London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Wednesday, Jun 24, 2026

Stay at home message may have been ‘too successful’ as Brits fear leaving lockdown

The Government’s ‘stay at home’ message could be a victim of its own success, a leading statistician has suggested.
With polling data revealing that many Britons are fearful about easing the coronavirus lockdown, Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter suggested the campaign may have been ‘slightly too successful’.

A recent survey for Ipsos Mori suggested that more than 60% of Britons would feel uncomfortable carrying out their normal daily activities – like going to bars or restaurants, or using public transport – if the lockdown is eased.

Sir David, of Cambridge University, suggested on BBC Radio 4’s Today programme that low risk people are becoming overly anxious and added: ‘Maybe our whole campaign has been, if anything, slightly too successful.’

His intervention comes as the prime minister Boris Johnson said yesterday that he would lay out the next stage of lockdown planning next week – with the current restriction set to be reviewed on Thursday, May 7.

The government has previously said five tests must be met before lifting the lockdown and warned that it will not ease and restrictions if there is a risk of a second peak or overwhelming the NHS.

Globally, other countries have begun cautiously lifting their restrictions, with Britain slightly behind many other nations in imposing restrictions.

But Sir David also warned against taking a ‘Eurovision approach’ and making ‘naive comparisons’ in contrasting the UK with other countries’ Covid-19 deaths.

He added: ‘I think it’s too early to tell our exact place in the league table.

‘My article was arguing against this almost Eurovision approach of trying to say who’s top, who’s second and so on. I

‘It’s just not appropriate to do at all.’

He continued: ‘There are so many variabilities about how people record Covid deaths – even what the correct metric is for measuring the impact of the epidemic – that to start saying we’re going to be worse or whatever is completely inappropriate.’

Based on government data which now includes deaths in care homes, Britain looks to be on track to record the second highest rate death in the world, with 26,771 people dying as of yesterday. The USA is significantly ahead of all other nations on the count, while France, Spain and Italy are all on a similar course to the UK.

However, according to modelling by the Financial Times, Britain’s death toll could in fact have been as high as 47,000 on Tuesday.

Yesterday, the chief medical officer, Professor Chris Whitty, cautioned that ‘every country measures its cases differently.’

There are various issues with such comparisons, including when the deaths are reported, whether they only include hospital deaths and coronavirus is accurately recorded as a cause of death.
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
UK Announces New Military Infrastructure at Catterick to Support Engineer Regiment Relocation
University of Reading Ranked Among Top 100 Globally for Sustainability Impact
UK Launches Counter-Fraud Taskforce to Investigate Covid Loan Scams
UK Government Introduces Customs and Tax Reforms to Support High Street Retailers
Jonathan Haskel Nominated as Chair of the UK Office for Budget Responsibility
UK Government Expands Powers to Recover Benefit Debt and Tackle Welfare Fraud
Labour Party Leadership Contest Intensifies as Andy Burnham and Ed Miliband Clash Over Economic Direction
Rail Operators Urge Essential Travel Only as Extreme Heat Threatens UK Network Stability
United Kingdom Issues Red Extreme Heat Warning as Temperatures Forecast to Reach 38°C
Keir Starmer Announces Resignation as UK Prime Minister Amid Deepening Political Instability
UK Biotechnology Sector Receives Increased Public Funding to Support Regional Growth
Police Chiefs Update National Protest Management Guidelines Amid Rising Demonstration Activity
UK Aviation Regulator Expands Support for Regional Airports to Strengthen Domestic Routes
CMA Launches Investigation Into Retail Pricing Across UK Grocery Sector
UK Energy Operator Warns of Winter Supply Pressures Despite Stable Overall Grid Outlook
UK Research Council Expands Funding for Regional Biotechnology and Life Sciences Clusters
UK Compensation Scheme for Post Office Horizon Scandal Reaches 80 Percent Completion
Police Chiefs Issue Updated National Guidance on Managing Large Public Demonstrations
UK Expands Regional Airport Funding Scheme to Boost Domestic Connectivity
UK Competition Watchdog Launches Inquiry Into Grocery Pricing Practices
National Grid Warns of Tight Energy Management Needs During Upcoming Winter Peak Demand
UK Education Department Introduces National Standards for AI Use in Secondary Schools
UK High Court Clears North Sea Carbon Capture Project After Final Legal Challenge Fails
Northern Ireland Leaders Hold Emergency Talks on Trade Disruption Under Windsor Framework
Welsh Government Moves to Expand Social Housing in Response to Severe Affordability Pressures
UK Economy Sees Unexpected Rise in Business Investment in Second Quarter, ONS Data Shows
Scottish Government Unveils Multi-Billion Pound Investment Plan for Renewable Energy and Grid Expansion
UK and EU Agree Enhanced Defence Cooperation Pact Covering Intelligence and North Sea Security
Prime Minister Orders Independent Review of NHS Performance After Record Waiting Lists
Bank of England Holds Interest Rates at 5 Percent as Services Inflation Remains Persistent
UK Heatwave Disrupts Transport, Healthcare and Public Services as Red Weather Alerts Expand Nationwide
Barclays Warns of Growing Cyber Risk Divide Between Large UK Firms and Micro Businesses
European Defence Plans Including Ukraine Integration Prompt UK Strategic Reassessment
UK Equity Markets React as US–Iran Peace Roadmap Eases Oil Price Pressures
United Kingdom Expands Global Clean Energy Partnerships With Brazil, Morocco and Tanzania
Lord David Frost Urges Incoming UK Leadership to Abandon EU Regulatory Reset Strategy
Housing Groups Support Amendment to Strengthen Fire and Gas Safety Access Powers in Social Housing
South London NHS Estates Staff Ballot on Industrial Action Over Pay Structures in Hospital Maintenance Services
United Kingdom Government Invests £60 Million in AI Research Labs at Oxford and University College London
Barclays Cyber Security Report Highlights Rising Threat Exposure Among UK Small Businesses in AI-Driven Attacks
UK Met Office Heatwave Triggers Transport Warnings as Rail Operators Urge Cancellations Amid Infrastructure Strain
South London NHS Estates Workers Ballot for Strike Action Over Pay Disputes Across Major London Hospitals
Barclays Warns of Severe Cyber Security Gap Between Large Corporations and Small Businesses in the United Kingdom
United Kingdom Government Allocates £60 Million for Artificial Intelligence Research Laboratories at Oxford and UCL
National Health Service Approves Teplizumab Treatment to Delay Onset of Type One Diabetes in First European Rollout
Met Office Issues Rare Red Extreme Heat Warning Across London, South East and West Midlands as Transport and Health Systems Face Disruption
Prime Minister Keir Starmer Resigns After Labour Party Revolt Following Economic Stagnation and Local Election Losses
United Kingdom Economy Contracts for Second Consecutive Month as Private Sector Weakens and Job Loss Fears Rise
Taxpayer Support Grows for Higher Digital Levies on Multinational Tech Companies
Bank of England Signals Caution Over Inflation Despite Easing Energy Prices
×