London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Tuesday, Sep 08, 2026

The answer to Britain's housing crisis is more houses - not risky mortgages

The answer to Britain's housing crisis is more houses - not risky mortgages

Housing experts were left scratching their heads this week after Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced his flagship policy to get young people on the housing ladder: bigger mortgages.

Johnson plans to turn “generation rent” into “generation buy” by offering long-term, fixed-rate mortgages of up to 95 per cent of the value of the home.

He is no doubt concerned by the shocking decline in the rate of homeownership amongst young people, who are becoming increasingly angry about spending much of their adulthood paying for their landlord’s mortgage.

Conservatives have already recognised that the decline of “property owning democracy” poses a risk for their electoral future. So making the saving process easier and boosting homeownership by dropping deposit requirements might seem sensible. There’s just one problem: it’s a terrible idea.

Let’s look at the economics of why homes are so expensive. Prices are set by supply and demand. Supply is very simple: it’s the number of homes available to buy or rent. The oft-misunderstood concept of demand means the extent to which people are willing and able to pay for them.

It includes many factors, including the number and size of households, their incomes, and the availability and cost of mortgages.

When demand increases (for instance interest rates fall, making mortgages cheaper), developers have an incentive to build more, because there is more money to be made. This increases the supply, and prices should remain relatively stable.

But this hasn’t happened. We’ve built far less over the last 30 years than we have for most of the last century. New supply peaked in London in the 1930s at 80,000 homes a year, and easily hit 30,000 for much of the post-war period. Since the mid-80s we’ve struggled to hit 20,000. While strong population growth, smaller households, higher incomes, and low interest rates have all fed into greater demand.

Prices have skyrocketed


Accordingly, prices have skyrocketed. In 1970s London, an average home cost just £5,000 – or just under £78,000 in today’s prices. It’s now sitting at £486,000. That’s a 620 per cent increase. No wonder the kids can’t afford it!

Johnson’s plan does nothing to address the core problem: the supply of homes is not meeting the demand for them. It will simply lead to higher prices. Just as lower interest rates increased prices because the supply of homes didn’t rise in response, bigger mortgages will do the same.

Then there’s the other problem with 95 per cent mortgages. They’re risky. High loan-to-value mortgages dried up after the financial crisis to prevent riskier customers (those who can’t save a large deposit) being exposed to falls in prices. We’re facing another recession now. It is reckless to encourage young people to rush and buy at present high prices when that could leave them trapped in negative equity.

What should Johnson do instead? Rather than encouraging young people to further stretch the limits of their finances, he needs to stop letting prices rise. No one wants inflation in energy bills, food, or transport.

But when house prices rise, it’s somehow “growth” or a “strong market.” We need people to recognise it is absolutely not positive news for those who don’t already own. Government should explicitly target 0 per cent house price inflation, and ensure enough homes are delivered every year to meet that target.

Our planning system needs reform


The first challenge is boosting housing supply of all types and tenures, especially in high-demand areas like London. The main barriers to this relate to our planning system. It restricts the availability of land and turns every new development into a local political battle. Government is right to reform it into a simpler, rules-based system.

However, the most urgent need is for social housing. Current plans to divert funding to First Homes (discounted market sale homes) will help a lucky few who would probably buy soon anyway, but do nothing for the 8.4 million people who are in far higher need. Johnson needs to reverse these plans and invest in a new programme of social homebuilding to rival the post-war period.

Our property tax system is also a problem. Council tax is horrifically regressive, taking more proportionately from poorer households. Stamp duty discourages people from moving. These conspire to make staying cheap and moving expensive, gumming up the market and encouraging people to under-occupy. Johnson would do well to listen to the Fairer Share campaign and replace these taxes with a proportional property tax.

Finally, many people are going to be renting for much (or all!) of their lives. Government should get in renters’ good books by making this a less horrible experience.

