London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Sunday, May 31, 2026

Britain, EU reach outline of Brexit deal

Britain, EU reach outline of Brexit deal

A trading deal the City of London has sweated over for almost half a decade looks like it's finally here.

With Britain forging the blueprint of a deal with the European Union, the pound strengthened 1.1% to $1.3501 after the news of a breakthrough. It earlier rallied as much as 1.6% to $1.3571, the biggest intraday gain in more than a week. The yield on 10-year government bonds jumped as much as 13 basis points to 0.31%, the biggest intraday increase since March.

"The tea leaves are shaped in the right direction," Luke Hickmore, a fund manager at Aberdeen Standard Investments who helps manage £35 billion ($46 billion), said before the announcement. "Certainly the market is buying into it."

Negotiators are still putting the finishing touches to a Brexit accord, according to officials familiar with the matter who spoke on condition of anonymity.

The FTSE 250 index of more domestically oriented U.K. companies surged as much as 1.7%, while the FTSE 100 had a more muted gain of 0.7% as the pound's advance weighed on exporters. Options traders had been positioning for a deal, dragging down the cost of hedging a weaker sterling over the coming month to the lowest since Dec. 4.

Money markets pared bets for monetary easing by the Bank of England, pushing back the pricing of a 10-basis-point interest-rate cut to March 2022, compared with expectations Tuesday for November 2021.

The pound could rise as high as $1.37 if a deal is finalized and Britain and the EU minimize disruption during the initial adjustment phase next year, said Lee Hardman, foreign-exchange strategist at MUFG Bank. Yet the country's weak economic fundamentals could limit gains. "Tightening economic restrictions will increase pressure on the Bank of England to implement negative rates early next year, posing downside risks," he said.

Virus impact


Prime Minister Boris Johnson imposed tougher regulations Wednesday throughout a swath of England in an effort to stamp down on the mutant virus strain that's spreading quickly across the country.

"Due to the limited nature of a deal, we don't necessarily see sterling finding too much relief beyond an additional percentage point," especially as tighter restrictions look to be extended to other parts of the U.K., said Simon Harvey, a foreign-exchange analyst at Monex Europe.

The pound was already trading in turbulent territory as the time for a deal ran out. Volatility over the past week is near the highest since March, when the coronavirus roiled global financial markets. At about 15%, it's nearly double that of the euro-dollar pair. And its implied volatility over the next week beats all other currencies, save Brazil's real and Turkey's lira.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Japanese Technology Firm Fujitsu Launches Advanced Artificial Intelligence Tool for Corporate Disclosures
South Africa Officially Launches Nationwide Campaign for Highly Contested Local Government Elections
United Kingdom Commits Additional Funding for Unexploded Ordnance Clearance in Laos
Singapore Announces Stringent New Greenhouse Gas Regulations for Commercial Cooling Systems
Cambodia and Thailand Hold High-Level Border Security Talks at United Nations Headquarters
Myanmar Military Government and China Sign Major Agreement to Upgrade Media and Cultural Cooperation
Knife Attack at Swiss Train Station Leaves Three Injured in Suspected Act of Domestic Terrorism
Transnational Extortion Gang Threatens Canadian Police With Army of One Thousand Armed Operatives
Australia Imposes Forty-Two-Day Quarantine on Cruise Ship Passengers Following Deadly Hantavirus Outbreak
International Monetary Fund Unlocks Seven Hundred Million United States Dollars for Sri Lanka Following Economic Reforms
Australia Launches Record One Point Four Billion Dollar Lawsuit Against Chemical Giant 3M Over Contamination
China and Canada Foreign Ministers Meet in Ottawa in Effort to Stabilize Strained Diplomatic Ties
Indonesia Demands Urgent United Nations Security Council Reform Amid Escalating Global Conflicts
Extreme Weather Patterns Trigger Severe Drought in Madagascar and Destructive Flooding in East Africa
Indian State of Karnataka Faces Political Upheaval as Chief Minister Siddaramaiah Abruptly Resigns
Philippines and Japan Reaffirm Defense Ties as Crucial for Indo-Pacific Regional Stability
Norway Joins French Nuclear Deterrence Initiative in Major Shift for European Security Architecture
Global Critical Mineral Alliances Expand as Western Nations Move to Counter Chinese Supply Dominance
United States Imposes Fifty Percent Tariffs on Mexican Steel and Aluminum Ahead of Trade Pact Review
European Union and China Head Toward Major Trade Conflict Over Clean Technology Exports
United States Economic Growth Severely Downgraded to One Point Six Percent as Stagflation Fears Mount
World Health Organization Warns Central African Ebola Epidemic is Outpacing Containment Efforts
United States Treasury Department Conditions Sanctions Relief on Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz
Iranian Air Defenses Intercept and Destroy United States Military Drone Over Bushehr Province
Iranian Armed Forces Launch Ballistic Missiles Toward Unspecified Targets Prompting Regional Condemnation
United Nations Secretary-General Warns Global Order Facing Highest Level of Conflict Since 1945
Israel Issues Sweeping Evacuation Orders in Southern Lebanon Amid Intensified Hezbollah Conflict
Russia Announces Systemic Military Strikes Targeting Ukrainian Defense and Energy Infrastructure
United States and Iranian Negotiators Reach Draft Agreement to Extend Ceasefire and Resume Nuclear Talks
United Nations Security Council Deeply Divided Over United States Capture of Venezuelan President
US and Iran Exchange Direct Military Strikes Amid Fragile Gulf Ceasefire
World Health Organization Warns of Catastrophic Ebola Outbreak in DR Congo
Russia Threatens New Wave of Strikes on Ukrainian Infrastructure and Embassies
Scientists Warn Atlantic Ocean Currents Could Collapse Faster Than Projected
Anthropic Reaches $900 Billion Valuation in Historic AI Funding Round
Washington Imposes Crippling Sanctions on Iranian Maritime Authority
Japan and the Philippines Initiate Strategic Intelligence-Sharing Pact
Microsoft Deploys Autonomous Computer-Using AI Agents to Global Markets
Anthropic Secures $45 Billion Compute Infrastructure Agreement With SpaceX
U.S. Director of National Intelligence Resigns Amid Administration Shakeup
Micron Technology Crosses Trillion-Dollar Valuation Amid Unprecedented Hardware Demand
Canada and Germany Finalize Historic Long-Term LNG Export Agreement
China Expands International Travel Restrictions on Domestic AI Researchers
Japan Approves Sweeping Overhaul of National Intelligence Apparatus
Global Airlines Scramble Logistics as Middle East Airspace Remains Fractured
Japan's Naphtha Imports Plunge 47 Percent Amid Strait of Hormuz Closure
Global Crude Prices Retreat Below $96 as Gulf Tensions Momentarily Ease
Generative AI Outperforms Human Baselines in Landmark Global Creativity Study
NASA Partners With Private Aerospace to Unveil Permanent Lunar Base Architecture
South Korean Equity Markets Surge on Next-Generation Memory Chip Frenzy
×