London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Monday, Oct 26, 2026

The insanity of Britain's housing market

The insanity of Britain's housing market

On the day the Office for National Statistics announced a sharp rise in consumer price inflation, albeit to a still modest 1.5 per cent, we discovered that house prices have jumped by a staggering 10.2 per cent in the last year. The average house in England now costs £275,000, close to ten times the average annual income. In 1992, the average house cost three times the average income.
A housing boom during a pandemic in the wake of the deepest recession in 300 years doesn’t make a lot of sense, but a few recent events can partially explain it. After three lockdowns, there is pent-up demand, including for houses. The abrupt shift to working from home has led to a permanent change in how some people do their jobs. Office working and commuting have not returned to pre-Covid levels and may never do so.

Many people have realised that they don’t need to live in big cities and have been chasing down new homes (or second homes) in the countryside. Londoners who became millionaires by virtue of buying a house in the 20th century are cashing in their winnings. Others find themselves with money in the bank to lay down a deposit; the British public has amassed excess savings of £100 billion during the pandemic. Adding fuel to the fire is Rishi Sunak’s stamp duty holiday on the first £500,000 of a purchase price.

All of this is a recipe for house price inflation. Estate agents are reporting a buying splurge of the like they have never seen before. People are purchasing houses without even viewing them. It’s a seller’s market and prices are rising accordingly.

It is not as if there was an absence of inflationary pressures in the housing market before Covid-19 kicked off. Interest rates have been close to zero since 2008, slashing the cost of mortgages (but for how much longer?). With no money to be made from putting savings in the bank or in an ISA, housing has been a safe bet for investors. All that money being printed by the Bank of England has to go somewhere and a lot of it has gone into bricks and mortar.

Above all, demand has been exceeding supply for years. The population of the UK has risen by eight million since 2000, a rise of 15 per cent. The nation’s housing stock has not kept pace, a problem made worse by more people living on their own and buying second homes.

The answer, therefore, is to reduce demand or increase supply. Immigration — which is now the main driver of population growth in Britain — may or may not fall in the years ahead, but it is unlikely to go into reverse (i.e. with more people leaving the country than emigrating to it). This leaves increasing supply as the only option. The Conservative party has a good self-interested reason to get building. People who own their own home are significantly more likely to vote Tory. But many home-owning Conservative voters have self-interested reasons of their own to block planning proposals. Lower house prices do not benefit them personally and they have little reason to want their towns and villages to grow, particularly if they suspect that new homes will not be accompanied by new roads and new schools.

And so, while the government makes encouraging noises about building 300,000 new homes a year, it is constantly thwarted at the local level by Nimbys and tree-huggers.

The idea that Britain does not have enough land for new houses is absurd. Even in England, only 9 per cent of land is built on. The government intends to be planting trees on 75,000 acres of it every year by 2024. If there’s one thing this country has plenty of it, it’s fields. We only need to use a fraction of them to build the homes we need, cut the cost of living and end this crazy bull market.

One answer is to create a series of new towns with road and rail links to the nearest big city. This would at least keep the Nimbys happy. Another answer is to review the Green Belt which has doubled in size since 1979 and is far from being the uninterrupted vista of outstanding natural beauty that its admirers like to imagine.

