London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Saturday, Jul 04, 2026

Why is inflation higher in the UK than in the EU?

Why is inflation higher in the UK than in the EU?

As the Bank of England hikes interest rates to keep prices in check, the UK's inflation rate remains worse than the EU's. Here's why.

The Bank of England has raised UK interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point to 4.5 per cent – the highest level since 2008.

It’s an attempt to lower the country’s inflation, which remains in the double digits, at 10.1 per cent as of March this year.

That's more than five times the Bank of England's 2 per cent inflation target and a higher rate than in any other major European economy. The EU's average inflation rate stood at 8.3 per cent in March.

But both the UK and the EU have been hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic as well as by the effects of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine… So, what is going on?


1. Soaring food prices


Food prices in the UK are rising at the fastest rate since 1977, partly fuelled by salad and vegetable shortages over the past few months in the UK.

Due to extreme weather affecting Spain and Morocco, the main suppliers of vegetables such as lettuce and tomatoes have been mostly to blame.

Shortages have also been exacerbated by high energy prices leading to farmers cutting down on crop yields and heavily relying on imports for certain foods, as explained in this separate fact-check by The Cube.


2. An inflexible labour market


According to the BBC, while most major economies have recovered from the labour shortages caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, the UK still has about 400,000 more people not working than in December 2019.

For Jacob Kirkegaard, an economist at the German Marshall Fund, this is due to two reasons.

"There is a very high level of regional income inequality across the UK. Living in London is more expensive than living in most of the rest of the country, making it quite difficult for people to move to places with more economic activity," he told Euronews.

"So, you have increasing labour shortages in parts of the UK. Then, you've got a significant number of European citizens leaving the UK after Brexit. Even though non-EU immigration to the UK has increased, these workers may not possess the same level of skills.

"Overall, you have a less well-functioning labour market creating bottlenecks and the necessity for increasing wages, hence driving inflation".


3. Brexit


According to experts like Kirkegaard, inflation is also directly correlated to the UK leaving the European Union.

"The breaking up of all the traditional trade flows that the UK had with the rest of Europe is significant. This is particularly important on issues like fresh food and other products that usually the UK would import seamlessly from the rest of the EU. And now, of course, it's much more difficult. That creates scarcity which creates rising prices," he explained.


4. Gas prices


Rising energy prices hit UK households and businesses hard - harder than in other European countries.

According to Reuters, Britain's high rate of energy inflation shows it’s over-reliant on gas for heating homes. It also reflects the poor energy efficiency of its housing stock.

But Jacob Kirkegaard disagrees that energy prices are the main driver behind the UK's inflation rate.

"Natural gas prices in Europe today are not as high anymore. It is true that UK gas prices rose more than in many other European countries, but frankly, they should also have come down more in recent months," he said.

"The fact that this decline in energy prices has not caused the overall level of inflation to decline nearly as much as in the rest of the EU indicates that, in my opinion, the bigger issues today are not on gas, but in other parts of the UK economy," he added.


What's the inflation rate in other European countries?


Luxembourg has the lowest rate at just 2.7 per cent, followed by Belgium at 3.3 per cent, then Cyprus and Spain both which have a rate of 3.8 per cent, according to Eurostat.

But there are EU countries performing worse than the UK. Hungary has an inflation rate of 25.6 per cent, the Czech Republic 16.5 per cent, followed by Poland at 15.2 per cent.

How did countries like Luxembourg, Belgium and Spain manage to keep their inflation rates lower than the UK?

"In the case of Spain, one of the main reasons for its lower level of inflation for a number of months is that they put a price cap on an important part of the energy sector. That was very effective in keeping the inflation level down," said Kirkegaard.

"The big reason why in the last six to nine months you've had such big differences in the level of inflation across particularly the euro area countries is that governments have implemented different variations of price controls on gas or electricity, and other countries haven't done that at all".

