London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Sunday, Oct 19, 2025

Hong Kong pollsters press on with voter sentiment survey for Legco race

Hong Kong pollsters press on with voter sentiment survey for Legco race

The Public Opinion Research Institute will on Tuesday announce results of its first-round poll on coming election.

A Hong Kong polling institute has pressed on with a survey of voter enthusiasm among members of the public over the coming Legislative Council election, despite claims by a pro-Beijing group that the move is prohibited under recent legal changes.

The Public Opinion Research Institute (Pori) will however not come up with popularity rankings for Legco candidates in the lead-up to next month’s election, citing budget constraints. It will be the first time the agency, founded by Dr Robert Chung Ting-yiu, a former chief pollster at the University of Hong Kong (HKU), has dropped the practice since Britain returned the city to China in 1997.

Observers and politicians across the spectrum are expecting a low voter turnout for the December 19 race, the first for the legislature since Beijing’s overhaul of the city’s electoral system, with the opposition camp boycotting the poll, saying the rule changes were designed to stifle dissent.

The Hong Kong government had earlier made it a criminal offence for people to encourage voter boycotts of elections, or spoil ballots as a form of protest against Beijing’s shake-up.

On Monday, Chung Kim-wah, deputy head of Pori, told an online talk show his group had proceeded with its plan to conduct three rounds of public opinion polls tracking people’s intention to vote, with results from the first phase to be released on Tuesday.

Respondents were asked about their political stances, and whether they would cast votes or leave their ballot papers blank, he said.

“A simple methodology we’ve adopted is to provide all options to electors … We are not advocating for anyone to cast blank votes,” Chung added. “We know well that [conducting polls] these days can be controversial … but we hope to shoulder our social responsibility as a pollster to conduct surveys in a scientific and democratic way.”

The Hong Kong Legal Exchange Foundation, a group led by pro-Beijing lawyers, accused Pori last week of “having ulterior motives and openly challenging the national security law and election laws” by conducting citywide surveys that they said could “incite” voters to cast invalid ballots.

The foundation cited the newly amended Elections (Corrupt and Illegal Conduct) Ordinance that stipulated it was illegal for anyone to incite another person in any way that would render the ballot paper invalid at an election. The group did not elaborate on why it deemed Pori’s poll to be in breach of the law.

Barrister Stephen Char Shik-ngor, former chief investigator at the Independent Commission Against Corruption, said the pro-establishment group’s accusations had weak legal grounds after reviewing the methodology adopted by researchers.

“What they are trying to do is to reflect public sentiment. I can’t see how such academic research correlates to ‘inciting others to commit illegal acts’,” said Char, who appealed to the pro-Beijing group to cite any legal precedents.

Barrister Albert Luk Wai-hung also said it would be highly unlikely for Pori to be in violation of the law if they had only collected data through a survey.

“If the prosecution wants to make a case, it must prove that organisers are using the surveys as an excuse to push their hidden agenda,” Luk said, suggesting the situation would not be problematic for the pollsters unless they had previously advocated publicly for an election boycott.

Another polling organisation, the Hong Kong Research Association, which has been accused by the opposition of siding with Beijing-friendly forces, published its first-round survey results last Wednesday on the same election. It asked respondents about their likelihood of voting, without mentioning the option of leaving ballot papers blank.

About 54 per cent of the 1,067 respondents said they would cast their ballots, with 28 per cent indicating otherwise, while 15 per cent were undecided.

Chung admitted Pori, formerly the Public Opinion Programme under HKU, had decided to discontinue rolling surveys that tracked candidates’ popularity, as well as exit polls conducted outside voting stations to predict results.

He attributed the move to budget constraints amid shrinking donations and the absence of commissions from media outlets that used to partner with the group in producing election coverage.

Chung stressed his group was not under “political pressure” to fold, adding executive director Robert Chung did not face any threats.

Police raided the office of Pori in Wong Chuk Hang earlier this year over its role in designing and setting up a website and app used for an unofficial opposition primary last year. Prosecutors had deemed that race a plot to subvert state power.

