London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Friday, Feb 27, 2026

SPD narrowly ahead in exit polls for Germany's landmark election but final result uncertain

SPD narrowly ahead in exit polls for Germany's landmark election but final result uncertain

Germany's left-leaning Social Democratic Party (SPD) celebrated a narrow lead in exit polls published after voting ended in Germany's federal election, but the final result of the closely fought contest remains uncertain.

A Forschungsgruppe Wahlen exit poll for CNN affiliate n-tv suggested the SPD had 25.7% of the vote, with the center-right Christian Democratic Union of outgoing Chancellor Angela Merkel on 24.6%, followed by the Greens at 14.4%, the FDP at 11.7% and the AfD at 10.7%.

The narrowness of the margins means the German elections are at this point too close to call and predicting the next government -- and chancellor -- is impossible. A large number of postal ballots also remain to be counted.

Whichever party comes out in front, lengthy coalition negotiations are expected before a government can be formed.

But for the SPD, coming out neck-and-neck with the CDU counts as a significant gain. The left-leaning party took 20.5% of the vote in the country's last general election, in 2017.


"The voters have decided that the Social Democratic party has gained, and this is a great success," said SPD leader Olaf Scholz in remarks at his party's headquarters.

Scholz said the voters wanted him to be next chancellor. "Many citizens have put their crosses next to the SPD because they want there to be a change in government and also because they want the next chancellor of this country to be called Olaf Scholz."

The 63-year-old politician has served as the vice-chancellor and German finance minister in Merkel's grand coalition government since 2018, earning him increased visibility as he navigated Germany's economic response to the pandemic.

"Pragmatism, optimism, unity that is what we will show because that is what counts, and I am sure the citizens will also be happy post election about their decision," Scholz added.

Loud applause and cheering from jubilant party supporters interrupted him as he spoke.

"Now we will await the final result, but then we will get to work. Thank you!" Scholz said.

Robin Fugmann, 20, an ardent Scholz supporter, told CNN he was delighted by the results so far.

"It is really an amazing result, people believe in Olaf Scholz, people believe that Armin Laschet really cannot lead this country," he said. "So we really have the mandate to lead a new government -- I hope we will do so. And first of all we are going to celebrate because this is a really amazing result."

Olaf Scholz waves at SPD headquarters after the estimates were broadcast on TV, in Berlin.

Armin Laschet grimaces as he comments on the outcome of the Bundestag elections on Sunday.


CDU leader: Party 'cannot be content'


By contrast, the mood at CDU headquarters was downcast as the initial exit polls emerged. They suggest the CDU, with its sister party, the Christian Social Union in Bavaria, could be looking at the worst result in the alliance's history -- with its share of the vote potentially down more than 8% from 2017.

The party "cannot be content with this result," CDU leader Armin Laschet told supporters, while noting that the final result remained unclear.

"We can foresee that there could be a government with three parties," he said, as he said the party would "do everything to try to build a coalition."

Laschet added that the CDU had "got a mandate against a leftist government."

The party had campaigned on a message of stability for the country after Merkel, seen as a steady pair of hands over the past nearly 16 years, steps down. But it is now coming to terms with what it itself called a bitter night of losses.

"When we look at how we lost compared to the last election, it is bitter for us," CDU secretary-general Paul Ziemiak told CNN in an interview at party headquarters.

"But it is also clear that after the numbers there is not yet a clear view about who is ahead and exactly how," he said.

"The question is, who can form a stable government, form a coalition for the future, for this country? We have many issues to tackle -- climate protection, innovation -- but we also have to ensure stability and social security, which I believe a coalition of the CDU/CSU, the Greens and the FDP could do well, and that is what we will be talking about over the next few days."

The CDU's Peter Altmaier, who has been serving as the federal Minister of Economic Affairs and Energy, told CNN that the election result was "in no way a landslide victory for the opposition parties" and showed "a lot of confidence" in the CDU to govern.

Reflecting on the election, he added: "The clear message to all the people around the globe is that democracy in Germany is quite stable, this was not the day of extremist parties -- not from the left, not from the right -- it was the day of the conventional parties from the center of our democracy."

Deborah Piraba, a 27-year-old law student and Young Christian Union Democrat, told CNN at the CDU headquarters that the results were "disappointing" but that nothing was lost yet.

"We have to consider that we are coming out of 16 years with Angela Merkel, whom I am a big fan of. I am already sad she is leaving the office," she said. "We call her Mutti (Mom), she knew how to talk to people and has the connection with people and she has done so much for Germany. This made her so special comparing her with other politicians. I will also miss her sense of humor."

German Chancellor Angela Merkel stands as leading CDU members applaud on Sunday.


Greens 'wanted more'


Meanwhile, the crowd at the Green party headquarters in Berlin cheered as the first exit polls were read out.

"We have led a campaign as we have never before experienced in this country -- around the clock, until last night, the last second," said Greens' leader Annalena Baerbock as she thanked party supporters.

Environmental concerns and economic worries have emerged as key issues in campaigning, with the former fueled by the deadly floods that devastated parts of Germany this summer.

Baerbock credited her party's success to young and new voters. "This momentum from the market places, from so many [people] who joined our party in the last years, has led to this historical best result," she said.

But, Baerbock added, the party had "wanted more" and had failed to do better in part because of mistakes by her during campaigning.

The AfD's lead candidate for chancellor, Alice Weidel, put on a brave face after projected election results showed support for the far-right party dropping by 2.6% from 2017.

"We are in the double figures, we have been able to assert ourselves," she said, according to Reuters. "This assertion that we would be gone from parliament after one legislative period has utterly failed and we are very very happy."

