London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Saturday, Aug 22, 2026

Closing the Brexit curtains: It's either Boris' Deal or No Deal

Closing the Brexit curtains: It's either Boris' Deal or No Deal

Boris Johnson's Brexit deal is the best yet for the UK - but it's still a bad deal. Politicians on all sides are heading towards the biggest EU showdown of the century on Saturday, and they've got some tough thinking to do.

I always believe that it's best to read what you're talking about first, and then comment upon it afterwards. Politicians quite often do the opposite, like when Jeremy Corbyn famously didn't even bother to read Theresa May's deal before commenting on it.

Having read Johnson's deal, both the Withdrawal Agreement and the new Political Declaration that goes with it, I'm a little stuck - and I'm not the only one. For all the insistence from the European Union and many UK opposition politicians that there would be no meaningful changes to the deal, the prime minister has clearly negotiated a substantially different deal with the EU.

This is still, from a Brexiteer's perspective, a bad deal, but unlike May's deal, it's not an absolute disaster. It allows the UK to chart a different course to the EU if we so desire. Brexiteers should at the very least consider this to be better than remaining in the EU, and recognize that it is more than May managed to achieve when she was prime minister.

It's a 'Jekyll and Hyde' Brexit deal, unlike May's - which was only Hyde. There are still concerns over the future trading relationship, but phrases like 'continued regulatory alignment' - which would force the UK to continue to legislate in line with new EU laws - are conspicuous in their absence.

The wording on fisheries is deliberately vague. It could mean almost anything. Parts of the Political Declaration require the UK and the EU to 'consider' and 'explore' all kinds of things, from the EU's Space Programme to carbon-trading schemes and EU defence policies, but there's no obligation for us to actually sign on the dotted line. The UK can ignore any and all of that if it wishes. More importantly, the backstop - which could have kept us tied to the EU in perpetuity - has been replaced.


The negatives still persist.

There are worrying provisions requiring co-operation on state aid and public procurement rules. The text suggests that the EU probably won't allow a long-term trading arrangement that allows the UK to deregulate and improve our own competitiveness. And, as ever, there's Northern Ireland. Scrapping the backstop has seen other customs provisions put in its place, which might require some goods to be checked when they cross the Irish Sea. No wonder the DUP is not (at least yet) prepared to vote for it.

This afternoon, Jean-Claude Juncker was dismissive about the possibility of a Brexit extension - and the Benn Act may not be sufficient to convince the EU27 to unanimously support a delay. We are hopefully reaching a High Noon moment in which the UK will leave the EU on October 31st, either with this New Deal or No Deal - discounting, for the moment, any possibility of Parliament legislating to cancel Brexit altogether. In a nutshell, this whole deal leaves everyone with a dilemma:

• Can a Brexiteer who supports a No-Deal Brexit really risk voting against this deal? Would that risk opening the door to a Parliamentary attempt to scrap Brexit altogether before October 31st?

• Can Remainers vote against this deal, knowing that such an action would potentially lead to a No-Deal Brexit?

• Can the former Conservative MPs who were kicked out for voting against No Deal vote against this, or is there a way back into the Party for them if they support it?

• Can the more moderate Labour MPs risk defying their party whip to vote in favour of this deal, if there's a chance that they might meet the same fate as the Conservatives who were suspended for doing the same?

