London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Friday, Jun 26, 2026

Why is inflation higher in the UK than in the EU?

Why is inflation higher in the UK than in the EU?

As the Bank of England hikes interest rates to keep prices in check, the UK's inflation rate remains worse than the EU's. Here's why.

The Bank of England has raised UK interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point to 4.5 per cent – the highest level since 2008.

It’s an attempt to lower the country’s inflation, which remains in the double digits, at 10.1 per cent as of March this year.

That's more than five times the Bank of England's 2 per cent inflation target and a higher rate than in any other major European economy. The EU's average inflation rate stood at 8.3 per cent in March.

But both the UK and the EU have been hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic as well as by the effects of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine… So, what is going on?


1. Soaring food prices


Food prices in the UK are rising at the fastest rate since 1977, partly fuelled by salad and vegetable shortages over the past few months in the UK.

Due to extreme weather affecting Spain and Morocco, the main suppliers of vegetables such as lettuce and tomatoes have been mostly to blame.

Shortages have also been exacerbated by high energy prices leading to farmers cutting down on crop yields and heavily relying on imports for certain foods, as explained in this separate fact-check by The Cube.


2. An inflexible labour market


According to the BBC, while most major economies have recovered from the labour shortages caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, the UK still has about 400,000 more people not working than in December 2019.

For Jacob Kirkegaard, an economist at the German Marshall Fund, this is due to two reasons.

"There is a very high level of regional income inequality across the UK. Living in London is more expensive than living in most of the rest of the country, making it quite difficult for people to move to places with more economic activity," he told Euronews.

"So, you have increasing labour shortages in parts of the UK. Then, you've got a significant number of European citizens leaving the UK after Brexit. Even though non-EU immigration to the UK has increased, these workers may not possess the same level of skills.

"Overall, you have a less well-functioning labour market creating bottlenecks and the necessity for increasing wages, hence driving inflation".


3. Brexit


According to experts like Kirkegaard, inflation is also directly correlated to the UK leaving the European Union.

"The breaking up of all the traditional trade flows that the UK had with the rest of Europe is significant. This is particularly important on issues like fresh food and other products that usually the UK would import seamlessly from the rest of the EU. And now, of course, it's much more difficult. That creates scarcity which creates rising prices," he explained.


4. Gas prices


Rising energy prices hit UK households and businesses hard - harder than in other European countries.

According to Reuters, Britain's high rate of energy inflation shows it’s over-reliant on gas for heating homes. It also reflects the poor energy efficiency of its housing stock.

But Jacob Kirkegaard disagrees that energy prices are the main driver behind the UK's inflation rate.

"Natural gas prices in Europe today are not as high anymore. It is true that UK gas prices rose more than in many other European countries, but frankly, they should also have come down more in recent months," he said.

"The fact that this decline in energy prices has not caused the overall level of inflation to decline nearly as much as in the rest of the EU indicates that, in my opinion, the bigger issues today are not on gas, but in other parts of the UK economy," he added.


What's the inflation rate in other European countries?


Luxembourg has the lowest rate at just 2.7 per cent, followed by Belgium at 3.3 per cent, then Cyprus and Spain both which have a rate of 3.8 per cent, according to Eurostat.

But there are EU countries performing worse than the UK. Hungary has an inflation rate of 25.6 per cent, the Czech Republic 16.5 per cent, followed by Poland at 15.2 per cent.

How did countries like Luxembourg, Belgium and Spain manage to keep their inflation rates lower than the UK?

"In the case of Spain, one of the main reasons for its lower level of inflation for a number of months is that they put a price cap on an important part of the energy sector. That was very effective in keeping the inflation level down," said Kirkegaard.

"The big reason why in the last six to nine months you've had such big differences in the level of inflation across particularly the euro area countries is that governments have implemented different variations of price controls on gas or electricity, and other countries haven't done that at all".

