as Cross-Border Financial Flows Remain Strong
Bank of England and FCA Issue New Rules for Stablecoins and Digital Assets
MI5 Warns UK Universities Over Research Links With Chinese Institutions
UK Energy Price Cap Rises 4% as Electricity VAT Is Temporarily Suspended
Equity Calls for UK Personality Rights to Protect Performers From AI Replication
OpenAI Pauses Advanced Model Training Following Safety Concerns
Scottish Government Proposes Replacing 32 Councils With Larger Regional Authorities
Ofgem Raises UK Household Energy Price Cap by 4% From October
UK Counter-Terrorism Police Continue Investigation After Five Arrests Near RAF Fairford
OECD Cuts UK 2027 Growth Forecast to 1%
Labour Says State Pension Triple Lock Remains Protected Through Current Parliament
Andy Burnham Pledges National Care Service With Free Social Care in England
Six Flags Permanently Shuts Landmark X2 Roller Coaster Following Safety Scandals
Metropolitan Police Rule Out Terrorism in Golders Green Stabbing Investigation
Lithium-Ion Battery Identified as Cause of Fatal Merseyside House Fire
UK Department Rejects New Sea Use Framework Due to Stakeholder Fatigue
Major Thames Water Pipe Burst Causes School Closures in London
×