London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Saturday, Jul 19, 2025

EU leaders head for a fight over new money to save European industry

EU leaders head for a fight over new money to save European industry

France is leading calls for more funding for industry to compete with China and the US, but it’s not going to get its way without a struggle.

All EU leaders agree Europe needs to be more competitive in the face of rising energy prices and U.S. President Joe Biden's green subsidy splurge.

At a European Council summit in Brussels on Thursday, they are in for a fight over how to make that happen.

Throwing money at the problem in a bid to redress the balance with China and America Inc. is an increasingly likely option. Just a contentious one.

France is the main cheerleader in arguing that it's time to shift to a more centralized European industrial policy, and is stressing it's now a race against the clock. Major provisions of America's Inflation Reduction Act, which grants $369 billion worth of subsidies and tax breaks to U.S. green businesses like electric vehicles, kick in on January 1. Paris fears that Europe will be left in the dust if it doesn't bring some of its own financial firepower to the table.

But more free-trading nations like the Nordics are long-time skeptics about subsidies and state-led industrial strategies. They fear government-selected corporate champions are a recipe for over-expensive and inefficient behemoths.

"There is no secret that we are among the very many countries that are very much pro-trade, pro-markets," Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson said on Wednesday.

Critically, the conversation among EU leaders is likely to focus on how to craft subsidy packages without allowing the EU's hallowed single market to become unfairly distorted. Small countries fear that a shift to state largesse will simply play to the advantage of bigger nations such as France and Germany that will be able to prop up their companies artificially to the detriment of rivals from poorer nations in the bloc.

Beyond the common market, a subsidy race could also go global, shattering attempts to forge global trade rules and reverting back to the law of the jungle. Some fear France is firing the starting gun on this kind of subsidy race to the bottom. “If we start to do this together with the U.S., third countries and big economies will also join in and we will all be worse off,” a senior EU diplomat said. 

This debate cuts to the heart of the European Union as an economic single market: When faced with a major economic blow, how much solidarity is there really between EU countries? 


Plans on the table


European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on Wednesday suggested relaxing the EU’s emergency state aid rules so that European capitals can pour more government money into industries affected by the massive U.S. green package. 

But a wide range of EU countries don’t want the matter to be left at that. If carte blanche is given for countries to spend their way out of trouble, that will simply mean that Germany will pull out the big fiscal guns again. Good luck if you are a Greek or Portuguese rival to a German company enjoying a free ride from Berlin's war chest.

“If there is a race for the deepest pockets, that undermines the single market. This is very delicate,” one senior national official said in the lead-up to the meeting. An EU diplomat said that while Brussels wants to avoid a subsidy race with the U.S., it also definitely wants to avoid a subsidy race between EU countries. 

Therefore, Brussels is turning to European money to avoid single-market fissures. 

A first step is greater firepower for REPowerEU, the plan to wean the bloc off its dependency on Russian gas. Von der Leyen also flagged tapping money from the Emissions Trading System (ETS) — the EU's carbon allowance scheme — but one EU diplomat warned that the “ETS is turning out to be like an ATM for the Commission.” 

A second, more controversial step is an upcoming proposal from von der Leyen for a European Sovereignty Fund, which was first mentioned in her State of the Union address to the European Parliament in September.

“This will be the most contentious point of the discussion,” one EU official said, especially as it reminds of the debate that led up to the establishment of the COVID recovery fund, which was ultimately financed through joint borrowing.

Eight to 10 countries have a problem with new EU money, three EU officials said — mostly the countries who already have comfortable fiscal space, known as the “frugals.” They first want to look at the existing funds.

"We still have quite a lot of undistributed funds that have been mobilized," German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said on Wednesday.

Some EU countries also want a deeper analysis from the European Commission first on “which companies within those sectors are really feeling the burden,” according to the senior EU diplomat mentioned above.


Clash of ideas


Don’t hold your breath for any quick solutions just yet.

A wide range of diplomats expressed disquiet over the late initiative on the state aid proposals and the European Sovereignty Fund from von der Leyen, which didn’t leave enough time for the EU’s finance ministries and others in national capitals to get their feedback for leaders ready. 

In a sense, EU countries have already agreed to disagree beforehand. EU officials and diplomats on Wednesday managed expectations, saying that Thursday is “orientation time,” according to one senior EU official. 

One diplomat quoted the French poet Nicolas Boileau, saying that “from the clash of ideas comes the light.” In an ideal scenario, leaders would on Thursday give the European Commission clear political guidelines on the next steps, for example on the Sovereignty Fund, which von der Leyen promised for the summer. 

