London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Tuesday, Jul 28, 2026

Bank of England chief: I'm uneasy about inflation but we are a long way from the 1970s

Bank of England chief: I'm uneasy about inflation but we are a long way from the 1970s

Andrew Bailey told MPs the decision not to hike interest rates earlier this month was a "very close call" with officials waiting to see how the jobs market had responded to the end of the furlough scheme.

Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey has admitted he is "very uneasy" about high inflation - but dismissed the idea that Britain could face a 1970s style wage-price spiral.

Mr Bailey was being questioned by MPs over the Bank's latest decision to leave interest rates on hold at a record low of 0.1% - surprising investors - despite inflation being higher than its 2% target and on course to top 5% in coming months.

Speaking to the Commons Treasury select committee, he defended the decision not to act by saying he wanted to first see an answer to the "puzzle" of what has happened to the jobs market after the furlough scheme ended in September.

Mr Bailey said: "I am very uneasy about the inflation situation.

"It is not of course where we want it to be, to have inflation above target."

Pressed on the danger of a wage-price spiral - where workers ask for more money to cover rising inflation and those demands result in higher prices, which then in turn prompts further wage demands, Mr Bailey said: "The structure of the economy, the structure of the labour market is very different to the 1970s.

"I tend to play down the comparison with the 1970s.

"Of course the inflation story in the 1970s was much worse, and persistent throughout the decade."

Mr Bailey said one reason was that, even though some employers were having to pay more to hire new staff "that doesn't necessarily translate at the moment into paying their existing staff more".

He added: "We are a very long way from the 1970s."

Interest rates were slashed to 0.1% early on during the pandemic in order to try to help the UK weather the coronavirus crisis which saw much of Britain's economic activity suspended.

But as the economy recovers and with inflation surging, there is pressure to increase rates - a lever traditionally seen as a tool by which central banks can keep a lid on price rises.

The Bank governor reiterated that the recent decision on interest rates was a "very close call".

On the one hand, he said, Britain's economic recovery was starting to slow partly due to supply chain strains dragging on growth.

But at the same time, the energy market and global goods prices were pushing up inflation.

Higher energy prices are among the factors behind rising inflation


Rehearsing his previously-stated rationale for not hiking interest rates, Mr Bailey said that doing so was not "going to supply more gas or supply more computer chips".

He added that by the time of the Bank's next interest rate meeting it would know more about what had happened to the one million jobs that were still on furlough when the scheme ended.

Mr Bailey was speaking a day ahead of official labour market figures which will for the first time give an indication of the impact of the withdrawal of that support on UK payrolls.

Inflation figures out on Wednesday, expected to show the rate of price increases at their highest level in nearly a decade, will also be closely watched by the Bank.

Michael Saunders, a member of the BoE's rate-setting committee who did vote for a rate rise earlier this month, backed the governor in agreeing that there was "no risk of a wage-price spiral".

But Mr Saunders told MPs his fear about not increasing interest rates now was that it would mean when they do eventually have to go up, the increase may have to be faster and potentially higher.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
OpenAI Faces Demands for Full Disclosure After Models Breach Hugging Face
Badenoch Offers Tory Votes to Keep Serious Offenders in Prison
Why Americans Queue for $15 Ice Cream and a $100 Caviar Pint
Another AI Genius Left the United States — and Silicon Valley Is Starting to Worry
Shein Reports $99mn Loss as Trade Barriers Test Low-Cost Model
CXMT Gains 466% in China’s Biggest IPO Since 2010
Amazon Seeks Approval for 5,105-Satellite Mobile Network
Burnham Puts School-to-Work Reform at Centre of Welfare Strategy
Johnson & Johnson Agrees to $5.5 Billion Talc Lawsuit Settlement
EU AI Act Shapes Global Corporate Standards, Study Finds
UK-Japan Relations Expected to Deepen Under Burnham Government
Burnham Signals Tough Decisions on Council Tax Reform
UK Inflation Slows to 2.6% in June
Bank of England Holds Interest Rates at 3.75%
Prime Minister Burnham Opens Talks With Business Leaders on Economic Growth
Government Launches 'Number Ten North' to Drive UK Devolution
Labour Regains Poll Lead After Burnham's First Weeks in Office
Prime Minister Burnham Rules Out Early UK General Election Before 2029
Burnham Rules Out Replacing Council Tax and Stamp Duty
Fresh Heatwave Threatens to Rekindle France’s Historic Wildfire Crisis
The Burnham government is seeking to establish its credibility through ambitious social care reform while maintaining fiscal discipline and public confidence in the National Health Service. Labour's early improvement in opinion polls provides political momentum, but sustained support will depend on delivering tangible policy outcomes. Britain continues to reinforce its role in European security through long-term support for Ukraine, while climate-related risks, including increasingly severe wildfires across England and Scotland, are becoming a more prominent national resilience challenge alongside economic uncertainty.
United Kingdom Economy Remains Exposed to Global Energy Risks
Prime Minister Dismisses Calls for an Early General Election
Scottish Wildfires Continue to Stretch Emergency Services
United Kingdom Faces Rising Wildfire Risk as Heatwave Continues
Lower Oil Prices Ease Inflation Concerns and Support Financial Markets
Financial Conduct Authority Launches Consumer Campaign on Car Finance Compensation
Government Prioritises Employment Over Benefit Cuts in Welfare Reform Plans
Prime Minister Rules Out Sweeping Property Tax Changes Before Autumn Budget
AstraZeneca Beats Expectations as Cancer Medicines Drive Strong Profit Growth
Labour Regains Narrow Polling Lead After Burnham's First Week in Office
United Kingdom Reaffirms Long-Term Commitment to Ukraine Under Burnham Government
Prime Minister Andy Burnham Makes Social Care Reform the First Major Test of His Government
Following OpenAI's Cyberattack: 'Most Companies Still Do Not Understand What Is Coming'
Autopsy Finds No Violence in Death of Epstein-Linked Model Scout
Indian Education Minister Resigns After Cockroach Youth Protests
California Desert Data-Centre Plan Stalls as Water and Power Disputes Mount
Northern Ireland Border Security Tightened After Military-Grade Explosive Interception
British Hospitality Sector Targets Summer Visitors Through Regional Promotions
England River Access Debate Intensifies After New Data Shows Limited Public Access
Royal Navy Strengthens Maritime Vigilance Amid Rising Security Concerns
UK Education Department Expands Mental Health Support for Young People Entering Work
UK Tourism Industry Launches Summer Campaigns to Boost Domestic Travel
North England Transport Plans Advance to Support Industrial Growth
Financial Markets Watch New Government’s Economic Strategy as Investors Assess Fiscal Risks
Royal Navy Continues Monitoring Russian Naval Activity Near UK Waters
UK Care Workers May Receive Immigration Exemptions Under Proposed Visa Changes
Health Secretary Yvette Cooper Begins Emergency Talks to Address NHS Staffing Shortages
UK Banks Launch High-Interest Savings Offers to Attract Household Deposits
North Sea Oil Drilling Projects Face Delays After Offshore Equipment Accident
×