London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Wednesday, Aug 26, 2026

Of all the troubling signs, the increase in 'economic inactivity' is perhaps the most worrying

Of all the troubling signs, the increase in 'economic inactivity' is perhaps the most worrying

The number of people classed as economically inactive because they are long-term sick has reached a record high, with the largest rise among the over-50s - taking millions of people out of the workforce.

Of all the troubling vital signs displayed by the British economy, the increase in "economic inactivity" is perhaps the most worrying.

Since the pandemic the number of people neither working nor seeking work for a range of reasons has risen to more than nine million people, one-in-five working age adults.

Initially it was driven by an increase in students deferring the transition to work, but latterly a more worrying underlying trend has emerged; long-term sickness.

The numbers of those classed as economically inactive because they are long-term sick has reached a record high, with the largest rise among the over-50s - taking millions of people out of the workforce.

In the three months from June to August the rate of economic inactivity increased by 0.6 percentage points to 21.7%, with 624,000 more people out of the workplace in August than before COVID-19 stalled the economy.

This is weighing heavily on a labour market already extremely "tight" - the euphemism for an economy struggling to fill the jobs it needs doing.

Unemployment in the quarter to August was down to 3.5%, a 48-year low, but so was employment, the second successive month in which fewer people were working and fully one percentage point below pre-pandemic levels.

The number of vacancies also dipped again, but there are still more unfilled roles than there are unemployed people (defined as those looking for work) with only 0.9 for every available job.


Reversing the rise in inactivity is a huge challenge made harder, and perhaps caused to a degree, by the pressure facing the NHS.

There is a clear link between economic inactivity and NHS treatment delays.


The number of people waiting for non-emergency treatment after being referred has risen from a little below four million to just short of seven million since 2020, and a remarkable 18% of economically inactive over-50s are among them, according to the Office for National Statistics.

For a government fixated on growth to fix public services these data are enough to turn the stomach.

The prime minister has repeatedly said that you cannot have a healthy NHS without a strong economy, but the latest employment trends suggest the opposite is also true; the economy will not have the workers it needs to grow if the health service can't meet demand to get them there.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Church of England Faces Renewed Scrutiny Over Historical Safeguarding Failures
Reform UK Proposes £30 Tax Credit for Long HMRC Telephone Queues
Greater Manchester Secures More Than £100 Million to Upgrade Victorian Railway Stations
East Midlands Railway Urges Essential Travel Ahead of Bank Holiday Strikes
UK Economy Grows 0.4 Percent in Second Quarter as Global and Energy Pressures Weigh
UK Government and Sainsbury’s Launch Plan for 10,000 Youth Work Experience Placements
Scottish Government Plans Tighter Remote-Working Rules and Possible Voluntary Redundancies
Scottish Budget Faces More Than £700 Million Reduction After Tax Revenue Adjustment
Nearly 100 Labour MPs Press Andy Burnham to Back Electoral Reform Commission
UK Energy Price Cap Rises Four Percent to £1,723 as Middle East Conflict Drives Wholesale Gas Costs
Turnbull Warns AUKUS Could Leave Australia Without Promised Nuclear Submarines
California Billionaires Pour More Than $150 Million Into Fight Over Proposed Wealth Tax
German Broadcaster Goes Dark to Warn AfD Could End Its Saxony-Anhalt Service
Badenoch Plans Major Shadow Cabinet Reshuffle as Tories Struggle in Third Place
UK Government Demands Action Against Social Media Content Promoting Dangerous Driving
Labour Backbenchers Prepare Push for Electoral Reform Under Andy Burnham
Fire at Gatwick Airport Car Park Destroys 140 Vehicles and Cuts Local Power
UK Plans Voluntary Libido-Suppressing Medication Programme Across 20 Prisons
NHS England Launches Free Home Cervical Cancer Testing Kits Nationwide
Imperial College Study Warns North Sea Oil Projects Could Cause Hundreds of Billions of Pounds in Climate Damage
UK Inflation Rises to 2.9% as Middle East Conflict Pushes Up Energy Costs
Prime Minister Andy Burnham Visits Kyiv to Strengthen UK Support for Ukraine
Premier League Season Opens With Managerial Debuts and Dramatic Early Fixtures
England Cricket Drops Brydon Carse From Selection Pending Club Investigation
Graeme Dott Convicted of Child Sexual Abuse Offences in Scotland
Protesters Occupy British Aircraft Parts Factory Over Alleged Military Links to Israel
More Than 100 Former British and French Diplomats Call for Sanctions on Israel
Ipsos Poll Shows British Public Split Between Immigration Controls and Economic Growth
British Cybersecurity Agencies Raise Alert Over Growing Threats to Critical Infrastructure
Two-Thirds of England Now Under Official Drought Conditions After Prolonged Summer Heat
Institute of Directors Calls for Urgent Action to Revive Britain’s Stagnant Labour Market
Andy Burnham Visits Kyiv on First Foreign Trip and Pledges Continued British Support for Ukraine
New Daily Diabetes and Weight-Loss Pill Launches in UK Pharmacies
UK Payroll Employment Falls by 94,000 as Labour Market Cools
Onshore Wind Planning Applications in England Reach Ten-Year High After Rules Eased
UK Government Demands Social Media Platforms Remove Dangerous Driving Content After A66 Crash
Thames Water Creditors Face Backlash Over Proposed Corporate Restructuring
Twelve Arrested After Fatal A66 Crash Linked to Organised Crime Investigation
UK Household Energy Debt Could Reach £7 Billion by Year-End
UK Defence Ministry to Use Ukraine Battlefield Data to Train AI Security Systems
UK Government Redirects £4 Billion of Affordable Homes Funding Away From Social Housing
UK Government Borrowing Reaches £1.8 Billion in July, Exceeding Forecasts
UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham Pledges Advanced Missile Support for Ukraine
8Bank of England Holds Interest Rate at 3.75% as Middle East Energy Risks Rise
Prime Minister Andy Burnham to Give Ukraine Classified Storm Shadow Blueprints for Domestic Missile Production
UK Graduate Job Vacancies Plunge 45% to Lowest Levels on Record
Government Audit Reveals Pressure on UK Hospitality From Business Rates and Rising Costs
Kindertransport Survivor Prepares to Revisit European Sites Linked to Her Family’s Wartime Separation
Northern England Transport Operators Strengthen Contingency Plans as Travel Demand Rises
New Implant Trials Offer Treatment Prospects for Patients With Refractory Angina
×