London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Saturday, Dec 13, 2025

Autumn Statement reaction: Higher tax ‘here to stay’ as pain goes on

Autumn Statement reaction: Higher tax ‘here to stay’ as pain goes on

New warning that burden unlikely to return to pre-Covid level ‘any time in coming decades’

Higher taxes “look to be here to stay” and will not return to pre-Covid levels for decades, leading economists have warned.

In a stark assessment of Jeremy Hunt’s chilling Autumn Statement which set out plans for £24billion of tax rises, the Institute for Fiscal Studies braced Britons for even more pain after the next general election.

“I would be most surprised if the tax burden gets back down to its long term pre-Covid average at any time in the coming decades,” IFS Director Paul Johnson said. “Higher taxes look to be here to stay.”


HM Treasury

He also stressed living standards are set to plunge to their lowest level in living memory . He added: “On some measures people may be an astonishing 30 per cent worse off than we might have expected had pre-financial crisis trends continued through to the mid-2020s.”

Following the Chancellor’s sweeping tax rises, set to hit middle and higher income earners the hardest, Britain’s tax burden is set to hit its highest levels since World War Two by 2027-28.

In a bid to plug a £55 billion gap in the public finances the Chancellors announced a “stealth tax” raid, freezing a wave of tax thresholds including on income tax, inheritance tax and National Insurance, which will raise billions in revenue for the Treasury in the coming years. Town halls were also given the go-ahead to increase council tax by up to five per cent, without a referendum.

The Energy Price Guarantee will be scaled back so the typical household bill will go up from £2,500 to £3,000 next April, with the windfall tax also being extended.

Whitehall spending will continue to rise by 3.7 per cent in 2023-24 and 2024-25, and then resource spending will go up by one per cent in real terms through to 2027-28, which is likely to mean cuts to unprotected departments.

To safeguard key public services, Mr Hunt announced an extra £3.3 billion in each year of 2023-24 and 2024-25 for the NHS. School budgets will get an additional £2.3 billion for each of these years. An extra £2.8 billion will be made available for adult social care in 2024-25. But with many of the tax changes and £30 billion worth of departmental spending cuts deferred until after the next election, due by January 2025, the IFS warned that economic conditions were set to get even tougher. “The truth is we just got a lot poorer,” Mr Johnson added.



Alluding to the damaging effects of then chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng’s disastrous mini-budget in September, which sent the pound plunging and UK gilt yields rising, Mr Johnson said: “We are in for a long, hard, unpleasant journey; a journey that has been made more arduous than it might have been by a series of economic own goals.”

But while the IFS said Mr Hunt may have got the right balance with his plans to boost health and education spending now and offer more generous handouts to pensioners and those on benefits, the respected think-tank warned: “Things could turn out worse than predicted. If so the pain to come will be even greater.”

On plans to shunt the real squeeze on public services further down the track, Mr Johnson said that after the next two years “all the spending numbers should be taken with a large pinch of salt”.

And on the contentious decision to delay the cap on social care costs for two years he added: “First, it is awful that the social care reforms will not now be implemented next year as planned. I rather fear that another two-year delay amounts to a death knell for these vital changes.”

Mr Hunt admitted that the next two years will be challenging.

