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UK Financial Markets Remain Calm Amid Rising Government Borrowing Costs
Sterling falls as gilt yields surge, challenging the UK government's fiscal stability amid global pressures.
UK financial markets are functioning 'in an orderly way' despite a plunge in the pound and soaring government borrowing costs, according to Treasury Minister Darren Jones.
His comments come as the pound dropped nearly 1% to just under $1.23—its lowest level since November 2023—following a significant rout in the bond markets.
The market unrest has placed additional strain on the Labour Government's fiscal agenda, as uncertainty over fiscal stability and broader international pressures compounded the weakening of sterling.
The FTSE 250 stock index also declined, reaching its weakest point in nine months.
Echoing the market's somber mood, Treasury Minister Darren Jones assured that the UK's fiscal rules remain 'non-negotiable,' though he cautioned that 'public services will have to live within their means.'
Economists have issued warnings that Chancellor Rachel Reeves may face further tax hikes or spending cuts to comply with the UK's fiscal rules due to potential rises in the government's debt interest bill.
In a reflection of these concerns, yields on 10-year gilts climbed eight basis points to 4.89%, the highest since 2008.
Furthermore, 30-year gilt yields have surged to levels not seen since 1998, hitting 5.39%.
The increase in gilt yields inversely affects the price of these government bonds, reminiscent of the market turmoil following former Prime Minister Liz Truss's controversial mini-budget in 2022.
The escalation in borrowing costs threatens to erode Labour's financial leeway, signaling investor concerns over the UK's fiscal sustainability.
Addressing Members of Parliament, Jones highlighted: 'In recent months, moves in financial markets have been largely driven by data and geopolitical events, which is to be expected as markets adjust to new information.
UK gilt markets continue to function in an orderly way and underlying demand for the UK's debt remains strong.'
Shadow Chancellor Mel Stride raised eyebrows at the current state of affairs, pointing out that the premium on UK borrowing costs over German bonds recently peaked at its highest since 1990, suggesting potential breaches of fiscal rules under the current fiscal strategy without further tax hikes.
Broader market dynamics have also been influenced by a global sell-off in government bonds, driven by fears that policy changes under US President-elect Donald Trump could trigger inflationary pressures.
U.S. Treasury yields have similarly risen amid signs of economic resilience that have tempered expectations for additional interest rate cuts.
Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB, noted that while the intensity of the gilt sell-off has decreased lately, concerns remain over the UK's fiscal position and the broader implications it holds for markets.
Discussions among economists suggest the Chancellor might explore public sector cuts instead of further tax increases to adhere to fiscal rules.
Chancellor Reeves, following the recent autumn budget, has limited headroom to navigate fiscal challenges, leaving only £9.9 billion to comply with revised fiscal criteria.
Her recent commitment to a single fiscal policy update annually, slated for autumn, further narrows her options to stabilize public spending and borrowing plans amid these mounting challenges.
His comments come as the pound dropped nearly 1% to just under $1.23—its lowest level since November 2023—following a significant rout in the bond markets.
The market unrest has placed additional strain on the Labour Government's fiscal agenda, as uncertainty over fiscal stability and broader international pressures compounded the weakening of sterling.
The FTSE 250 stock index also declined, reaching its weakest point in nine months.
Echoing the market's somber mood, Treasury Minister Darren Jones assured that the UK's fiscal rules remain 'non-negotiable,' though he cautioned that 'public services will have to live within their means.'
Economists have issued warnings that Chancellor Rachel Reeves may face further tax hikes or spending cuts to comply with the UK's fiscal rules due to potential rises in the government's debt interest bill.
In a reflection of these concerns, yields on 10-year gilts climbed eight basis points to 4.89%, the highest since 2008.
Furthermore, 30-year gilt yields have surged to levels not seen since 1998, hitting 5.39%.
The increase in gilt yields inversely affects the price of these government bonds, reminiscent of the market turmoil following former Prime Minister Liz Truss's controversial mini-budget in 2022.
The escalation in borrowing costs threatens to erode Labour's financial leeway, signaling investor concerns over the UK's fiscal sustainability.
Addressing Members of Parliament, Jones highlighted: 'In recent months, moves in financial markets have been largely driven by data and geopolitical events, which is to be expected as markets adjust to new information.
UK gilt markets continue to function in an orderly way and underlying demand for the UK's debt remains strong.'
Shadow Chancellor Mel Stride raised eyebrows at the current state of affairs, pointing out that the premium on UK borrowing costs over German bonds recently peaked at its highest since 1990, suggesting potential breaches of fiscal rules under the current fiscal strategy without further tax hikes.
Broader market dynamics have also been influenced by a global sell-off in government bonds, driven by fears that policy changes under US President-elect Donald Trump could trigger inflationary pressures.
U.S. Treasury yields have similarly risen amid signs of economic resilience that have tempered expectations for additional interest rate cuts.
Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB, noted that while the intensity of the gilt sell-off has decreased lately, concerns remain over the UK's fiscal position and the broader implications it holds for markets.
Discussions among economists suggest the Chancellor might explore public sector cuts instead of further tax increases to adhere to fiscal rules.
Chancellor Reeves, following the recent autumn budget, has limited headroom to navigate fiscal challenges, leaving only £9.9 billion to comply with revised fiscal criteria.
Her recent commitment to a single fiscal policy update annually, slated for autumn, further narrows her options to stabilize public spending and borrowing plans amid these mounting challenges.
