London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Tuesday, Jun 30, 2026

US interest rates set by Federal Reserve rise to their highest since 2007 but the pace of the increase slows

US interest rates set by Federal Reserve rise to their highest since 2007 but the pace of the increase slows

Target interest rates now range from 4.25% to 4.5%, up from the 3.75% to 4% set by the US central bank during the last increase in November. This month's increase of 0.5 percentage points is smaller than the previous four months' 0.75 point increases.
US interest rates are now at their highest since the global financial crisis as the US central bank has again imposed an increase as it seeks to lower inflation.

The Federal Reserve, known as the Fed, has imposed a 0.50 percentage points rise in interest rates.

The widely-expected rise will mean more expensive borrowing for the likes of American mortgage holders and those paying credit card debt.

Following the increase, US interest rates stand at 4.25% to 4.5%, up from 3.75% to 4% since the last increase in November.

In the US, the interest rate is a range, rather than a single percentage - as in the UK - because the Fed is not permitted to set a specific number. A target rate is instead set as a guide for banks to follow.

The increase is less than the four previous hikes of 0.75 percentage points, indicating the Fed is slowing down in its fight against inflation.

It had embarked on the programme of interest rate rises to bring inflation down to its target of 2%.

That pace of rate rises has reduced as inflation in the world's largest economy appears to be slowing. Prices increased 7.1% in the year up to November, the US Department of Labor announced on Tuesday, down from a 40-year high of 9.1% in June.

After announcing the latest rate increase, the Fed was firm that it was not letting up in its campaign of rises.

Speaking after the decision, the chair of the Fed, Jerome Powell, said he expected there would be ongoing increases and a sustained period when the interest rate is kept high.

In response to continuing high inflation, rates are likely to reach 5.1% by the end of next year, he said, a half percentage point higher than projected in September.

It will take time for inflation to be affected by higher interest rates, he warned, adding: "We are seeing the effects on demand in the most interest sensitive sectors of the economy such as housing. It will take time, however, for the full effects of monetary restraint to be realised, especially on inflation."

Despite this, he acknowledged the US economy has "slowed significantly".

He projected GDP growth, a measure of economic output, will be small, just 0.5% this year and next.

The US labour market, however, remains "extremely tight" with the unemployment rate near a 50-year low and job vacancies "still very high", and wage growth elevated.

Mr Powell recognised the pain inflation was causing US households. But it will not reduce to that 2% target for a further two years, he said.

Inflation will be 5.6% this year, 3.1% next year, 2.5% in 2024 before falling to 2.1% in 2025, the Fed forecast.

"We understand that our actions affect communities, families and businesses across the country. Everything we do is in service to our public mission," he said.

A similar decision on interest rates is to be announced by the Bank of England on Thursday. The Bank is also expected to increase the cost of debt in an effort to depress economic activity and rein in inflation.

Central banks had been asked not to increase rates by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.

A recession worse than that experienced after the global financial crisis could result from monetary regulators tightening policy and hiking interest rates, it warned.
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Welsh Government Unveils New Agricultural Support Plan Focused on Sustainability and Rural Growth
UK Teacher Recruitment Shortfalls Continue in Science and STEM Subjects
Police Scotland Expands Cybercrime Investigations Amid Rising Digital Fraud
UK Universities Warn of Risk to International Student Numbers Amid Visa Changes
UK Defence Ministry Pivots Toward Greater Domestic Military Procurement
UK Launches National Rail Review After Repeated Service Disruptions
Northern Ireland Assembly Debates Long-Term Funding Settlement for Public Services
UK Accelerates Approval of North Sea Offshore Wind Projects to Expand Energy Capacity
UK Retail Sales Fall as Households Cut Discretionary Spending in June
UK Expands Border Intelligence Cooperation with France and Belgium to Target Smuggling Networks
Scottish Government Faces Pressure Over Delays in Major Infrastructure and Transport Projects
UK Launches Multi-Billion-Pound Artificial Intelligence Infrastructure Investment Fund
National Health Service Warns of Continued Emergency Department Strain Across England
Bank of England Signals Interest Rate Hold as Wage Growth Keeps Inflation Elevated
UK Sets Emergency Fiscal Strategy as Inflation Pressures and Weak Manufacturing Growth Persist
UK Launches New Measures to Improve Safety Standards in Night-Time Venues
UK Tightens Import Rules for Low-Value Parcels to Support Domestic Retailers
UK Launches £85 Million Obesity Care Programme Targeting Early Intervention Projects
UK Commits Up to $26 Million to Ebola Response in Democratic Republic of Congo
Security Industry Authority Flags Safety Failures in Night-Time Economy Inspections
Cambridge South Railway Station Opens After £250 Million Investment
UK Moves to Close Import Duty Loophole for Small Parcels by 2028
UK Invests £85 Million in Projects to Transform Obesity Care
Berkeley Group Warns London Housebuilding Falling Far Short of Demand
UK Council Tax Arrears Rise to £9.3 Billion Amid Ongoing Household Financial Strain
Markets Watch Political Transition as Andy Burnham Emerges as Labour Leadership Frontrunner
Extreme Heat Raises Long-Term Risks for UK Inflation and Productivity, Analysts Warn
UK Health Alerts Extended as Record June Heatwave Grips England
UK Parliament Faces High-Stakes Week of Spending, Security and Industrial Legislation
UK Repeals Vagrancy Act Ending Criminalisation of Rough Sleeping in England and Wales
GB News Pundit Charged With Fraud Over Alleged Conduct as Former Labour Adviser
Reform UK Gains Parliamentary Visibility in First Senedd Opposition Appearance
Metropolitan Police Arrest Man on Suspicion of Attempted Murder After London Car Incident
Ocado Chief Executive Tim Steiner Faces Scrutiny Over £100 Million Remuneration Package
British Chambers of Commerce Downgrades UK Growth Outlook to 0.9 Percent for 2026
Nottingham University Hospitals Maternity Failings Trigger Renewed Calls for Public Inquiry
Severe Heatwave Disrupts UK Transport Networks and Strains Public Services Across England
Labour Leadership Transition Raises Prospect of Andy Burnham Becoming UK Prime Minister
UK Government Confirms Further Medicine Price Concessions for Community Pharmacies in June
British Chambers of Commerce Calls for Public Procurement Reform to Boost Regional Growth
Thousands Mark Armed Forces Day Across the United Kingdom With National Parades and Flypasts
Man Arrested in Ealing on Suspicion of Attempted Murder After Vehicle Ramming Incident Injures Five
Cambridge South Station Opens With £250 Million Investment to Strengthen Life Sciences Corridor
UK Heat-Health Alerts Extended Across England as High Temperatures Persist
Thames Water and Energy Operators Warn of Peak Demand Risks During UK Heatwave
Government Conference Highlights Push for Evidence-Led Policy Across UK Public Sector
Insolvency Service Reports Improved Confidence in UK Insolvency System
Security Industry Authority Finds Widespread Safety Failures in UK Night-Time Economy
Nigel Farage Expands Anti-WHO Campaign Into United States With New Lobbying Structure
Home Secretary Seema Mahmood Unveils New Safe Routes Plan for Asylum Seekers
×