Chris Mason examines whether Rishi Sunak has dismissed the possibility of a spring election
Rishi Sunak suggested an election is likely later in the year, yet he left options open. His vague language—"working assumption"—implies flexibility despite his ability to choose the date.
This remark is newsworthy as it's the first time Sunak has hinted at an election timeline, amidst speculation in Westminster.
He appears to be buying time amid criticism, hoping to diminish the urgency of election timing questions. But opposition parties persist with accusations, as Labour's Sir Keir Starmer has likened Sunak to an unwelcome occupant of Downing Street.
Sunak is aware the Conservatives can legally stay in power until next January. An election after October would mark two years as Prime Minister for him, whereas an early election risks losing additional months in office, particularly with current polls predicting a likely defeat.
Delaying the election allows for unforeseen positive developments, whereas moving earlier is a risky bet against unfavorable odds. Sunak's noncommittal statement leaves all possibilities on the table.