London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Thursday, Jun 25, 2026

Inflation at 40-year high of 9.4% as cost of living crisis mounts

Inflation at 40-year high of 9.4% as cost of living crisis mounts

Economists are warning that inflation has not yet reached its peak, with another round of energy bill increases in October expected to push it higher.

The rate of inflation has hit a fresh 40-year high, placing further strain on household budgets as the cost of living crisis mounts.

British consumer price inflation reached an annual rate of 9.4% in June, up from May's reading of 9.1%, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.

It means Britain had the highest rate of inflation in June among the Group of Seven advanced economies - Canada and Japan have yet to report June data, but neither are likely to come close to Britain's price growth.


The ONS said that June's inflation figure was partly due to a 42% year-on-year increase in petrol prices, and an increase of almost 10% in food prices.

The prices paid by factories for materials and energy were 24% higher in June than a year earlier - the biggest increase since records began in 1985 - while prices charged by factories jumped by 16.5%.

The Bank of England is expecting a further acceleration - beyond 11% - in October when the energy price cap is adjusted again and is predicted to surge towards average annual bills above £3,000.

April's level was £1,971 and marked only a tentative increase in response to the spike in wholesale prices unleashed by Russia's war in Ukraine.

Inflation's peak 'is still some way off'


Yael Selfin, chief economist at KPMG UK, agreed the peak in inflation is "still some way off", adding that energy bill increases in October would stop it from falling to 2% before mid-2024.

"This means more pain is on the way for household budgets as the high rate of inflation continues to outpace wage growth, bringing down the real value of incomes across the UK.

"We also expect the Bank of England to continue raising the base interest rate, which we now expect to reach 2% early next year, to stave off further rounds of inflation rises."

The Bank of England, which has raised the Bank rate at each of its monetary policy meetings since December last year, is tipped to hike the rate again next month.

It is under pressure to take more drastic action - beyond the 0.25 percentage point increases announced to date that have taken the Bank rate to 1.25%.

The grim warnings around the pace of price increases ahead also leaves the government in the firing line as the Tory leadership contest continues.

'We need more than sticking plasters'


Rachel Reeves, Labour's shadow chancellor, said: "The cost of living crisis is leaving families more worried every day, but all we get from the Tories is chaos, distraction and unfunded fantasy economics.

"Rising inflation may be pushing family finances to the brink, but the low wage spiral facing so many in Britain isn't new.

"It's the result of a decade of Tory mismanagement of our economy meaning living standards and real wages have failed to grow.

"We need more than sticking plasters to get us back on course - we need a stronger, and more secure economy.

"Only a Labour government will build the high wage, high growth, low and stable inflation economy we deserve."

Chancellor Nadhim Zahawi said: "Countries around the world are battling higher prices and I know how difficult that is for people right here in the UK, so we are working alongside the Bank of England to bear down on inflation.

"We've introduced £37bn worth of help for households, including at least £1,200 for eight million of the most vulnerable families and lifting over two million more of the lowest paid out of paying personal tax."

