London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Thursday, Mar 05, 2026

China's zero-COVID policy blamed as economy contracts by 2.6% in second quarter

China's zero-COVID policy blamed as economy contracts by 2.6% in second quarter

Economists say that while the worst should be over for the world's second-largest economy, China's efforts to contain COVID outbreaks will continue to hamper output while global economic challenges are mounting.
China's zero-COVID policy is being blamed for a return to the red for its economy, with experts warning that recovery will be hampered by the darkening outlook for output globally.

The authorities said the world's second-largest economy contracted by 2.6% between April and June compared to the previous three months.

It meant that Chinese growth stood at just 0.4% on an annual basis.

Both figures were far weaker than economists had expected, with those polled by the Reuters news agency having forecast a quarter on quarter decline of 1.5%.

They pointed the finger clearly at the impact of shutdowns of major cities during the period to fight coronavirus infections - a measure that was clearly reflected in sales figures released by UK luxury brand Burberry on Friday.

They showed a 35% decline in comparable sales across mainland China during its last three-month period.

Manufacturing and shipping hub Shanghai, which has 26 million residents, was among those locked down.

Separate figures showed its economy shrank by 13.7% over the three months - the worst performance by a single province according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

While factories and offices in Shanghai were allowed to start reopening in May, economists say it will be months before activity is back to normal.

They also warned China's trading partners will continue to feel the impact of shipping disruptions for months to come.

The NBS said of the second quarter performance: "The resurgence of the pandemic was effectively contained.

"The national economy registered a stable recovery."

China has an annual growth target of 5.5% but its self-inflicted domestic troubles mean that will be impossible to achieve during 2022, economists have said.

That is because the country is sticking to its tough zero-COVID policy amid fresh flare-ups.

Consumer spending has been hampered by the public health measures.

Burberry revealed a big hit to sales, as a result of the China curbs, in a trading update to the City.

Like for like sales during its financial first quarter - covering 13 weeks to 2 July - showed a rise of just 1% across the group.

The figure rose to 16% when mainland China - its main growth market - was excluded but the company said the outlook had improved since June.

Chief executive Jonathan Akeroyd told investors: "Our performance in the quarter continued to be impacted by lockdowns in mainland China but I was pleased to see our more localised approach drive recovery in EMEIA (Europe, Middle East, India and Africa), where spending by local clients was above pre-pandemic levels."

On top of tempered consumer spending, China's property market also remains in a deep slump and global demand has shrunk amid the inflation spiral caused, in part, by supply chain disruption from China but also the impact of Russia's war in Ukraine that has seen energy costs surge.

Toru Nishihama, chief economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute in Tokyo, said: "You can rule out the possibility of a recession, or two straight quarters of contraction," he said.

"Given the tame (annual) growth, China's government is likely to deploy economic stimulus measures from now on to rev up its flagging growth, but hurdles are high for PBOC (People's Bank of China) to cut interest rates further as it would fan inflation which has been kept relatively low at present."
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Iran Conflict Strains U.S.–U.K. Alliance as Trump and Starmer Clash Over Military Strategy
UK Interest Rates Could Rise Above Four Percent Again if Energy Shock Continues, Think Tank Warns
Starmer Defends Britain’s Iran Strategy as Badenoch Urges Stronger Military Support
Labour MP Says She Saw No Sign Husband Broke Law After Arrest in China Espionage Investigation
UK Jobless Rate Overtakes Italy’s for First Time in Years as Labour Market Weakens
United Kingdom Suspends Student Visas for Four Countries in Unprecedented Immigration Move
Campaigners Warn UK Student Visa Ban Could Push Migrants Toward Dangerous Channel Crossings
First U.K. Charter Flight for Stranded Nationals Set to Depart Oman Amid Middle East Crisis
France and United Kingdom Deploy Warships to Eastern Mediterranean as Middle East Conflict Escalates
U.K. Arrests Three Men Including Lawmaker’s Partner in Suspected China Espionage Investigation
Trump Says UK–US ‘Special Relationship’ Is Diminished Amid Middle East Dispute
UK Economic Forecasts Face Fresh Strain from Middle East Conflict and Rising Energy Costs
UK Reaffirms Close US Ties After Trump’s Public Criticism
Reeves Stresses Stability and Fiscal Discipline in UK Budget Update as Growth Outlook Shifts
UK Deploys Royal Navy Destroyer HMS Dragon to Cyprus After Drone Strike on RAF Base
Green Party Surges Past Labour in New UK Poll as Traditional Party Support Crumbles
Majority of Britons Oppose U.S. Use of UK Military Bases in Iran Conflict
UK Intensifies Evacuation Efforts from Oman, Working with Airlines to Boost Flight Capacity
Trump Condemns UK and Spain in Unusually Sharp Rift Over Iran Military Action
Trump Repeats UK Claims That Diverge from Verified Facts Amid Diplomatic Strain
UK Arrests Prominent Figures Linked to Epstein Network as Questions Mount Over US Action
Trump Says UK ‘Took Far Too Long’ to Approve Use of Airbases for Iran Strikes
Scope of Britain’s Role in the Expanding Middle East Conflict Comes Under Scrutiny
Trump Says He Is ‘Very Disappointed’ in Starmer Over Iran Comments
U.S. Embassy in Riyadh Struck by Drones Amid Escalating Iran Conflict
Starmer Confronts Strategic Test After Drone Strike Near British Base in Cyprus
Rolls-Royce Chief Signals Openness to Germany Joining UK-Led Fighter Jet Programme
UK Stocks Slip as Escalating Iran Conflict Triggers Global Market Selloff
UK Overhauls Asylum System to Make Refugee Status Temporary
Starmer Warns of ‘Reckless’ Iranian Strikes Amid Escalating Regional Tensions
British Base in Cyprus Targeted as Drones Intercepted Amid Expanding Iran Conflict
Starmer Diverges from Trump on Iran Strategy, Rejects ‘Regime Change from the Skies’
U.S. and Israel Intensify Strikes on Iran as Conflict Expands to Lebanon and Gulf States
Violent Pro-Iranian Protesters Storm U.S. Consulate in Karachi
Missile Debris Sparks Fires at Dubai’s Jebel Ali Port Near Palm Jumeirah
Iran Strikes U.S. Fifth Fleet Headquarters in Bahrain Amid Wider Gulf Retaliation
When the State Replaces the Parent: How Gender Policy Is Redefining Custody and Coercion
Bill Clinton Denies Knowing Woman in Hot Tub Photo During Closed-Door Epstein Deposition
Former U.S. President Bill Clinton Testifies on Ties to Jeffrey Epstein Before Congressional Oversight Committee
Dyson Reaches Settlement in Landmark UK Forced Labour Case
Barclays and Jefferies Shares Fall After UK Mortgage Lender Collapse Rekindles Credit Market Concerns
Play Exploring Donald Trump’s Rise to Power by ‘Lehman Trilogy’ Author to Premiere in the UK
Man Arrested After Churchill Statue Defaced in Central London
Keir Starmer Faces Political Setback as Labour Finishes Third in High-Profile By-Election
UK Assisted Dying Bill Set to Fall Short in Parliament as Regional Initiatives Gain Ground
UK Defence Ministry Clarifies Position After Reports of Imminent Helicopter Contract
Independent Left-Wing Plumber Secures Shock Victory as Greens Surge in UK By-Election
Reform UK Refers Alleged ‘Family Voting’ Incidents in By-Election to Police
United Kingdom Temporarily Withdraws Embassy Staff from Iran Amid Heightened Regional Tensions
UK Government Reaches Framework Agreement on Release of Mandelson Vetting Files
×