London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Thursday, Apr 23, 2026

Hong Kong pollsters press on with voter sentiment survey for Legco race

Hong Kong pollsters press on with voter sentiment survey for Legco race

The Public Opinion Research Institute will on Tuesday announce results of its first-round poll on coming election.

A Hong Kong polling institute has pressed on with a survey of voter enthusiasm among members of the public over the coming Legislative Council election, despite claims by a pro-Beijing group that the move is prohibited under recent legal changes.

The Public Opinion Research Institute (Pori) will however not come up with popularity rankings for Legco candidates in the lead-up to next month’s election, citing budget constraints. It will be the first time the agency, founded by Dr Robert Chung Ting-yiu, a former chief pollster at the University of Hong Kong (HKU), has dropped the practice since Britain returned the city to China in 1997.

Observers and politicians across the spectrum are expecting a low voter turnout for the December 19 race, the first for the legislature since Beijing’s overhaul of the city’s electoral system, with the opposition camp boycotting the poll, saying the rule changes were designed to stifle dissent.

The Hong Kong government had earlier made it a criminal offence for people to encourage voter boycotts of elections, or spoil ballots as a form of protest against Beijing’s shake-up.

On Monday, Chung Kim-wah, deputy head of Pori, told an online talk show his group had proceeded with its plan to conduct three rounds of public opinion polls tracking people’s intention to vote, with results from the first phase to be released on Tuesday.

Respondents were asked about their political stances, and whether they would cast votes or leave their ballot papers blank, he said.

“A simple methodology we’ve adopted is to provide all options to electors … We are not advocating for anyone to cast blank votes,” Chung added. “We know well that [conducting polls] these days can be controversial … but we hope to shoulder our social responsibility as a pollster to conduct surveys in a scientific and democratic way.”

The Hong Kong Legal Exchange Foundation, a group led by pro-Beijing lawyers, accused Pori last week of “having ulterior motives and openly challenging the national security law and election laws” by conducting citywide surveys that they said could “incite” voters to cast invalid ballots.

The foundation cited the newly amended Elections (Corrupt and Illegal Conduct) Ordinance that stipulated it was illegal for anyone to incite another person in any way that would render the ballot paper invalid at an election. The group did not elaborate on why it deemed Pori’s poll to be in breach of the law.

Barrister Stephen Char Shik-ngor, former chief investigator at the Independent Commission Against Corruption, said the pro-establishment group’s accusations had weak legal grounds after reviewing the methodology adopted by researchers.

“What they are trying to do is to reflect public sentiment. I can’t see how such academic research correlates to ‘inciting others to commit illegal acts’,” said Char, who appealed to the pro-Beijing group to cite any legal precedents.

Barrister Albert Luk Wai-hung also said it would be highly unlikely for Pori to be in violation of the law if they had only collected data through a survey.

“If the prosecution wants to make a case, it must prove that organisers are using the surveys as an excuse to push their hidden agenda,” Luk said, suggesting the situation would not be problematic for the pollsters unless they had previously advocated publicly for an election boycott.

Another polling organisation, the Hong Kong Research Association, which has been accused by the opposition of siding with Beijing-friendly forces, published its first-round survey results last Wednesday on the same election. It asked respondents about their likelihood of voting, without mentioning the option of leaving ballot papers blank.

About 54 per cent of the 1,067 respondents said they would cast their ballots, with 28 per cent indicating otherwise, while 15 per cent were undecided.

Chung admitted Pori, formerly the Public Opinion Programme under HKU, had decided to discontinue rolling surveys that tracked candidates’ popularity, as well as exit polls conducted outside voting stations to predict results.

He attributed the move to budget constraints amid shrinking donations and the absence of commissions from media outlets that used to partner with the group in producing election coverage.

Chung stressed his group was not under “political pressure” to fold, adding executive director Robert Chung did not face any threats.

Police raided the office of Pori in Wong Chuk Hang earlier this year over its role in designing and setting up a website and app used for an unofficial opposition primary last year. Prosecutors had deemed that race a plot to subvert state power.