Analyst: 'Tall order' to bring parties together


The outgoing government remains in office as acting government until it is replaced by a new government. Merkel, 67, will then stand down and the new chancellor will take the reins.

Even if the final result changes the vote distribution, the basic fact is "after 16 years in power, almost 76% of Germans have not voted" for Merkel's party, CNN commentator Dominic Thomas said.

Neither CDU nor SPD will have a real opportunity to create a coalition, he added.

"If it is the SPD that leads the way, the only path forward is going to be speaking to three parties that most likely will involve the Greens and the FDP. And that's quite a tall order trying to just bring all of those together," he said.

The exit polls indicate movement toward center and center-left., he added, reflecting the concerns of a younger electorate.

"It is clear that the momentum is moving more towards issues that concern social welfare, green politics," Thomas said.

The negotiations to form a coalition government could take weeks or even months. It took more than five months after the September 2017 election for a government to be formed under Merkel.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
UK Government Reaches Framework Agreement on Release of Mandelson Vetting Files
UK Police Contracts With Israeli Surveillance Firms Spark Debate Over Ethics and Oversight
Spain to Conduct Border Checks on Gibraltar Arrivals Under New Post-Brexit Framework
Engie Shares Jump After $14 Billion Agreement to Acquire UK Power Grid Assets
BNP Paribas Overtakes Goldman Sachs in UK Investment Banking League Tables
Geothermal Project to Power Ten Thousand Homes Marks UK Renewable Energy Milestone
UK Visa Grants Drop Nineteen Percent in 2025 as Migration Controls Tighten
Barclays and Jefferies Among Banks Exposed to Collapse of UK Mortgage Lender MFS
UK Asylum Applications Edge Down in 2025 Despite Rise in Small Boat Crossings
Jefferies Reports Significant Exposure After Collapse of UK Lender MFS
FTSE 100 Reaches Fresh Record Highs as Major Share Buybacks and Earnings Lift London Stocks
So, what's happened is, I think, government policy, not just under Labour, but under the Conservatives as well, has driven a lot of small landlords out of business.
Larry Summers, the former U.S. Treasury Secretary, is resigning from Harvard University as fallout continues over his ties to Jeffrey Epstein.
U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday, with the Dow gaining about six-tenths of a percent, the S&P 500 adding eight-tenths of a percent, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq climbing roughly one-and-a-quarter percent.
From fears of AI-fuelled unemployment to Big Tech's record investment, this is AI Weekly.
Apple just dropped iOS 26.4.
US Lawmakers Seek Briefing from UK Over Reported Encryption Order Directed at Apple
UK Business Secretary Calls on EU to Remove Trade Barriers Hindering Growth
Legal Pathways for Removing Prince Andrew from Britain’s Line of Succession Examined
PM Netanyahu welcome India PM Narendra Modi to Israel
Shadow Diplomacy: How Harry and Meghan’s Jordan Trip Undermines the Monarchy
Sir Jim Ratcliffe, co-owner of Manchester United, comments on immigration in the UK.
Bill Gates, the UN and the WEF are attempting to construct "a giant digital gulag for all of humanity" via digital ID, CBDCs and vaccine passport infrastructure.
Britain’s Channel Crisis: Paying Billions While the Boats Keep Coming
Downing Street’s Veteran Deception Scandal
UK HealthCare Expands ‘Food as Health’ Initiative Statewide to Tackle Chronic Illness in Kentucky
Leonardo Chief Says UK Set to Decide on New Medium Helicopter Programme
UK Slows Chagos Islands Agreement After Concerns Raised in Washington
European and UK Stock Markets Reach Fresh Highs as Banks and Miners Lead Rally
UK Government Insists Chagos Islands Negotiations Continue After Minister’s ‘Pause’ Remark
No Confirmed Deal for Engie to Acquire UK Power Networks Amid Market Speculation
UK Reaffirms Updated Entry Requirements for Travellers as of February 25, 2026
General Atlantic to sell equity stake in ByteDance, valuing the company at $550 billion
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz Secures Pledge from China for Greater Imports of Quality Goods
Lord Mandelson Condemns Arrest as Driven by ‘Baseless Suggestion’ He Would Flee Abroad
Former UK Ambassador Released on Bail Following Arrest in Epstein-Linked Investigation
UK Parliament Orders Release of Former Prince Andrew’s Government Vetting Files
Reddit Fined £14 Million by UK Regulator Over Failures in Age Verification Controls
UK Moves to Tighten Regulation of Netflix, Disney+ and Prime Video Under New Media Rules
British Woman Who Reported Rape in Hong Kong Faces Possible Prosecution
'Christianity is the religion that has made this country great.'
Man Receives Parking Ticket 38 Years After Offense: ‘City Officials Said It’s Legitimate’
Woman Receives Gift Card for Christmas – Discovers It Is ‘Worth’ 63,000,000,000,000,000 Pounds
UK Sanctions New Zealand Insurer Maritime Mutual Following Allegations Over Russian Oil Cover
Reform MP Danny Kruger Condemns UK’s ‘Unregulated Sexual Economy’ in Call for Tougher Controls
The Show Must Go On: Prince William and Kate Middleton Shine at the BAFTAs Amid Andrew’s Arrest
UK Sanctions Russian ‘Illicit Oil Traders’ After Email Blunder Exposes Sanctions Evasion Network
Russia Amplifies Baseless Claims That UK and France Plan to Arm Ukraine with Nuclear Weapons
UK Imposes Sanctions on Two Georgian Television Channels Over Alleged Russian Disinformation
United States National Parks See Noticeable Drop in Visitors from Canada, U.K. and Australia
×