London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Monday, Jul 13, 2026

Largest public sector wage growth since 2003 while jobless rate ticks up

Largest public sector wage growth since 2003 while jobless rate ticks up

The impact of strikes, and pay settlements to avert strikes, are seen in the latest employment figures which give a mixed picture for the economy.

Public sector wage settlements are at their highest levels since 2003, according to official employment figures that also show a pick-up in the jobless rate.

Data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed average regular pay growth in the public sector of 5.6% between January and March - a time when strikes hit several key services including the NHS and schools amid the cost of living crisis.

There were 556,000 working days lost because of labour disputes in March, the report said.

That was up from 332,000 in February and took the total for the year to date to 1.1 million.

Private sector wage growth was at 7% over the same January-March period.

The wider ONS figures calculated wages, excluding the effects of bonus payments, rising at an annual rate of 6.7% in the year to March.

That was up from the 6.6% figure reported the previous month.

Average weekly earnings were, however, slightly down at 5.8%.


A major concern for the government will be the continuing trend of long-term sickness.

The ONS said 2.55 million people were now out of work for that reason, a new record high.

The figure represents more than 8% of the workforce.

In further signs of a deteriorating jobs market, vacancies also fell - for the 10th month in a row - to 1.08 million.

The unemployment rate stood at 3.9% - up from 3.8% - despite a surge in employment as the number of self-employed grew and more people took part-time work.

The increase in unemployment, the ONS explained, was largely driven by people unemployed for over 12 months.

Darren Morgan, its director of economic statistics, said: "Employment and unemployment both rose again in the first three months of 2023, driven in particular by men.

"This means the number of those neither working nor looking for work continues to fall, although the number of people not working due to long-term sickness rose again, to a new record.

"Despite continued growth in pay, people's average earnings are still being outstripped by rising prices," he noted.

The wage figures, along with core inflation data, are key indicators for the Bank's rate-setting committee.

Members will want to see evidence that both are cooling before taking their feet off the rate hike pedal.

Governor Andrew Bailey said last week, after the Bank imposed its 12th consecutive rate hike to 4.5%, that inflation would be higher this year than it had earlier anticipated.

It blamed the upwards pressure on food - something that is outside its control but which will be reflected in the inflation figures over the months ahead.

The next set of inflation data covering the year to April will, however, show the first major easing in the headline consumer prices index (CPI) number since the infancy of the cost of living crisis.

That is because the effects of the first major surge in energy bills in April 2022 is set to fall out of the calculations.

Economists see CPI easing from its current rate of 10.4% to around 8% when April's figure is revealed next week.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
World Cup Visitors Turn American Big-Box Stores Into Souvenir Stops
Netflix Weighs Always-On Channels, Bundles and Short-Form Video
Passenger Is Pulled Partly Outside Ryanair Jet After Window Fails Mid-Flight
Innovation-led growth strategy
Public service reform pressure
Defence and industrial security
Labour leadership transition and economic reset
Northern England Pushes for Greater Influence in Britain’s Future Economic Model
UK Technology Strategy Focuses on Life Sciences, Digital Innovation and Research Investment
Britain and United States Maintain Focus on Pharmaceuticals Cooperation and Industrial Growth
UK Public Services Face Continued Pressure as Government Promises Visible Improvements
Regional Economic Power Becomes Key Theme in Britain’s Next Political Phase
Britain Expands Support for Small Businesses as Firms Seek Better Access to Finance
UK Economy Remains Central Political Challenge as Cost of Living and Growth Concerns Persist
National Health Service Introduces New Workplace Reviews to Improve Conditions for Healthcare Staff
UK Life Sciences Sector Secures More Than Three Billion Pounds in Investment to Support Innovation
Britain Strengthens Defence Strategy as Security Concerns Reshape Military and Industrial Policy
Andy Burnham Promises Stronger UK Defence Industry and Expanded Domestic Production
UK Government Faces Difficult Spending Choices as Labour Leadership Transition Approaches
Rachel Reeves Warns Andy Burnham of Immediate Economic Challenges After Expected Leadership Change
Andy Burnham Prepares to Lead UK Government With Plans for Regional Power Shift and Economic Reset
Government Creates Emergency Support Scheme for Financially Struggling Universities
United Kingdom Replaces Traditional Farm Subsidies With Payments Linked to Environmental Performance
National Grid Reports First Week of Electricity Generation Without Fossil Fuels
United Kingdom Financial Regulator Introduces Tougher Capital Rules for Cryptocurrency Exchanges
Belfast Harbour Expands Operations to Attract Investment Through United Kingdom and European Union Market Access
Scottish Government Threatens Legal Challenge Over Westminster Cuts to North Sea Transition Funding
United Kingdom Accelerates Trans-Pennine High-Speed Rail Project Linking Northern Cities
United Kingdom Secures Ten Billion Pound Investment for Cambridge Quantum Computing Campus
Port Talbot Steelworks Wins Support for Green Hydrogen Transition and Protection of Industrial Jobs
United Kingdom Sends Royal Navy Carrier Strike Group to Indo-Pacific as Regional Security Focus Expands
National Health Service Expands Artificial Intelligence Diagnostics Across England to Reduce Screening Backlogs
United Kingdom Launches Fifty Billion Pound Infrastructure Fund to Accelerate Housing and Construction
UK Medical Chiefs Update Health Guidance to Promote Everyday Physical Activity
Office of Communications Keeps Wikipedia Under Review Under UK Online Safety Rules
UK Defence Ministry Expands Deep-Strike Capability Through Precision Missile Programme
Russell Group Universities Warn Funding Cuts Could Damage NHS Workforce Training
UK Parliament Calls for National Emergency Broadcast as Heatwave Conditions Intensify
UK and Netherlands Strengthen Naval Cooperation With New Amphibious Defence Partnership
UK Defence Ministry Joins International Missile Programme With One Hundred and Ninety Million Pound Investment
Bank of England Warns Middle East Conflict and AI Risks Could Pressure UK Economy
UK Government Introduces New Rules to Limit Foreign Influence in Political Donations
UK and France Prepare Naval Mission to Protect Shipping Through Strait of Hormuz
United States Pressures UK to Increase Defence Spending at NATO Summit
Bank of England Warns Artificial Intelligence Investment Boom Could Create Financial Stability Risks
Bank of England Begins Direct Oversight of Critical Technology Providers Supporting UK Finance
Andy Burnham Set to Become UK Prime Minister After Labour Leadership Race Clears Path to Downing Street
Scottish Fishing Industry Calls for Emergency Support Amid Rising Costs
UK Supports Stronger European Response to Russian Actions in Ukraine
Devon and Cornwall Police Release Suspect in Ann Widdecombe Murder Investigation
×