London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Sunday, Nov 16, 2025

More lockdowns possible by Xmas as cases may hit 200k in weeks, warns prof

More lockdowns possible by Xmas as cases may hit 200k in weeks, warns prof

BRITAIN faces the prospect of more lockdowns by Christmas and daily cases could hit 200,000 in weeks, a leading scientist has warned.

Professor Neil Ferguson - dubbed ‘Professor Lockdown’ - said he “can’t be certain” over whether restrictions will be reimposed after tomorrow’s unlocking.


Appearing by the BBC's Andrew Marr Show if there was a likelihood of a return to restrictions, Prof Ferguson stressed it would be a decision for the government to make.

He said: “Clearly, if we end up in a more, let's say, worst-case scenario ... at the higher end of the modelling and the projections of two, three thousand hospital admissions per day, there may be a need to basically slow spread to some extent.”

Asked if there could be a lockdown again before Christmas, he replied: "You're asking me about six months ahead, that's harder."

He added: "I hope not, but I can't be certain."

'MAJOR DISRUPTION'


Prof Ferguson said that the grim prospect of 100,000 cases a day was “almost inevitable” as the Delta variant continues to spread.

He continued: “I mean, we could get to 2,000 hospitalisations a day, 200,000 cases a day, but it's much less certain.

"There, you are talking about major disruption of services and cancellation of elective surgery and the backlog in the NHS, getting longer and longer."

🔵 Read our coronavirus live blog for the latest updates

Yesterday, Covid cases rose by 70 per cent in a week as 54,674 new infections were reported.

Deaths have increased by 41, bringing the total to 128,683.

The third wave is expected to peak in August with a cabinet minister today warning of "challenging weeks ahead".

Robert Jenrick called on Brits to exercise "good judgment" as restrictions are lifted, and admitted the country was at a "critical stage".

The Housing, Communities and Local Government minister told Sky News: "We won't really expect this wave of the virus to peak until late August, maybe even early September so there are going to be some quite challenging weeks ahead."

But in a more positive development, Sajid Javid today announced that every British adult had been offered their first dose of the vaccine.

The health secretary hailed the "phenomenal national effort" as he urged younger Brits to come forward and take the jab.

'DIFFICULT DECISIONS'


Meanwhile, Boris Johnson has shelved plans for a “Churchillian” Freedom Day speech tomorrow to celebrate the lifting of restrictions amid self-isolation chaos.

Officials had wished to mark the event by having Mr Johnson speak at a historic venue associated with Churchill - though scientific advisers were spooked when the UK recorded over 50,000 infections yesterday.

It comes after a string of former cabinet ministers and scientific experts hit out at Freedom Day plans yesterday.

Former Health Secretary Jeremy Hunt warned that restrictions will have to be reimposed if Covid hospitalisations exceed the daily peak of the first wave.

He said the situation was “very serious” and the Government would face “difficult decisions” in the months ahead as cases rise.

Mr Hunt, who is now chairman of the Commons Health and Social Care Committee, told BBC Radio 4: “The warning light on the NHS dashboard is not flashing amber, it is flashing red.

"Covid hospital patients are doubling every two weeks. That means we are heading for 10,000 Covid hospital patients by the end of August, which is about 20 times higher than this time last year. It is a very serious situation.

“I think coming into September we are almost certainly going to see infections reach a new daily peak going above the 68,000 daily level, which was the previous daily record in January.

"If they are still going up as the schools are coming back I think we are going to have to reconsider some very difficult decisions."

