London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Thursday, Dec 25, 2025

UK forced to borrow more than expected as soaring inflation bites

UK forced to borrow more than expected as soaring inflation bites

Budget deficit drops to £20.5bn in August but is offset by high interest payments on national debt

UK government borrowing increased by more than expected in August as rising inflation pushed up debt interest payments.

The Office for National Statistics said the government’s budget deficit – the gap between spending and income – dropped to £20.5bn in August from about £26bn in the same month a year earlier as Britain’s economy recovers from lockdown.

However, the latest snapshot showed that the gains from a rebound in tax receipts were offset by inflation driving up interest payments on the national debt by 84% compared with the same month a year ago.

City economists had forecast a lower August borrowing figure of about £15.6bn.


The figures come as Rishi Sunak prepares to scale back emergency Covid support schemes and set out the government’s post-pandemic tax and spending plans at next month’s autumn budget and three-year spending review.

The chancellor has indicated that inflation is a significant risk to the public finances. “We are determined to get our public finances back on track – that’s why we have set out the focused and responsible steps we are taking to keep debt under control,” he said.

Economists said the drop in the August budget deficit was driven by stronger tax receipts and lower spending on pandemic support as the economy recovers from lockdown. For the year so far, borrowing stood at £93.8bn, almost £32bn below a forecast made by the Office for Budget Responsibility in March.

Figures published by the Treasury showed businesses have now returned £1.3bn in furlough cash they did not ultimately need, with £300m paid back in the past three months as employers return more staff to work. The government has paid out a total of £68.5bn on furlough so far.

However, officials said the fallout from higher inflation eroded some of the gains. According to the latest snapshot from the ONS, interest payments on government debt rose by £2.9bn from the same month a year ago to stand at £6.3bn in August, lower than a monthly record of £8.7bn spent on servicing the national debt in June.

Reflecting the surge in government borrowing during the pandemic, public sector net debt stood at £2.2tn at the end of August, or about 97.6% of GDP, the highest ratio since March 1963.

Britain’s economic recovery from lockdown has faltered as shortages of workers and supplies weigh on growth. Inflation has also risen to the highest level in a decade. Although this is largely owing to temporary factors as the economy recovers from lockdown, some economists warn that persistent disruption from Covid and Brexit will maintain pressure on living costs.

The ONS said recent high levels of debt interest were mainly due to movements in the retail prices index (RPI) measure of inflation, to which some government bonds are pegged. The RPI jumped to 4.8% in August, up from 0.5% a year earlier to stand at the highest level in a decade.

The OBR said the rise in inflation meant debt interest for the financial year to date was £4.7bn, or 20.5%, higher than its March forecast.

However, annual debt interest payments remain at historically low levels. Even though the national debt has hit the highest GDP ratio since the 1960s, servicing costs are at a 320-year low. The OBR’s March forecast estimated debt interest would hit £24.8bn this year, £13bn lower than its forecast for 2021-22 made before Covid-19 struck.

Jo Michell, associate professor in economics at Bristol Business School, said interest payments in August amounted to less than 1% of tax received in the past 12 months, and that much of the national debt was held by the Bank of England, effectively incurring interest at Threadneedle Street’s 0.1% base rate.

“Although gilt interest payments have been pushed up by recent increases in inflation, nominal figures for individual months should be seen in the context of ongoing very low borrowing costs,” he said.

The ONS also revised upwards its estimate for borrowing in the financial year to the end of March 2021 by £27.1bn, taking the deficit to £325.1bn, in a reflection of the hit from Covid-19.

