London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Friday, Apr 03, 2026

Coronavirus: Up to fifth of UK workers 'could be off sick at same time'

Up to a fifth of the workforce may be off sick during the peak of a coronavirus epidemic in the UK, the government says in its latest plans.

Police may need to focus on only the most serious crimes and maintaining public order if the virus spreads.

The military could also provide support to emergency services if needed.

The government's response is in its first stage - containing the outbreak - with the number of UK cases rising from 39 to 51 on Tuesday.

Out of the positive cases, 12 people have since recovered.

It is "highly likely" the UK will see further infection, the prime minister has warned, and the next phase of government contingency planning will be to do with delaying the spread of the virus.

If the coronavirus, which causes Covid-19, becomes widespread, some non-urgent hospital care may be delayed to focus on treating those who are infected, while recently retired doctors and nurses may be called back to work.

Other possible measures include school closures, reducing large-scale gatherings and working from home.

Health Secretary Matt Hancock said that widespread transmission of the virus across the UK was becoming "more likely" and urged people to "act on official medical advice".

Meanwhile, 12 new cases of coronavirus have been announced in England, eight of whom had travelled from Italy, and one each from Germany, Singapore, Japan and Iran.

The patients are from London, Hampshire, Northamptonshire, Bury, Wirral, Greater Manchester and Hull.

Consultancy firm Deloitte said one of its employees had tested positive for the virus after returning from Asia. A spokesman said one of the floors in its UK offices was affected.

A British woman has also been diagnosed with the virus at a hotel in Tenerife that was hit by an outbreak of the virus last week.

About 90,000 people have been infected globally since the outbreak of Covid-19, with cases in more than 50 countries and more than 3,000 deaths.

A British man who was infected on the Diamond Princess cruise ship in Japan became the first UK citizen to die from the virus last week.

The Queen was seen wearing white gloves when she carried out an investiture at Buckingham Palace on Tuesday.

The palace would not confirm if the decision was linked to the coronavirus outbreak.

While the vast majority of patients in the UK will have a mild to moderate illness, similar to seasonal flu, a minority will require hospital care and a small proportion could die, the government's plans warn.

There are no estimates given in the plans but they do warn of an increase in deaths, particularly among the elderly and those with existing health conditions.

Young children can become infected and "suffer severe illness", but overall the illness is less common in the under-20s.

It is possible an outbreak could come in multiple waves, the government said.

Wales' chief medical officer has suggested cases of coronavirus could increase from April with a peak in May or June.

There are four stages to the government's response, which also includes mitigating the impact of the virus once it becomes established and a research programme to improve diagnostics and treatment for the disease.

Boris Johnson reiterated on Tuesday that the "single most important thing" people could do was wash their hands with soap and hot water for the length of time it takes to sing Happy Birthday twice.

He added: "I want to stress that for the vast majority of the people of this country, we should be going about our business as usual."

Mr Johnson said schools should stay open "if possible" and follow advice from Public Health England.

Meanwhile, Chancellor Rishi Sunak has ordered Treasury officials to work up plans to support the public health response, businesses and the economy in his Budget on 11 March.

Shadow health secretary Jonathan Ashworth has said Labour would seek to work "constructively" with the government.

However, he has called for emergency legislation to ensure those working in the gig economy are guaranteed sick pay, and for the government to provide emergency funding to support the NHS through the outbreak.

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has warned the NHS was already at 94% bed occupancy before coronavirus hit.

Mr Hancock told MPs that people who needed to self-isolate to protect others were entitled to sick pay.

He added that resources had been increased to the NHS, but did not rule out the government taking future action if needed.

In other developments:

European markets have climbed for a second day after fears over coronavirus affected shares, and Bank of England governor Mark Carney said policymakers stand ready to support the British economy
Mayor of London Sadiq Khan said there were currently no plans to postpone the London Marathon nor to restrict public transport
England's Six Nations game against Wales on Saturday and Scotland's against France on Sunday will go ahead, however England prop Mako Vunipola has gone into self-isolation as a coronavirus precaution and will not join the squad
UK supermarkets have said they have "well-rehearsed contingency plans" to deal with the outbreak and ensure continued availability in stores.
G7 finance ministers have said they will use "all appropriate policy tools" to tackle the economic impact of the virus
The Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games could be postponed to the end of the year, according to the country's Olympic minister
As of Tuesday morning, the Department of Health said 13,911 people had been tested in the UK, of which 13,860 were negative.

The outbreak originated in China's Hubei province in December before spreading globally.

The battle plan stops short of predicting how many people would be infected in an epidemic in the UK.

Worst case scenario modelling suggests 80% of people can become infected when there is a new virus like this.

But officials believe it will not be this high.

The evidence suggests just over half of people infected develop symptoms and 1% of those infected could die. The elderly and those with existing health conditions are the most at risk.

