London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Wednesday, Aug 19, 2026

Ofgem energy price cap falls - but average household bills still expected to rise

Ofgem energy price cap falls - but average household bills still expected to rise

Implementing a social tariff, which offers lower energy prices for vulnerable customers, should be urgently examined, Ofgem said - as it warned prices are unlikely to fall to pre-energy crisis levels.
The energy regulator has reduced the cap on the amount energy companies can charge customers but bills are still expected to increase.

Ofgem has today announced the cap on the amount typical households pay on electricity and gas bills will drop to £3,280 from 1 April.

It's a decrease from the previous cap of £4,279 effective from the beginning of January to the end of March and reflects the fall in wholesale energy prices.

The price cap sets a maximum amount suppliers can charge per unit of energy and is regularly reviewed by Ofgem.

The amount is not the maximum that can be charged - customers using a lot of energy will have higher bills - but instead reflects typical usage levels.

Households had been protected from the previous high price cap due to the government's energy price guarantee (EPG) which capped the energy unit price resulting in an average household bill of £2,500.

But bills are now likely to rise as the EPG threshold will increase to £3,000 for an average household from 1 April. Even with the £500 reduction in the price cap, the scheme will cost an estimated £26.8bn.

As a result, the average home can likely expect bills to rise by an estimated 20%, an increase of £500 a year, according to energy consultancy Cornwall Insights as households absorb the gap between Ofgem's price cap and the EPG.

Prices are to rise even further when the end of the £400 energy rebate scheme is factored in, Dr Craig Lowrey, the principal consultant at Cornwall Insight, said.

"Regrettably the forecast for April looks set to leave the price cap above the increased energy price guarantee level.

"While tumbling cap projections are a positive, unfortunately, already stretched households will be seeing little benefit before July."

Under the rebate scheme, six instalments of about £66 were paid monthly to bill payers from October.

Commenting on the high bills, the Ofgem chief executive said, a social tariff which offers lower energy prices for vulnerable customers should be urgently examined.

"A very tough time for many households across Britain"

"Where people are struggling, we urge them to contact their supplier to make sure they are getting all the help and support they are entitled to," Jonathan Brearley said.

"We also think that, with bills continuing to be so high, there is a case for examining with urgency the feasibility of a social tariff for customers in the most vulnerable situations."

There is some good news ahead, Mr Brearley suggested, but prices are still not going to fall to the levels seen in the last 18 months.

"Today's announcement reflects the fundamental shift in the cost of wholesale energy for the first time since the gas crisis began, and while it won't make an immediate difference to consumers, it's a sign that some of the immense pressure we've seen in the energy markets over the last 18 months may be starting to ease," he said.

The pressure, however, will not be removed entirely.

"Prices are unlikely to fall back to the level we saw before the energy crisis," he said.

"Even with the extensive package of government support that is currently in place, this is a very tough time for many households across Britain."

Spending on the EPG will effectively be zero from July until the end of 2023 as Ofgem's energy price cap is expected to fall below the guarantee, according to Cornwall Insights.

Ofgem's July and October caps are forecast to be below £3,000. Such caps would mean there is no price difference in amounts charged by energy companies and what customers pay.
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
A Sleepless Night on Wall Street: Nasdaq to Begin Nearly Round-the-Clock Trading
"The First in the World": 69-Year-Old Protested Artificial Intelligence—and Went to Jail
Ukraine's Ousted Defence Minister Calls for Wartime Presidential Election
UK Marks Ten Years of Night Tube as London Weekend Usage Exceeds Eighty-One Thousand Journeys a Night
Met Office Issues Thunderstorm Warnings Across Northern Ireland Over Flash-Flood Risk
Frasers Group Raises Stake in Hugo Boss to Nearly Forty-Eight Percent
Scottish Clyde Marine Pilots Prepare for Strike That Could Disrupt Glasgow and Greenock Shipping
Twenty Passengers Injured After Southern Train Derails Near Lewes in East Sussex
Government Rules Out High-Speed Rail Revival Between West Midlands and Northern England
West Midlands Bus Network Returns to Public Ownership in Twenty-Four Million Pound Deal
UK Competition Watchdog Targets Trainline, Virgin Atlantic and RED Driving School Over Drip Pricing
Northern Ireland Health Minister Mike Nesbitt Resigns After Dispute Over Causeway Hospital Surgery Closure
UK Long-Term Government Bond Yields Rise to Five Point Eight Five Percent as Borrowing Costs Surge
UK Government Overhauls Planning Rules to Push Housing Development Near Major Transport Hubs
UK Health and Economic Pressures Highlight Wider Strain on Households and Public Finances
UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham Reaffirms Full Support for Ukraine Amid Russian Warnings
Sainsbury’s Suspends Live Facial Recognition at London Store After Customer Misidentified
Artists Urge UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham to Reject New North Sea Oil and Gas Licensing
UK Government Awards Four Hundred and Fifty-Six Million Pound Civil Service Training Contract to EY and KPMG
Global Government Bond Yields Rise as Middle East Conflict Fuels Inflation Concerns
British Housing Market Records Weakest August Since Two Thousand and Eighteen as Asking Prices Fall
UK Announces New Sanctions on Russian Shadow Fleet and Financial Institutions
UK Approves Virgin Rail Group Services Through Channel Tunnel, Challenging Eurostar
UK Government Backs Three Hundred Million Pound AI Investment Zone in North Lanarkshire
UK Declares National Salmonella Outbreak Linked to Imported Eggs
China’s Lifelike AI Humans Move From Livestreams Into Real-World Service Roles
UK Government Rolls Out £5.8 Billion Regional Investment Programme to Revive High Streets
AstraZeneca Ends Late-Stage Lung Cancer Trial After Data Shows No Survival Benefit
London Stocks Fall for Sixth Day as Bond Yields and Middle East Tensions Weigh on Markets
UK Government Rewrites Planning Rules to Accelerate Housing Near Transport Hubs
UK Wildfires Spread Across Southern England as Met Office Issues Severe Heat Warnings
British Doctors Warn Cancer Care Is at Risk as Hospitals Reject More Than a Quarter of Urgent Referrals
UK Hospitals Suspend Critical Care as Extreme Heat Exposes Infrastructure Failures
Sarah Ferguson Reportedly Retreats to Late Ex-Boyfriend's Swiss Chalet
Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodríguez Sign Prenup Protecting Their Separate Fortunes
Thieves Steal Antonello da Messina Renaissance Masterpieces From Sicilian Museum
Better.com Founder Who Fired 900 Employees on Zoom Is Ousted as CEO
Italian Speed Camera Issues Nearly 32,000 Fines in 10 Weeks, Worth More Than €3 Million
AI Manager at San Francisco Store Recommends Firing Human Employee
Google Launches Pixel 11 With Gemini AI at the Center of Its Hardware Strategy
Campaigners Press Government to Strengthen Rights for Four Million Gig Workers
Government Considers Higher Private Rents to Spread Asylum Accommodation Across UK
UK Moves to Protect Historic Pubs From Conversion Into Housing and Offices
Nigel Farage Wins Clacton By-Election to Return to House of Commons
British Manufacturers Report Rising Cybersecurity Threats Across Industrial Supply Chains
Royal Navy Increases Monitoring of Russian Ships in UK Waters by 25 Percent
England Adds More Than 350 Medical Training Posts to Strengthen NHS Capacity
NHS Waiting Lists Over 52 Weeks Rise by More Than 11,000 Patients
Brent Crude Near $88 Raises Fresh UK Energy Cost Concerns
UK Treasury Warns Prolonged Strait of Hormuz Disruption Could Cut 2027 Growth to 0.3 Percent
×