London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Tuesday, Sep 08, 2026

Record wage rises still outpaced by soaring inflation

Record wage rises still outpaced by soaring inflation

Wages are rising at their fastest rate in more than 20 years, but still lag well behind the soaring cost of living.

Regular pay rose by 5.7% in the year to September, the fastest growth since 2000 excluding the pandemic, when people got big rises when returning to work from furlough.

However, when adjusted for rising prices, wages fell by 2.7%.

The cost of living is currently rising at its fastest rate in almost 40 years, largely due to the war in Ukraine.

Energy and food prices have shot upwards, leaving many people struggling to pay their bills.

ManpowerGroup, one of the UK's biggest recruiters, told the BBC that the gap between wages and prices was "putting more and more pressure on households".

The UK unemployment rate rose slightly to 3.6% in the three months to September, up from 3.5% in August, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.

However, while this is near a 50-year low, the Bank of England has warned that unemployment will nearly double by 2025 as the UK goes through a tough recession.

On Thursday, Chancellor Jeremy Hunt will set out his plans to get the economy back on track, with spending cuts and tax rises expected.

The Times reported on Tuesday that Mr Hunt and the prime minister will announce a significant rise in the national living wage and target new cost-of-living payments at the poorest households.


Commenting on the latest figures, Mr Hunt said he understood "people's hard-earned money isn't going as far as it should".

"Tackling inflation is my absolute priority and that guides the difficult decisions on tax and spending we will make on Thursday."

But Labour's shadow chancellor, Rachel Reeves, said the UK was paying for "12 years of Tory economic mistakes".

"Real wages have fallen again, thousands of over-50s have left the labour market and a record number of people are out of work because they're stuck on NHS waiting lists or they're not getting proper employment support."

With job vacancies still near a record high and unemployment low, most employers are being forced to put up wages to attract the workers they need.

However, in the year to September, the ONS said pay growth was much stronger in the private sector than in the public sector, at 6.6% versus 2.2% - the largest gap seen outside of the pandemic.

The Resolution Foundation, a think tank focused on improving the living standards of those on low-to-middle incomes, said this was "unsustainable" as it made it harder to recruit and retain public sector staff.

"With public services already stretched and job vacancies already at record highs, it will be hard for the chancellor to deliver a further period of sustained public sector pay restraint," said its economist Louise Murphy, referring to Thursday's Autumn Statement.

The proportion of people neither working nor looking for work also rose again, the ONS said.

Older workers continued to leave the labour market, with the number classed as long-term sick increasing to a fresh record. There was also a drop in the proportion of younger people working, possibly due to recent strikes.

NHS nurses, Royal Mail staff, university lecturers and railway workers have all threatened walkouts as they seek pay rises that are closer to the soaring rate of inflation.

"August and September saw well over half a million working days lost to strikes, the highest two-month total in more than a decade," said Darren Morgan, director of labour and economic statistics at the ONS.


'I'm losing care staff to Amazon'


Josh Hawker says his business has limited scope to boost salaries


Josh Hawker, a director at care home company AbleCare, says the firm has been struggling to recruit for a few months now, despite its overall wage bill rising by 10%,

AbleCare, which runs six care homes around Bristol and South Gloucestershire, is also finding it difficult to retain staff, with carers tempted away by high pay offers outside of the sector that the business cannot compete with.

"I'm getting really fed up with reading resignation letters that say: 'I love my job, I don't want to go, I love looking after the residents but I have to put my family and myself first,'" Mr Hawker says.

"They're getting offers of 20 or 30% higher than we can possibly pay, to go and work at places like Amazon and the big supermarkets. What can you say to them? What can you say other than 'fair enough'?", he says.

The company has done what it can to raise pay, and has started to offer health insurance as an incentive for staff. But facing rising costs, the business has limited room to boost salaries.

Neil Carberry of the Recruitment and Employment Confederation trade group said the latest figures showed the "exceptional growth" in demand for new workers seen this year was at an end.

But he added: "Despite increased levels of employer caution, vacancies are still at historically high levels - it is still a good time to be looking for work. Unemployment remains at record lows, while employment is still below February 2020 levels."

Gareth Vale, director of operations at ManpowerGroup, said falling real-terms wages were hurting households.