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Nearly Half of Job Losses Under Labour Government Affect UK Youth
UK Chancellor Reeves Eyes High-Value Home Levy in Budget to Raise Tens of Billions
UK Urges Poland to Choose Swedish Submarines in Multi-Billion € Defence Bid
US Border Czar Tom Homan Declares UK No Longer a ‘Friend’ Amid Intelligence Rift
UK Announces Reversal of Income Tax Hike Plans Ahead of Budget
Starmer Faces Mounting Turmoil as Leaked Briefings Ignite Leadership Plot Rumours
UK Commentator Sami Hamdi Returns Home After US Visa Revocation and Detention
UK Eyes Denmark-Style Asylum Rules in Major Migration Shift
UK Signals Intelligence Freeze Amid US Maritime Drug-Strike Campaign
TikTok Awards UK & Ireland 2025 Celebrates Top Creators Including Max Klymenko as Creator of the Year
UK Growth Nearly Stalls at 0.1% in Q3 as Cyberattack Halts Car Production
Apple Denied Permission to Appeal UK App Store Ruling, Faces Over £1bn Liability
UK Chooses Wylfa for First Small Modular Reactors, Drawing Sharp U.S. Objection
Starmer Faces Growing Labour Backlash as Briefing Sparks Authority Crisis
Reform UK Withdraws from BBC Documentary Amid Legal Storm Over Trump Speech Edit
UK Prime Minister Attempts to Reassert Authority Amid Internal Labour Leadership Drama
UK Upholds Firm Rules on Stablecoins to Shield Financial System
Brussels Divided as UK-EU Reset Stalls Over Budget Access
Prince Harry’s Remembrance Day Essay Expresses Strong Regret at Leaving Britain
UK Unemployment Hits 5% as Wage Growth Slows, Paving Way for Bank of England Rate Cut
Starmer Warns of Resurgent Racism in UK Politics as He Vows Child-Poverty Reforms
UK Grocery Inflation Slows to 4.7% as Supermarkets Launch Pre-Christmas Promotions
UK Government Backs the BBC amid Editing Scandal and Trump Threat of Legal Action
UK Assessment Mis-Estimated Fallout From Palestine Action Ban, Records Reveal
UK Halts Intelligence Sharing with US Amid Lethal Boat-Strike Concerns
King Charles III Leads Britain in Remembrance Sunday Tribute to War Dead
UK Retail Sales Growth Slows as Households Hold Back Ahead of Black Friday and Budget
Shell Pulls Out of Two UK Floating Wind Projects Amid Renewables Retreat
Viagogo Hit With £15 Million Tax Bill After HMRC Transfer-Pricing Inquiry
Jaguar Land Rover Cyberattack Pinches UK GDP, Bank of England Says
UK and Germany Sound Alarm on Russian-Satellite Threat to Critical Infrastructure
Former Prince Andrew Faces U.S. Congressional Request for Testimony Amid Brexit of Royal Title
BBC Director-General Tim Davie and News CEO Deborah Turness Resign Amid Editing Controversy
Tom Cruise Arrives by Helicopter at UK Scientology Fundraiser Amid Local Protests
Prince Andrew and Sarah Ferguson Face Fresh UK Probes Amid Royal Fallout
Mothers Link Teen Suicides to AI Chatbots in Growing Legal Battle
UK Government to Mirror Denmark’s Tough Immigration Framework in Major Policy Shift
UK Government Turns to Denmark-Style Immigration Reforms to Overhaul Border Rules
UK Chancellor Warned Against Cutting Insulation Funding as Budget Looms
UK Tenant Complaints Hit Record Levels as Rental Sector Faces Mounting Pressure
Apple to Pay Google About One Billion Dollars Annually for Gemini AI to Power Next-Generation Siri
UK Signals Major Shift as Nuclear Arms Race Looms
BBC’s « Celebrity Traitors UK » Finale Breaks Records with 11.1 Million Viewers
UK Spy Case Collapse Highlights Implications for UK-Taiwan Strategic Alignment
On the Road to the Oscars? Meghan Markle to Star in a New Film
A Vote Worth a Trillion Dollars: Elon Musk’s Defining Day
AI Researchers Claim Human-Level General Intelligence Is Already Here
President Donald Trump Challenges Nigeria with Military Options Over Alleged Christian Killings
Nancy Pelosi Finally Announces She Will Not Seek Re-Election, Signalling End of Long Congressional Career
UK Pre-Budget Blues and Rate-Cut Concerns Pile Pressure on Pound
×