London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Wednesday, Dec 24, 2025

Largest public sector wage growth since 2003 while jobless rate ticks up

Largest public sector wage growth since 2003 while jobless rate ticks up

The impact of strikes, and pay settlements to avert strikes, are seen in the latest employment figures which give a mixed picture for the economy.

Public sector wage settlements are at their highest levels since 2003, according to official employment figures that also show a pick-up in the jobless rate.

Data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed average regular pay growth in the public sector of 5.6% between January and March - a time when strikes hit several key services including the NHS and schools amid the cost of living crisis.

There were 556,000 working days lost because of labour disputes in March, the report said.

That was up from 332,000 in February and took the total for the year to date to 1.1 million.

Private sector wage growth was at 7% over the same January-March period.

The wider ONS figures calculated wages, excluding the effects of bonus payments, rising at an annual rate of 6.7% in the year to March.

That was up from the 6.6% figure reported the previous month.

Average weekly earnings were, however, slightly down at 5.8%.


A major concern for the government will be the continuing trend of long-term sickness.

The ONS said 2.55 million people were now out of work for that reason, a new record high.

The figure represents more than 8% of the workforce.

In further signs of a deteriorating jobs market, vacancies also fell - for the 10th month in a row - to 1.08 million.

The unemployment rate stood at 3.9% - up from 3.8% - despite a surge in employment as the number of self-employed grew and more people took part-time work.

The increase in unemployment, the ONS explained, was largely driven by people unemployed for over 12 months.

Darren Morgan, its director of economic statistics, said: "Employment and unemployment both rose again in the first three months of 2023, driven in particular by men.

"This means the number of those neither working nor looking for work continues to fall, although the number of people not working due to long-term sickness rose again, to a new record.

"Despite continued growth in pay, people's average earnings are still being outstripped by rising prices," he noted.

The wage figures, along with core inflation data, are key indicators for the Bank's rate-setting committee.

Members will want to see evidence that both are cooling before taking their feet off the rate hike pedal.

Governor Andrew Bailey said last week, after the Bank imposed its 12th consecutive rate hike to 4.5%, that inflation would be higher this year than it had earlier anticipated.

It blamed the upwards pressure on food - something that is outside its control but which will be reflected in the inflation figures over the months ahead.

The next set of inflation data covering the year to April will, however, show the first major easing in the headline consumer prices index (CPI) number since the infancy of the cost of living crisis.

That is because the effects of the first major surge in energy bills in April 2022 is set to fall out of the calculations.

Economists see CPI easing from its current rate of 10.4% to around 8% when April's figure is revealed next week.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
UK Mortgage Rates Edge Lower as Bank of England Base Rate Cut Filters Through Lending Market
U.S. Supermarket Gives Customers Free Groceries for Christmas After Computer Glitch
Air India ‘Finds’ a Plane That Vanished 13 Years Ago
Caviar and Foie Gras? China Is Becoming a Luxury Food Powerhouse
Hong Kong Climbs to Second Globally in 2025 Tourism Rankings Behind Bangkok
From Sunniest Year on Record to Terror Plots and Sports Triumphs: The UK’s Defining Stories of 2025
Greta Thunberg Released on Bail After Arrest at London Pro-Palestinian Demonstration
Banksy Unveils New Winter Mural in London Amid Festive Season Excitement
UK Households Face Rising Financial Strain as Tax Increases Bite and Growth Loses Momentum
UK Government Approves Universal Studios Theme Park in Bedford Poised to Rival Disneyland Paris
UK Gambling Shares Slide as Traders Respond to Steep Tax Rises and Sector Uncertainty
Starmer and Trump Coordinate on Ukraine Peace Efforts in Latest Diplomatic Call
The Pilot Barricaded Himself in the Cockpit and Refused to Take Off: "We Are Not Leaving Until I Receive My Salary"
UK Fashion Label LK Bennett Pursues Accelerated Sale Amid Financial Struggles
U.S. Government Warns UK Over Free Speech in Pro-Life Campaigner Prosecution
Newly Released Files Shed Light on Jeffrey Epstein’s Extensive Links to the United Kingdom
Prince William and Prince George Volunteer Together at UK Homelessness Charity
UK Police Arrest Protesters Chanting ‘Globalise the Intifada’ as Authorities Recalibrate Free Speech Enforcement
Scambodia: The World Owes Thailand’s Military a Profound Debt of Gratitude
Women in Partial Nudity — and Bill Clinton in a Dress and Heels: The Images Revealed in the “Epstein Files”
US Envoy Witkoff to Convene Security Advisers from Ukraine, UK, France and Germany in Miami as Peace Efforts Intensify
UK Retailers Report Sharp Pre-Christmas Sales Decline and Weak Outlook, CBI Survey Shows
UK Government Rejects Use of Frozen Russian Assets to Fund Aid for Ukraine
UK Financial Conduct Authority Opens Formal Investigation into WH Smith After Accounting Errors
UK Issues Final Ultimatum to Roman Abramovich Over £2.5bn Chelsea Sale Funds for Ukraine
Rare Pink Fog Sweeps Across Parts of the UK as Met Office Warns of Poor Visibility
UK Police Pledge ‘More Assertive’ Enforcement to Tackle Antisemitism at Protests
UK Police Warn They Will Arrest Protesters Chanting ‘Globalise the Intifada’
Trump Files $10 Billion Defamation Lawsuit Against BBC as Broadcaster Pledges Legal Defence
UK Says U.S. Tech Deal Talks Still Active Despite Washington’s Suspension of Prosperity Pact
UK Mortgage Rules to Give Greater Flexibility to Borrowers With Irregular Incomes
UK Treasury Moves to Position Britain as Leading Global Hub for Crypto Firms
U.S. Freezes £31 Billion Tech Prosperity Deal With Britain Amid Trade Dispute
Prince Harry and Meghan’s Potential UK Return Gains New Momentum Amid Security Review and Royal Dialogue
Zelensky Opens High-Stakes Peace Talks in Berlin with Trump Envoy and European Leaders
Historical Reflections on Press Freedom Emerge Amid Debate Over Trump’s Media Policies
UK Boosts Protection for Jewish Communities After Sydney Hanukkah Attack
UK Government Declines to Comment After ICC Prosecutor Alleges Britain Threatened to Defund Court Over Israel Arrest Warrant
Apple Shutters All Retail Stores in the United Kingdom Under New National COVID-19 Lockdown
US–UK Technology Partnership Strains as Key Trade Disagreements Emerge
UK Police Confirm No Further Action Over Allegation That Andrew Asked Bodyguard to Investigate Virginia Giuffre
Giuffre Family Expresses Deep Disappointment as UK Police Decline New Inquiry Into Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor Claims
Transatlantic Trade Ambitions Hit a Snag as UK–US Deal Faces Emerging Challenges
Ex-ICC Prosecutor Alleges UK Threatened to Withdraw Funding Over Netanyahu Arrest Warrant Bid
UK Disciplinary Tribunal Clears Carter-Ruck Lawyer of Misconduct in OneCoin Case
‘Pink Ladies’ Emerge as Prominent Face of UK Anti-Immigration Protests
Nigel Farage Says Reform UK Has Become Britain’s Largest Party as Labour Membership Falls Sharply
Google DeepMind and UK Government Launch First Automated AI Lab to Accelerate Scientific Discovery
UK Economy Falters Ahead of Budget as Growth Contracts and Confidence Wanes
Australia Approves Increased Foreign Stake in Strategic Defence Shipbuilder
×