"With average total pay... not keeping pace with inflation, some people are looking to work more hours or take on an additional role to supplement incomes to keep pace with rising costs. Employers will need to keep an eye on this in terms of staff wellbeing and the impact it could have on overall productivity and growth."

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
University of Bristol Opens £500 Million Innovation Campus
Families Give Evidence to Independent Review of Sussex Maternity Failures
Sweden Confirms Deportation of 458 British Citizens Over Post-Brexit Residency Rules
UK Launches £3 Million Challenge for Long-Duration Energy Storage
Reform UK Proposes £100 Billion in Spending Cuts and Brownfield Deregulation
Andy Burnham Warns Macron That EU Procurement Rules Could Hurt British Steel
Andy Burnham Faces Major Decision on Future North Sea Oil and Gas Drilling
SEND Support in England Projected to Reach One in 10 Pupils
England’s Housing Courts Struggle With Surge in No-Fault Eviction Cases
Violent Clashes Erupt in Portsmouth During Protest Against Asylum Processing
Three-Quarters of NHS Emergency Staff Report Regular Violence or Aggression
UK Considers Converting Female Prison Space for Male Inmates as Overcrowding Worsens
UK House Prices Record First Annual Decline in Nearly Three Years
UK Government Reassesses Policy Toward Israel Amid Calls for Diplomatic Shift
Reform UK Faces Police Scrutiny Over Alleged Foreign Donations Scheme
University of Bristol Opens £500 Million Temple Quarter Enterprise Campus
Online Bookmakers Accused of Privacy Breaches Through Cookie Consent Practices
Health Campaigners Urge UK Government to Abandon U.S. Pharmaceutical Agreement
Three-Quarters of UK A&E Staff Report Regular Violence or Aggression
Far-Right Demonstrations Target Portsmouth as Small-Boat Crossings Fuel Tensions
UK Records Hottest Summer on Record After Severe Heatwaves
UK Travellers Face Renewed EU Border Delays as Temporary Flexibility Ends
UK Rejects Calls to Pause AI Data Centre Expansion Despite Energy Concerns
UK Defence Figures Push for 3% Spending Target Amid Falklands Concerns
England Faces Rising Financial Pressure as Special Educational Needs Plans Surge
Metropolitan Police Consider Reform UK Probe Over Overseas Donations
Keir Starmer to Leave Parliament, Triggering By-Election
UK Treasury Weighs Windfall Taxes on Banks and Oil Companies Amid Bond Market Turmoil
Jaguar Land Rover to Cut Thousands of Jobs as UK Government Rules Out Bailout
OpenAI Unveils GPT-6 and Says: "We May Already Have Reached AGI"
Congressman Accused Andrew of Sex Crimes in the United States
Donald Trump: "I'm Glad Harry and Meghan Left the United States"
Spicy Food Is Linked to Lower Death Risk — but It Is Not a Miracle Cure
AfD Enters Saxony-Anhalt Election at 41% in Historic Test for German Politics
Gen Z Turns to Investing as America's First-Home Dream Moves Further Out of Reach
Thousands Join London March Calling for Tighter Abortion Restrictions
Institute of Directors Says Tax and Regulatory Uncertainty Still Weighs on UK Investment
Bank of England Faces Rate Dilemma as Weak Growth and Persistent Inflation Raise Stagflation Risks
Masked Anti-Immigration Protesters Block Roads to Port of Dover
Prime Minister Andy Burnham Sets Out Devolution and Re-Industrialisation Agenda
British Chambers of Commerce Forecasts UK Growth of Just 1% Through 2027
UK Government Advances Bill to Tighten Rules on Overseas Political Donations
Nigel Farage Faces Scrutiny Over Alleged Reform UK Donation-Law Evasion
Thousands Join Anti-Abortion March Through Central London
UK Beekeepers Call for Nationwide Tracking as Asian Hornet Sightings Increase
England Sees Sharp Rise in Property Subsidence Claims After Record Summer Heat
House of Lords Advances Financial Services Reform Bill
House of Lords Begins Detailed Scrutiny of Railways Bill and Great British Railways Plan
UK Treasury Cuts Green Book Discount Rate to Support More Regional Infrastructure Projects
Reform UK Suspends Two Senior Aides After Undercover Report on Foreign Donation Rules
×