But another diplomat warned that all of these proposals will be hard fought over, “especially if the funds are mainly going to the Germans and the French,” the EU’s two biggest economies. 

Three of the diplomats didn’t rule out the idea that the discussion could be kicked down the road to a potential extra European Council in February, although that meeting could also be centered on migration. Another said the topic could be dealt with at a regular meeting in March.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Brazil's Supreme Court Imposes Radical Restrictions on Former President Bolsonaro
Centrist Criticism of von der Leyen Resurfaces as she Survives EU Confidence Vote
Judge Criticizes DOJ Over Secrecy in Dropping Charges Against Gang Leader
Apple Closes $16.5 Billion Tax Dispute With Ireland
Von der Leyen Faces Setback Over €2 Trillion EU Budget Proposal
UK and Germany Collaborate on Global Military Equipment Sales
Trump Plans Over 10% Tariffs on African and Caribbean Nations
Flying Taxi CEO Reclaims Billionaire Status After Stock Surge
Epstein Files Deepen Republican Party Divide
Zuckerberg Faces $8 Billion Privacy Lawsuit From Meta Shareholders
FIFA Pressured to Rethink World Cup Calendar Due to Climate Change
SpaceX Nears $400 Billion Valuation With New Share Sale
Microsoft, US Lab to Use AI for Faster Nuclear Plant Licensing
Trump Walks Back Talk of Firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell
Zelensky Reshuffles Cabinet to Win Support at Home and in Washington
"Can You Hit Moscow?" Trump Asked Zelensky To Make Putin "Feel The Pain"
Irish Tech Worker Detained 100 days by US Authorities for Overstaying Visa
Dimon Warns on Fed Independence as Trump Administration Eyes Powell’s Succession
Church of England Removes 1991 Sexuality Guidelines from Clergy Selection
Superman Franchise Achieves Success with Latest Release
Hungary's Viktor Orban Rejects Agreements on Illegal Migration
Jeff Bezos Considers Purchasing Condé Nast as a Wedding Gift
Ghislaine Maxwell Says She’s Ready to Testify Before Congress on Epstein’s Criminal Empire
Bal des Pompiers: A Celebration of Community and Firefighter Culture in France
FBI Chief Kash Patel Denies Resignation Speculations Amid Epstein List Controversy
Air India Pilot’s Mental Health Records Under Scrutiny
Google Secures Windsurf AI Coding Team in $2.4 Billion Licence Deal
Jamie Dimon Warns Europe Is Losing Global Competitiveness and Flags Market Complacency
South African Police Minister Suspended Amid Organised Crime Allegations
Nvidia CEO Claims Chinese Military Reluctance to Use US AI Technology
Hong Kong Advances Digital Asset Strategy to Address Economic Challenges
Australia Rules Out Pre‑commitment of Troops, Reinforces Defence Posture Amid US‑China Tensions
Martha Wells Says Humanity Still Far from True Artificial Intelligence
Nvidia Becomes World’s First Four‑Trillion‑Dollar Company Amid AI Boom
U.S. Resumes Deportations to Third Countries After Supreme Court Ruling
Excavation Begins at Site of Mass Grave for Children at Former Irish Institution
Iranian President Reportedly Injured During Israeli Strike on Secret Facility
EU Delays Retaliatory Tariffs Amid New U.S. Threats on Imports
Trump Defends Attorney General Pam Bondi Amid Epstein Memo Backlash
Renault Shares Drop as CEO Luca de Meo Announces Departure Amid Reports of Move to Kering
Senior Aides for King Charles and Prince Harry Hold Secret Peace Summit
Anti‑Semitism ‘Normalised’ in Middle‑Class Britain, Says Commission Co‑Chair
King Charles Meets David Beckham at Chelsea Flower Show
If the Department is Really About Justice: Ghislaine Maxwell Should Be Freed Now
NYC Candidate Zohran Mamdani’s ‘Antifada’ Remarks Spark National Debate on Political Language and Economic Policy
President Trump Visits Flood-Ravaged Texas, Praises Community Strength and First Responders
From Mystery to Meltdown, Crisis Within the Trump Administration: Epstein Files Ignite A Deepening Rift at the Highest Levels of Government Reveals Chaos, Leaks, and Growing MAGA Backlash
Trump Slams Putin Over War Death Toll, Teases Major Russia Announcement
Reparations argument crushed
Rainmaker CEO Says Cloud Seeding Paused Before Deadly Texas Floods
×