London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Thursday, Jul 02, 2026

Why are bills still rising if the energy price cap is falling? Here's everything you need to know

Why are bills still rising if the energy price cap is falling? Here's everything you need to know

The only thing certain in the world of energy bills at the moment is that they are going up. Here we explain why, how, and what you can do.
The energy price cap has dominated the news in recent months, and while today brings some good news - that the amount suppliers can charge is expected to fall - bills still look set to rise.

Today, Ofgem announced it was lowering the price cap - the amount suppliers are able to charge - from the current £4,279 per year to £3,280 for the average household, effective from 1 April, a reduction of 23%.

The regulator said the reduction of almost £1,000 reflects recent falls in wholesale energy prices.

What is the price cap?

The price cap sets a limit on the amount suppliers can charge for each unit of gas and electricity used. It also sets a maximum daily standing charge (what you pay for your home to be connected to the grid).

The overall figure is not a limit on what your total bill can be - it only reflects "typical" usage. So if you use more energy, you will pay more. If you use less, you'll pay less.

What is more important to look at is the percentage rise or fall - this time it's a reduction of around 23%.

The price cap affects customers in England, Scotland, and Wales. In Northern Ireland, suppliers can adjust prices when they want, as long as it is approved by the Utility Regulator. It is now being reviewed quarterly.
Advertisement

So why are my bills still going up?

Despite the decrease in the price cap, domestic energy bills are still expected to rise by an average of £500 a year as the government's support for households becomes more limited.

The £3,280 figure indicates how much consumers on their energy suppliers' basic tariff would pay if the government's Energy Price Guarantee (EPG) was not in place.

But customers will pay about 20% more on their bills - approximately £500 - as the government's EPG becomes less generous from the beginning of April, leading to an average bill of £3,000.

When the upcoming end of the £400 energy rebate scheme - paid in six instalments of £66 and £67 a month - is factored in, the energy cost for households will increase even more.

Who is impacted by the price cap?

The price cap applies to default tariffs, also known as standard variable tariffs or SVTs.

You will be on one of these tariffs if your fixed tariff ended, and you did not sign up for a new one, if you've never switched your energy tariff, if you were with a supplier that went bust, and if you have recently moved home (although some suppliers allow you to transfer fixed deals, so check).

If you are on a fixed tariff, you are not affected by the price cap. There is also a separate price cap for households on prepayment meters, and this is reviewed quarterly.

Ofgem estimates that 22 million households are on a variable tariff, but this will increase as more people come off fixed tariffs and realise that finding another one is not so easy (more on that later).

Is the price cap a good thing?

Some are starting to wonder if the price cap has had its day.

Among them is Dr Craig Lowrey, principal consultant at Cornwall Insight, an energy consultancy with a good track record of forecasting the price cap.

Earlier in August, Dr Lowrey said that "it may be time to consider the cap's place altogether".

He added: "After all, if it is not controlling consumer prices, and is damaging suppliers' business models, we must wonder if it is fit for purpose - especially in these times of unprecedented energy market conditions."

Will I pay less if I just don't send a meter reading?

If you don't send a meter reading, the supplier will bill you based on how much energy it thinks you have used - an estimate.

Yes, this could be less than what you have actually used, but eventually, the supplier will send someone out to get a reading, and you will have to pay the difference anyway.

Of course, the estimates could also be more than you actually use - so you will be overpaying.

With this in mind, it is always best to send regular meter readings.

What if I fix my tariff?

Fixing your tariff will give you certainty - you'll know the price you will be charged for each unit and the standing charge for the length of your contract. You won't be affected by the price cap during this time.

In recent years, consumers have always been better off on a fixed tariff, but that has changed - there are no tariffs meaningfully cheaper than the current price cap.

What you could try to do is find a fixed tariff that is cheaper than the forecasts for future price caps. Remember this means that you're looking about a year ahead.

Most of the best fixed tariffs will only be offered by suppliers to current customers, so it is always worth checking to see what your supplier has available. Just don't get your hopes up.

I'm struggling to pay my bills. What can I do?

Citizens Advice chief executive Dame Clare Moriarty said the increase will "spell catastrophe" for millions of households without further support from the government.

If you can't pay your energy bills - or any other type of household bill, for that matter - don't ignore it.

Your first step should be to contact your supplier - the earlier, the better. They must offer you a payment plan you can afford, according to regulator Ofgem's website.