If there is a widespread transmission - which seems highly likely at this stage - it could take two or three months to peak. The peak would last two or three weeks and about 50% of people who become infected could become infected in those peak weeks.

There would then be a period of two or three months of declining cases, although the battle plan acknowledges there could be multiple waves.

The government is likely to use its most drastic measures at its disposal just ahead of the peak in an attempt to flatten it.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Trump’s Strategic Pressure on UK Seen as Push for Stronger Alignment and Fairer Terms
UK Focuses on Trade Finance to Secure Critical Materials for Defence and Energy Sectors
Majority of UK Businesses Hit by Middle East Conflict While Confidence Holds Firm
UK Royal Navy Faces Renewed Scrutiny as Debate Intensifies Over Capability and Readiness
Reform UK Faces Mounting Distractions as Policy Agenda Struggles to Gain Traction
Investigation Launched Into Northern Cyprus IVF Clinics After UK Families Receive Incorrect Sperm
International Meeting Issues Unified Call to Safeguard Navigation Through Strait of Hormuz
Potential Strait of Hormuz Closure Raises Concerns Over UK Food and Medicine Supply Chains
UK Leads Coalition of Over Forty Nations Urging Iran to Reopen Strait of Hormuz
UK Secures Tariff-Free Access for Medicines in Landmark US Pharma Trade Agreement
King Charles III Invited to Address Joint Session of U.S. Congress in Rare Diplomatic Honor
Debate Grows Over Whether Expanded North Sea Drilling Can Reduce UK Energy Bills
UK Faces Heightened Risk of Jet Fuel Shortages, Airline Chief Warns
UK Ends Police Investigations into Lawful Social Media Posts After Review Finds Overreach
Abramovich Moves to Establish Charity for Frozen Chelsea Sale Proceeds Amid UK Dispute
Starmer Reaffirms NATO Commitment While Responding to Trump’s Strategic Critique
UK Aid Reductions Raise Fears of Severe Human Impact Across Parts of Africa
UK Signals Renewed Push for EU Cooperation as Iran Conflict Reshapes Security Landscape
Bank of England Signals Caution as Bailey Advises Markets Against Expecting Rate Hikes
UK to Convene Global Coalition to Restore Shipping Through Strait of Hormuz
Trump Signals Possible NATO Reassessment, Emphasizes Stronger U.S. Strategic Autonomy
Australia Joins British-Led Efforts to Reopen Strait of Hormuz Amid Escalating Tensions
King Charles Plans US State Visit as UK Strengthens Ties with Trump Leadership
UK Regulator Launches Investigation Into Microsoft’s Business Software Practices
Kanye West Set for High-Profile Return to UK Stage at Wireless Festival
Trump Presses Europe to Strengthen Commitment as Iran Conflict Escalates
UK to Deploy Additional Troops to Middle East Amid Rising Regional Tensions
UK Authorities Face Claims of Heavy-Handed Measures in Monitoring Released Pro-Palestine Activists
Trump Calls on UK to Secure Its Own Energy as Iran Conflict Intensifies
Nigel Farage Declines Invitation to UK Conservative Conference Led by Liz Truss
Trump Warns Allies to Take Responsibility as Rift Deepens with UK and France Over Iran Conflict
How Britain’s Prime Minister Controls U.S. Bomber Access in Escalating Iran Conflict
Trump Urges Allies to Secure Their Own Oil Supplies as Hormuz Crisis Disrupts Global Energy
Russia Expels British Diplomat as UK Pushes Back Against Pressure
White House App Faces Scrutiny After Claims of Continuous User Location Tracking
BBC Faces Scrutiny Over Allegations of Paid Content Linked to Saudi Arabia
UK-France Coastal Patrol Agreement Nears Breakdown Amid Migration Pressures
UK Police Detain Pro-Palestine Activist Again Weeks After Bail Release
FTSE 100 Advances as Energy and Mining Shares Gain Amid Middle East Tensions
Eli Lilly Seeks UK Pricing Deal to Unlock Renewed Pharmaceutical Investment
Three Arrested in UK After Massive Cocaine Haul Discovered Hidden in Banana Shipment
UK Fuel Prices Poised for Further Surge Amid Global Energy Pressures
Apple Subsidiary Penalized by UK Authorities for Breach of Moscow Sanctions
Western Allies Intensify Coordinated Sanctions Strategy Against Russia
UK Lawmakers Face Criticism Over Renewed Push for Social Media Restrictions
Starmer Signals UK Crackdown on Addictive Social Media Features
Rising Costs Push One in Five UK Hospitality Businesses to the Brink of Closure
Man Arrested on Suspicion of Attempted Murder After Car Strikes Pedestrians in UK, Injuring Seven
Escalating Conflict Involving Iran Tightens Fiscal Pressures and Highlights UK Economic Vulnerabilities
UK Moves to Confront Russian ‘Shadow Fleet’ Operating in Its Waters
×