London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Thursday, Oct 15, 2026

Experts warn: by the end of the century the Middle East will become unlivable

Experts warn: by the end of the century the Middle East will become unlivable

In recent months, the Northern Hemisphere has experienced record temperatures, deadly fires and an unprecedented drought that is harming food production and supply. European cities seem to suffer from higher temperatures this summer compared to the hot Persian Gulf region.
However, according to experts, the high temperature is not a sufficient measure of whether living is possible in a certain city. The exact measure is heat combined with humidity. For this reason, life in the Middle East is more difficult than in Europe - even if the temperatures are the same.

Abdan in Iran recorded a record high of 53 degrees Celsius on August 5. But the heat is not accompanied by high humidity. If, in addition to the temperature, there was also high humidity, living in the area would become much more difficult, even impossible. This is because it is difficult for our body to cool itself when there is humidity compared to dry weather.

The combination of heat and humidity is known as heat load, and is determined as a combination of the temperature and the relative humidity. The calculation is an average of the dry bulb temperature (dry bulb temperature) and the wet bulb temperature (wet bulb temperature).

The dry bulb temperature is the temperature measured by a thermometer, under conditions without radiation and without moisture. The wet bulb temperature is measured with a thermometer covered with a cloth soaked in water and takes into account both heat and humidity.

The Middle East in particular is exposed to an increase in the wet bulb temperature. "The region is already hot and humid. Therefore, the increase in global temperature may make the region dangerous for human health," Tapio Schneider, a professor of climate science and engineering at the California Institute of Technology, told CNN.

The Persian Gulf is one of the few places in the world that recorded wet bulb temperatures higher than the threshold at which a human can survive - 53 degrees Celsius. Since 2005, there have been nine cases where the temperature rose to such a level.

This means that at a temperature of 35 degrees in a humid phase, the human body is unable to cool itself to the temperature at which the body functions under normal conditions. "This is the threshold above which humans are unable to survive and will die within a few hours," Schneider said.

A moist bulb temperature below 53 degrees is also not ideal. "Humans experience heat stress even at a lower humid bulb temperature. How they can survive such conditions depends on physical fitness and age among other things," said Schneider.

The countries of the Persian Gulf defend against the heat, using energy-saving air conditioning, but other countries in the region are not so rich, and therefore less protected. In Iraq, for example, workers in the city of Basra were asked to stay at home due to high temperatures earlier this month. However, households only receive electricity for ten hours a day from the national grid.

Only those who are able buy a generator to generate electricity for the remaining hours.
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
MI5 Warns of Growing Russian Sabotage and Espionage Threats Across Britain
UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham Plans Brussels Talks to Renegotiate Post-Brexit Trade Deal
MI5 Warns of Rising Russian and Iranian Sabotage Threats to British Military Facilities
UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham Pledges Closer EU Ties as MI5 Reveals Russian Brexit Interference
UK Orders Security Review Following Reported Killing of Former Politician Ann Widdecombe
UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham Meets German Chancellor Merz to Strengthen European Security Ties
Nearly 100,000 NHS Patients Treated in Hospital Corridors as England Braces for Winter Pressures
UK Government Rejects US-Russia Diesel Agreement and Reaffirms Sanctions Against Moscow
UK and Germany Agree to Deepen Security and Economic Cooperation Following Berlin Talks
British Prime Minister Burnham Pledges Closer EU Ties During Visit to Germany
UK Announces New Sanctions on 17 Russia-Linked Entities During Foreign Secretary's Ukraine Visit
UK and Germany Finalize Kensington Treaty to Strengthen Defense and Technology Cooperation
Britain Maintains Diplomatic Mission in East Jerusalem Despite Israeli Closure Deadline
English Councils Push Government to Rethink Proposed Funding Cuts
Scottish Homebuilding Falls to Lowest Level in 11 Years
BBC Chief Matt Brittin Defends Restructuring as Staff Challenge Job Cuts
UK Finance Warns High Energy Costs and Bond Yields Are Complicating Fiscal Outlook
UK Adopts All 44 Recommendations on Regulating AI in Healthcare
Chancellor John Healey Prepares Autumn Budget as Borrowing Costs Strain Public Finances
UK Investigators See Strong Indications of Iranian Link After RAF Fairford Security Operation
Laura Trott Pledges Tighter Controls on Political Activism in UK Classrooms
Welsh Ministers Launch Long-Term Review of North Wales and Anglesey Crossings
Welsh Government Orders 18-Month Study of Road Solutions Around Newport
Reform UK MP Sarah Pochin Faces Scrutiny Over £800,000 Second Home Purchase
British Households Grow More Concerned About Fuel and Energy Prices
NHS Leaders Warn of Rising Winter Pressure on Emergency Departments
Kemi Badenoch Proposes £2.3 Billion Employer National Insurance Cut for Young Workers
Middle East Conflict Could Erase UK Fiscal Headroom, Economists Warn
Manchester City Found Guilty of Multiple Premier League Financial Rule Breaches
UK Security Services Find Strong Indications of Iranian Role in RAF Fairford Incident
Costa Coffee Returns to Operating Profit on Iced Drinks and Menu Changes
Asos Warns Customers After Unauthorized Access to Retail App and Data
Kemi Badenoch Puts Growth and Deregulation at Center of Conservative Conference
Campaigners Warn of Deepening Social Care Crisis for Disabled Adults
Study Finds Rising Early-Onset Cancer Rates Among Adults Under 50 in Britain
UK Coach Operators Warn High Diesel Prices Could Force Route Cuts
FCA Opens Independent Review Into Handling of Epstein-Linked Whistleblower Case
Argentina Vows to Block Falkland Islands Offshore Oil Development
UK Chancellor Prepares Fiscal Measures and Welfare Reforms Ahead of Autumn Budget
Sainsbury’s and Morrisons Explore Potential Multi-Billion-Pound Merger
UK Weighs Tariffs on Chinese Electric Vehicles to Align With European Union
UK Threatens Diplomatic Expulsions Over Planned Closure of East Jerusalem Consulate
UK Energy Price Cap Hits Three-Year High as Middle East Conflict Raises Costs
Seventh Arrest Made in Suspected Terror Plot at RAF Fairford
Systemic Education Collapse Sparks Mass Student Uprisings in France
Green Party Faces Backlash Over Resolution Equating Zionism With Racism
Conservatives Debate Scrapping Environmental Rules for New Homes
Cornwall Insight Warns UK Energy Bills Could Approach £2,000 This Winter
UK Coach Operators Warn of Service Cuts as Diesel Prices Exceed £2
Scottish Parliament Approves £68 Billion Budget With New Tax and Property Measures
×