London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Sunday, Nov 09, 2025

Analysis: Beijing gives up on even the pretense of allowing opposition in Hong Kong

Analysis: Beijing gives up on even the pretense of allowing opposition in Hong Kong

For more than two decades, Hong Kong has been the freest city in China, a status symbolized by two things: regular street protests, and elections to the city's legislature.

Both are supposedly guaranteed by the one country, two systems policy that governed Hong Kong following handover from British to Chinese rule in 1997, making the city the only place in China where vocal opposition to the Communist Party was protected, or even permitted.

This year, China's leaders took aim at both these rights. In June, in response to months of increasingly violent anti-government unrest in 2019, Beijing imposed a national security law on the city. The legislation, which bypassed Hong Kong's semi-democratic parliament, banned subversion, secession, terrorism, and collusion with foreign forces, with severe prison terms for anyone found in breach.

This week, China's leaders provided yet another weapon for clamping down further on dissent, giving local authorities, led by Chief Executive Carrie Lam, broad new powers to expel lawmakers they deem unpatriotic without going through the courts.

Four pro-democracy legislators were swiftly ousted from the city's parliament on Wednesday in the aftermath of the new directive. They will be followed by the entirety of the pan-democrat opposition camp, who announced their decision to resign en masse in protest soon after.

Lam, the city's Beijing-backed leader, has defended the new ruling. At a press conference Wednesday, she said that those who do not respect China's sovereignty "cannot genuinely perform their duties as legislators."

"I welcome diverse opinion in the Legislative Council and respect the checks and balances," Lam said, adding that, "all of those responsibilities must be exercised responsibly."

The broad new measure is only the latest encroachment by Beijing on Hong Kong's supposed autonomy, effectively snuffing out the last remaining avenue for the city's residents to voice political dissent.

A little more than one year on from last summer's pro-democracy protests, which at their height attracted more than 1 million people, Hong Kong is looking a lot more like China, where you can't take to the streets, you can't participate in free and open elections, and you can't voice any meaningful opposition to the government without risk of imprisonment.

While Hong Kong's legislature will likely continue with a host of pro-Beijing lawmakers carrying out something resembling democratic governance, the reality is likely to be closer to China's model of one-party rule.


Chief Executive Carrie Lam speaks during a press conference at the government headquarters in Hong Kong on November 11, 2020.


Neutered legislature


Speaking on July 1, 1997, the day Hong Kong officially became part of the People's Republic of China, Martin Lee, founder of the city's Democratic Party, called on Beijing to live up to the promises made to its new citizens.

Referring to the agreement signed with the British handing over Hong Kong to Chinese rule, Lee said China's leaders had promised "we will have an elected legislature and that our freedoms will continue under the rule of law."

That was over 23 years ago. Lee is now 82, white haired, and a symbol of the type of patriotic opposition envisioned by one country, two systems.
Lee had been part of the sole legislature in the city's history to be fully elected, in the last months of British rule, before it was disbanded by Beijing and replaced by an appointed body.

Progress towards further democracy in the ensuing years was scant at best. Now, under President Xi Jinping -- the most powerful Chinese leader since Mao Zedong, and also the most intolerant of any dissent, be it in Hong Kong, Xinjiang, Tibet, or within the Communist Party itself -- any chance of further reform has died.

In the months since Beijing imposed the national security law on Hong Kong, it has drastically reshaped the city's politics. Activists have fled overseas, or gone underground, political parties have disbanded, and once familiar protest signs and slogans have disappeared, as many people exercise self-censorship rather than fall afoul of the new law.

While there have been sporadic protests this year, the new law, combined with stringent restrictions on gathering due to the coronavirus -- which remain in force despite Hong Kong's scarcity of cases -- has effectively neutered the protest movement, and there has been nothing like the unrest seen throughout most of 2019.

This renewed focus on the legislature, now the only potential avenue for preventing further encroachment on Hong Kong's autonomy, all but eliminates the city's remaining formalized opposition to Beijing.

Buoyed by a landslide victory in local elections in November 2019, opposition activists had wild hopes of winning a majority in the Legislative Council. Just under half of the seats in the parliament are not democratically elected, but are chosen by business and special interest groups known as functional constituencies, the majority of which are reliably pro-Beijing, but a handful were believed to be winnable.

On July 31, however, the city's leader, Lam, announced the September elections would be postponed, again citing the coronavirus. At the same time, returning officers barred a dozen opposition candidates, including former student protest leader Joshua Wong.

The national security law was given as justification for this, cementing its role as the go to pretext for seemingly any action the Hong Kong government wants to take. The move seemed to guarantee that the election, whenever it came, would deliver an opposition in name only, making the existing parliament, extended for another year, perhaps the last chance to act as a check on Beijing-appointed officials.

Even before this week, the city's legislature had been weakened, perhaps fatally. Despite millions taking to the streets in June 2019 to oppose the extradition bill that kicked off the unrest, opposition lawmakers were powerless to stop its passage: the only thing that did so was the literal blockading of the parliament building by protesters.

This ineffectiveness -- which led some protesters to call for abandoning elections altogether -- did not stop Hong Kong officials and Beijing's representatives in the city complaining about opposition lawmakers attempting to filibuster laws, or staging protests within the chamber, actions that were ultimately little more than theatrics, but theatrics that signified a degree of opposition that is no longer allowed in Xi's Hong Kong.

Per this week's ruling by the National People's Congress, China's rubber-stamp parliament, Hong Kong lawmakers who are deemed to promote or support the city's independence from China, or who refuse to acknowledge Beijing's sovereignty will "immediately lose their qualifications."