They need to crack on with their promise to abolish unfair evictions, support renters to get redress from landlords and agents who fail to meet their contractual responsibilities, and fund proper enforcement of property standards. The political stakes are too high not to.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
British Chambers of Commerce Calls for Business Rate Reform and Productivity Support
UK Farmers Warn Dry Summer Could Reduce Crop Yields and Push Up Food Prices
UK Rail Networks Hit by Widespread Delays After Major Signalling Failures
Matt Clifford Resigns as ARIA Chair After Conflict-of-Interest Scrutiny
UK and France Say Joint Border Operations Have Prevented More Than 48,000 Irregular Channel Crossings
UK Core Inflation Remains Above Expectations as Utility and Commodity Costs Stay Elevated
Jaguar Land Rover Considers Up to 4,000 UK Job Cuts Amid Automotive Industry Pressure
UK Government Pauses Local Authority Reorganisation for Legal Review
UK Public Borrowing Reaches £1.8 Billion in July, Adding Pressure Before Autumn Budget
Chancellor John Healey Puts Regional Devolution and Fiscal Discipline at Heart of UK Growth Plan
Counter-Terrorism Police Lead Salford Investigation After Two Teenagers Charged
UK Rejects Financial Reparations for Transatlantic Slavery
UK and Egypt Step Up Diplomacy Over Escalating West Bank Tensions
UK Pauses Council Reorganisation Across Four English Counties
Jaguar Land Rover Plans 4,000 Job Cuts in Major UK Restructuring
UK Unveils Planning and Regulatory Overhaul to Speed Infrastructure and Economic Growth
University of Bristol Opens £500 Million Innovation Campus
Families Give Evidence to Independent Review of Sussex Maternity Failures
Sweden Confirms Deportation of 458 British Citizens Over Post-Brexit Residency Rules
UK Launches £3 Million Challenge for Long-Duration Energy Storage
Reform UK Proposes £100 Billion in Spending Cuts and Brownfield Deregulation
Andy Burnham Warns Macron That EU Procurement Rules Could Hurt British Steel
Andy Burnham Faces Major Decision on Future North Sea Oil and Gas Drilling
SEND Support in England Projected to Reach One in 10 Pupils
England’s Housing Courts Struggle With Surge in No-Fault Eviction Cases
Violent Clashes Erupt in Portsmouth During Protest Against Asylum Processing
Three-Quarters of NHS Emergency Staff Report Regular Violence or Aggression
UK Considers Converting Female Prison Space for Male Inmates as Overcrowding Worsens
UK House Prices Record First Annual Decline in Nearly Three Years
UK Government Reassesses Policy Toward Israel Amid Calls for Diplomatic Shift
Reform UK Faces Police Scrutiny Over Alleged Foreign Donations Scheme
University of Bristol Opens £500 Million Temple Quarter Enterprise Campus
Online Bookmakers Accused of Privacy Breaches Through Cookie Consent Practices
Health Campaigners Urge UK Government to Abandon U.S. Pharmaceutical Agreement
Three-Quarters of UK A&E Staff Report Regular Violence or Aggression
Far-Right Demonstrations Target Portsmouth as Small-Boat Crossings Fuel Tensions
UK Records Hottest Summer on Record After Severe Heatwaves
UK Travellers Face Renewed EU Border Delays as Temporary Flexibility Ends
UK Rejects Calls to Pause AI Data Centre Expansion Despite Energy Concerns
UK Defence Figures Push for 3% Spending Target Amid Falklands Concerns
England Faces Rising Financial Pressure as Special Educational Needs Plans Surge
Metropolitan Police Consider Reform UK Probe Over Overseas Donations
Keir Starmer to Leave Parliament, Triggering By-Election
UK Treasury Weighs Windfall Taxes on Banks and Oil Companies Amid Bond Market Turmoil
Jaguar Land Rover to Cut Thousands of Jobs as UK Government Rules Out Bailout
OpenAI Unveils GPT-6 and Says: "We May Already Have Reached AGI"
Congressman Accused Andrew of Sex Crimes in the United States
Donald Trump: "I'm Glad Harry and Meghan Left the United States"
Spicy Food Is Linked to Lower Death Risk — but It Is Not a Miracle Cure
AfD Enters Saxony-Anhalt Election at 41% in Historic Test for German Politics
×