London Daily

Focus on the big picture.

House prices forecast to stall next year - but no relief for renters

House prices forecast to stall next year - but no relief for renters

Fewer mortgaged buyers and first-time buyers will result in a drop in sales next year before a "year of recovery" in 2024, estate agent Hamptons says.
House prices will stall next year due to inflation and rising mortgage rates, but there will be no relief for renters, according to estate agent Hamptons.

Prices are expected to be unchanged in the fourth quarter of next year compared with the same period in 2022, amid pressure on household incomes.

Fewer mortgaged buyers and first-time buyers will see sales drop before a "year of recovery" in 2024 brings prices up 2% in the fourth quarter compared to the same period in 2023.

Hamptons predicted that the Bank of England's base rate - currently 1.75% - will peak early next year before falling slightly towards the end of the year or early in 2024, easing mortgage costs.

The following year, 2025, will "mark the beginning of a new cycle as the base rate returns to its new normal", the report said, adding that this was likely to be around the current rate.

Hamptons said growth over the next four years will be strongest in central London, followed by the East of England and the South East of England.

Over the same period, rental growth is expected to outperform house price growth, with rents rising 5% annually next year and in 2024, before slowing slightly to rise 4% in 2025.

The report said: "Lower rental yields in London will make it harder for landlords to absorb rising costs than their counterparts in the North.

"This is why we think the supply of rental homes in the capital looks set to shrink further, pushing up rents."

Aneisha Beveridge, head of research at Hamptons, said: "With more stringent affordability testing in place since the financial crash and a record share of outright homeowners, we're likely to see fewer repossessions and forced sales which were a key driver of house price falls in 2008.

"Low-yielding landlords are the group most likely to sell up as they come under pressure from rising mortgage costs and new legislation."
Newsletter

Related Articles

London Daily
0:00
0:00
Close
Israel Warns France of Iranian Threats at Paris Olympics
Possible Successors to Rishi Sunak as Conservative Party Leader
Olaf Scholz to Run for German Chancellor Again in 2025
TikTok Fined by UK Regulator for Child Safety Data Reporting Failures
Miracle Baby Born After Gaza Airstrike
Global Tech Outage Caused by Bug in CrowdStrike's Software
Ukrainian FM Open to Peace Talks with Russia, China Reports
EU to Transfer Interest from Frozen Russian Funds to Ukraine
Greenpeace Co-Founder Paul Watson Arrested in Greenland
EU Relocates Summit to Punish Hungary over Orban's Ukraine Visit
Netanyahu Seeks Meeting with Trump During Washington Visit
World's Hottest Day Recorded on July 21
UK Labour Government To Halt Migrant Housing on Accommodation Barge
President Biden Returns to White House After Testing COVID Negative
Trump Says Kamala Harris Would Be Easier Election Opponent Than Biden
Thousands Protest in Mallorca Against Mass Tourism
Immigration Crackdown Targets Car Washes and Beauty Sector
Nigeria's Controversial Return to Colonial-Era National Anthem
Hacking Vulnerabilities: Androids vs. iPhones
Ukraine Crisis Should Be EU's Responsibility, Says Trump’s Envoy
A Week of Turmoil: Key Moments in US Politics
Barrow's Sacred Heart Primary School Faces Long-Term Closure
German National Sentenced to Death in Belarus
Elon Musk's Companies Drop CrowdStrike After Global Windows 10 Outage
US Advises India on Russian Ties Amid Geopolitical Shifts
Trump Pledges to End Ukraine Conflict if Reelected
Global IT Outage Unveils Digital Vulnerabilities
Global IT Outage Sparks Questions About Financial Accountability
CrowdStrike Bug Affects 8.5 Million Windows Devices
Flights Resume After Major Microsoft Outage
US Criticizes International Court's Opinion on Israeli Occupation
CrowdStrike Update Causes Global IT Outage Due to Skipped Quality Checks
EU’s Patronizing Attitude Towards Africa Revealed
Netanyahu Denounces World Court Ruling on Israeli Occupation
Adidas Drops Bella Hadid Over Controversy
Global Outage Caused by CrowdStrike Update Impacts Millions
Massive Flight Cancellations Across the U.S. Due to Microsoft Outage
Global Windows Outage Causes Chaos Across Banks, Airlines, and More
Russia Accuses Ukraine of Using Chemical Weapons
UK's Flawed COVID-19 Planning Exposed by Inquiry
Ursula von der Leyen Wins Second Term as European Commission President
Police Officer Injured in Attack in Central Paris
Hulk Hogan absolutely tore it up at the RNC.
Paris is being "cleansed" of migrants and homeless people ahead of the Olympics.
Lamine Yamal arriving at his school after winning the Euros
Campaigners Urge UK Government to Block Shein's London IPO
UK Labour Government's Legislative Agenda
UK Labour Government to Regulate Powerful AI Models
Record Heat Temperatures in Ukraine Amid Power Crisis
UK Government Plans to Remove 92 Hereditary Peers from House of Lords
×