The Bank of England now expects inflation to fall to 5.1 per cent by the end of the year, which is less of a drop than the 3.9 per cent that was forecast back in February.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Robert Jenrick Defends £5 Million Donation to Nigel Farage Amid Political Scrutiny
Plymouth Museum The Box Wins 2026 Art Fund Museum of the Year Award
UK Government Faces Backlash Over Plans to Use Former Military Sites for Asylum Accommodation
Labour Party Faces Pressure Over Cabinet Stability as Senior Figures Clash on Policy Direction
Heathrow Airport Forecasts Passenger Decline in 2026 as Costs and Climate Disruption Mount
UK Energy Regulator Approves Expansion of Long-Duration Storage to Boost Power System Resilience
Crown Estate Reports Third Consecutive Year of £1 Billion Profit as Debate Over Royal Finances Intensifies
Teenager Charged With Murder in Wales Following Death of 14-Year-Old Boy
Nottingham University Hospitals Maternity Failures Trigger Calls for Public Inquiry Into Patient Safety
EasyJet Rejects £4.9 Billion Takeover Offer From Castlelake but Keeps Door Open for Further Talks
Record Heatwave Triggers UK Transport and Infrastructure Strain as Heathrow Revises Passenger Forecast Downward
Ofgem Approves Sixteen Long-Duration Energy Storage Projects to Strengthen UK Grid Stability
Labour Government Faces Internal Tensions Over Cabinet Decisions and Net Zero Policy Direction
British Food and Drink Exports Fall to Decade Low Amid Trade Friction and US Tariffs
Great Britain Grid Operator Spends £10 Million to Stabilize Electricity Supply During Heatwave Demand Surge
UK Parliament Committee Calls for Urgent National Adaptation Strategy as Extreme Heat Strains Public Infrastructure
Record-Breaking Heatwave Pushes England’s National Health Service to Critical Incident Status as Hospitals Struggle With Surge in Emergencies
UK Government Launches Review of Voluntary National Insurance Contributions System
UK Planning Inspectorate Reports Key Infrastructure and Planning Milestones in Annual Review
UK Government Reviews Travel Expense Reimbursement Rates for Employers and Employees
Civil Nuclear Constabulary Launches National Digital Memorial for Officers Killed in Service
UK and US Expand Collaboration on Nuclear Fusion Research and Workforce Exchange
Environment Agency Secures £275,000 Enforcement Deal with Anglian Water Over Permit Breaches
Independent Inspector Flags Ongoing Failures in UK Home Office Border Case Management
UK Government Considers Zero VAT Rate on Land for Social Housing Development
Bank of England Reports Sharp Drop in Emissions and Warns on Climate-Driven Financial Risk
Consumer Confidence in the UK Falls at Fastest Quarterly Rate Since 2022
UK Borrowing Costs Rise Sharply on Gilt Markets Amid Fiscal and Political Concerns
UK Government Plans Legislation to Bring British Steel into Public Ownership
UK Government Secures £210 Million Nuclear Fuel Deal to Support Ukraine Energy Security
London Ambulance Service Reports Record Emergency Call Volume Amid Severe Heatwave
United Kingdom Faces Record June Heatwave as Temperatures Hit 36.7°C in Somerset
UK Financial Services Reform Debate Intensifies Over Ministerial Regulatory Powers
UK Energy Price Cap Rise Expected to Keep Inflation Above Target Through 2026
UK Biohacking and AI Wellness Trends Drive Surge in Personal Health Monitoring
UK Social Care Sector Sees Workforce Shift as Overseas Recruitment Masks Domestic Labour Decline
Nuffield Trust Warns UK Health Budgets Remain Vulnerable Despite Record Spending Levels
UK Coal Pension Surplus Debate Returns to Parliament as Reform UK MP Seeks Clarity on Distribution
UK MPs Consider E-Petition Calling for NHS Newborn Screening for Spinal Muscular Atrophy
UK Parliament Debates E-Petition Calling for Inquiry Into Pro-Israel Influence in Politics
UK Economy Grew 0.6 Percent in Q1 2026 but Business Sentiment Weakens Over Geopolitical Risks
UK Financial Services Bill Enters Lords Committee Stage With Expanded Ministerial Powers
UK Armed Forces Bill Advances With Plans for Defence Housing Service and Drone Defence Measures
UK Treasury Proposes Higher Electricity Generator Levy and Updated Mileage Allowance Rules
UK Parliament Debates Health Bill Amid Persistent GP Access and Patient Satisfaction Concerns
UK Financial Sanctions Regulator Signals Faster, Intelligence-Led Enforcement Strategy
British Chambers of Commerce Warns Business Confidence Crisis Is Dampening UK Investment
UK Parliament Debates Carbon Budget Order as Pressure Mounts on Net Zero Delivery
UK Energy Price Volatility Reinforces Pressure for Faster Electrification of Economy
UK Defence and Aerospace Strategy Gains Momentum as Keir Starmer Pushes Industrial Cooperation in Berlin
×