London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Sunday, Sep 20, 2026

Inflation at 40-year high of 9.4% as cost of living crisis mounts

Inflation at 40-year high of 9.4% as cost of living crisis mounts

Economists are warning that inflation has not yet reached its peak, with another round of energy bill increases in October expected to push it higher.

The rate of inflation has hit a fresh 40-year high, placing further strain on household budgets as the cost of living crisis mounts.

British consumer price inflation reached an annual rate of 9.4% in June, up from May's reading of 9.1%, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.

It means Britain had the highest rate of inflation in June among the Group of Seven advanced economies - Canada and Japan have yet to report June data, but neither are likely to come close to Britain's price growth.


The ONS said that June's inflation figure was partly due to a 42% year-on-year increase in petrol prices, and an increase of almost 10% in food prices.

The prices paid by factories for materials and energy were 24% higher in June than a year earlier - the biggest increase since records began in 1985 - while prices charged by factories jumped by 16.5%.

The Bank of England is expecting a further acceleration - beyond 11% - in October when the energy price cap is adjusted again and is predicted to surge towards average annual bills above £3,000.

April's level was £1,971 and marked only a tentative increase in response to the spike in wholesale prices unleashed by Russia's war in Ukraine.

Inflation's peak 'is still some way off'


Yael Selfin, chief economist at KPMG UK, agreed the peak in inflation is "still some way off", adding that energy bill increases in October would stop it from falling to 2% before mid-2024.

"This means more pain is on the way for household budgets as the high rate of inflation continues to outpace wage growth, bringing down the real value of incomes across the UK.

"We also expect the Bank of England to continue raising the base interest rate, which we now expect to reach 2% early next year, to stave off further rounds of inflation rises."

The Bank of England, which has raised the Bank rate at each of its monetary policy meetings since December last year, is tipped to hike the rate again next month.

It is under pressure to take more drastic action - beyond the 0.25 percentage point increases announced to date that have taken the Bank rate to 1.25%.

The grim warnings around the pace of price increases ahead also leaves the government in the firing line as the Tory leadership contest continues.

'We need more than sticking plasters'


Rachel Reeves, Labour's shadow chancellor, said: "The cost of living crisis is leaving families more worried every day, but all we get from the Tories is chaos, distraction and unfunded fantasy economics.

"Rising inflation may be pushing family finances to the brink, but the low wage spiral facing so many in Britain isn't new.

"It's the result of a decade of Tory mismanagement of our economy meaning living standards and real wages have failed to grow.

"We need more than sticking plasters to get us back on course - we need a stronger, and more secure economy.

"Only a Labour government will build the high wage, high growth, low and stable inflation economy we deserve."

Chancellor Nadhim Zahawi said: "Countries around the world are battling higher prices and I know how difficult that is for people right here in the UK, so we are working alongside the Bank of England to bear down on inflation.

"We've introduced £37bn worth of help for households, including at least £1,200 for eight million of the most vulnerable families and lifting over two million more of the lowest paid out of paying personal tax."

Former chancellor Rishi Sunak - currently the frontrunner in the race to replace Boris Johnson as prime minister - has signalled that he would be unwilling to spend more in the short term for fear of inflicting further damage on the public finances following the COVID bailout for the economy.

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Addison Lee Founder Loses £20 Million UK Tax Tribunal Case
BrewDog Creditors Face Losses on About £190 Million of Debt
Harrods Seeks to Recover Abuse Compensation Costs From Mohamed Al Fayed’s Estate
Ed Davey Targets Reform UK as Liberal Democrat Conference Opens
Great Britain Retail Sales Rise 0.5% in August
NHS England Approves Life-Extending Treatment for Incurable Breast Cancer
Proposals to Limit NHS ADHD Diagnoses Draw Criticism From Patient Groups
Resolution Foundation Warns of Housing Cost Crunch for Low-Income UK Families
BBC Cash Reserves Fall to Decade Low as Annual Deficit Reaches £121 Million
Millisecond Software Error Triggered Major UK Air Traffic Control Disruption
Twenty Women Underwent Unnecessary Mastectomies During NHS Cancer Care
Sensitive UK Police Data Found Vulnerable to Access by Foreign Actors
British Steel Faces Renewed Pressure for a Long-Term Financial Plan
MPs Urge Government to End Thames Water Restructuring Talks With U.S. Hedge Funds
Andy Burnham Warns of Difficult UK Budget Choices as Inflation Returns to 3.1%
England Tightens School Food Standards With Restrictions on Deep-Fried and High-Sugar Foods
Oxfordshire Village Votes Symbolically to Leave UK Over Proposed Asylum Centre
Michael Marra Elected Leader of Scottish Labour
BBC Cash Reserves Fall Sharply as Financial Pressures Mount
George Osborne Calls for UK to Rejoin EU Customs Union
UK Explores Joining Canada-Led Global Defence Bank
Thirlwall Inquiry Highlights Management Failures Surrounding Lucy Letby Crimes
Parliamentary Committee Calls for New UK Law to Address AI Risks to Human Rights
UK Considers Giving Regional Mayors Greater Oversight of Water Companies
UK Opposition Presses Burnham for Stronger Response to Russian Security Threats
Reform UK Faces Scrutiny Over £72 Million in Donations as Political Finance Rules Tighten
Millisecond Software Failure Behind UK Air-Traffic Outage That Cancelled More Than 2,000 Flights
Bank of England Holds Interest Rate at 3.75% as Energy Prices Complicate Inflation Outlook
Burnham Warns of Difficult Choices in October Budget as UK Inflation Rises to 3.1%
Addison Lee Founder Loses £20.5 Million Non-Domicile Tax Case
BrewDog Creditors Face Heavy Losses After Collapse
Thirteenth Metropolitan Police Officer Dismissed Over Charing Cross Conduct
Oxfordshire Village Votes Symbolically to Leave UK Over Asylum Accommodation Plan
NHS Approves Life-Extending Treatment for Women With Incurable Breast Cancer
Software Defect Blamed for Major UK Air Traffic Disruption
Twenty Women Underwent Unnecessary Mastectomies at County Durham NHS Trust
British Steel Costs Taxpayers £1.3 Million a Day as MPs Demand Long-Term Plan
UK Parliament Advances Sovereign Grant Reform Setting Royal Funding at £99.9 Million
King Charles Urges Human-Centred Approach to Artificial Intelligence at Scotland Summit
House of Lords Begins Scrutiny of Voting-Age and Political Finance Reforms
UK Labour Market Shows Growing Divide Between Younger and Older Workers
Nearly Seven in 10 UK Small Businesses Delay or Cancel Growth Plans as Costs Rise
Andy Burnham Reaffirms UK Net-Zero Target Amid North Sea Energy Debate
UK Parliament Demands Credible Financial and Decarbonisation Plan for British Steel
MPs Urge Government to Reject Thames Water Rescue Deal and Prepare Special Administration
Bank of England Holds Rate at 3.75% as Energy Shock Raises Inflation Risks
TUC Calls for Social Energy Tariff Funded by Higher Taxes on Bank Profits
UK Parliament Enters Conference Recess After Advancing Sovereign Grant Legislation
King Charles Hosts Artificial Intelligence Leaders at Dumfries House Summit
Nearly Seven in Ten UK Small Businesses Delay or Cancel Growth Plans as Costs Rise
×