London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Saturday, Feb 21, 2026

Why billionaire Ray Dalio thinks another economic disaster is coming - and how he recommends preparing for it

Why billionaire Ray Dalio thinks another economic disaster is coming - and how he recommends preparing for it

Hedge fund billionaire Ray Dalio gives advice on how to prepare yourself for future financial catastrophes - and what could tank the American economy next.

“First, Ray Dalio foresaw the 2008 financial crisis. Then, he predicted years of long-term financial strain on the U.S. economy from the Covid pandemic.

Now, the 72-year-old billionaire investor who built Bridgewater Associates into the world’s largest hedge fund is warning of a new economic catastrophe on the horizon — and he wants you to be prepared.

“I think we’re at risk of a war with China,” Dalio told CNBC Make It during a live-streamed Q&A on Friday. “Largely due to misunderstandings.”

Dalio noted that his predictions aren’t facts: He’s been wrong before, too. But, he said, future catastrophes are inevitable, according to historical patterns over the last 500 years.

Why Dalio thinks the U.S.-China trade war could get worse


In his newest book, “Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order,” Dalio wrote that American attempts to make China and its culture “more American” could eventually backfire, prompting a conflict.

That could intensify the two nations’ trade war, which was started by the Trump Administration in 2018 and has led American companies to cut wages, lower profit margins and raise consumer prices.

A Moody’s Analytics study found that the trade war cost Americans at least 300,000 jobs in just its first year. Last year, a Federal Reserve Bank of New York study found that the trade war had cost American companies $1.7 trillion in market capitalization.

Dalio’s comments about China have prompted recent controversy. After telling CNBC last week that China’s human rights policies were akin to those of a “strict parent,” he clarified his comments in a LinkedIn post. “I was attempting to explain what a Chinese leader told me about how they think about governing,” Dalio wrote. “I was not expressing my own opinion or endorsing that approach.”

In that post, he also expressed hope that the U.S. and China could back away from the precipice of conflict.

His first tip: Assess your financial risks


Regardless of what happens, Dalio said on Friday, he has a simple principle for approaching future events: “If you worry, you don’t have to worry. And if you don’t worry, you have to worry.”

Worrying, he said, prompts you to take a close look at your own personal risks — and encourages you to take action on them.

One risk, for example, could be “location,” meaning the physical place where you live and work. Dalio’s book contains a “Health Index” that rates roughly a dozen nations on 18 factors like debt burdens, military strength and economic output. It’s intended as a resource for readers to assess risks and form strategies on where to live and invest, and according to Forbes, he plans to launch a website housing real-time versions of the data.

Moving is, of course, often a hassle — but Dalio said it’s worth considering under financially worrying circumstances. “Flexibility is key,” he added.

Similarly, he advised, measure your financial risks in inflation-adjusted terms instead of today’s dollars. If you have cash in a savings account, for example, it’s probably accruing value at a different rate than your other investments, since it’s being taxed by inflation.

His second tip: Save and diversify your portfolio


Dalio’s first step to a strong portfolio is assessing your current investment strategy — if you have one — to figure out how many weeks you could financially survive if you lost your job. “It always pays to find out whatever the worst-case scenario is and cover yourself from that,” Dalio said.

Then, make sure your money isn’t all in one place. “Cash is not a safe investment,” Dalio told CNBC last week, as inflation hit a 31-year high in the U.S. Instead, he suggested on Friday, build as diverse a portfolio as possible — ranging from inflation index bonds, which Dalio recommended above regular bonds, to physical assets like gold.

Your portfolio could even include digital assets like cryptocurrencies. In May, Dalio told CoinDesk that he personally owns a “small amount” of bitcoin, despite years of criticizing crypto. The reason, Dalio said on Friday: It’s a hedge bet, made solely for the purpose of diversification.