Whatever the government does, it must do it now and do it quickly. House price inflation of 10 per cent a year should ring the alarm bells. Some people are getting rich out of the boom but it is a highly inequitable form of wealth redistribution that will leave the country poorer in the long run.
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Education or Indoctrination? The Growing Debate Over Religious Participation in British Schools
Germany's Vanishing Shopfronts: The Silent Collapse of the Businesses That Built Its Cities
Transport for London Unveils Expanded Zero-Emission Bus Fleet to Meet Capital Air Quality Targets
Higher Education Institutions Face Deepening Financial Strain Amid Declining International Student Enrolment
Automotive Industry Leaders Criticize Government Tax Policies and Urge Action on Retail Consumer Confidence
Environment Agency Issues Flood Alerts Across Scottish and English Waterways Following Heavy Rainfall
Independent Audit Highlights Persistent Security Vulnerabilities Across Legacy Government Digital Portals
Northern Ireland Political Leaders Clash Over Westminster Funding Allocations Ahead of Autumn Budget
Ethnic Minorities in England Face Significant Disparities in Routine Breast Cancer Diagnosis Rates
National Police Chiefs Report Alarming Surge in Domestic Abuse Cases Fuelled by Expanding Illegal Cocaine Market
Government Announces Two Hundred and Twenty Million Pound Pothole Funding Boost for Local Highway Authorities
China Issues Formal Warning Over Potential United Kingdom Restrictions on Chinese Electric Vehicles
British Defence Ministers Sign E5 Pact to Enhance European Military Capabilities and Industrial Cooperation Within NATO
United Kingdom Business Activity Expands at Fastest Pace in Eight Months According to S&P Global Flash Survey
Chancellor John Healey Prepares Major Devolution Package and Bank Profit Surcharge Ahead of Upcoming Autumn Budget
National Health Service Consultants in England Announce Two-Day Strike Action Scheduled for November
Major Clean-Up Under Way Across Britain Following Destruction Caused by Consecutive Storms Austen and Boelo
KEY TRENDS TO WATCH
Declassified Intelligence Files Reveal British Security Services Monitored National Health Service Founder
British Government Launches Sweeping Regulatory Crackdown on High-Risk Cosmetic Procedures
Scottish National Party Demands Ban on Using Scottish Revenues to Fund English Nuclear Energy Projects
Mayor of London Initiates Landmark Pedestrianisation of Oxford Street to Revitalise Global Retail Hub
British Judges Granted Expanded Legal Powers to Punish Convicted Killers Who Refuse to Attend Sentencing
United Kingdom Poised to Miss Reduced International Aid Spending Targets Ahead of Fiscal Review
Surging Cocaine Consumption Drives Record Drug Fatalities and Rising Crime Rates Across Britain
Department of Health and Social Care Announces One Hundred and Forty Million Pound Boost for Urgent Care
British Services Sector Records Strongest Growth in Eight Months Despite Broader Economic Uncertainty
United Kingdom Retail Sales Suffer Unexpected Decline as Consumer Confidence Plummets
Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham Urges National Debate on Restoring European Union Free Movement
Deep Cabinet Divisions Emerge Over Controversial Approval of North Sea Fossil Fuel Projects
United Kingdom Government Urges Citizens to Stockpile Essential Supplies in National Resilience Pivot
Storm Boelo Kills Two People and Cuts Power to Tens of Thousands Across Great Britain
Critical Software Flaw Forces Dozens of United Kingdom Government Services Offline Amid Mass Security Warnings
UK Consumer Confidence Tumbles Amid Rising Energy Costs and Global Commodity Price Pressures
North Sea Transition Authority Approves Production from Jackdaw Gas Field to Bolster Domestic Energy Security
Storm Boelo Leaves Tens of Thousands of Households Without Power Across Scotland and Northern Ireland
UK Government Launches National Be Ready Campaign Urging Households to Prepare Three Days of Emergency Supplies
Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs Implements Stricter Water Quality Regulations for British Rivers
Welsh Government Launches Major Renewable Energy Initiative to Expand Offshore Wind Capacity Along the Coast
Northern Ireland Executive Reaches Final Agreement on Comprehensive Regional Infrastructure Modernization Plan
Office for National Statistics Reports Moderate Increase in British Retail Sales Driven by Autumn Discounts
Scottish First Minister Announces Emergency Housing Strategy to Tackle Severe Homelessness Across Urban Centers
Automotive Industry Leaders in the United Kingdom Urge Government Support for Electric Vehicle Manufacturing Transition
United Kingdom and European Union Initiate High-Level Negotiations on Post-Brexit Defense and Security Pact
National Health Service England Introduces Sweeping Digital Reforms to Reduce Hospital Waiting Lists Nationwide
Chancellor of the Exchequer Outlines Emergency Fiscal Measures to Address Local Government Funding Crises Across England
Bank of England Governor Warns of Persistent Inflation Pressures Impacting Interest Rate Decisions in the United Kingdom
UK Conservative Party Suspends Former Electoral Candidate Following Undercover Investigation
Actors and Writers Condemn British Anti Terror Legislation Targeting Activist Groups and Free Speech
Central Bank and Treasury Monitor Inflation Risks as International Monetary Fund Upgrades United Kingdom Growth Forecast
×