You could also talk to a debt management charity such as StepChange, or contact Citizens Advice.
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
UK DEFENCE AND TECHNOLOGY STRATEGY TILTS TOWARD SOVEREIGN CAPABILITY AND INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENT
UK ECONOMIC POLICY OUTLOOK SHAPED BY LEADERSHIP TRANSITION AND FISCAL SIGNALS
STERLING STRENGTHENS AMID SHIFTING MONETARY OUTLOOK AND GLOBAL LABOUR MARKET SIGNALS
UK HPV VACCINATION PROGRAM NEARLY ELIMINATES CERVICAL CANCER DEATH RISK IN YOUNG WOMEN
UK EXPANDS PRISON SAFETY REVIEW AS GOVERNMENT SEEKS WIDER SYSTEM REFORM
UK DRIVES DIGITAL ASSETS STRATEGY WITH NEW STABLECOIN REGULATORY MODEL
UK TO EXPAND AI INFRASTRUCTURE THROUGH NEW EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY PARTNERSHIP
UK LAUNCHES £15 BILLION DEFENCE TECH SHIFT TOWARD ADVANCED MILITARY SYSTEMS
CIVIL SERVICE FACES SHIFT IN POWER STRUCTURE AS REGIONAL GOVERNANCE PLANS EXPAND
WHITEHALL CONSIDERS MAJOR DECENTRALISATION PLAN WITH SECOND GOVERNMENT HUB IN MANCHESTER
UK TARGETS SERVICES EXPORT GROWTH IN TRADE TALKS WITH CHINA AMID GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS
POLICE WATCHDOG PROBES OFFICERS OVER HANDCUFFING OF DYING TEENAGER IN HAMPSHIRE CASE
UK REGULATORS UNVEIL DUAL OVERSIGHT FRAMEWORK FOR STABLECOINS AND DIGITAL ASSETS
KEIR STARMER ANNOUNCES £15 BILLION DEFENCE TECHNOLOGY BOOST IN FINAL MAJOR POLICY MOVE
ANDY BURNHAM SIGNALS STRICT FISCAL RULES AS LABOUR LEADERSHIP RACE SHAPES MARKET OUTLOOK
POUND STERLING HITS ONE-YEAR HIGH AS BANK OF ENGLAND SIGNALS NO IMMINENT RATE CUTS
UK Government Confirms Rejected Asylum Seekers to Remain Amid Enforcement Challenges
UK-China Economic Talks Focus on Services Trade and High-Value Sectors
Buckingham Palace Revamp Plans Unveiled to Modernise Royal and Public Facilities
Two Dead After Light Aircraft Crash in Essex Field, Investigation Underway
Princess Diana Marked at 65 With UK Tributes Reflecting on Her Public Legacy
England Teachers Face New Pay Cap Rules for Academy School Leaders Under Education Reform
Dublin Security Alert Escalates After Stabbing and Reports of Transport Disruption
UK Government Faces Scrutiny Over £10,000 Asylum Living Cost Contribution Requirement
England Prepares World Cup Knockout Match Against Democratic Republic of Congo
Northern Rail Project Warned of HS2-Style Cost Risks by UK Parliamentary Committee
UK Tightens Asylum Rules as Most Rejected Applicants Expected to Remain in Country
UK Heat Health Alert Issued as Temperatures Expected to Exceed 30°C Across England
Halifax Brand to Disappear From UK High Streets in Lloyds Banking Group Restructuring
England Teachers Receive 6.6 Percent Pay Rise Over Two Years as Schools Warn of Budget Strain
UK Defence Spending Plan Sparks Budget Clash as Regional Infrastructure Projects Face Pressure
Inquest Continues in Northern Ireland into Death of Noah Donohoe in Belfast
UK Travel Industry Calls for Suspension of New EU Border System During Peak Holiday Season
Telegraph Media Group Acquired by German Media Firm in £575 Million Deal Completion
House of Commons Warns Northern Rail Upgrade Risks Repeating High-Speed 2 Cost Overruns
UK Transport Unions Warn of Summer Strike Action Over Pay Disputes
UK Health Secretary Calls Maternity Care Review a “Watershed Moment” for NHS Reform
Nigel Farage Faces Questions Over £270,000 Payment Linked to Gold Marketing Firm
Labour Government Faces Internal Division Over North Sea Oil and Gas Policy Direction
National Screening Committee Invites New Proposals for UK Health Screening Programmes
UK and China Hold Industrial Strategy Talks on Trade and Export Growth Opportunities
UK Defence Funding Gap Widens as £4.7 Billion Shortfall Puts Pressure on Spending Priorities
United Kingdom Faces Historic Demographic Shift as Deaths Forecast to Exceed Births in England and Wales
United Kingdom Introduces Major Motability Scheme Reforms Targeting £1 Billion in Long-Term Savings
Global Billionaire Numbers Rise 13 Percent Amid Artificial Intelligence Stock Boom
Body of Fifteen-Year-Old Boy Recovered from Manchester Reservoir
Major Rail Disruption in UK After Cows Stray Onto Intercity Tracks
UK Launches National Campaign to Reduce Water Consumption After Heatwave
Foreign Secretary David Lammy Raises Case of UK Woman Death with US Authorities
Shetland Islands Council Approves Subsea Tunnel Plans Linking Major Islands
×