London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Friday, Oct 02, 2026

Britain's economy springing back to life with ease in lockdown

Britain's economy springing back to life with ease in lockdown

In a boost for Chancellor Rishi Sunak, economists now believe Britain is heading for its strongest year of growth since 1988. The data also supports the view of the Bank of England's chief economist.
Britain's economy is springing back to life as the rollout of Covid vaccines and easing of lockdown restrictions boost business.

In the latest health check on the UK, research group IHS Markit said the private sector is on course to record its fastest pace of growth for more than seven years this month.

Separate figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) backed this up, with data showing the recovery got under way in March as shoppers splashed out in preparation for the lifting of restrictions on April 12.

The ONS said retail sales rose 5.4 per cent last month despite 'non-essential' stores remaining shut, amid strong demand for clothes as well as plants and flowers for the garden.

Sales of mobility equipment such as scooters, wheelchairs and walking aids also rose thanks to 'older consumers who were venturing out more following the vaccination roll-out'.

The figures came just a day after a survey by the CBI found confidence among British manufacturers at its highest since 1973.

In a boost for Chancellor Rishi Sunak, economists now believe Britain is heading for its strongest year of growth since 1988. The upbeat data also supports the view of Bank of England chief economist Andy Haldane who has said Britain will bounce back like a 'coiled spring' once liberated from the shackles of lockdown'.

James Smith, an economist at ING, said: 'Pretty much wherever you look, there are signs that the harsh economic winter is finally thawing.'

IHS Markit said its purchasing managers' index (PMI) of activity in the UK, where scores below 50 show decline and above 50 show growth, rose to 60 this month having been close to 40 early this year. That was the highest reading since late 2013.

Chris Williamson, chief business economist at IHS Markit, said: 'In more than 23 years of PMI, we have only seen one spell of faster growth than this, between August and November 2013. Business activity should continue to grow strongly in May and June as virus restrictions are eased further, setting the scene for a bumper second quarter.'

Economists believe Britain is set for growth of 5.7 per cent this year the best since 1988. JP Morgan, Oxford Economics and Bloomberg Economics expect a swifter recovery, with growth of 7 per cent-plus, that would be the best performance in the post-war era.

Andrew Goodwin, of Oxford Economics, said: 'Consumers are champing at the bit to spend. Retail sales surged in March, even though many physical stores remained closed, while the reopening of nonessential stores and outdoor hospitality in England on April 12 appears to have generated a surge in spending over the past couple of weeks.'
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
UK Councils to Receive Sweeping Planning Powers to Ban New Vape and Betting Shops
Chancellor John Healey Faces Tax and Pension Scrutiny Ahead of Autumn Budget
Metropolitan Police Apologise for Accidental Disclosure in High-Profile Investigation
UK Universities Report Record International Enrolment as Housing Pressure Grows
UK Logistics Firms Monitor Rhine Disruption as Low Water Threatens European Supply Chains
UK Food Industry Warns Inflation Could Approach 7%
UK Introduces Vaping Duty and Mandatory Retail Stamps
Scotland Raises Property Taxes and Expands Child Payment in Annual Budget
Greggs Plans Four Factory Closures With 740 Jobs at Risk
OECD Raises UK 2026 Growth Forecast to 1.1%
UK Inflation Rises to 3.1% as Bank of England Faces Rate Debate
Andy Burnham Criticises Brexit and Says Rejoining EU Single Market Remains an Option
UK Imposes New Sanctions on Russian Military Networks and Propagandists
UK Launches Nationwide Early-Release Prison Scheme
Andy Burnham Says Security Services See Signs of Iranian Involvement in RAF Fairford Incident
Manchester City Found Guilty on Premier League Financial Charges After Independent Investigation
Scottish Court to Rule on Bid to Force No-Confidence Vote Against Aberdeen Council Co-Leader
UK Bans Extra Charges for Seating Children Under 12 Beside Accompanying Adults
UK Introduces Vaping Duty and New Licensing Requirements
Greggs to Close Four UK Factories and Cut 740 Jobs
Hundreds of Prisoners Released Early as England and Wales Prisons Reach 98% Capacity
UK Unveils New Russia Sanctions Targeting War Funding and Shadow Fleet
Burnham Says There Are Strong Indications of Iranian Involvement in RAF Fairford Security Breach
Prime Minister Andy Burnham Raises Prospect of Reviewing Britain's Post-Brexit EU Relationship
Markets Price in Bank of England Rate Increases as Inflation Rises to 3.1%
UK Borrowing Costs Climb Toward 5.5% as Global Bond Sell-Off Intensifies
UK-France One-In-One-Out Migration Agreement Expires as London Seeks Alternative Measures
Southwest England Faces Flood Alerts After Heavy Autumn Storms
UK Expands Funding for Rapid Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure
Welsh Government Approves Funding to Upgrade South Wales Transport
Northern Ireland Tensions Rise as Orange Order Rejects Drumcree Compromise
NHS Leaders Back Early Design of Proposed National Care Service
More Than One-Third of Regional UK Universities Face Financial Deficits
UK Current Account Deficit Narrows as Cross-Border Financial Flows Remain Strong
Bank of England and FCA Issue New Rules for Stablecoins and Digital Assets
MI5 Warns UK Universities Over Research Links With Chinese Institutions
UK Energy Price Cap Rises 4% as Electricity VAT Is Temporarily Suspended
Equity Calls for UK Personality Rights to Protect Performers From AI Replication
OpenAI Pauses Advanced Model Training Following Safety Concerns
Scottish Government Proposes Replacing 32 Councils With Larger Regional Authorities
Ofgem Raises UK Household Energy Price Cap by 4% From October
UK Counter-Terrorism Police Continue Investigation After Five Arrests Near RAF Fairford
OECD Cuts UK 2027 Growth Forecast to 1%
Labour Says State Pension Triple Lock Remains Protected Through Current Parliament
Andy Burnham Pledges National Care Service With Free Social Care in England
Six Flags Permanently Shuts Landmark X2 Roller Coaster Following Safety Scandals
Metropolitan Police Rule Out Terrorism in Golders Green Stabbing Investigation
Lithium-Ion Battery Identified as Cause of Fatal Merseyside House Fire
UK Department Rejects New Sea Use Framework Due to Stakeholder Fatigue
Major Thames Water Pipe Burst Causes School Closures in London
×