London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Friday, Jun 19, 2026

‘Most’ of Britain’s coronavirus pandemic may be over by autumn, ‘Professor Lockdown’ claims

‘Most’ of Britain’s coronavirus pandemic may be over by autumn, ‘Professor Lockdown’ claims

Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson has claimed that the “bulk” of the UK’s coronavirus pandemic may be over by October, noting that high vaccination rates have significantly lowered hospital admissions and deaths in the country.

During an interview with the BBC on Tuesday, Neil Ferguson, an epidemiologist from Imperial College London, stated that “the equation has fundamentally changed” thanks to the country’s wide vaccine rollout.

“The effect of vaccines has been huge in reducing the risk of hospitalisation and death… I’m positive that by late September, October time we will be looking back at most of the pandemic.”


The professor’s assertions came after the UK observed a six-day decline in coronavirus infections. Cases fell from some 46,500 to just below 25,000 on Monday. Alongside a dramatic fall in infections, hospitalisation rates are still below 1,000 admissions per day, and the daily death toll remains low.

While Ferguson’s predictions give room for hope, the epidemiologist stressed that Covid will not fully disappear and lives will still be lost to the virus. However, according to him, “the bulk of the pandemic” will be over in October.

This comes as something of a U-turn for Ferguson, as a day before England’s infamous July 19 ‘Freedom Day’, which saw almost all coronavirus restrictions ditched, Ferguson claimed that it was “almost inevitable” cases would reach up to 100,000 per day after unlocking. He also theorized that these figures could even potentially double to 200,000 a day.

Ferguson was dubbed as 'Professor Lockdown' for his advocation and involvement in the implementation of strict social distancing measures to curb coronavirus infections in spring 2020.

However, Ferguson resigned from his role as a government advisor for the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) in early May 2020 after meeting up with a woman from outside of his household. Despite his resignation, it was revealed that 'Professor Lockdown' continued to advise SAGE behind the scenes in a sub-group of the organisation called New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group in December 2020.

The UK has been badly hit by the coronavirus pandemic, but it boasts an impressive vaccination rate – over 88% of adults have received their first dose, with 70.5% fully inoculated. Since the outbreak of the pandemic, the country has recorded over 5.7 million cases and just under 130,000 fatalities, making the UK’s official death toll one of the highest in the world.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
UK Health Authorities Introduce Drug Price Concessions Amid Record NHS Medicine Shortages
Sir David Attenborough Supports Sherwood Forest Conservation Efforts After Loss of Major Oak
Aardman Animations Marks 50 Years With Major Exhibition in Bristol
Drax Cleared After Investigation Into Wood Pellet Sourcing Practices
Jaguar Land Rover Shifts Toward Hybrid Vehicle Production for US Export Strategy
UK Police Arrest Liberal Democrat MP Cameron Thomas on Suspicion of Assault
Health Concerns Grow Over Elevated Kidney Cancer Rates Near Lancashire PFAS Factory
Royal Navy F-35 Jets Conduct First NATO Air Warfare Exercise from Finnish Airspace
UK NHS Issues Price Concessions for Medicines Amid Severe Drug Shortages
Heathrow Third Runway Project Faces Sharp Downward Revision in Expected Economic Benefits
Amber Heat Warning Issued Across Parts of England and Wales as Temperatures Rise
Train Collision Near Bedford Disrupts UK Rail Network and Leaves Multiple Injured
Bank of England Data Suggests Brexit Has Reduced UK Economic Output by Around Six Percent
UK Borrowing Costs Hold Near 4.8 Percent as Political Uncertainty Fuels Market Pressure
Andy Burnham Emerges as Front-Runner to Succeed Keir Starmer After Landslide Makerfield Victory
Prime Minister Keir Starmer Faces Mounting Pressure to Resign After Labour By-Election Defeat in Makerfield
Payment Fraud Losses Reach £1.28 Billion and Raise National Security Concerns
Lending to Small Businesses Climbs to Highest Level Since Late 2024
Middle East Conflict Clouds UK Economic Recovery Despite Strong First-Quarter Growth
Bank of England Moves to Simplify Capital Rules for Smaller Lenders
UK Government Fast-Tracks National Security and Cyber Resilience Legislation
Ofcom Investigates Telegram Over Alleged Role in Organising Arson Attacks
MPs Press Fujitsu to Speed Compensation for Post Office Horizon Victims
Bank of England Delays Final Basel III Implementation Changes to Support UK Banking Competitiveness
Pound Falls as Political Uncertainty and Bank of England Signals Weigh on Markets
0Andy Burnham Wins Makerfield By-Election and Emerges as Main Challenger to Keir Starmer
Dorset Council Tests AI Tools to Streamline Local Planning Applications
UK Researchers at Kew Gardens Use AI to Speed Up Identification of Threatened Plant Species
UK Gilt Yields Ease Toward 4.8% as Inflation and Labour Market Data Weigh on Bonds
Bank of England Data Shows Resilient SME Lending Despite Economic Slowdown
UK Finance Reports Weakening Services Activity as Business Confidence Softens
UK Introduces Mandatory Internal Complaints Process Under Data Use and Access Act
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey Flags Geopolitical Uncertainty as Key Risk to Inflation Outlook
Bank of England Holds Interest Rates at 3.75% as Policymakers Signal Cautious Stance on Inflation Risks
Cornwall Clergy Raise £40,000 for Church Repairs Through Everest-Themed Charity Challenge
UK Business and Social Landscape Reflects Strain From Geopolitical and Domestic Pressures
Tensions Grow in UK Over Sikh Kirpan and Religious Symbolism in Public Debate
Energy Price Cap Increase Set to Lift UK Household Bills by 13 Percent
University of Reading Ranked 196th in QS World University Rankings
UK Maritime Archaeologists Identify 17th-Century Dutch Shipwreck Off Devon Coast
Oxford Union Islam Debate Sparks Protest From Faith Leaders in UK
UK Social Cohesion Debate Intensifies After Religious Prejudice Survey Findings
UK SME Lending Rises Despite Geopolitical Uncertainty and Cautious Outlook
Foreign Demand for UK Gilts Remains Sensitive to Global Inflation Trends
Labour Party Faces Leadership Pressure After Weak Local Election Results in UK
Transport Costs Drive Inflation Pressure as Petrol Prices Push Up UK CPI
British Chambers of Commerce Cuts Growth Forecast as Middle East Conflict Weighs on Investment
UK Economy Grows 0.6 Percent in First Quarter but Outlook Remains Weak
Bank of England Holds Interest Rates at 3.75 Percent as Inflation Risks Persist
Energy Price Cap Rise Expected to Keep UK Inflation Above Target Through 2026
×