London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Wednesday, Oct 07, 2026

Pound falls to lowest level since COVID crash after Nicola Sturgeon claims 'mandate' for Scottish independence referendum

Pound falls to lowest level since COVID crash after Nicola Sturgeon claims 'mandate' for Scottish independence referendum

"The UK has huge imported energy inflation and it is getting hit on both sides - from oil prices going up and sterling weakening," says Fahad Kamal, chief investment officer at Kleinwort Hambros.

The pound has fallen to its lowest level against the dollar since the onset of the pandemic, fuelled by concerns about the economy and the prospect of a second Scottish independence referendum.

Scotland's First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said earlier that her government had an "indisputable mandate" for another vote and was ready to set out more details of how this could be achieved without the approval of the UK government.

Sterling dropped below $1.20 for the first time since March 2020 - a drop of more than 1.2% on Tuesday.

When compared with the euro, the pound slumped 1.2% to 86.81p, its lowest point since last May.

"If I were to isolate the move lower down to one event, I'd most probably say that the Scottish independence risk was the straw that broke the camel's back," said Simon Harvey, head of FX analysis at Monex Europe.

Since the beginning of the year, sterling has fallen more than 11% with much of that decline attributable to a strong dollar - a safe haven for global investors in times of economic shock.

However, concerns about UK growth - tipped to be weaker over the coming months than in most rich countries - has added to the gloom for the currency.

There is added uncertainty about how fast the Bank of England can increase interest rates - which is needed to control soaring inflation - without causing economic damage.

Fahad Kamal, chief investment officer at Kleinwort Hambros, said the possibility of a new Scottish independence vote was "really bad news across a number of things".

"The UK has huge imported energy inflation and it is getting hit on both sides - from oil prices going up and sterling weakening," he said.

"It is putting Britain on a dangerous inflation trajectory and there is very little the Bank of England can do."

Typically, a fall in the value of sterling makes imports even more expensive, potentially contributing to inflation further.

Data released by the Office for National Statistics earlier this week unexpectedly showed that the UK economy contracted by 0.3% in April.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Laura Trott Pledges Tighter Controls on Political Activism in UK Classrooms
Welsh Ministers Launch Long-Term Review of North Wales and Anglesey Crossings
Welsh Government Orders 18-Month Study of Road Solutions Around Newport
Reform UK MP Sarah Pochin Faces Scrutiny Over £800,000 Second Home Purchase
British Households Grow More Concerned About Fuel and Energy Prices
NHS Leaders Warn of Rising Winter Pressure on Emergency Departments
Kemi Badenoch Proposes £2.3 Billion Employer National Insurance Cut for Young Workers
Middle East Conflict Could Erase UK Fiscal Headroom, Economists Warn
Manchester City Found Guilty of Multiple Premier League Financial Rule Breaches
UK Security Services Find Strong Indications of Iranian Role in RAF Fairford Incident
Costa Coffee Returns to Operating Profit on Iced Drinks and Menu Changes
Asos Warns Customers After Unauthorized Access to Retail App and Data
Kemi Badenoch Puts Growth and Deregulation at Center of Conservative Conference
Campaigners Warn of Deepening Social Care Crisis for Disabled Adults
Study Finds Rising Early-Onset Cancer Rates Among Adults Under 50 in Britain
UK Coach Operators Warn High Diesel Prices Could Force Route Cuts
FCA Opens Independent Review Into Handling of Epstein-Linked Whistleblower Case
Argentina Vows to Block Falkland Islands Offshore Oil Development
UK Chancellor Prepares Fiscal Measures and Welfare Reforms Ahead of Autumn Budget
Sainsbury’s and Morrisons Explore Potential Multi-Billion-Pound Merger
UK Weighs Tariffs on Chinese Electric Vehicles to Align With European Union
UK Threatens Diplomatic Expulsions Over Planned Closure of East Jerusalem Consulate
UK Energy Price Cap Hits Three-Year High as Middle East Conflict Raises Costs
Seventh Arrest Made in Suspected Terror Plot at RAF Fairford
Systemic Education Collapse Sparks Mass Student Uprisings in France
Green Party Faces Backlash Over Resolution Equating Zionism With Racism
Conservatives Debate Scrapping Environmental Rules for New Homes
Cornwall Insight Warns UK Energy Bills Could Approach £2,000 This Winter
UK Coach Operators Warn of Service Cuts as Diesel Prices Exceed £2
Scottish Parliament Approves £68 Billion Budget With New Tax and Property Measures
FCA Opens Independent Review Into Handling of Epstein Whistleblower
UK Government Drops Plan to Suspend Jury Trials in England and Wales
Bank of England Holds Interest Rate at 3.75% as Markets Watch November
Two Iranian Nationals Charged Over Alleged Plot Targeting Manchester Jewish Community
UK Fiscal Headroom Halves to £11 Billion Ahead of Budget, EY Warns
US Bomber Withdrawal From RAF Fairford Prompts UK Security Review
Sarah Wakfer Appointed Chair of Northern Ireland’s Health and Care Regulator
Scotland Housing Completions Fall to 11-Year Low Amid National Shortage
UK Water Companies Face Tougher Oversight and Unannounced Regulatory Inspections
Middle East Conflict Pushes UK Fuel and Wholesale Energy Prices Higher
Andy Burnham Raises Prospect of Second Brexit Referendum in Review of UK-EU Relations
EY Warns UK Fiscal Headroom Has Halved to £11 Billion Ahead of Autumn Budget
BT Accused of Pressuring Vulnerable Customers During Digital Landline Shift
British Carmakers Warn of Growing Pressure From EU-China Tariff Dispute
Green Party of England and Wales Adopts Motion Defining Zionism as Racism
Medical Charity Threatens NHS Legal Action Over Two-Year Autism and ADHD Assessment Waits
British Transport Police Report Record Rise in Violence on Railways
Glasgow Council Workers Face Pay Cuts Under Fire-and-Rehire Plan
British Medical Groups Press Prime Minister Andy Burnham to Cancel £330 Million Palantir NHS Contract
UK Faces Record Bluetongue Outbreak Across Livestock Farms
×