He told Sky News: “But I think people want a government that is taking difficult decisions, has a plan that will bring down inflation, stop those big rises in the cost of energy bills and the weekly shop, and at the same time is taking measures to get through this difficult period.”
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Ex-ICC Prosecutor Alleges UK Threatened to Withdraw Funding Over Netanyahu Arrest Warrant Bid
UK Disciplinary Tribunal Clears Carter-Ruck Lawyer of Misconduct in OneCoin Case
‘Pink Ladies’ Emerge as Prominent Face of UK Anti-Immigration Protests
Nigel Farage Says Reform UK Has Become Britain’s Largest Party as Labour Membership Falls Sharply
Google DeepMind and UK Government Launch First Automated AI Lab to Accelerate Scientific Discovery
UK Economy Falters Ahead of Budget as Growth Contracts and Confidence Wanes
Australia Approves Increased Foreign Stake in Strategic Defence Shipbuilder
Former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson proclaims, “For Ukraine, surrendering their land would be a nightmare.”
Microsoft Challenges £2.1 Billion UK Cloud Licensing Lawsuit at Competition Tribunal
Fake Doctor in Uttar Pradesh Accused of Killing Woman After Performing YouTube-Based Surgery
Hackers Are Hiding Malware in Open-Source Tools and IDE Extensions
Traveling to USA? Homeland Security moving toward requiring foreign travelers to share social media history
UK Officials Push Back at Trump Saying European Leaders ‘Talk Too Much’ About Ukraine
UK Warns of Escalating Cyber Assault Linked to Putin’s State-Backed Operations
UK Consumer Spending Falters in November as Households Hold Back Ahead of Budget
UK Orders Fresh Review of Prince Harry’s Security Status After Formal Request
U.S. Authorises Nvidia to Sell H200 AI Chips to China Under Security Controls
Trump in Direct Assault: European Leaders Are Weak, Immigration a Disaster. Russia Is Strong and Big — and Will Win
"App recommendation" or disguised advertisement? ChatGPT Premium users are furious
"The Great Filtering": Australia Blocks Hundreds of Thousands of Minors From Social Networks
Mark Zuckerberg Pulls Back From Metaverse After $70 Billion Loss as Meta Shifts Priorities to AI
Nvidia CEO Says U.S. Data-Center Builds Take Years while China ‘Builds a Hospital in a Weekend’
Indian Airports in Turmoil as IndiGo Cancels Over a Thousand Flights, Stranding Thousands
Hollywood Industry on Edge as Netflix Secures Near-$60 Bln Loan for Warner Bros Takeover
Drugs and Assassinations: The Connection Between the Italian Mafia and Football Ultras
Hollywood megadeal: Netflix acquires Warner Bros. Discovery for 83 billion dollars
The Disregard for a Europe ‘in Danger of Erasure,’ the Shift Toward Russia: Trump’s Strategic Policy Document
Two and a Half Weeks After the Major Outage: A Cloudflare Malfunction Brings Down Multiple Sites
UK data-regulator demands urgent clarity on racial bias in police facial-recognition systems
Labour Uses Biscuits to Explain UK Debt — MPs Lean Into Social Media to Reach New Audiences
German President Lays Wreath at Coventry as UK-Germany Reaffirm Unity Against Russia’s Threat
UK Inquiry Finds Putin ‘Morally Responsible’ for 2018 Novichok Death — London Imposes Broad Sanctions on GRU
India backs down on plan to mandate government “Sanchar Saathi” app on all smartphones
King Charles Welcomes German President Steinmeier to UK in First State Visit by Berlin in 27 Years
UK Plans Major Cutback to Jury Trials as Crown Court Backlog Nears 80,000
UK Government to Significantly Limit Jury Trials in England and Wales
U.S. and U.K. Seal Drug-Pricing Deal: Britain Agrees to Pay More, U.S. Lifts Tariffs
UK Postpones Decision Yet Again on China’s Proposed Mega-Embassy in London
Head of UK Budget Watchdog Resigns After Premature Leak of Reeves’ Budget Report
Car-sharing giant Zipcar to exit UK market by end of 2025
Reports of Widespread Drone Deployment Raise Privacy and Security Questions in the UK
UK Signals Security Concerns Over China While Pursuing Stronger Trade Links
Google warns of AI “irrationality” just as Gemini 3 launch rattles markets
Top Consultancies Freeze Starting Salaries as AI Threatens ‘Pyramid’ Model
Macron Says Washington Pressuring EU to Delay Enforcement of Digital-Regulation Probes Against Meta, TikTok and X
UK’s DragonFire Laser Downs High-Speed Drones as £316m Deal Speeds Naval Deployment
UK Chancellor Rejects Claims She Misled Public on Fiscal Outlook Ahead of Budget
Starmer Defends Autumn Budget as Finance Chief Faces Accusations of Misleading Public Finances
EU Firms Struggle with 3,000-Hour Paperwork Load — While Automakers Fear De Facto 2030 Petrol Car Ban
White House launches ‘Hall of Shame’ site to publicly condemn media outlets for alleged bias
×