London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Saturday, Oct 03, 2026

How tax cut policy U-turn was decided

How tax cut policy U-turn was decided

Twenty four hours can be a long time in politics. Just ask Liz Truss.

On Sunday morning, she was telling Laura Kuenssberg her plan to scrap the additional rate of tax was here to stay.

Are you completely committed to it? Yes, she replied confidently.

As late as last night, senior ministers were defending the plan in the fringe meetings around the conference.

But something had changed.

The prime minister and chancellor held a series of crisis talks over the course of Sunday, as it became increasingly clear the policy was unsellable.

The telltale signs were there. Conservative MPs were hitting the airwaves and social media to say they thought it was wrong. They had a talisman in the form of Michael Gove. What many had been saying privately was not coming out in public.

The warning they might lose the whip seemed to be counterproductive; it infuriated sceptical MPs who didn't think the prime minister had the authority to see it through.

Grant Shapps - famous around Westminster for his ability to predict the result of votes - warned the government could lose in the Commons. Privately, Labour was confident of the same.

And by the time Mr Shapps appeared on the BBC's News at 10pm - to say the government had got its priorities wrong - the policy was already destined for the dustbin.

It was late evening when the final decision was made. Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng gathered for talks in the Hyatt Hotel in Birmingham, just beside the conference venue. They both now agreed: the policy had to be dumped immediately.

It was agreed the chancellor would kill it off in the morning in his BBC interviews.

Some senior cabinet ministers found out this morning, shortly before the announcement was made and after it had been reported, first by the Sun newspaper.

This is a significant blow for a government that has been in office for less than a month. It's a personal blow for a chancellor who had always prided himself on sticking to his guns.

Despite that, Mr Kwarteng's allies insist he is calm and even relieved that the policy is dead.

"He knew this was going to dominate everything," one says this morning.

But any sense of calm doesn't extend far beyond Mr Kwarteng's hotel room.

Around the conference centre, the Conservative Party feels as febrile as at any point in the past couple of years.

In the words of one former minister: "No wonder Labour are laughing. You couldn't make it up… it's just incompetence."

What's been noticeable is that many true-believers aren't sure she's made the right decision.

I asked one cabinet minister, close to the prime minister, if she'd made the right decision. They shrugged, adding: "There was an inevitability to it."

Others are angrier.

One minister I spoke to put it politely when they said they were "not happy".

"It undermines credibility," they said, predicting that Tory backbenchers would now be emboldened to challenge policies they didn't like, a daunting prospect for a new prime minister just a few weeks into the job.

A backbencher, who opposed the 45p policy, said junking it was bad for the PM's authority: "It looks weak."

Language we couldn't publish has been used more than once this morning.

Another MP who backed Ms Truss for the leadership was more sanguine, but still sceptical: "I'm not sure I would have gone for the u-turn. But she's done it and we need to support her."

But there's also a question mark over the relationship between the prime minister and her chancellor.

She told the BBC on Sunday that the decision to scrap the 45p rate was his. He said this morning that the U-turn decision was hers (he later said it was both of them).

When Ms Truss and Mr Kwarteng moved into Downing Street, they were seen as the closest of political friends. Allies said they would be joined at the hip.

More than a few eyebrows were raised by the willingness to attribute a decision to the other in the past couple of days.

Sources close to them say the idea of a split is overplayed. But a month in, not many people would have expected it to be a discussion at all.

So what state is the government in this afternoon? Battered and bruised? Definitely humiliated? Probably.

Unable to recover? Some Tories think so.

A former minister told me the conference has a "last days of Rome" feel about it. They warned the government hasn't solved the problem of unfunded borrowing, which will still be well over £40bn for tax cuts.

The hope in government will be that by taking this decision quickly, the damage from the 45p row will be limited, and that the government will be able to move on.

But in doing so, the prime minister is admitting her determination to fight for unpopular policies only goes so far.

There is a limit to how unpopular they are prepared to be.


