London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Saturday, Feb 22, 2025

UK interest rates: Prices to be higher for longer, Bank of England warns

UK interest rates: Prices to be higher for longer, Bank of England warns

Soaring food costs mean prices will remain higher for longer, the Bank of England warned, as it raised interest rates for the 12th time in a row.

Interest rates were hiked to 4.5% from 4.25% - the highest in almost 15 years - in the battle to slow inflation.

"It's taking longer for food price [falls] to come through," Bank boss Andrew Bailey told the BBC.

But Mr Bailey was more optimistic on how quickly the UK economy would grow, saying it would now avoid recession.

The Bank has been rapidly raising rates to try to slow the sharp rise in the cost of living.

UK inflation remains close to its highest level for 40 years, and is not dropping as quickly as predicted as prices in UK supermarkets remain high.

Some have questioned why a drop in the cost of wholesale food prices globally has not led to falls in the prices charged by UK supermarkets.

However, Mr Bailey said he did not think supermarkets and other grocers were charging customers more than they should.

"It actually doesn't look like that's going on," he told the BBC, adding that higher energy prices and the war in Ukraine had made it harder to import some foods and led to higher costs for retailers.

"Energy is quite a big element in the cost of food production and that's certainly had an effect in this crisis. Often producers have bought forward (supplies) at high prices because they were concerned about whether they were going to get the things they needed.

"But, as we said before, we are in very unusual times."

He said grocers had told him that they expected food inflation to "come down quite rapidly" throughout the rest of the year.

UK supermarkets have said there is typically a three to nine-month lag to see price falls reflected in shops.

On Thursday, the Treasury met with representatives from all major UK supermarkets to discuss food prices. The British Retail Consortium (BRC), which represents grocers, said the discussion was "very constructive".

"Retailers were able to explain the main drivers of food inflation, including high labour costs, energy prices, and manufacturing costs," it said.

It added that it had asked the government what it could do to mitigate the high cost of policy initiatives around packaging, recycling and the new Windsor Framework and UK border checks.


Inflation


The Bank now expects overall inflation - the rate at which prices rise - to drop to 5% by the end of this year, above the 4% previously predicted.

The increase in interest rates will mean higher mortgage, credit card and loan payments for some people, but the rise in rates could benefit savers.

By raising rates, the Bank expects people to have less money to spend and buy fewer things, which should help stop prices rising as quickly.

However, it also makes it harder for firms to borrow money and expand.

Around 85% of all mortgages are fixed-rate, according to the Bank, and about 1.3 million households are expected to reach the end of their deals this year and face a hike of up to £200 per month, based on current rates.

Compared with pre-December 2021 before interest rates began to rise, a typical tracker mortgage customer will be paying about £417 more a month, and variable rate mortgage holders about £266 more.

Mr Bailey said that while all inflation is difficult, rising food prices hit those on lower incomes harder because they spend a higher proportion of their money on food. "We are very, very conscious that all inflation is difficult and particularly for those least well off."

The Bank's chief economist Huw Pill recently sparked a backlash when he said people in the UK needed to accept that they would be worse off.

Mr Bailey said: "I don't think Huw's choice of words was the right one... to be honest and I think he would agree with me."


Better growth


Separately, the Bank of England was more positive on the outlook for the economy over the next few months - a stark contrast from its forecast six months ago when it said the UK would enter the longest recession on record.

"Modest but positive growth," is now expected, according to the Bank.

When the effects of strikes and the extra Bank Holiday for King Charles' Coronation are stripped out, the economy will have grown by 0.2% both in the first three months of the year and between April and June, the Bank predicts.

Falling energy prices as well as measures to help businesses and households announced in the Budget last month have led the Bank to change its forecasts.

The government has pledged to halve the rate of inflation by the end of the year.

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt said while it was "good news" that a recession was not longer forecast, the interest rate rise was "obviously be very disappointing for families with mortgages".

"But unless we tackle rising prices, the cost of living crisis will only carry on," he added.

Labour's shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves said the rise would leave people "wracked with anxiety".


Helen Parry, who works for DC Fruit and Veg in Stoke-on-Trent, said she had seen changes in her customers' choices and how they were avoiding treating themselves later in the month.

