London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Sunday, Jul 12, 2026

Don't raise interest rates, UN warns the Federal Reserve and other central banks

Don't raise interest rates, UN warns the Federal Reserve and other central banks

The UK economy is forecast to contract 0.9% in 2023, the UN agency said, amid "a series of headwinds" resulting from Brexit and international conditions.

The UN has called on central banks not to increase interest rates and depart from the monetary policy being pursued by a large number of western regulators, including the Bank of England.

A recession worse than that experienced after the global financial crisis could result from monetary regulators tightening policy and hiking interest rates, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) has warned.

The Trade and Development Report 2022, published by UNCTAD on Monday, expressed "worries that an unduly rapid tightening of monetary policy in advanced economies in combination with inadequate multilateral support could turn a slowdown in to recession".

That would trigger "vicious economic circles in the developing world with the damage more lasting than after the global financial crisis or Covid shock", the body said.

The actions of the American central bank, the Federal Reserve, known as the Fed, were specifically addressed by the report for hurting growth: "This year's interest rate hikes in the United States are set to cut an estimated $360 billion of future income for developing countries (excluding China) and signal even more trouble ahead".

Instead of increasing interest rates to fight inflation, policy makers should put in place price caps funded by one-off taxes on unusually large profits being made by energy companies, lead author Richard Kozul-Wright told the Wall Street Journal.

Late last month the Fed, similar to the Bank of England, said it was committed to reducing inflation to 2% by increasing interest rates to 4.4% by the end of 2022 and 4.6% in 2023. Higher interest rates mean paying back debts such as mortgages and credit card repayments becomes more expensive.

The Bank of England also raised interest rates in the UK to 2.25%, the highest level since 2008. It's expected this rate will rise to 6% even higher than has been announced.

Overall the world economy is expected to grow 2.5% this year according to the UNCTAD report, down more than 1% from the growth projected in the same report for 2021. This is only to get worse, it said, as growth is expected to decelerate again next year to 2.2%, leaving real gross domestic product (GDP) - a measure of the market value of goods and services produced - below its pre-Covid trend by the end of 2023.

The economy of the UK was "grew rapidly" in 2021 by 7.4%, the report said. But this still did not compensate for the contraction of 9.3% due to Covid-19. The growth momentum continued into the first quarter of this year but "a series of headwinds, some resulting from Brexit and others from international conditions, are impacting the outlook".

"External adversities stemming from sluggish global demand, exchange rate instability and yet unresolved Brexit
shortcomings are contributing to current account challenges."

This, combined with the cost of living crisis which has weakened consumer demand, will result in the economy contracting 0.9% next year, the UNCTAD said.

Comments

Oh ya 4 year ago
If the UK Government had not stepped in a couple of days ago with buckets of money the pension funds would have imploded. They had a emergency meeting today about the banking industry. If it had exploded it would have made Leman and Bear S look pale. As nowadays the banks are interconnected. The EU banks are likely to crash first at which time you might have 2 days to get your money out of western banks before they crash also. And remember folks the laws were changed so the government does not do bailouts any more the banks have bailins, the banks clean out your money and give you shares in there bankrupt bank

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Government Creates Emergency Support Scheme for Financially Struggling Universities
United Kingdom Replaces Traditional Farm Subsidies With Payments Linked to Environmental Performance
National Grid Reports First Week of Electricity Generation Without Fossil Fuels
United Kingdom Financial Regulator Introduces Tougher Capital Rules for Cryptocurrency Exchanges
Belfast Harbour Expands Operations to Attract Investment Through United Kingdom and European Union Market Access
Scottish Government Threatens Legal Challenge Over Westminster Cuts to North Sea Transition Funding
United Kingdom Accelerates Trans-Pennine High-Speed Rail Project Linking Northern Cities
United Kingdom Secures Ten Billion Pound Investment for Cambridge Quantum Computing Campus
Port Talbot Steelworks Wins Support for Green Hydrogen Transition and Protection of Industrial Jobs
United Kingdom Sends Royal Navy Carrier Strike Group to Indo-Pacific as Regional Security Focus Expands
National Health Service Expands Artificial Intelligence Diagnostics Across England to Reduce Screening Backlogs
United Kingdom Launches Fifty Billion Pound Infrastructure Fund to Accelerate Housing and Construction
UK Medical Chiefs Update Health Guidance to Promote Everyday Physical Activity
Office of Communications Keeps Wikipedia Under Review Under UK Online Safety Rules
UK Defence Ministry Expands Deep-Strike Capability Through Precision Missile Programme
Russell Group Universities Warn Funding Cuts Could Damage NHS Workforce Training
UK Parliament Calls for National Emergency Broadcast as Heatwave Conditions Intensify
UK and Netherlands Strengthen Naval Cooperation With New Amphibious Defence Partnership
UK Defence Ministry Joins International Missile Programme With One Hundred and Ninety Million Pound Investment
Bank of England Warns Middle East Conflict and AI Risks Could Pressure UK Economy
UK Government Introduces New Rules to Limit Foreign Influence in Political Donations
UK and France Prepare Naval Mission to Protect Shipping Through Strait of Hormuz
United States Pressures UK to Increase Defence Spending at NATO Summit
Bank of England Warns Artificial Intelligence Investment Boom Could Create Financial Stability Risks
Bank of England Begins Direct Oversight of Critical Technology Providers Supporting UK Finance
Andy Burnham Set to Become UK Prime Minister After Labour Leadership Race Clears Path to Downing Street
Scottish Fishing Industry Calls for Emergency Support Amid Rising Costs
UK Supports Stronger European Response to Russian Actions in Ukraine
Devon and Cornwall Police Release Suspect in Ann Widdecombe Murder Investigation
Scottish MPs Demand More Government Support for Fishing Industry
UK Aviation Sector Faces New Rules as Parliament Reviews Passenger Protection Reforms
King’s College London Disciplines Students Over Pro-Palestine Campus Protests
Ministry of Defence Expands Military Capabilities Through New Precision Strike Investment
United Kingdom Condemns Russian Treatment of Ukrainian Children at International Security Forum
House of Lords Reviews Civil Aviation Bill to Strengthen Passenger Rights and UK Aviation Competitiveness
UK Aerospace and Defence Industries Contribute Nearly Forty-Seven Billion Pounds to Economy
UK Government Advances Consultation on Possible Social Media Ban for Children Under Sixteen
United Kingdom Ratifies Global High Seas Treaty to Protect Marine Biodiversity
United Kingdom Joins United States Precision Strike Missile Programme With One Hundred Ninety Million Pound Investment
UK Senior NHS Doctors Vote for Further Strike Action Over Pay and Contract Disputes
BBC Leadership Resigns After Donald Trump Launches Ten Billion Dollar Defamation Lawsuit
UK Fiscal Watchdog Warns Andy Burnham Government Faces One Hundred Billion Pound Budget Challenge
The AI Invoice Shock: Layoffs Didn't Save Managers Money — They Cost Them More
Concern: Sexually Transmitted Bacterium Among Men Develops Antibiotic Resistance
Following Massive Investor Demand: SK Hynix Raises 26.5 Billion Dollars on Nasdaq
Passenger Partially Pulled Out of Ryanair Jet After Cabin Window Fails Mid-Flight
After Four Years, and Under a Heavy Veil of Secrecy: King Charles Meets His Grandchildren, Harry and Meghan's Children
Cross-Party MPs Call for National Climate Emergency Broadcast
Bayeux Tapestry Arrives in the United Kingdom for Landmark Exhibition
United Kingdom Launches Modern Slavery Prevention Programme in Vietnam
×