London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Tuesday, Mar 24, 2026

UK heading for recession, former chancellor Lord Hammond warns

UK heading for recession, former chancellor Lord Hammond warns

Lord Hammond told Sky News the UK economy will slow down quite sharply in the autumn, but said it is "probably a good thing".
The UK is heading for a recession, Lord Hammond has warned, saying "all the data points that way".

The former chancellor told Sky News the country faces a "very, very difficult period ahead in the short term".

He said he thinks the UK economy will slow down quite sharply in the autumn.

Lord Hammond said it was the "next part of the cycle that began with the COVID pandemic" when an "enormous government response" was delivered.

"To think that we can somehow move on from that, leave the tab on the table and act as if nothing had happened is unrealistic, is naive," he said.

"There's now got to be a part of the cycle where we correct for the extraordinary action that was taken during the pandemic.

"And a lot of what we're seeing at the moment in terms of inflation pressures in the domestic economy is a result of the people having saved quite a lot during the lockdown period and that saving getting released into the economy over the last six months."

He said that although the war in Ukraine is one of the drivers of inflation, the issue began long before the conflict, fuelled by COVID stimulus packages provided by the UK, US and other countries.

He said Brexit has also had an impact on soaring prices because it led to changes in supply chains.

"As we come out of the COVID crisis, supply and demand are out of kilter," he said.

He said there are many parts of the economy that are "still not back working back to normal yet" so there is "bound to be an effect there".

Asked if the government should increase spending or cut taxes, he said people are "looking for instant and pain-free solutions".

"During the period of the COVID crisis, they were invited to believe that the government could always deliver instant and pain-free solutions," he said.

"But you can't solve an inflation problem by injecting more liquidity into the economy - that is pouring fuel on the fire.

"And unfortunately, the issue in front of us at the moment is not about the short-term pain of inflation at 10%. We're having to live with that.

"The issue is whether we can now manage inflation down over the next year or so, to get back to something like normal."

He said the government "can't compensate people for all of the inflationary pressure" because short-term relief would lead to longer-term inflation.

Lord Hammond said an economic slowdown in the autumn is "probably a good thing".

He said he knows "people won't see it that way" but by "squeezing out the simulation before it becomes embedded, we stand a real chance of bouncing back next year in much better shape".

He expressed support for the Bank of England's decisions to raise the interest rate in the last few months.
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
UK Police Investigate Targeted Attack on Jewish Ambulance Vehicles
UK Police Investigate Targeted Attack on Jewish Ambulance Vehicles
Senior UK Advocate Criticises Barnhart Retirement Appointment, Calls for Reconsideration
UK Finds No Evidence of Direct Iranian Threat to Britain, Says Prime Minister Starmer
Assessing Iran’s Strike Capability and the UK’s Readiness Amid Rising Tensions
NATO Unable to Confirm Iran’s Role in Strike on UK-US Base as Tehran Denies Involvement
University of Kentucky’s Youling Xiong Receives SEC Faculty Achievement Award for 2026
Trump Highlights Satirical Portrayal of UK Leadership Amid Talks with Prime Minister Starmer on Iran Conflict
Trump Highlights Satirical Portrayal of UK Leadership Amid Talks with Prime Minister Starmer on Iran Conflict
UK Fuel Prices Surge Toward Crisis Levels as Experts Warn of Further Sharp Increases
UK Fuel Prices Surge Toward Crisis Levels as Experts Warn of Further Sharp Increases
Duchess of Sussex Secures ‘As Ever’ Trademark Rights in Australia Ahead of High-Profile Visit
UK Reaffirms Security as Officials Reject Claims of Immediate Iranian Missile Threat
Rising Middle East Tensions Spark ‘Trumpflation’ Debate Over Impact on UK Households
UK Minister Says No Evidence Iran Can Strike Europe Despite Heightened Warnings
British-Iranians Voice Safety Concerns to Authorities as Regional Conflict Intensifies
Confirmed Meningitis Cases Linked to Kent Outbreak Revised Down to Twenty
UK Government Sees No Evidence Iran Can Strike London Amid Rising Regional Tensions
Debate Grows Over Recognition of Indigenous Cultural Icons in the United Kingdom
Iran Missile Launch Toward Diego Garcia Raises Questions After Failed Strike on US–UK Base
Donald Trump Amplifies Viral Satirical Clip Highlighting UK–US Political Dynamics
UK Satirical Show Draws Attention with Sketch Referencing Trump and Prince Andrew
Meghan Markle’s Possible UK Return Sparks Renewed Attention on Sussex Role
Starmer Convenes Urgent Talks on Cost-of-Living Pressures Linked to Iran Conflict
Starmer Convenes Urgent Talks on Cost-of-Living Pressures Linked to Iran Conflict
UK Investors Eye Bargain Shares Ahead of ISA Deadline Amid Market Volatility
UK Investors Eye Bargain Shares Ahead of ISA Deadline Amid Market Volatility
Northern Lights Expected Over UK Skies Tonight Amid Strong Solar Activity
UK Condemns Iran Missile Strike and Warns Against Threats to British Personnel
UK Warns of Global Flight Disruptions as Iran Conflict Escalates Under Trump’s Leadership
UK Condemns Iran After Missile Strike Targets Strategic Diego Garcia Base
Deadly Meningitis Outbreak in UK Reinforces Urgency of Vaccination Campaigns
Iran Launches Long-Range Missile Strike on Remote US-UK Base, Signaling Expanded Reach
Iran Launches Long-Range Missile Strike on Remote US-UK Base, Signaling Expanded Reach
UK Rules Out Cyprus Base Role in Joint US Self-Defence Framework
UK Ends Hereditary Peerage Rights in Parliament in Historic Constitutional Reform
Lord Walney Warns of Expanding Iranian Influence Networks Within the United Kingdom
Iranian National Among Two Arrested After Attempt to Access UK Nuclear Submarine Base
Deregulation, Artificial Intelligence, and Fraud Laws Reshape UK Financial Services Landscape
UK Considers Lower Speed Limits to Reduce Fuel Use Amid Escalating Energy Crisis
UK Borrowing Costs Surge to Post-Crisis High as Markets React to Inflation and War Risks
UK Government Prepares Emergency Economic Measures as Iran Conflict Fuels Financial Risks
Meningitis B Outbreak in the UK Raises Urgent Health Warnings as Cases Surge
Iran Issues Stark Warning to Britain Over US Base Access Amid Expanding Conflict
United Kingdom Authorizes US Strikes from British Bases as Iran Threatens Key Shipping Routes
Reform UK Suspends Scottish Candidate Following Financial Misconduct Allegations
Apple issues an unusual warning: this is how your iPhone can be hacked without you doing anything
UK and Nigeria Reach Agreement to Accelerate Return of Irregular Migrants
UK Sets New Aid Priorities Following Significant Budget Reductions
Cyprus President Urges Open Dialogue Over Future of British Sovereign Base Areas
×