London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Sunday, Mar 22, 2026

“The truth is we just got a lot poorer”

“The truth is we just got a lot poorer”

“I have come here to chew bubblegum and kick ass. And I’m all out of bubblegum.” This is not a direct quote from Paul Johnson, director the Institute for Fiscal Studies think tank, but it is a close approximation.
I have come here to chew bubblegum and kick ass. And I’m all out of bubblegum.” This is not a direct quote from Paul Johnson, director the Institute for Fiscal Studies think tank, but it is a close approximation.

As Britain’s tax burden is set to hit its highest levels since the Second World War, Johnson said he would be “most surprised” if it returns to “its long-term pre-Covid average at any time in the coming decades.” That is ‘decades’ plural.

Business Editor Jonathan Prynn has got his calculator out and estimates that the changes to income tax thresholds mean that 900,000 middle earners across London and the south east are set to be dragged into the higher 40p tax band over the next six years. We are talking workers such as teachers and senior nurses. Not minimum wage jobs, sure, but now deposited in a tax band never designed for them.

The Chancellor announced that the threshold, already frozen by Rishi Sunak until 2026, will now be left at £50,270 until 2028. For context, and it is an imperfect comparison, but a single person in the US only starts paying the top rate of federal income tax of 37 per on earnings in excess of $578,125. Which is more.

With all these taxes, we can expect high-quality public services, right? Anyone who has tried to secure a GP appointment or frankly interacted with the British state in any capacity might suggest otherwise.

Where is the money going? Much of it is now being siphoned off on debt interest. Johnson points out that by 2027-28, interest will hit £100bn a year – more than spending on any public service bar the NHS.

Whose fault is it? In addition to global headwinds, the fastidiously independent Johnson blamed the government’s “economic own goals” and years of “cakeism”.

The tragedy is most stark in the collapse in living standards. Real household disposable income per capita is expected to be a third lower in 2027–28 than we might have expected in 2008. A third! “The truth is we just got a lot poorer,” Johnson said. And the fact is, we weren’t doing that great to begin with.

The criticism of the British electorate has long been that we want US-style taxes with European-level services. Now, we are saddled with the opposite.

Elsewhere in the paper, you have 12 years to plan a world cup and then 48 hours before kick-off ban beer at the stadiums. Fifa could now face a legal challenge from Budweiser, one of the tournament’s major sponsors, over major breaches of the terms of their $75m partnership.

In the comment pages, Emily Sheffield warns that a bad hand played well still leaves Jeremy Hunt with a mountain to climb. While I say Qatar’s World Cup is an insult to LGBT fans. There’s also a bonus short on the legislation-passing machine that is Nancy Pelosi.

And finally, you lot love a Tube map. I’ve seen the click-through rates. So here’s a redesigned map showing the cheapest pints of beer near underground stations.
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Meghan Markle’s Possible UK Return Sparks Renewed Attention on Sussex Role
Starmer Convenes Urgent Talks on Cost-of-Living Pressures Linked to Iran Conflict
Starmer Convenes Urgent Talks on Cost-of-Living Pressures Linked to Iran Conflict
UK Investors Eye Bargain Shares Ahead of ISA Deadline Amid Market Volatility
UK Investors Eye Bargain Shares Ahead of ISA Deadline Amid Market Volatility
Northern Lights Expected Over UK Skies Tonight Amid Strong Solar Activity
UK Condemns Iran Missile Strike and Warns Against Threats to British Personnel
UK Warns of Global Flight Disruptions as Iran Conflict Escalates Under Trump’s Leadership
UK Condemns Iran After Missile Strike Targets Strategic Diego Garcia Base
Deadly Meningitis Outbreak in UK Reinforces Urgency of Vaccination Campaigns
Iran Launches Long-Range Missile Strike on Remote US-UK Base, Signaling Expanded Reach
Iran Launches Long-Range Missile Strike on Remote US-UK Base, Signaling Expanded Reach
UK Rules Out Cyprus Base Role in Joint US Self-Defence Framework
UK Ends Hereditary Peerage Rights in Parliament in Historic Constitutional Reform
Lord Walney Warns of Expanding Iranian Influence Networks Within the United Kingdom
Iranian National Among Two Arrested After Attempt to Access UK Nuclear Submarine Base
Deregulation, Artificial Intelligence, and Fraud Laws Reshape UK Financial Services Landscape
UK Considers Lower Speed Limits to Reduce Fuel Use Amid Escalating Energy Crisis
UK Borrowing Costs Surge to Post-Crisis High as Markets React to Inflation and War Risks
UK Government Prepares Emergency Economic Measures as Iran Conflict Fuels Financial Risks
Meningitis B Outbreak in the UK Raises Urgent Health Warnings as Cases Surge
Iran Issues Stark Warning to Britain Over US Base Access Amid Expanding Conflict
United Kingdom Authorizes US Strikes from British Bases as Iran Threatens Key Shipping Routes
Reform UK Suspends Scottish Candidate Following Financial Misconduct Allegations
Apple issues an unusual warning: this is how your iPhone can be hacked without you doing anything
UK and Nigeria Reach Agreement to Accelerate Return of Irregular Migrants
UK Sets New Aid Priorities Following Significant Budget Reductions
Cyprus President Urges Open Dialogue Over Future of British Sovereign Base Areas
Cyprus President Urges Open Dialogue Over Future of British Sovereign Base Areas
UK Plans 50% Steel Tariffs in Bold Move to Protect Domestic Industry
Iran Conflict Sends Shockwaves Through UK Economy as Energy Costs and Trade Risks Surge
UK Health Officials Warn Kent Meningitis Outbreak Still Active as Cases Continue to Rise
UK Climate Progress Faces Scrutiny Over Reliance on Carbon Accounting Methods
UK Deploys Advisers to United States to Shape Plan for Reopening Strait of Hormuz
Amazon Bets on AI-Driven Alexa Upgrade to Revive UK Smart Speaker Market
UK Abortion Law Changes Spark Strong Response from Church Leaders and Pro-Life Advocates
UK Abortion Law Changes Spark Strong Response from Church Leaders and Pro-Life Advocates
GB News Faces Regulatory Complaints Over On-Air Remarks on ‘Genocide’ Claims
UK Signals Expanded Support for Gulf Allies as Iranian Attacks Intensify Regional Threats
UK VAT Decision Opens Path for Potential Refunds to U.S. Biopharma Firms
UK and Canada Advance ‘Middle Power’ Strategy to Shape Global Influence Beyond Superpowers
Google Explores AI Opt-Out Features in Search to Address UK Regulatory Concerns
Google Explores AI Opt-Out Features in Search to Address UK Regulatory Concerns
UK Fuel Prices Poised to Surge as Global Tensions Drive Oil Market Volatility
UK Fuel Prices Poised to Surge as Global Tensions Drive Oil Market Volatility
UK Holds Back on Hormuz Escort Mission While Continuing Talks with Allies
TrumpRx Pricing Platform Faces Scrutiny as Some Medicines Remain Costlier Than in the UK
UK, Netherlands and Finland Explore Joint Defence Investment Bank to Boost Military Capability
Deadly Meningitis Outbreak in Kent Raises Alarm as Cases Surge and Emergency Response Expands
UK Security Adviser Viewed US-Iran Nuclear Deal as Within Reach Before Sudden Escalation
×