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YouGov Survey Predicts Heavy UK Election Defeat for Conservatives, Projecting 155 Seats Won

A survey by YouGov predicts a heavy defeat for British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak's Conservative Party in the upcoming national election, with the opposition Labour Party projected to win over 400 seats.
The Conservatives are estimated to win only 155 seats, while Labour is projected to win 403 seats, based on estimated vote share.

Britain's parliament has 650 seats.

Polls have consistently shown Labour with a double-digit lead over the Conservatives, and Sunak has indicated that he expects to call an election in the second half of the year.

The Conservatives have been in power since 2010, but have had five different prime ministers due to Brexit and the COVID-19 crisis handling scandals.

A poll by YouGov shows that Rishi Sunak's Conservative Party is losing ground and projected to win fewer seats than in 1997, when they suffered a landslide defeat.

Key Conservative figures like finance minister Jeremy Hunt and former leadership candidate Penny Mordaunt are at risk of losing their seats.

Labour is also projected to fall short of the seats they won under Tony Blair, but still with a significant majority.

The poll suggests Sunak's budget and upcoming local elections are negatively impacting the Conservatives.

YouGov conducted a large-scale survey of 18,761 British adults from March 7-27, which is larger than typical opinion polling.

The company claims this method accurately predicted the past two elections.

Based on their model, Labour is predicted to receive 41% of the votes, while the Conservatives would have 24%.

However, it's important to note that the results may differ from traditional polling due to the treatment of those without a current voting intention.

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