London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Saturday, Sep 19, 2026

‘Most’ of Britain’s coronavirus pandemic may be over by autumn, ‘Professor Lockdown’ claims

‘Most’ of Britain’s coronavirus pandemic may be over by autumn, ‘Professor Lockdown’ claims

Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson has claimed that the “bulk” of the UK’s coronavirus pandemic may be over by October, noting that high vaccination rates have significantly lowered hospital admissions and deaths in the country.

During an interview with the BBC on Tuesday, Neil Ferguson, an epidemiologist from Imperial College London, stated that “the equation has fundamentally changed” thanks to the country’s wide vaccine rollout.

“The effect of vaccines has been huge in reducing the risk of hospitalisation and death… I’m positive that by late September, October time we will be looking back at most of the pandemic.”


The professor’s assertions came after the UK observed a six-day decline in coronavirus infections. Cases fell from some 46,500 to just below 25,000 on Monday. Alongside a dramatic fall in infections, hospitalisation rates are still below 1,000 admissions per day, and the daily death toll remains low.

While Ferguson’s predictions give room for hope, the epidemiologist stressed that Covid will not fully disappear and lives will still be lost to the virus. However, according to him, “the bulk of the pandemic” will be over in October.

This comes as something of a U-turn for Ferguson, as a day before England’s infamous July 19 ‘Freedom Day’, which saw almost all coronavirus restrictions ditched, Ferguson claimed that it was “almost inevitable” cases would reach up to 100,000 per day after unlocking. He also theorized that these figures could even potentially double to 200,000 a day.

Ferguson was dubbed as 'Professor Lockdown' for his advocation and involvement in the implementation of strict social distancing measures to curb coronavirus infections in spring 2020.

However, Ferguson resigned from his role as a government advisor for the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) in early May 2020 after meeting up with a woman from outside of his household. Despite his resignation, it was revealed that 'Professor Lockdown' continued to advise SAGE behind the scenes in a sub-group of the organisation called New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group in December 2020.

The UK has been badly hit by the coronavirus pandemic, but it boasts an impressive vaccination rate – over 88% of adults have received their first dose, with 70.5% fully inoculated. Since the outbreak of the pandemic, the country has recorded over 5.7 million cases and just under 130,000 fatalities, making the UK’s official death toll one of the highest in the world.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Addison Lee Founder Loses £20.5 Million Non-Domicile Tax Case
BrewDog Creditors Face Heavy Losses After Collapse
Thirteenth Metropolitan Police Officer Dismissed Over Charing Cross Conduct
Oxfordshire Village Votes Symbolically to Leave UK Over Asylum Accommodation Plan
NHS Approves Life-Extending Treatment for Women With Incurable Breast Cancer
Software Defect Blamed for Major UK Air Traffic Disruption
Twenty Women Underwent Unnecessary Mastectomies at County Durham NHS Trust
British Steel Costs Taxpayers £1.3 Million a Day as MPs Demand Long-Term Plan
UK Parliament Advances Sovereign Grant Reform Setting Royal Funding at £99.9 Million
King Charles Urges Human-Centred Approach to Artificial Intelligence at Scotland Summit
House of Lords Begins Scrutiny of Voting-Age and Political Finance Reforms
UK Labour Market Shows Growing Divide Between Younger and Older Workers
Nearly Seven in 10 UK Small Businesses Delay or Cancel Growth Plans as Costs Rise
Andy Burnham Reaffirms UK Net-Zero Target Amid North Sea Energy Debate
UK Parliament Demands Credible Financial and Decarbonisation Plan for British Steel
MPs Urge Government to Reject Thames Water Rescue Deal and Prepare Special Administration
Bank of England Holds Rate at 3.75% as Energy Shock Raises Inflation Risks
TUC Calls for Social Energy Tariff Funded by Higher Taxes on Bank Profits
UK Parliament Enters Conference Recess After Advancing Sovereign Grant Legislation
King Charles Hosts Artificial Intelligence Leaders at Dumfries House Summit
Nearly Seven in Ten UK Small Businesses Delay or Cancel Growth Plans as Costs Rise
Anthropic Details Malicious Use of Claude in Cyber, Weapons and Influence Operations
McLaren Announces £500 Million UK Investment and 1,000 New Jobs
Scotland and Wales Sign Cardiff Agreement to Deepen Cooperation on Shared Policy Priorities
UK Government Moves to Fully Fund Teacher Pay Award as Strike Threat Recedes
UK Competition Regulator Deepens Scrutiny of Microsoft’s Business Software and AI Market Position
NHS England Reforms Focus on Cutting Waiting Lists and Improving Digital Care
England Maintains Mandatory Housing Targets in Push for 1.5 Million New Homes
UK Government Plans Statutory Industrial Strategy Council to Strengthen Long-Term Economic Policy
Asthma Charity Warns of Major Gaps in Childhood Diagnostic Testing Across England
TUC Chief Paul Nowak Appointed to Bank of England Court
Bristol Opens £35 Million Deep-Tech Innovation Hub at Temple Quarter
Oxfordshire Village Votes Symbolically to Leave UK Over Asylum Housing Plan
Andy Burnham Deepens UK Defense and AI Cooperation With NATO and Canada
UK Government Announces Neonatal Safety Reforms After Thirlwall Inquiry
Bank of England Weighs Rate Decision as UK Inflation Rises to 3.1%
UK Health Unions Warn of Staffing Pressures as Public and Private Pay Growth Diverges
Rockstar Games Faces Tribunal Claims From 23 Former Grand Theft Auto VI Developers
UK Treasury Faces Tighter Budget Constraints as Borrowing Costs and Pension Spending Rise
Prime Minister Andy Burnham Sets Out Ten-Year Plan for Greater Public Oversight of Utilities
UK Economy Grows 0.4% in July as Services and Technology Activity Strengthen
Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland Leaders Coordinate Push for UK Constitutional Change
Police Tighten Public-Order Measures After Anti-Immigration Protests in Dover and Portsmouth
UK Ministers Pressed for Answers After US Diplomat Accused of Child Abuse Images Leaves Britain
Jaguar Land Rover Pursues NATO Defense Contracts for Defender Vehicles
British Service Member Dies in Road Accident While Deployed in Ukraine
George Osborne Calls for Britain to Rejoin EU Customs Union
Anthropic Chief Dario Amodei Urges Faster UK Action on Advanced AI Risks
UK State Pension Set for 3.9% Rise Under Triple Lock
UK Labour Market Cools as Payrolled Employment Continues to Decline
×