Watch: Prime Minister Liz Truss says she stands by plans announced in the mini-budget


Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Church of England to Apologize for Role in Historical Forced Adoptions
UK Defence Ministry Investigates Historical Use of RAF Bases by Jeffrey Epstein
Scottish Housing Completions Fall to 11-Year Low
Welsh First Minister Calls for Expanded Devolution Settlement
UK Pledges £50 Million to Expand Domestic Military Drone Capabilities
UK Opens First Commercial Geothermal Plant in Cornwall
Green Party Wins Gorton and Denton By-Election as Labour Falls to Third
Prime Minister Andy Burnham Opens Review of UK-EU Relationship
UK Inflation Rises to 3.1%, Adding Pressure on Household Finances
UK Removes VAT From Domestic Electricity Bills to Ease Winter Energy Costs
Counterterrorism Police Arrest Sixth Suspect Over RAF Fairford Incident
UK Councils to Receive Sweeping Planning Powers to Ban New Vape and Betting Shops
Chancellor John Healey Faces Tax and Pension Scrutiny Ahead of Autumn Budget
Metropolitan Police Apologise for Accidental Disclosure in High-Profile Investigation
UK Universities Report Record International Enrolment as Housing Pressure Grows
UK Logistics Firms Monitor Rhine Disruption as Low Water Threatens European Supply Chains
UK Food Industry Warns Inflation Could Approach 7%
UK Introduces Vaping Duty and Mandatory Retail Stamps
Scotland Raises Property Taxes and Expands Child Payment in Annual Budget
Greggs Plans Four Factory Closures With 740 Jobs at Risk
OECD Raises UK 2026 Growth Forecast to 1.1%
UK Inflation Rises to 3.1% as Bank of England Faces Rate Debate
Andy Burnham Criticises Brexit and Says Rejoining EU Single Market Remains an Option
UK Imposes New Sanctions on Russian Military Networks and Propagandists
UK Launches Nationwide Early-Release Prison Scheme
Andy Burnham Says Security Services See Signs of Iranian Involvement in RAF Fairford Incident
Manchester City Found Guilty on Premier League Financial Charges After Independent Investigation
Scottish Court to Rule on Bid to Force No-Confidence Vote Against Aberdeen Council Co-Leader
UK Bans Extra Charges for Seating Children Under 12 Beside Accompanying Adults
UK Introduces Vaping Duty and New Licensing Requirements
Greggs to Close Four UK Factories and Cut 740 Jobs
Hundreds of Prisoners Released Early as England and Wales Prisons Reach 98% Capacity
UK Unveils New Russia Sanctions Targeting War Funding and Shadow Fleet
Burnham Says There Are Strong Indications of Iranian Involvement in RAF Fairford Security Breach
Prime Minister Andy Burnham Raises Prospect of Reviewing Britain's Post-Brexit EU Relationship
Markets Price in Bank of England Rate Increases as Inflation Rises to 3.1%
UK Borrowing Costs Climb Toward 5.5% as Global Bond Sell-Off Intensifies
UK-France One-In-One-Out Migration Agreement Expires as London Seeks Alternative Measures
Southwest England Faces Flood Alerts After Heavy Autumn Storms
UK Expands Funding for Rapid Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure
Welsh Government Approves Funding to Upgrade South Wales Transport
Northern Ireland Tensions Rise as Orange Order Rejects Drumcree Compromise
NHS Leaders Back Early Design of Proposed National Care Service
More Than One-Third of Regional UK Universities Face Financial Deficits
UK Current Account Deficit Narrows as Cross-Border Financial Flows Remain Strong
Bank of England and FCA Issue New Rules for Stablecoins and Digital Assets
MI5 Warns UK Universities Over Research Links With Chinese Institutions
UK Energy Price Cap Rises 4% as Electricity VAT Is Temporarily Suspended
Equity Calls for UK Personality Rights to Protect Performers From AI Replication
OpenAI Pauses Advanced Model Training Following Safety Concerns
×