London Daily

Focus on the big picture.

Of all the troubling signs, the increase in 'economic inactivity' is perhaps the most worrying

Of all the troubling signs, the increase in 'economic inactivity' is perhaps the most worrying

The number of people classed as economically inactive because they are long-term sick has reached a record high, with the largest rise among the over-50s - taking millions of people out of the workforce.

Of all the troubling vital signs displayed by the British economy, the increase in "economic inactivity" is perhaps the most worrying.

Since the pandemic the number of people neither working nor seeking work for a range of reasons has risen to more than nine million people, one-in-five working age adults.

Initially it was driven by an increase in students deferring the transition to work, but latterly a more worrying underlying trend has emerged; long-term sickness.

The numbers of those classed as economically inactive because they are long-term sick has reached a record high, with the largest rise among the over-50s - taking millions of people out of the workforce.

In the three months from June to August the rate of economic inactivity increased by 0.6 percentage points to 21.7%, with 624,000 more people out of the workplace in August than before COVID-19 stalled the economy.

This is weighing heavily on a labour market already extremely "tight" - the euphemism for an economy struggling to fill the jobs it needs doing.

Unemployment in the quarter to August was down to 3.5%, a 48-year low, but so was employment, the second successive month in which fewer people were working and fully one percentage point below pre-pandemic levels.

The number of vacancies also dipped again, but there are still more unfilled roles than there are unemployed people (defined as those looking for work) with only 0.9 for every available job.


Reversing the rise in inactivity is a huge challenge made harder, and perhaps caused to a degree, by the pressure facing the NHS.

There is a clear link between economic inactivity and NHS treatment delays.


The number of people waiting for non-emergency treatment after being referred has risen from a little below four million to just short of seven million since 2020, and a remarkable 18% of economically inactive over-50s are among them, according to the Office for National Statistics.

For a government fixated on growth to fix public services these data are enough to turn the stomach.

The prime minister has repeatedly said that you cannot have a healthy NHS without a strong economy, but the latest employment trends suggest the opposite is also true; the economy will not have the workers it needs to grow if the health service can't meet demand to get them there.

Newsletter

Related Articles

London Daily
0:00
0:00
Close
UK General Election: Sunak Acknowledges Disappointing Results but Maintains Confidence
Sword Attack Victim Henry De Los Rios Polonia Grateful for NHS Care
Post Office Lawyer Jarnail Singh Faces Allegations of Lying About Software Bugs
Post Office Scandal: Expert Accused of Giving False Court Testimony
Suspended Tory Councillor Puts Essex Council Majority at Risk
UK Government Loses Court Case Over Inadequate Climate Actions
Apple Faces Significant Sales Decline Amid AI Integration Delay
10,000 Black Cab Drivers Sue Uber for $313M Over Alleged Breach of London Booking Rules
Today’s headlines
Interns Investigate Unsafe UK Criminal Convictions
Contaminated Blood Inquiry Highlights Omitted Risks
Kwasi Kwarteng Criticizes Liz Truss as 'Trumpian'
SNP Overcomes Labour Confidence Motion
Study Finds Gender Health Gap in UK
Reform UK Endorses Conspiracy Theorist Candidates
Family's Deportation Fears Before Channel Tragedy
Labour's Compromise on Zero-Hours Contracts
Risk of Rwandan Deportation for Misclassified Lone Children
Sadiq Khan Accuses Tories of Undermining London
London Daily Morning Headlines - Wednesday, May 1 2024
Amazon Cloud Sales Growth Accelerates
Apple Recruits Google Staff for AI Development
Changpeng Zhao Sentenced to Four Months in Jail
S&P 500 Experiences Worst Month Pre-Fed Announcement
Columbia University's Hard Line on Student Protests
Biden Administration to Relax Marijuana Regulations
Netanyahu's Firm Stance Amid Rafah Hostage Talks
BlackRock to Establish Saudi Investment Firm
UK Food Delivery Firms to Check Riders' Immigration Status
Elon Musk Disbands Tesla’s Supercharger Team
Major Changes at Manchester United Under Ratcliffe
Rap Lyrics as Trial Evidence in England and Wales
Rap Lyrics as Trial Evidence in England and Wales
Monty Panesar to Stand for George Galloway's Party
Sadiq Khan Leads in London Mayoral Polls
UK Tory Chair on Party Funding
Brexit Checks to Increase Food Import Costs
Legal Challenge to Cuts in England’s Cycling and Walking Budget
Rising Homelessness in England
Potential Criminalization of Lying by Politicians in Wales
MPs Advocate for Work Rights for Asylum Seekers
Home Office Loses Track of Rwanda Deportees
Historic Memo Challenges Current UK Insurance Policy
London Daily's Video newsletter
Labour Axes 'Levelling Up' Phrase
UK Sanctions Ineffective Against Russian Economy
Humza Yousaf Resigns as Scotland’s First Minister
UK Plans Cuts to Disability Benefits
UK House Sales Increase by 12% in April
FT and OpenAI Form Content Licensing Partnership
×