It said this was driven mainly by the inclusion of expected losses on government-backed emergency Covid loans to businesses worth £20.9bn, which it had included in the estimates for the first time. Although representing about a quarter of the total £80bn lent through Covid business loan schemes, the estimated losses are lower than the previous £27bn forecast made by the OBR.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Princesses Beatrice and Eugenie Join Royal Family at Sandringham Christmas Service
Fine Wine Investors Find Little Cheer in Third Year of Falls
UK Mortgage Rates Edge Lower as Bank of England Base Rate Cut Filters Through Lending Market
U.S. Supermarket Gives Customers Free Groceries for Christmas After Computer Glitch
Air India ‘Finds’ a Plane That Vanished 13 Years Ago
Caviar and Foie Gras? China Is Becoming a Luxury Food Powerhouse
Hong Kong Climbs to Second Globally in 2025 Tourism Rankings Behind Bangkok
From Sunniest Year on Record to Terror Plots and Sports Triumphs: The UK’s Defining Stories of 2025
Greta Thunberg Released on Bail After Arrest at London Pro-Palestinian Demonstration
Banksy Unveils New Winter Mural in London Amid Festive Season Excitement
UK Households Face Rising Financial Strain as Tax Increases Bite and Growth Loses Momentum
UK Government Approves Universal Studios Theme Park in Bedford Poised to Rival Disneyland Paris
UK Gambling Shares Slide as Traders Respond to Steep Tax Rises and Sector Uncertainty
Starmer and Trump Coordinate on Ukraine Peace Efforts in Latest Diplomatic Call
The Pilot Barricaded Himself in the Cockpit and Refused to Take Off: "We Are Not Leaving Until I Receive My Salary"
UK Fashion Label LK Bennett Pursues Accelerated Sale Amid Financial Struggles
U.S. Government Warns UK Over Free Speech in Pro-Life Campaigner Prosecution
Newly Released Files Shed Light on Jeffrey Epstein’s Extensive Links to the United Kingdom
Prince William and Prince George Volunteer Together at UK Homelessness Charity
UK Police Arrest Protesters Chanting ‘Globalise the Intifada’ as Authorities Recalibrate Free Speech Enforcement
Scambodia: The World Owes Thailand’s Military a Profound Debt of Gratitude
Women in Partial Nudity — and Bill Clinton in a Dress and Heels: The Images Revealed in the “Epstein Files”
US Envoy Witkoff to Convene Security Advisers from Ukraine, UK, France and Germany in Miami as Peace Efforts Intensify
UK Retailers Report Sharp Pre-Christmas Sales Decline and Weak Outlook, CBI Survey Shows
UK Government Rejects Use of Frozen Russian Assets to Fund Aid for Ukraine
UK Financial Conduct Authority Opens Formal Investigation into WH Smith After Accounting Errors
UK Issues Final Ultimatum to Roman Abramovich Over £2.5bn Chelsea Sale Funds for Ukraine
Rare Pink Fog Sweeps Across Parts of the UK as Met Office Warns of Poor Visibility
UK Police Pledge ‘More Assertive’ Enforcement to Tackle Antisemitism at Protests
UK Police Warn They Will Arrest Protesters Chanting ‘Globalise the Intifada’
Trump Files $10 Billion Defamation Lawsuit Against BBC as Broadcaster Pledges Legal Defence
UK Says U.S. Tech Deal Talks Still Active Despite Washington’s Suspension of Prosperity Pact
UK Mortgage Rules to Give Greater Flexibility to Borrowers With Irregular Incomes
UK Treasury Moves to Position Britain as Leading Global Hub for Crypto Firms
U.S. Freezes £31 Billion Tech Prosperity Deal With Britain Amid Trade Dispute
Prince Harry and Meghan’s Potential UK Return Gains New Momentum Amid Security Review and Royal Dialogue
Zelensky Opens High-Stakes Peace Talks in Berlin with Trump Envoy and European Leaders
Historical Reflections on Press Freedom Emerge Amid Debate Over Trump’s Media Policies
UK Boosts Protection for Jewish Communities After Sydney Hanukkah Attack
UK Government Declines to Comment After ICC Prosecutor Alleges Britain Threatened to Defund Court Over Israel Arrest Warrant
Apple Shutters All Retail Stores in the United Kingdom Under New National COVID-19 Lockdown
US–UK Technology Partnership Strains as Key Trade Disagreements Emerge
UK Police Confirm No Further Action Over Allegation That Andrew Asked Bodyguard to Investigate Virginia Giuffre
Giuffre Family Expresses Deep Disappointment as UK Police Decline New Inquiry Into Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor Claims
Transatlantic Trade Ambitions Hit a Snag as UK–US Deal Faces Emerging Challenges
Ex-ICC Prosecutor Alleges UK Threatened to Withdraw Funding Over Netanyahu Arrest Warrant Bid
UK Disciplinary Tribunal Clears Carter-Ruck Lawyer of Misconduct in OneCoin Case
‘Pink Ladies’ Emerge as Prominent Face of UK Anti-Immigration Protests
Nigel Farage Says Reform UK Has Become Britain’s Largest Party as Labour Membership Falls Sharply
Google DeepMind and UK Government Launch First Automated AI Lab to Accelerate Scientific Discovery
×