London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Thursday, Jul 23, 2026

Jeremy Hunt to 'stick to plan' despite £30bn less borrowing in year to date than predicted

Jeremy Hunt to 'stick to plan' despite £30bn less borrowing in year to date than predicted

The chancellor suggests his budget next month will not contain significant giveaways as the latest borrowing data shows strong income tax receipts and lower than expected spending on energy support has helped ease some pressure.
Public borrowing in the financial year to date is £30.6bn less than predicted by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), according to the last set of official figures before next month's budget.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported a £5.4bn surplus for the chancellor in January - aided by the highest January figure for self-assessment income tax receipts since monthly records began in 1999 of £21.9bn.

A poll of economists by the Reuters news agency had forecast a net borrowing figure of almost £8bn.

January's surplus, however, took the level of borrowing in the 2022/23 financial year so far to £116.9bn, the number-crunchers reported.

While the sum is well down on what the OBR forecast at the time of the autumn statement, the government has consistently argued that now is not the time to splash the cash despite the headwinds from the cost of living crisis.

It has cited the cost of energy bill support for households and businesses on the back of the COVID era aid that saw borrowing hit record levels.

Jeremy Hunt, however, is under pressure from critics to find more money for the NHS, fund higher public sector pay settlements in the face of widespread strikes and extend the current level of the energy support scheme beyond March.

Tory backbenchers are particularly keen for the tax burden to fall as the party languishes behind Labour in the polls.

But there was no change in tone from Mr Hunt in his response to the ONS figures.

"We are rightly spending billions now to support households and businesses with the impacts of rising prices - but with debt at the highest level since the 1960s, it is vital we stick to our plan to reduce debt over the medium-term", the chancellor said in a statement.

"Getting debt down will require some tough choices, but it is crucial to reduce the amount spent on debt interest so we can protect our public services."

The ONS data showed that public sector net debt stood at almost £2.5trn.

The impact of inflation on the cost of servicing government debt also remained clear to see at £6.7bn in January alone.

It was the highest figure for that month since records began in 1997.

Financial experts said that the boost from income tax receipts in January was exacerbated by energy costs coming in lower than predicted.

Economists at KPMG estimated that the Energy Price Guarantee was now likely to cost only around half of the OBR's £12.8bn forecast in 2023-24, thanks to lower wholesale energy prices.

"However, this will be largely offset by the new Energy Bills Discount Scheme for businesses, with an estimated cost of £5.5bn, providing little near-term relief against a backdrop of wider spending pressures," they said.

Economist Ruth Gregory at Capital Economics said of the report: "January's public finances figures suggest the chancellor may have scope for some giveaways in his budget on 15th March.

"But with the OBR poised to slash its medium-term economic growth forecasts, any hopes the chancellor might be able to give away a significant amount of money, while sticking to his previous debt-reduction plans, may be disappointed."

There was further evidence later on Tuesday morning that the economy is performing better than many, including the International Monetary Fund, expected.

A closely-watched reading of activity in the services and manufacturing sectors both outperformed economists' forecasts.

The preliminary "flash" reading of the S&P Global/CIPS UK Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) jumped to 53.0 in February from 48.5 in January, above the 50 threshold for growth for the first time since July.

The authors said businesses reported a bounce this month, as well as receding price pressures.
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Northern Ireland Secures Additional Infrastructure Funding From UK Treasury
Wales Approves Port Investment Plans to Support Green Energy Supply Chains
UK Financial Regulator Simplifies Stock Market Rules to Attract More Listings
UK Reports Decline in Small Boat Crossings Across the English Channel
UK Government Creates Emergency Support Fund for Financially Pressured Universities
Scottish Government Launches Economic Strategy Focused on Innovation and Renewable Industries
UK Expands Sustainable Farming Incentives to Support Environmental Measures
UK Government Introduces New Neighbourhood Policing Standards Across England and Wales
UK Competition Regulator Opens Review of Artificial Intelligence Foundation Models
UK Deepens Indo-Pacific Security Cooperation After Talks With Singapore and Japan
UK Announces Rail Modernisation Plan for Northern England With New Infrastructure Funding
UK Government Updates Housing Planning Rules to Accelerate Residential Construction
UK Approves Major North Sea Offshore Wind Project to Support Clean Power Goals
UK Health Service Begins Major Digital Upgrade to Cut Hospital Waiting Times
Bank of England Holds Interest Rates Steady as UK Inflation Pressures Remain Persistent
UK Universities and Industry Expand Space and Defense Research Partnerships
House of Lords Approves Social Housing Bill Amendments on Shared Ownership Rights
House of Lords Advances Civil Aviation Bill With New Passenger Protection Measures
UK Government Suspends Tariffs on Fertilizer and Food Imports to Reduce Costs
Russell Group Universities Support New UK Business Department Focused on Innovation
UK Parliament Opens Inquiry Into Transport Barriers Facing Young Jobseekers
Home Builders Federation Calls for Lower Costs as New UK Government Sets Housing Priorities
Andy Burnham Meets UK Devolved Leaders to Strengthen Regional Cooperation
Andy Burnham Holds First International Calls With Trump, Macron, and Zelenskyy
Andy Burnham Reshuffles Cabinet With John Healey Appointed Chancellor of the Exchequer
Andy Burnham Government Removes VAT From Electricity Bills to Cut Household Costs
Andy Burnham Becomes United Kingdom Prime Minister After Sir Keir Starmer Resigns
Miliband Sets Climate and International Law at Centre of UK Diplomacy
US Gasoline Returns to $4 as Renewed Iran Fighting Disrupts Oil Flows
Czech Central Bank Governor Rejects Early Euro Entry and Rate-Cut Pressure
Trump Orders 50% Tariffs on Selected Canadian Imports
Pentagon Discloses Nearly 100 US Troop Injuries During Renewed Iran Fighting
Trump Readies New Tariffs as Temporary Global Levy Nears Expiry
US Judge Pauses Paramount Skydance and Warner Bros Discovery Merger Over Antitrust Concerns
NHS England Faces Growing Retention Pressure Among Younger Midwives
UK Data Centre Expansion Faces Water and Grid Capacity Challenges
UK Defence Shares Rise After John Healey Appointment and Continued Spending Commitments
OECD Urges UK Government to Review Pension Triple Lock to Protect Public Finances
Bank of England Keeps Cautious Approach as Energy Costs Threaten Inflation Progress
County Councils Call for Wider Devolution and Long-Term Social Care Funding Reform
IMF Urges UK Government to Maintain Fiscal Discipline as Growth Forecast Slows
Russian Warship Holds Live-Fire Exercises Near UK Coast as Royal Navy Monitors Activity
Mitie Agrees Three Point One Billion Pound Takeover by OCS in Another Blow to London Listings
JPMorgan Chase Warns Bank Levies Could Hit UK Growth and Drive Capital Away
UK Unemployment Holds at Four Point Nine Percent as Labour Market Shows Resilience
UK Government Borrowing Falls Below Forecasts as Treasury Receives Early Fiscal Boost
John Healey Cuts VAT on Household Electricity Bills After Cancelling National Digital ID Scheme
Andy Burnham Forms New Labour Government With Ten-Year National Renewal Plan
EU Imposes Record €550 Million Digital Services Fine on AliExpress
UK Publishes Updated Consumption-Based Carbon Emissions Data
×