A total of 47 opposition activists have been charged – with most subsequently remanded in custody – over their organisation and participation in the primary, aimed at narrowing their ranks down to the most suitable candidates to run for Legco.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Crypto Scammers Capitalize on Maritime Chaos Near the Strait of Hormuz: A Rising Threat to Shipping Companies
Changi Airport: How Singapore Engineered the World’s Most Efficient Travel Experience
Power Dynamics: Apple’s Leadership Shakeup, Geopolitical Risks in the Strait of Hormuz, and Europe's Energy Strategy Amidst Global Challenges
Apple's Leadership Transition: Can New CEO John Ternus Navigate AI Challenges and Geopolitical Pressures?
Italy’s €100K Tax Gambit: Europe’s Soft Power Tax Haven
News Roundup
Microsoft lost 2.5 millions users (French government) to Linux
Privacy Problems in Microsoft Windows OS
News roundup
Péter András Magyar and the Strategic Reset of Hungary
Hungary After the Landslide — A Strategic Reset in Europe
Meghan Markle Plans Exclusive Women-Focused Retreat During Australia Visit
Starmer and Trump Hold Strategic Talks on Securing Strait of Hormuz Amid Rising Tensions
Unofficial Australia Visit by Prince Harry and Meghan Expected to Stir Tensions with Royal Circles
Pipeline Attack Cuts Significant Share of Saudi Arabia’s Oil Export Capacity
UK Stocks Rise on Ceasefire Momentum and Renewed Focus on Diplomacy
UK to Hold Further Strategic Talks on Strait of Hormuz Security
Starmer Voices Frustration as Global Tensions Drive Up UK Energy Costs
UK Students Voice Concern Over Proposal for Automatic Military Draft Registration
Rising Volatility Drives Uncertainty in UK Fuel and Petrol Prices
UK Moves to Deploy ‘Skyhammer’ Anti-Drone System to Strengthen Airspace Defense
New Analysis Explores UK Budget Mechanics in ‘Behind the Blue’ Feature
Man Arrested After Four Die in Channel Crossing Tragedy
UK Tightens Immigration Framework with New Sponsor Rules and Fee Increases
UK Foreign Secretary Highlights Impact of Intensified Strikes in Lebanon
UK Urges Inclusion of Lebanon in US-Iran Ceasefire Framework
UK Stocks Ease as Ceasefire Doubts in Middle East Weigh on Investor Confidence
UK Reassesses Cloud Strategy Amid Criticism Over Limited Support Measures
UK Calls for Full and Toll-Free Access Through Strait of Hormuz Amid Rising Tensions
Starmer Signals Strategic Shift for Britain Amid Escalating Iran-Linked Tensions
UK Issues Firm Warning to Russia Over Covert Underwater Military Activity
OpenAI Halts Stargate UK Project, Casting Uncertainty Over Britain’s AI Expansion Plans
Starmer Voices Frustration Over Global Pressures Driving UK Energy Costs Higher
UK Deploys Military Assets to Protect Undersea Cables From Suspected Russian Threat
Canada Aligns With US, UK and Australia as Europe Prepares Major Digital Border Overhaul
Meghan Markle’s Planned Australia Appearance Sparks Fresh Speculation
Starmer Warns Sustained Effort Needed to Ensure US–Iran Ceasefire Holds
UK to Partner with Shipping Industry to Rebuild Confidence in Strait of Hormuz, Cooper Says
UK Interest Rate Expectations Ease Following US–Iran Ceasefire Agreement
Starmer Signals Major Effort Needed to Fully Reopen Strait of Hormuz During Gulf Visit
UK Fuel Prices Face Ongoing Volatility Amid Global Pressures and Domestic Factors
Kanye West’s Planned Italy Festival Appearance Draws Debate After UK Entry Ban
Smuggling Routes Shift Toward Belgium as Migrant Crossings to UK Evolve
Ceasefire Offers Potential Relief for UK Fuel and Food Prices Amid Ongoing Uncertainty
Iran Conflict Raises Questions Over UK’s Global Influence and Military Preparedness
Senator McConnell Visits Kentucky to Highlight Federal Investment in Local Projects
Kanye West Barred from Entering UK as Legal Grounds Come into Focus
UK Denies Visa to Kanye West After Sponsors Withdraw from Wireless Festival
Trump-Era Forest Service Restructuring Leads to Closure of UK Lab Focused on Kentucky Woodland Health
Foreign Students in the UK Describe Harsh Living Conditions and Financial Pressures
×