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Tuesday, Feb 17, 2026

Bank of England Governor Warns of Potential Middle East Oil Shock

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey warns that the escalating Middle East conflict between Iran and Israel could lead to a significant oil shock, drawing parallels to the 1970s energy crisis. The Bank is monitoring the situation closely, acknowledging limitations in controlling oil prices if the conflict worsens. Despite criticism from former Prime Minister Liz Truss, Bailey defends the Bank's actions in past crises, indicating potential aggressive interest rate cuts if inflation news remains positive.
The Bank of England is closely monitoring the situation in the Middle East due to fears that escalating conflict between Iran and Israel could destabilize oil prices, leading to a global economic shock similar to the 1970s energy crisis.

Governor Andrew Bailey expressed concern about the potential for crude oil price spikes if the situation worsens, emphasizing the limits of the Bank's ability to mitigate such increases.

Despite encouraging news on inflation, Bailey hinted at the possibility of more aggressive interest rate cuts.

The governor rejected criticisms from former Prime Minister Liz Truss, attributing her economic issues to her own decisions, particularly the controversial mini-budget of her Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng.

Bailey defended the Bank's response to past economic crises, noting its role in preventing a depression during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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