The same will occur for elected lawmakers who "seek foreign forces to intervene in the affairs of Hong Kong, or who have endangered national security" and who "fail to uphold the Basic Law" -- the city's constitution -- as well as those who are deemed "not loyal to the legal requirements and conditions" of the territory.

Claudia Mo, a Democratic Party lawmaker, described the move as having "put the nail into Hong Kong's democracy fight."

"From now on, anyone deemed to be politically incorrect will not be allowed to run in the election," said Mo. "They are making sure only patriots can join Hong Kong's political election."

In his speech 23 years ago, Martin Lee noted: "Hong Kong is known as the Pearl of the Orient. But what is it that gives the pearl its great luster? It is freedom. Freedom exercised to the full by our people and guaranteed by the rule of law. If our freedom is taken away, the Pearl will lose its luster and indeed its value to China and the world."

"The flame of democracy has been ignited and is burning in the hearts of our people," he added. "It will not be extinguished."

This week, it may just have been.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Tom Cruise Arrives by Helicopter at UK Scientology Fundraiser Amid Local Protests
Prince Andrew and Sarah Ferguson Face Fresh UK Probes Amid Royal Fallout
Mothers Link Teen Suicides to AI Chatbots in Growing Legal Battle
UK Government to Mirror Denmark’s Tough Immigration Framework in Major Policy Shift
UK Government Turns to Denmark-Style Immigration Reforms to Overhaul Border Rules
UK Chancellor Warned Against Cutting Insulation Funding as Budget Looms
UK Tenant Complaints Hit Record Levels as Rental Sector Faces Mounting Pressure
Apple to Pay Google About One Billion Dollars Annually for Gemini AI to Power Next-Generation Siri
UK Signals Major Shift as Nuclear Arms Race Looms
BBC’s « Celebrity Traitors UK » Finale Breaks Records with 11.1 Million Viewers
UK Spy Case Collapse Highlights Implications for UK-Taiwan Strategic Alignment
On the Road to the Oscars? Meghan Markle to Star in a New Film
A Vote Worth a Trillion Dollars: Elon Musk’s Defining Day
AI Researchers Claim Human-Level General Intelligence Is Already Here
President Donald Trump Challenges Nigeria with Military Options Over Alleged Christian Killings
Nancy Pelosi Finally Announces She Will Not Seek Re-Election, Signalling End of Long Congressional Career
UK Pre-Budget Blues and Rate-Cut Concerns Pile Pressure on Pound
ITV Warns of Nine-Per-Cent Drop in Q4 Advertising Revenue Amid Budget Uncertainty
National Grid Posts Slightly Stronger-Than-Expected Half-Year Profit as Regulatory Investments Drive Growth
UK Business Lobby Urges Reeves to Break Tax Pledges and Build Fiscal Headroom
UK to Launch Consultation on Stablecoin Regulation on November 10
UK Savers Rush to Withdraw Pension Cash Ahead of Budget Amid Tax-Change Fears
Massive Spoilers Emerge from MAFS UK 2025: Couple Swaps, Dating App Leaks and Reunion Bombshells
Kurdish-led Crime Network Operates UK Mini-Marts to Exploit Migrants and Sell Illicit Goods
UK Income Tax Hike Could Trigger £1 Billion Cut to Scotland’s Budget, Warns Finance Secretary
Tommy Robinson Acquitted of Terror-related Charge After Phone PIN Dispute
Boris Johnson Condemns Western Support for Hamas at Jewish Community Conference
HII Welcomes UK’s Westley Group to Strengthen AUKUS Submarine Supply Chain
Tragedy in Serbia: Coach Mladen Žižović Collapses During Match and Dies at 44
Diplo Says He Dated Katy Perry — and Justin Trudeau
Dick Cheney, Former U.S. Vice President, Dies at 84
Trump Calls Title Removal of Andrew ‘Tragic Situation’ Amid Royal Fallout
UK Bonds Rally as Chancellor Reeves Briefs Markets Ahead of November Budget
UK Report Backs Generational Smoking Ban Ahead of Tobacco & Vapes Bill Review
UK’s Domino’s Pizza Group Reports Modest Like-for-Like Sales Growth in Q3
UK Supplies Additional Storm Shadow Missiles to Ukraine as Trump Alleges Russian Underground Nuclear Tests
High-Profile Broodmare Puca Sells for Five Million Dollars at Fasig-Tipton ‘Night of the Stars’
Wilt Chamberlain’s One-of-a-Kind ‘Searcher 1’ Supercar Heads to Auction
Erling Haaland’s Remarkable Run: 13 Premier League Goals in 10 Matches and Eyes on History
UK Labour Peer Warns of Emerging ‘Constituency for Hating Jews’ in Britain
UK Home Secretary Admits Loss of Border Control, Warns Public Trust at Risk
President Trump Expresses Sympathy for UK Royal Family After Title Stripping of Prince Andrew
Former Prince Andrew to Lose His Last Military Title as King Charles Moves to End His Public Role
King Charles Relocates Andrew to Sandringham Estate and Strips Titles Amid Epstein Fallout
Two Arrested After Mass Stabbing on UK Train Leaves Ten Hospitalised
Glamour UK Says ‘Stay Mad Jo x’ After Really Big Rowling Backlash
Former Prince Prince Andrew Faces Possible U.S. Congressional Appearance Over Jeffrey Epstein Inquiry
UK Faces £20 Billion Productivity Shortfall as Brexit’s Impact Deepens
UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves Eyes New Council-Tax Bands for High-Value Homes
UK Braces for Major Storm with Snow, Heavy Rain and Winds as High as 769 Miles Wide
×