London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Sunday, Aug 09, 2026

Cost of living: Inflation fuels 63% hike in UK debt costs as borrowing outstrips forecasts

Cost of living: Inflation fuels 63% hike in UK debt costs as borrowing outstrips forecasts

Chancellor Nadhim Zahawi acknowledges the pressure on the public finances, as analysts say the latest figures will mean "tough choices" for whoever takes office following the Conservative leadership election.

Soaring inflation has seen interest payments on government debt leap by 63% over the past year, official data reveals.

Figures published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) also showed the UK borrowed more than expected in July as public spending outstripped taxes and other income.

Government borrowing hit £4.9bn in July, according to the ONS, dwarfing the £0.2bn forecast by its own independent financial watchdog, the Office for Budget Responsibility.


It was also significantly ahead of the £2.8bn forecast by analysts and brings the total budget deficit for the year so far to £55bn.

Back in July 2019, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic which prompted a historic surge in government borrowing, the public finances were in surplus by £0.9bn.

It came as the government's debt costs rose to £5.8bn in July up by £2.3bn from last year due to increases in Retail Price Index (RPI) inflation.

Earlier this week, the ONS revealed that RPI surged to 12.3% in July, while the broader Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figure hit a new 40-year-high of 10.1%.

The latest data also showed government spending increased by £3.4bn to £76.5bn in July compared with the same month year.

Responding to the figures, Chancellor Nadhim Zahawi said: "I know that rising inflation is creating challenges for families and businesses, and it is also putting pressure on the public finances by pushing up the amount we spend on debt interest.

"To help people during this difficult time, government support is continuing to arrive in the weeks and months ahead, targeted to those who need it most, like pensioners, people on low incomes, and those with disabilities.

"We are taking a balanced approach: safeguarding the public finances while providing significant help for households."

Michal Stelmach, senior economist at KPMG UK, said the latest figures will mean "tough choices" for the next chancellor following the Conservative leadership election.

He added: "The balance of risks to public finances has clearly shifted to the downside.

"The cost of living crisis will likely require further support to households, while a slowing economy will put downward pressure on receipts, making the fiscal targets ever less achievable."

The frontrunner in the Conservative Party leadership race, Foreign Secretary Liz Truss, has said she will cut taxes, while her rival, former chancellor Rishi Sunak, has warned that will risk fuelling inflation and has proposed more direct, targeted support.

Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, has estimated that if Ms Truss wins, Britain's budget deficit is likely to hit about £170bn in the current financial year, about three times its size before the pandemic.

Meanwhile, new research indicated consumer confidence is at an all-time low in light of "acute concerns" about the soaring cost of living and bleak economic outlook.

The Bank of England has warned escalating inflation is likely to tip the UK into recession later this year.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Patients Turn to Artificial Intelligence for Therapy as Psychiatrists Warn of Privacy and Clinical Risks
Couples Embrace ‘Sleep Divorce’ to Protect Rest and Reduce Tension
Meta Ordered to Pay $567 Million and Change Facebook and Instagram Safeguards for Children
Up to only 10 Months in Prison for Swedish Officer’s Murderer Sparks Anger
Success: Nvidia Turned Gaming Chips Into the Engine of the AI Boom
Jorge Messi, Lionel Messi’s Father and Longtime Agent, Dies at 68
AI’s Next Bottleneck Is Power, Not Just Nvidia Chips
Advertising trick: Pepsi’s Harrier Jet Commercial Led to a $700,000 Court Fight
Hyper-Realistic Reborn Dolls Draw Collectors Seeking Comfort and Craft
Gen Z Cuts Back on Dating as a Night Out Nears $200
Meta Raises AI Spending Target to as Much as $145bn Despite Pressure Over Returns
Danube Drought Exposes Nazi Wrecks and Pushes Central Europe’s Power System to the Brink
Joe Biden’s Cancer Has Spread Beyond His Bones, Hunter Biden Says
Air Traffic Control Outage Grounded Flights Across the Midwest
Why 2027 Could Be a Strong Year for Stocks—and Why the Forecast Is Fragile
Why Markets May Look Quiet in August After Big Tech Earnings
Partial Solar Eclipse Expected to Draw Interest Across Southwestern UK
UK Graduate Job Postings Fall 7% as Entry-Level Opportunities Remain Scarce
UK Private Sector Returns to Growth as July Activity Reaches Highest Level Since April
UK Summer Drought and Wildfires Raise Pressure for Stronger Environmental Measures
UK Household Credit Stress Rises as Credit Card Lending Growth Hits 12.5%
London Stock Exchange Revises AIM Rules to Make Growth Capital More Accessible
NHS England to Expand Mental Health Services With 155 New and Upgraded Facilities
UK Overhauls £90 Billion Public Procurement System to Reward Domestic Jobs and Apprenticeships
Andy Burnham Holds Strong Approval as Labour Maintains Narrow Lead Over Reform UK, Opinium Finds
Royal Navy Monitored Russian Warships and Shadow Fleet Tankers for 21 Days in July
Australian Crew Evacuates Seriously Ill American From Antarctica in Midwinter Darkness
Trump’s Top General Seeks an Exit Strategy From Iran War, Report Says
Brock Lesnar Retires From Wrestling, Closing a Career of Rare Athletic Range and Lasting Controversy
Welsh First Minister Raises Independence With UK Prime Minister in First High-Level Call
UK Maintains Severe Terror Threat Level as Prevent Report Highlights Online Radicalization
YouGov Poll Shows Labour Favourability Improves as Reform UK and Greens Lose Ground
Brexit Campaigner Arron Banks Admits Hiring Private Investigator to Examine Journalist
Robert Jenrick Leaves Conservatives for Reform UK in Major Parliamentary Defection
July 2026 Was England and Wales’ Driest Month on Record, Met Office Says
UK Government Considers Public Inquiry Into Jeffrey Epstein’s UK Connections
Trump-Era Policy Shifts Test the Boundaries of U.S. Institutions
UK Drought Cuts Harvests and Raises Food-Security Fears
UFO: Pentagon Releases Video of Unidentified Object Tracked Over Middle East
US Health Secretary: “I’m Not Afraid of Germs — I Used to Snort Cocaine Off Toilet Seats”
Ukraine Tells Senate Republicans Its Drone War Offers a Blueprint for America
Weight-Loss Drug Boom Tests the Limits of Prescription Advertising Rules
Trump Keeps Hegseth at Pentagon While Leaving Door Open for DeSantis
UK Clears Paramount’s Warner Bros. Discovery Deal, but US Trial Looms
UK Prosecutors Add 38 Charges Against Andrew and Tristan Tate
Taiwan’s President Joins Wartime Command Drill as China Pressure Grows
Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan Sign Mutual-Defence Pact
Government Orders Review of Prison Release Rules After Concerns Over Grooming Gang Offenders
Rail Disruption Continues Across North-West England Amid Infrastructure Problems and Engineering Closures
UK Tax Authority Proposes Broad Changes to Rules Governing Company Distributions
×