Former chancellor Rishi Sunak - currently the frontrunner in the race to replace Boris Johnson as prime minister - has signalled that he would be unwilling to spend more in the short term for fear of inflicting further damage on the public finances following the COVID bailout for the economy.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
UK Financial Services Reform Debate Intensifies Over Ministerial Regulatory Powers
UK Energy Price Cap Rise Expected to Keep Inflation Above Target Through 2026
UK Biohacking and AI Wellness Trends Drive Surge in Personal Health Monitoring
UK Social Care Sector Sees Workforce Shift as Overseas Recruitment Masks Domestic Labour Decline
Nuffield Trust Warns UK Health Budgets Remain Vulnerable Despite Record Spending Levels
UK Coal Pension Surplus Debate Returns to Parliament as Reform UK MP Seeks Clarity on Distribution
UK MPs Consider E-Petition Calling for NHS Newborn Screening for Spinal Muscular Atrophy
UK Parliament Debates E-Petition Calling for Inquiry Into Pro-Israel Influence in Politics
UK Economy Grew 0.6 Percent in Q1 2026 but Business Sentiment Weakens Over Geopolitical Risks
UK Financial Services Bill Enters Lords Committee Stage With Expanded Ministerial Powers
UK Armed Forces Bill Advances With Plans for Defence Housing Service and Drone Defence Measures
UK Treasury Proposes Higher Electricity Generator Levy and Updated Mileage Allowance Rules
UK Parliament Debates Health Bill Amid Persistent GP Access and Patient Satisfaction Concerns
UK Financial Sanctions Regulator Signals Faster, Intelligence-Led Enforcement Strategy
British Chambers of Commerce Warns Business Confidence Crisis Is Dampening UK Investment
UK Parliament Debates Carbon Budget Order as Pressure Mounts on Net Zero Delivery
UK Energy Price Volatility Reinforces Pressure for Faster Electrification of Economy
UK Defence and Aerospace Strategy Gains Momentum as Keir Starmer Pushes Industrial Cooperation in Berlin
Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Unveils £53 Million Investment in Farming Innovation
Foreign Secretary Announces Medical Evacuations and University Support for Palestinians in Gaza
Government-Commissioned Report Highlights Economic Exposure to Climate-Driven Fossil Fuel Price Shocks
Climate Change Committee Warns UK Is Off Track on Emissions Cuts and Calls for Faster Decarbonisation
Prime Minister Keir Starmer Calls for Deeper UK-EU Defence and Industrial Cooperation in Berlin Address
Met Office Issues Red Extreme Heat Warning as Temperatures Set to Surpass 37°C in England and Wales
Bank of England Holds Interest Rates at 3.75% as Inflation Outlook Remains Uncertain
UK Announces New Military Infrastructure at Catterick to Support Engineer Regiment Relocation
University of Reading Ranked Among Top 100 Globally for Sustainability Impact
UK Launches Counter-Fraud Taskforce to Investigate Covid Loan Scams
UK Government Introduces Customs and Tax Reforms to Support High Street Retailers
Jonathan Haskel Nominated as Chair of the UK Office for Budget Responsibility
UK Government Expands Powers to Recover Benefit Debt and Tackle Welfare Fraud
Labour Party Leadership Contest Intensifies as Andy Burnham and Ed Miliband Clash Over Economic Direction
Rail Operators Urge Essential Travel Only as Extreme Heat Threatens UK Network Stability
United Kingdom Issues Red Extreme Heat Warning as Temperatures Forecast to Reach 38°C
Keir Starmer Announces Resignation as UK Prime Minister Amid Deepening Political Instability
UK Biotechnology Sector Receives Increased Public Funding to Support Regional Growth
Police Chiefs Update National Protest Management Guidelines Amid Rising Demonstration Activity
UK Aviation Regulator Expands Support for Regional Airports to Strengthen Domestic Routes
CMA Launches Investigation Into Retail Pricing Across UK Grocery Sector
UK Energy Operator Warns of Winter Supply Pressures Despite Stable Overall Grid Outlook
UK Research Council Expands Funding for Regional Biotechnology and Life Sciences Clusters
UK Compensation Scheme for Post Office Horizon Scandal Reaches 80 Percent Completion
Police Chiefs Issue Updated National Guidance on Managing Large Public Demonstrations
UK Expands Regional Airport Funding Scheme to Boost Domestic Connectivity
UK Competition Watchdog Launches Inquiry Into Grocery Pricing Practices
National Grid Warns of Tight Energy Management Needs During Upcoming Winter Peak Demand
UK Education Department Introduces National Standards for AI Use in Secondary Schools
UK High Court Clears North Sea Carbon Capture Project After Final Legal Challenge Fails
Northern Ireland Leaders Hold Emergency Talks on Trade Disruption Under Windsor Framework
Welsh Government Moves to Expand Social Housing in Response to Severe Affordability Pressures
×