“I urge those who like bitcoin — or those who like gold — to not make it an all-or-none decision,” he said.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
UK Confirms Preferential U.S. Trading Terms Will Continue After Supreme Court Tariff Ruling
U.S. and U.K. to Hold Talks on Diego Garcia as Iran Objects to Potential Military Use
UK Officials Weigh Possible Changes to Prince Andrew’s Position in Line of Succession Amid Ongoing Scrutiny
British Police Probe Epstein’s UK Airport Links and Expand High-Profile Inquiries
United Kingdom Denies U.S. Access to Military Base for Potential Iran Strike
British Co-founder of ASOS falls to his death from Pattaya apartment
Early 2026 Data Suggests Tentative Recovery for UK Businesses and Households
UK Introduces Digital-First Passport Rules for Dual Citizens in Border Control Overhaul
Unable to Access Live Financial Data for January UK Surplus Report
UK Government Considers Law to Remove Prince Andrew from Royal Line of Succession
UK ‘Working Closely with US’ to Assess Impact of Supreme Court Tariff Ruling
Trump Criticises UK Decision to Restrict Use of Bases in Potential Iran Strike Scenario
UK Foreign Secretary and U.S. State Chief Hold Strategic Talks as Tensions Rise Over Joint Air Base
Two teens arrested in France for alleged terror plot.
Nordic Fracture: How Criminal Scandals and Toxic Ties are Dismantling the Norwegian Crown
US Supreme Court Voids Trump’s Emergency Tariff Plan, Reshaping Trade Power and Fiscal Risk
King Charles III Opens London Fashion Week as Royal Family Faces Fresh Scrutiny
Trump’s Evolving Stance on UK Chagos Islands Deal Draws Renewed Scrutiny
House Democrat Says Former UK Ambassador Unable to Testify in Congressional Epstein Inquiry
No Record of Prince Andrew Arrest in UK as Claims Circulate Online
UK Has Not Granted US Approval to Launch Iran Strikes from RAF Bases, Government Confirms
AI Pricing Pressure Mounts as Chinese Models Undercut US Rivals and Margin Risks Grow
Global Counsel, Advisory Firm Co-Founded by Lord Mandelson, Enters Administration After Client Exodus
London High Court dispute over Ricardo Salinas’s $400mn Elektra share-backed bitcoin loan
UK Intensifies Efforts to Secure Saudi Investment in Next-Generation Fighter Jet Programme
Former Student Files Civil Claim Against UK Authorities After Rape Charges Against Peers Are Dropped
Archer Aviation Chooses Bristol for New UK Engineering Hub to Drive Electric Air Taxi Expansion
UK Sees Surge in Medical Device Testing as Government Pushes Global Competitiveness
UK Competition Watchdog Flags Concerns Over Proposed Getty Images–Shutterstock Merger
Trump Reasserts Opposition to UK Chagos Islands Proposal, Urges Stronger Strategic Alignment
Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis advocates for a ban on minors using social media.
Liberal Senator Michaelia Cash Accuses Prime Minister of Lying to Australians
Meanwhile in Time Square, NYC One of the most famous landmarks
Jensen Huang just told the story of how Elon Musk became NVIDIA’s very first customer for their powerful AI supercomputer
A Lunar New Year event in Taiwan briefly came to a halt after a temple official standing beside President Lai Ching‑te suddenly vomited, splashing Lai’s clothing
Jillian Michaels reveals Bill Gates’ $55 million investment in mRNA vaccines turned into over $1 billion.
Ex-Prince Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor's arrested
Former British Prince Andrew Arrested on Suspicion of Misconduct in Public Office
Four Chagos Islanders Establish Permanent Settlement on Atoll
Unitree Robotics founder Wang Xingxing showcases future robot deployment during Spring Festival Gala.
UK Inflation Slows Sharply in January, Strengthening Case for Bank of England Rate Cut
Hide the truth, fake the facts, pretend the opposite, Britain is as usual
France President Macron says Free Speech is Bull Sh!t
Viktor Orbán getting massive praise for keeping Hungary safe, rich and migrant-free!
UK Inflation Falls to Ten-Month Low, Markets Anticipate Interest Rate Cut
UK House Prices Climb 2.4% in December as Market Shows Signs of Stabilisation
BAE Systems Predicts Sustained Expansion as Defence Orders Reach Record High
Pro-Palestine Activists Cleared of Burglary Charges Over Break-In at UK Israeli Arms Facility
Former Reform UK Councillors Form New Local Group Amid Party Fragmentation
Reform UK Pledges to Retain Britain’s Budget Watchdog as It Seeks Broader Economic Credibility
×