London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Thursday, Apr 09, 2026

China's zero-COVID policy blamed as economy contracts by 2.6% in second quarter

China's zero-COVID policy blamed as economy contracts by 2.6% in second quarter

Economists say that while the worst should be over for the world's second-largest economy, China's efforts to contain COVID outbreaks will continue to hamper output while global economic challenges are mounting.
China's zero-COVID policy is being blamed for a return to the red for its economy, with experts warning that recovery will be hampered by the darkening outlook for output globally.

The authorities said the world's second-largest economy contracted by 2.6% between April and June compared to the previous three months.

It meant that Chinese growth stood at just 0.4% on an annual basis.

Both figures were far weaker than economists had expected, with those polled by the Reuters news agency having forecast a quarter on quarter decline of 1.5%.

They pointed the finger clearly at the impact of shutdowns of major cities during the period to fight coronavirus infections - a measure that was clearly reflected in sales figures released by UK luxury brand Burberry on Friday.

They showed a 35% decline in comparable sales across mainland China during its last three-month period.

Manufacturing and shipping hub Shanghai, which has 26 million residents, was among those locked down.

Separate figures showed its economy shrank by 13.7% over the three months - the worst performance by a single province according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

While factories and offices in Shanghai were allowed to start reopening in May, economists say it will be months before activity is back to normal.

They also warned China's trading partners will continue to feel the impact of shipping disruptions for months to come.

The NBS said of the second quarter performance: "The resurgence of the pandemic was effectively contained.

"The national economy registered a stable recovery."

China has an annual growth target of 5.5% but its self-inflicted domestic troubles mean that will be impossible to achieve during 2022, economists have said.

That is because the country is sticking to its tough zero-COVID policy amid fresh flare-ups.

Consumer spending has been hampered by the public health measures.

Burberry revealed a big hit to sales, as a result of the China curbs, in a trading update to the City.

Like for like sales during its financial first quarter - covering 13 weeks to 2 July - showed a rise of just 1% across the group.

The figure rose to 16% when mainland China - its main growth market - was excluded but the company said the outlook had improved since June.

Chief executive Jonathan Akeroyd told investors: "Our performance in the quarter continued to be impacted by lockdowns in mainland China but I was pleased to see our more localised approach drive recovery in EMEIA (Europe, Middle East, India and Africa), where spending by local clients was above pre-pandemic levels."

On top of tempered consumer spending, China's property market also remains in a deep slump and global demand has shrunk amid the inflation spiral caused, in part, by supply chain disruption from China but also the impact of Russia's war in Ukraine that has seen energy costs surge.

Toru Nishihama, chief economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute in Tokyo, said: "You can rule out the possibility of a recession, or two straight quarters of contraction," he said.

"Given the tame (annual) growth, China's government is likely to deploy economic stimulus measures from now on to rev up its flagging growth, but hurdles are high for PBOC (People's Bank of China) to cut interest rates further as it would fan inflation which has been kept relatively low at present."
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
UK Foreign Secretary Highlights Impact of Intensified Strikes in Lebanon
UK Urges Inclusion of Lebanon in US-Iran Ceasefire Framework
UK Stocks Ease as Ceasefire Doubts in Middle East Weigh on Investor Confidence
UK Reassesses Cloud Strategy Amid Criticism Over Limited Support Measures
UK Calls for Full and Toll-Free Access Through Strait of Hormuz Amid Rising Tensions
Starmer Signals Strategic Shift for Britain Amid Escalating Iran-Linked Tensions
UK Issues Firm Warning to Russia Over Covert Underwater Military Activity
OpenAI Halts Stargate UK Project, Casting Uncertainty Over Britain’s AI Expansion Plans
Starmer Voices Frustration Over Global Pressures Driving UK Energy Costs Higher
UK Deploys Military Assets to Protect Undersea Cables From Suspected Russian Threat
Canada Aligns With US, UK and Australia as Europe Prepares Major Digital Border Overhaul
Meghan Markle’s Planned Australia Appearance Sparks Fresh Speculation
Starmer Warns Sustained Effort Needed to Ensure US–Iran Ceasefire Holds
UK to Partner with Shipping Industry to Rebuild Confidence in Strait of Hormuz, Cooper Says
UK Interest Rate Expectations Ease Following US–Iran Ceasefire Agreement
Starmer Signals Major Effort Needed to Fully Reopen Strait of Hormuz During Gulf Visit
UK Fuel Prices Face Ongoing Volatility Amid Global Pressures and Domestic Factors
Kanye West’s Planned Italy Festival Appearance Draws Debate After UK Entry Ban
Smuggling Routes Shift Toward Belgium as Migrant Crossings to UK Evolve
Ceasefire Offers Potential Relief for UK Fuel and Food Prices Amid Ongoing Uncertainty
Iran Conflict Raises Questions Over UK’s Global Influence and Military Preparedness
Senator McConnell Visits Kentucky to Highlight Federal Investment in Local Projects
Kanye West Barred from Entering UK as Legal Grounds Come into Focus
UK Denies Visa to Kanye West After Sponsors Withdraw from Wireless Festival
Trump-Era Forest Service Restructuring Leads to Closure of UK Lab Focused on Kentucky Woodland Health
Foreign Students in the UK Describe Harsh Living Conditions and Financial Pressures
Reform UK Proposes Visa Restrictions on Nations Pursuing Reparations Claims
Public Reaction Divides Over UK Decision to Bar Kanye West
Calls Grow for UK to Review US Base Access Following Concerns Over Escalating Rhetoric
UK Indicates It Will Not Permit Use of Its Bases for Potential US Strikes on Iran’s Energy Infrastructure
UK Prime Minister Defends Decision to Bar Kanye West, Questions Festival Booking
UK Accelerates Efforts to Harmonise Medical Technology Rules with United States
Wireless Festival Cancelled After Kanye West Denied Entry to the United Kingdom
Australia’s most decorated living soldier was arrested at Sydney Airport and charged with five counts of war-crime murder for the killing of unarmed Afghan civilians
The CIA’s Secret Technology That Can Find You by Your Heartbeat Successfully Locates Downed Airman
Operation Europe: Trump Deploys Vance to Hungary to Save the EU
King Charles Faces Criticism From Some UK Christians Over Absence of Easter Message
Former UK Defence Secretary Raises Concerns Over Ability to Counter Iran Missile Threat
UK Signals Non-Involvement in Iran Conflict as Trump Reasserts Firm Deterrence Stance
US and UK Strengthen Medical Device Cooperation Following Tariff Removal
Trump Backs Steve Hilton for California Governor, Highlighting Reform Agenda
UK Seeks Closer Ties With Anthropic as AI Policy Divergence Emerges Across Atlantic
Experts Warn of Evolving Extremism After Teens Arrested in UK Ambulance Arson Case
UK Convenes Talks to Safeguard Shipping Through Strait of Hormuz After Conflict Escalation
Trump Highlights Strong Leadership in Critique of UK Stance on Iran
UK Authorities Review Kanye West’s Entry Status Following Festival Backlash
UK Considers Deploying Aircraft Carrier for US Independence Day Celebrations Amid Renewed Transatlantic Focus
United Kingdom Moves to Attract AI Firm Anthropic Amid Tensions with US Defense Officials
RAF Intercepts Iranian Drones in Middle East to Defend Allied Security Interests
Labour Signals Shift on Foie Gras and Fur Restrictions to Advance EU Trade Talks
×