London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Sunday, May 31, 2026

China's zero-COVID policy blamed as economy contracts by 2.6% in second quarter

China's zero-COVID policy blamed as economy contracts by 2.6% in second quarter

Economists say that while the worst should be over for the world's second-largest economy, China's efforts to contain COVID outbreaks will continue to hamper output while global economic challenges are mounting.
China's zero-COVID policy is being blamed for a return to the red for its economy, with experts warning that recovery will be hampered by the darkening outlook for output globally.

The authorities said the world's second-largest economy contracted by 2.6% between April and June compared to the previous three months.

It meant that Chinese growth stood at just 0.4% on an annual basis.

Both figures were far weaker than economists had expected, with those polled by the Reuters news agency having forecast a quarter on quarter decline of 1.5%.

They pointed the finger clearly at the impact of shutdowns of major cities during the period to fight coronavirus infections - a measure that was clearly reflected in sales figures released by UK luxury brand Burberry on Friday.

They showed a 35% decline in comparable sales across mainland China during its last three-month period.

Manufacturing and shipping hub Shanghai, which has 26 million residents, was among those locked down.

Separate figures showed its economy shrank by 13.7% over the three months - the worst performance by a single province according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

While factories and offices in Shanghai were allowed to start reopening in May, economists say it will be months before activity is back to normal.

They also warned China's trading partners will continue to feel the impact of shipping disruptions for months to come.

The NBS said of the second quarter performance: "The resurgence of the pandemic was effectively contained.

"The national economy registered a stable recovery."

China has an annual growth target of 5.5% but its self-inflicted domestic troubles mean that will be impossible to achieve during 2022, economists have said.

That is because the country is sticking to its tough zero-COVID policy amid fresh flare-ups.

Consumer spending has been hampered by the public health measures.

Burberry revealed a big hit to sales, as a result of the China curbs, in a trading update to the City.

Like for like sales during its financial first quarter - covering 13 weeks to 2 July - showed a rise of just 1% across the group.

The figure rose to 16% when mainland China - its main growth market - was excluded but the company said the outlook had improved since June.

Chief executive Jonathan Akeroyd told investors: "Our performance in the quarter continued to be impacted by lockdowns in mainland China but I was pleased to see our more localised approach drive recovery in EMEIA (Europe, Middle East, India and Africa), where spending by local clients was above pre-pandemic levels."

On top of tempered consumer spending, China's property market also remains in a deep slump and global demand has shrunk amid the inflation spiral caused, in part, by supply chain disruption from China but also the impact of Russia's war in Ukraine that has seen energy costs surge.

Toru Nishihama, chief economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute in Tokyo, said: "You can rule out the possibility of a recession, or two straight quarters of contraction," he said.

"Given the tame (annual) growth, China's government is likely to deploy economic stimulus measures from now on to rev up its flagging growth, but hurdles are high for PBOC (People's Bank of China) to cut interest rates further as it would fan inflation which has been kept relatively low at present."
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Japanese Technology Firm Fujitsu Launches Advanced Artificial Intelligence Tool for Corporate Disclosures
South Africa Officially Launches Nationwide Campaign for Highly Contested Local Government Elections
United Kingdom Commits Additional Funding for Unexploded Ordnance Clearance in Laos
Singapore Announces Stringent New Greenhouse Gas Regulations for Commercial Cooling Systems
Cambodia and Thailand Hold High-Level Border Security Talks at United Nations Headquarters
Myanmar Military Government and China Sign Major Agreement to Upgrade Media and Cultural Cooperation
Knife Attack at Swiss Train Station Leaves Three Injured in Suspected Act of Domestic Terrorism
Transnational Extortion Gang Threatens Canadian Police With Army of One Thousand Armed Operatives
Australia Imposes Forty-Two-Day Quarantine on Cruise Ship Passengers Following Deadly Hantavirus Outbreak
International Monetary Fund Unlocks Seven Hundred Million United States Dollars for Sri Lanka Following Economic Reforms
Australia Launches Record One Point Four Billion Dollar Lawsuit Against Chemical Giant 3M Over Contamination
China and Canada Foreign Ministers Meet in Ottawa in Effort to Stabilize Strained Diplomatic Ties
Indonesia Demands Urgent United Nations Security Council Reform Amid Escalating Global Conflicts
Extreme Weather Patterns Trigger Severe Drought in Madagascar and Destructive Flooding in East Africa
Indian State of Karnataka Faces Political Upheaval as Chief Minister Siddaramaiah Abruptly Resigns
Philippines and Japan Reaffirm Defense Ties as Crucial for Indo-Pacific Regional Stability
Norway Joins French Nuclear Deterrence Initiative in Major Shift for European Security Architecture
Global Critical Mineral Alliances Expand as Western Nations Move to Counter Chinese Supply Dominance
United States Imposes Fifty Percent Tariffs on Mexican Steel and Aluminum Ahead of Trade Pact Review
European Union and China Head Toward Major Trade Conflict Over Clean Technology Exports
United States Economic Growth Severely Downgraded to One Point Six Percent as Stagflation Fears Mount
World Health Organization Warns Central African Ebola Epidemic is Outpacing Containment Efforts
United States Treasury Department Conditions Sanctions Relief on Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz
Iranian Air Defenses Intercept and Destroy United States Military Drone Over Bushehr Province
Iranian Armed Forces Launch Ballistic Missiles Toward Unspecified Targets Prompting Regional Condemnation
United Nations Secretary-General Warns Global Order Facing Highest Level of Conflict Since 1945
Israel Issues Sweeping Evacuation Orders in Southern Lebanon Amid Intensified Hezbollah Conflict
Russia Announces Systemic Military Strikes Targeting Ukrainian Defense and Energy Infrastructure
United States and Iranian Negotiators Reach Draft Agreement to Extend Ceasefire and Resume Nuclear Talks
United Nations Security Council Deeply Divided Over United States Capture of Venezuelan President
US and Iran Exchange Direct Military Strikes Amid Fragile Gulf Ceasefire
World Health Organization Warns of Catastrophic Ebola Outbreak in DR Congo
Russia Threatens New Wave of Strikes on Ukrainian Infrastructure and Embassies
Scientists Warn Atlantic Ocean Currents Could Collapse Faster Than Projected
Anthropic Reaches $900 Billion Valuation in Historic AI Funding Round
Washington Imposes Crippling Sanctions on Iranian Maritime Authority
Japan and the Philippines Initiate Strategic Intelligence-Sharing Pact
Microsoft Deploys Autonomous Computer-Using AI Agents to Global Markets
Anthropic Secures $45 Billion Compute Infrastructure Agreement With SpaceX
U.S. Director of National Intelligence Resigns Amid Administration Shakeup
Micron Technology Crosses Trillion-Dollar Valuation Amid Unprecedented Hardware Demand
Canada and Germany Finalize Historic Long-Term LNG Export Agreement
China Expands International Travel Restrictions on Domestic AI Researchers
Japan Approves Sweeping Overhaul of National Intelligence Apparatus
Global Airlines Scramble Logistics as Middle East Airspace Remains Fractured
Japan's Naphtha Imports Plunge 47 Percent Amid Strait of Hormuz Closure
Global Crude Prices Retreat Below $96 as Gulf Tensions Momentarily Ease
Generative AI Outperforms Human Baselines in Landmark Global Creativity Study
NASA Partners With Private Aerospace to Unveil Permanent Lunar Base Architecture
South Korean Equity Markets Surge on Next-Generation Memory Chip Frenzy
×