"They come, they do their shopping, they get what they need, and as the month goes on towards when their next payday is, it slows down a little bit," she said.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Good News: Senate Confirms Kash Patel as FBI Director
Officials from the U.S. and Hungary Engage in Talks on Economic Collaboration and Sanctions Strategy
James Bond Franchise Transitions to Amazon MGM Studios
Technology Giants Ramp Up Lobbying Initiatives Against Strict EU Regulations
Alibaba Exceeds Quarterly Projections Fueled by Growth in Cloud and AI
Tequila Sector Faces Surplus Crisis as Agave Prices Dive Sharply
Residents of Flintshire Mobile Home Park Grapple with Maintenance Issues and Uncertain Future
Ronan Keating Criticizes Irish Justice System Following Fatal Crash Involving His Brother
Gordon Ramsay's Lucky Cat Restaurant Faces Unprecedented Theft
Israeli Family Mourns Loss of Peace Advocate Oded Lifschitz as Body Returned from Gaza
Former UK Defense Chief Calls for Enhanced European Support for Ukraine
Pope Francis Admitted to Hospital in Rome Amid Rising Succession Speculation
Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell, at the age of 83, Declares His Retirement.
Whistleblower Reveals Whitehall’s Focus on Kabul Animal Airlift Amid Crisis
Politicians Who Deliberately Lie Could Face Removal from Office in Wales
Scottish Labour Faces Challenges Ahead of 2026 Holyrood Elections
Leftwing Activists Less Likely to Work with Political Rivals, Study Finds
Boris Johnson to Host 'An Evening with Boris Johnson' at Edinburgh's Usher Hall
Planned Change in British Citizenship Rules Faces First Legal Challenge
Northumberland Postal Worker Sentenced for Sexual Assaults During Deliveries
British Journalist Missing in Brazil for 11 Days
Tesco Fixes Website Glitch That Disrupted Online Grocery Orders
Amnesty International Critiques UK's Predictive Policing Practices
Burglar Jailed After Falling into Home-Made Trap in Blyth
Sellafield Nuclear Site Exits Special Measures for Physical Security Amid Ongoing Cybersecurity Concerns
Avian Influenza Impact on Seals in Norfolk: Four Deaths Confirmed
First Arrest Under Scotland's Abortion Clinic Buffer Zone Law Amidst International Controversy
Meghan Markle Rebrands Lifestyle Venture as 'As Ever' Ahead of Netflix Series Launch
Inter-Island Ferry Services Between Guernsey and Jersey Set to Expand
Significant Proportion of Cancer Patients in England and Wales Not Receiving Recommended Treatments
Final Consultation Launched for Vyrnwy Frankton Power Line Project
Drug Misuse Deaths in Scotland Rise by 12% in 2023
Failed £100 Million Cocaine Smuggling Operation in the Scottish Highlands
Central Cee Equals MOBO Awards Record; Bashy and Ayra Starr Among Top Honorees
EastEnders: Four Decades of Challenging Social Norms
Jonathan Bailey Channels 'Succession' in Bold Richard II Performance
Northern Ireland's First Astronaut Engages in Rigorous Spacewalk Training
Former Postman Sentenced for Series of Sexual Offences in Northumberland
Record Surge in Anti-Muslim Hate Crimes Across the UK in 2024
Omagh Bombing Inquiry Concludes Commemorative Hearings with Survivor Testimonies
UK Government Introduces 'Ronan's Law' to Combat Online Knife Sales to Minors
Metal Detectorists Unearth 15th-Century Coin Hoard in Scottish Borders
Woman Charged in 1978 Death of Five-Year-Old Girl in South London
Expanding Sinkhole in Godstone, Surrey, Forces Evacuations and Road Closures
Bangor University Announces Plans to Cut 200 Jobs Amid £15 Million Savings Target
British Journalist Charlotte Peet Reported Missing in Brazil
UK Inflation Rises to 3% in January Amid Higher Food Prices and School Fees
Starmer Defends Zelensky Amidst Trump's 'Dictator' Allegation
Zelensky Calls on World Leaders to Back Peace Efforts in Light of Strains with Trump
UK Prime minister, Mr. Keir Starmer, has stated that any peace agreement aimed at ending the conflict in Ukraine "MUST" include a US security guarantee to deter Russian aggression
×