A total of 47 opposition activists have been charged – with most subsequently remanded in custody – over their organisation and participation in the primary, aimed at narrowing their ranks down to the most suitable candidates to run for Legco.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Windows’ Own ‘Siri’ Has Arrived: You Can Now Talk to Your Computer
Thailand and Singapore Investigate Cambodian-Based Prince Group as U.S. and U.K. Sanctions Unfold
‘No Kings’ Protests Inflate Numbers — But History Shows Nations Collapse Without Strong Executive Power
Chinese Tech Giants Halt Stablecoin Launches After Beijing’s Regulatory Intervention
Manhattan Jury Holds BNP Paribas Liable for Enabling Sudanese Government Abuses
Trump Orders Immediate Release of Former Congressman George Santos After Commuting Prison Sentence
S&P Downgrades France’s Credit Rating, Citing Soaring Debt and Political Instability
Ofcom Rules BBC’s Gaza Documentary ‘Materially Misleading’ Over Narrator’s Hamas Ties
Diane Keaton’s Cause of Death Revealed as Pneumonia, Family Confirms
Former Lostprophets Frontman Ian Watkins Stabbed to Death in British Prison
"The Tsunami Is Coming, and It’s Massive": The World’s Richest Man Unveils a New AI Vision
Outsider, Heroine, Trailblazer: Diane Keaton Was Always a Little Strange — and Forever One of a Kind
Dramatic Development in the Death of 'Mango' Founder: Billionaire's Son Suspected of Murder
Two Years of Darkness: The Harrowing Testimonies of Israeli Hostages Emerging From Gaza Captivity
EU Moves to Use Frozen Russian Assets to Buy U.S. Weapons for Ukraine
Europe Emerges as the Biggest Casualty in U.S.-China Rare Earth Rivalry
HSBC Confronts Strategic Crossroads as NAB Seeks Only Retail Arm in Australia Exit
U.S. Chamber Sues Trump Over $100,000 H-1B Visa Fee
Shenzhen Expo Spotlights China’s Quantum Step in Semiconductor Self-Reliance
China Accelerates to the Forefront in Global Nuclear Fusion Race
Yachts, Private Jets, and a Picasso Painting: Exposed as 'One of the Largest Frauds in History'
Australia’s Wedgetail Spies Aid NATO Response as Russian MiGs Breach Estonian Airspace
McGowan Urges Chalmers to Cut Spending Over Tax Hike to Close $20 Billion Budget Gap
Victoria Orders Review of Transgender Prison Placement Amid Safety Concerns for Female Inmates
U.S. Treasury Mobilises New $20 Billion Debt Facility to Stabilise Argentina
French Business Leaders Decry Budget as Macron’s Pro-Enterprise Promise Undermined
Trump Claims Modi Pledged India Would End Russian Oil Imports Amid U.S. Tariff Pressure
Surging AI Startup Valuations Fuel Bubble Concerns Among Top Investors
Australian Punter Archie Wilson Tears Up During Nebraska Press Conference, Sparking Conversation on Male Vulnerability
Australia Confirms U.S. Access to Upgraded Submarine Shipyard Under AUKUS Deal
“Firepower” Promised for Ukraine as NATO Ministers Meet — But U.S. Tomahawks Remain Undecided
Brands Confront New Dilemma as Extremists Adopt Fashion Labels
The Sydney Sweeney and Jeans Storm: “The Outcome Surpassed Our Wildest Dreams”
Erika Kirk Delivers Moving Tribute at White House as Trump Awards Charlie Presidential Medal of Freedom
British Food Influencer ‘Big John’ Detained in Australia After Visa Dispute
ScamBodia: The Chinese Fraud Empire Shielded by Cambodia’s Ruling Elite
French PM Suspends Macron’s Pension Reform Until After 2027 in Bid to Stabilize Government
Orange, Bouygues and Free Make €17 Billion Bid for Drahi’s Altice France Telecom Assets
Dutch Government Seizes Chipmaker After U.S. Presses for Removal of Chinese CEO
Bessent Accuses China of Dragging Down Global Economy Amid New Trade Curbs
U.S. Revokes Visas of Foreign Nationals Who ‘Celebrated’ Charlie Kirk’s Assassination
AI and Cybersecurity at Forefront as GITEX Global 2025 Kicks Off in Dubai
DJI Loses Appeal to Remove Pentagon’s ‘Chinese Military Company’ Label
EU Deploys New Biometric Entry/Exit System: What Non-EU Travelers Must Know
Australian Prime Minister’s Private Number Exposed Through AI Contact Scraper
Ex-Microsoft Engineer Confirms Famous Windows XP Key Was Leaked Corporate License, Not a Hack
China’s lesson for the US: it takes more than chips to win the AI race
Australia Faces Demographic Risk as Fertility Falls to Record Low
California County Reinstates Mask Mandate in Health Facilities as Respiratory Illness Risk Rises
Israel and Hamas Agree to First Phase of Trump-Brokered Gaza Truce, Hostages to Be Freed
×