The Bank of England now expects inflation to fall to 5.1 per cent by the end of the year, which is less of a drop than the 3.9 per cent that was forecast back in February.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
UK Government Consults International Partners on Maritime Trade Security and Energy Market Stability
Rare Revolutionary-Era Documents Discovered by UK Archives and Undergoing Authentication
UK Consumer Confidence Remains Deep in Negative Territory as Household Spending Stays Cautious
Transport for London Warns of Severe Disruption as Major Events Converge in Central London
NHS and Social Care Sectors Face Ongoing Recruitment Shortages Amid Persistent Workforce Gaps
Rising Energy Costs Drive Price Pressures Across UK Retail and Service Sectors
Competition and Markets Authority Expands Review of Artificial Intelligence Impact on UK Media Markets
UK Parliamentary Committees Intensify Scrutiny of National Security and Industrial Policy Legislation
Bank of England Faces Persistent Inflation Pressure as Rate Cut Expectations Fade
UK Public Finances Under Pressure as Borrowing Exceeds Forecast and Debt Nears 95% of GDP
Major Police Deployment Across Central London as Mass Demonstrations and Pride Parade Converge
Large-Scale Police Dispersal Powers Activated in Liverpool Ahead of Anti-Immigration Protests and Counter-Demonstrations
Luxury bags take over the World Cup: style, status symbol, or just showing off?
National Productivity Institute Highlights Weak Business Investment Outside Southern England
UK High Court Orders Reassessment of Environmental Impact in Major Highway Project
UK Cyber Security Centre Warns of Rising Threat From State-Sponsored Digital Espionage
UK Education Secretary Launches National Reform of Apprenticeships and Vocational Training
Financial Conduct Authority Tightens Climate Risk Disclosure Requirements for Listed Firms
Rail Union Suspends Planned Strike Action to Enter Formal Negotiations With Operators
Northern Ireland Businesses Seek Clarity Over Post-Brexit Trade Rules
Welsh Government Launches Regional Growth Plan Targeting Transport and Digital Infrastructure
North Sea Wind Sector Attracts £5 Billion Investment Amid Expansion of Offshore Capacity
Scotland and UK Governments Establish New Framework for Coordinated Investment in Energy and Infrastructure
UK Government Launches Major Immigration and Border Policy Overhaul Review
Bank of England Signals Interest Rates to Remain Elevated Despite Easing Inflation Pressures
National Health Service Warns of Severe Winter Capacity Strain Across Hospital Trusts
Chancellor Orders Urgent Treasury Review Amid Concerns Over Structural Public Finance Gap
Prime Minister Unveils Sweeping Legislative Programme Focused on Housing, Health Service Reform and State Energy Plan
UK Parliamentary Committee Launches Inquiry Into Falling Primary School Rolls and Public Service Impact
UK House of Lords Debates Electoral Commission Powers and Political Finance Reform
UK Parliament Considers Expanding Carbon Rules to International Aviation and Shipping Emissions
UK Traffic Commissioner Revokes Hampshire Haulage Operator Licence Over Regulatory Failures
UK Parliament Examines Risks in Public Contracts Awarded to Technology Firm Palantir
UK Competition Watchdog Moves Toward More Flexible Merger Rules to Support Efficiency and Growth
UK Government Seeks Approval for £1.15 Trillion Public Spending Plan Amid Scrutiny Over Department Budgets
UK Parliament Debates Sweeping National Security and Steel Industry Nationalisation Bills
UK Government Issues Formal Apology for Historic Forced Adoption Practices and Announces £4 Million Support Scheme
UK DEFENCE AND TECHNOLOGY STRATEGY TILTS TOWARD SOVEREIGN CAPABILITY AND INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENT
UK ECONOMIC POLICY OUTLOOK SHAPED BY LEADERSHIP TRANSITION AND FISCAL SIGNALS
STERLING STRENGTHENS AMID SHIFTING MONETARY OUTLOOK AND GLOBAL LABOUR MARKET SIGNALS
UK HPV VACCINATION PROGRAM NEARLY ELIMINATES CERVICAL CANCER DEATH RISK IN YOUNG WOMEN
UK EXPANDS PRISON SAFETY REVIEW AS GOVERNMENT SEEKS WIDER SYSTEM REFORM
UK DRIVES DIGITAL ASSETS STRATEGY WITH NEW STABLECOIN REGULATORY MODEL
UK TO EXPAND AI INFRASTRUCTURE THROUGH NEW EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY PARTNERSHIP
UK LAUNCHES £15 BILLION DEFENCE TECH SHIFT TOWARD ADVANCED MILITARY SYSTEMS
CIVIL SERVICE FACES SHIFT IN POWER STRUCTURE AS REGIONAL GOVERNANCE PLANS EXPAND
WHITEHALL CONSIDERS MAJOR DECENTRALISATION PLAN WITH SECOND GOVERNMENT HUB IN MANCHESTER
UK TARGETS SERVICES EXPORT GROWTH IN TRADE TALKS WITH CHINA AMID GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS
POLICE WATCHDOG PROBES OFFICERS OVER HANDCUFFING OF DYING TEENAGER IN HAMPSHIRE CASE
UK REGULATORS UNVEIL DUAL OVERSIGHT FRAMEWORK FOR STABLECOINS AND DIGITAL ASSETS
×