There won't be many politicians in the UK who will sleep easily tonight. There will be a showdown in Parliament on Saturday, and it's not at all clear which way it's going to go. Politics has been chaotic in the United Kingdom for years, but perhaps the final act of this saga has finally begun.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
The rise and fall of Hui Ka Yan, China’s richest man
Woke: Britain Considers Plain Packaging for Cigars as Specialist Shops Warn of Industry Collapse
Britain's Public-Service Productivity Remains Below 2019 as £80 Billion Output Gap Fuels WFH Debate
Mandelson Epstein Case in Jeopardy as U.S. Files Stay Out of Reach
Prince Harry and Six Others Ordered to Pay £9.5 Million After High Court Defeat
Bank of England Holds Interest Rate at 3.75% as Inflation and Energy Risks Persist
UK AI Security Tests Find Autonomous Agent Attempting Malicious Code Injection
UK Economy Grows 0.4% in Second Quarter Amid Global Pressures
UK Joins European Allies in Condemning Israeli Settlement Plans in West Bank E1 Area
Multiple People Killed in A66 Collision Near Middlesbrough Involving Police Vehicle
UK Government Holds First National Day for Victims and Survivors of Terrorism
UK Met Office Warns of Severe Autumn Storms as Strong El Niño Follows Historic Drought
Petrol Bombs Set Luxury Cars Alight Outside Birmingham Wedding as Police Hunt Three Men
Bitcoin Surges Toward $80,000 as Short Squeeze and ETF Inflows Ignite Crypto Rally
Prince Harry and Co-Claimants Ordered to Pay £9.5 Million Toward Daily Mail Publisher’s Legal Costs
Prince Harry and Meghan Markle Reportedly Plan Return to Britain With Their Children
UK Court Ruling Threatens Deportation Plans for Potential Trafficking Victims to Albania
Kemi Badenoch Presses UK Government for Decisions on Rosebank and Jackdaw Oil Fields
UK Foreign Affairs Committee Chair Calls for Ban on Goods from Occupied West Bank
Andy Burnham Government to Place Civil Servants Directly in English Mayoral Offices
Met Office Warns Major El Niño Could Bring Stormier, Wetter Autumn to UK
UK Economy Gains Unexpected Momentum Ahead of Andy Burnham Government’s First Budget
Twenty-Nine US States Take Meta to Trial Over Alleged Child Addiction on Instagram and Facebook
Former Scottish National Party Executive Peter Murrell Jailed for Five Years Over £400,000 Embezzlement
Moderna and Merck's Personalized Cancer Vaccine Succeeds in Historic Late-Stage Melanoma Trial
Prince Harry and Meghan to Move Back to Britain With Their Children
England and Wales Have Fewer Than 1,800 Prison Places Left for Men
Royal Navy to Accelerate DragonFire Laser Deployment Against Growing Drone Threat
Northern Ireland Approves Five Hundred Million Pound Belfast Harbour Expansion
Great British Railways Takes Full Control of Avanti West Coast as Rail Nationalisation Reaches Final Stage
UK AI Safety Institute Calls for Mandatory Security Audits of Advanced AI Models
Scotland Secures Three Billion Pounds for Floating Offshore Wind Hub in Aberdeen
Government Overrides Local Councils to Approve Green Belt Housing Across Southern England
UK and EU Move Toward Mutual Recognition of Food Standards to Ease Cross-Channel Trade
Government Plans Multibillion-Pound Private Healthcare Expansion to Cut NHS Surgical Backlogs
Bank of England Signals Faster Rate Cuts as Inflation Falls Below the Two Percent Target
Suspected People Smuggler Arrested After Investigation Identified Him
Children's Doctors Warn That Vaping Can Lead Young People to Smoking
Hundreds of Thousands of Students Receive GCSE and Vocational Results Across England, Wales and Northern Ireland
Here Is What Can Never Happen in Your Country: Taiwan Is Giving Money to All Its People Because It Collected Too Much Tax
UK Inflation Rises to 2.9% as Energy Bills Jump
UK Issues New Conduct Guide for Asylum Seekers on Consent and Respect
Moderna Shares Surge After Positive Personalized Skin Cancer Trial Results
UK Markets Watch US National Debt Surpass Forty Trillion Dollars
UK Broadcasters Urge Government to Invest in Digital Participation and Broadband
CVC Capital Partners and Standard Life Launch Two Billion Pound Pension Risk Transfer Venture
UK Private Sector Productivity Growth Accelerates in Second Quarter
UK Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband Condemns Israeli E1 Settlement Tender
UK Watchdog Investigates Trainline, Virgin Atlantic and RED Driving School Over Hidden Fees
Prince Harry and Meghan Markle Plan Move to Private Home Outside London
×