London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Thursday, Mar 05, 2026

Energy price cap rises to £4,279 - but Britons won't have to pay that much

Energy price cap rises to £4,279 - but Britons won't have to pay that much

The energy regulator reveals the price cap level that would have applied from January to March if households had not been shielded from the eye-watering hike by the energy price guarantee.

The amount energy companies can charge for electricity and gas will rise from January but households will be protected from the increase.

Ofgem, the energy regulator which limits the amount suppliers can charge for each unit of electricity and gas, increased its cap for the first three months of next year to 67 pence per kilowatt hour (p/kWh) for electricity and 17 pence p/kWh for gas.

This would usually see the typical household bill rise to £4,279 a year.



However, the government's energy price guarantee means households will be protected from the increase.

Introduced on 1 October, the guarantee limits how much the typical household pays for its wholesale energy, taking the average annual bill to £2,500.

This government cap will be in place until April next year, when the threshold is raised to £3,000.

Households will not have to pay the increase, so it may not be immediately obvious why the announcement made by Ofgem today matters.
It does because the energy price guarantee is a government subsidy, so taxpayers will still be picking up the bill, albeit indirectly.

And the cost is massive.

Along with a similar, albeit less generous scheme for business customers, the cost of the package could exceed £38bn over 18 months, according to the Institute for Fiscal Studies.

It is impossible to be precise because the actual cost depends on wholesale energy prices (fortunately for the government these have been coming down in recent months).

To put this in context, this is around half the £100bn that was spent on furlough support and the self-employee income support scheme cost over 18 months during the pandemic.

The cost would have been even higher - around £55bn - had the government not decided to taper the support from April next year. Liz Truss' government initially intended to maintain the support at an average of £2,500 for 2 years.

Economists have also warned that households could also end up paying the price through higher inflation.

The government's support has, so far, been untargeted and some people will need the money more than others. The support package represents a large stimulus to the economy at a time when inflation is running at a 41-year high.

Earlier this week the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the Paris-based thinktank, warned that the support would "increase pressures on already high inflation in the short term".

This will force the Bank of England to raise interest rates, it warned, pushing up borrowing costs across the economy.

Britain is not alone in this. France and Germany also risk falling into similar trouble, the OECD warned.

So, while the increase in the Ofgem price cap may not affect households immediately, the costs will ultimately be borne by all of us.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Iran Conflict Strains U.S.–U.K. Alliance as Trump and Starmer Clash Over Military Strategy
UK Interest Rates Could Rise Above Four Percent Again if Energy Shock Continues, Think Tank Warns
Starmer Defends Britain’s Iran Strategy as Badenoch Urges Stronger Military Support
Labour MP Says She Saw No Sign Husband Broke Law After Arrest in China Espionage Investigation
UK Jobless Rate Overtakes Italy’s for First Time in Years as Labour Market Weakens
United Kingdom Suspends Student Visas for Four Countries in Unprecedented Immigration Move
Campaigners Warn UK Student Visa Ban Could Push Migrants Toward Dangerous Channel Crossings
First U.K. Charter Flight for Stranded Nationals Set to Depart Oman Amid Middle East Crisis
France and United Kingdom Deploy Warships to Eastern Mediterranean as Middle East Conflict Escalates
U.K. Arrests Three Men Including Lawmaker’s Partner in Suspected China Espionage Investigation
Trump Says UK–US ‘Special Relationship’ Is Diminished Amid Middle East Dispute
UK Economic Forecasts Face Fresh Strain from Middle East Conflict and Rising Energy Costs
UK Reaffirms Close US Ties After Trump’s Public Criticism
Reeves Stresses Stability and Fiscal Discipline in UK Budget Update as Growth Outlook Shifts
UK Deploys Royal Navy Destroyer HMS Dragon to Cyprus After Drone Strike on RAF Base
Green Party Surges Past Labour in New UK Poll as Traditional Party Support Crumbles
Majority of Britons Oppose U.S. Use of UK Military Bases in Iran Conflict
UK Intensifies Evacuation Efforts from Oman, Working with Airlines to Boost Flight Capacity
Trump Condemns UK and Spain in Unusually Sharp Rift Over Iran Military Action
Trump Repeats UK Claims That Diverge from Verified Facts Amid Diplomatic Strain
UK Arrests Prominent Figures Linked to Epstein Network as Questions Mount Over US Action
Trump Says UK ‘Took Far Too Long’ to Approve Use of Airbases for Iran Strikes
Scope of Britain’s Role in the Expanding Middle East Conflict Comes Under Scrutiny
Trump Says He Is ‘Very Disappointed’ in Starmer Over Iran Comments
U.S. Embassy in Riyadh Struck by Drones Amid Escalating Iran Conflict
Starmer Confronts Strategic Test After Drone Strike Near British Base in Cyprus
Rolls-Royce Chief Signals Openness to Germany Joining UK-Led Fighter Jet Programme
UK Stocks Slip as Escalating Iran Conflict Triggers Global Market Selloff
UK Overhauls Asylum System to Make Refugee Status Temporary
Starmer Warns of ‘Reckless’ Iranian Strikes Amid Escalating Regional Tensions
British Base in Cyprus Targeted as Drones Intercepted Amid Expanding Iran Conflict
Starmer Diverges from Trump on Iran Strategy, Rejects ‘Regime Change from the Skies’
U.S. and Israel Intensify Strikes on Iran as Conflict Expands to Lebanon and Gulf States
Violent Pro-Iranian Protesters Storm U.S. Consulate in Karachi
Missile Debris Sparks Fires at Dubai’s Jebel Ali Port Near Palm Jumeirah
Iran Strikes U.S. Fifth Fleet Headquarters in Bahrain Amid Wider Gulf Retaliation
When the State Replaces the Parent: How Gender Policy Is Redefining Custody and Coercion
Bill Clinton Denies Knowing Woman in Hot Tub Photo During Closed-Door Epstein Deposition
Former U.S. President Bill Clinton Testifies on Ties to Jeffrey Epstein Before Congressional Oversight Committee
Dyson Reaches Settlement in Landmark UK Forced Labour Case
Barclays and Jefferies Shares Fall After UK Mortgage Lender Collapse Rekindles Credit Market Concerns
Play Exploring Donald Trump’s Rise to Power by ‘Lehman Trilogy’ Author to Premiere in the UK
Man Arrested After Churchill Statue Defaced in Central London
Keir Starmer Faces Political Setback as Labour Finishes Third in High-Profile By-Election
UK Assisted Dying Bill Set to Fall Short in Parliament as Regional Initiatives Gain Ground
UK Defence Ministry Clarifies Position After Reports of Imminent Helicopter Contract
Independent Left-Wing Plumber Secures Shock Victory as Greens Surge in UK By-Election
Reform UK Refers Alleged ‘Family Voting’ Incidents in By-Election to Police
United Kingdom Temporarily Withdraws Embassy Staff from Iran Amid Heightened Regional Tensions
UK Government Reaches Framework Agreement on Release of Mandelson Vetting Files
×