With a February 1st deadline looming, President Trump's threatened tariffs could have far-reaching economic consequences for global trade.
As the February 1st deadline approaches, the global economy is bracing for potential sweeping tariffs on the United States' three largest trading partners: Canada, Mexico, and China.
President
Donald Trump has threatened to impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico unless they address illegal immigration and the flow of fentanyl into the United States.
Additionally, Trump is considering a 10% tariff on Chinese goods over similar concerns related to fentanyl.
The tariffs could significantly disrupt trade, with Canada and Mexico potentially suffering GDP losses of 3.6% and 2%, respectively, while the U.S. could face a 0.3% GDP loss.
Canada's response could lead the country into a recession, and Mexico may also face economic challenges.
The U.S. is exploring whether crude oil imports from Canada and Mexico would be exempt from the tariffs.
Meanwhile, China, having previously denied involvement in the fentanyl trade, has warned against the risks of a trade war.
Trump's administration continues to weigh the consequences of these tariffs, with some analysts predicting incremental tariff increases, particularly on Chinese imports, as part of broader negotiations.