London Daily

Focus on the big picture.
Monday, Nov 17, 2025

Ukraine invasion: Why the conflict with Russia is leading to higher prices in the UK - and what can be done about it

Ukraine invasion: Why the conflict with Russia is leading to higher prices in the UK - and what can be done about it

There are few conflicts since the world wars that have had the potential to so directly impact the cost of living in Britain.

This terrible war has brought into sharp focus exactly what is meant by the term "energy security".

In short, it's not just about supply, but supply that's affordable - something that's become increasingly strained in the past week.

There are few conflicts since the world wars that have had the potential to so directly impact the cost of living in Britain.

Howard Taylor says the costs of going to work have never been anywhere near as high as they are now


The fact of the matter is, there is a price to be paid here for a faraway conflict, and it's being borne in the homes, on the streets and behind the wheels of this country.

Higher energy bills, higher prices at the pump, higher pressure on us all.

Howard Taylor is a cab driver and has been for the past 35 years. For the first time in all those years he's started thinking about whether there's a line beyond which continuing doesn't make financial sense for him anymore.

"The costs of going to work have never been anywhere near as high as they are now," he says, "and the energy bills are frightening."

"Life is sort of running from one thing to the other and trying to keep costs down on all of them, and struggling."

The forces squeezing him and so many others like him are the soaring prices of oil and gas.

Cuadrilla, the company that undertook fracking in the UK, says the current crisis is a major failing of energy policy and planning


They have both skyrocketed since the invasion, wholesale gas up another 25% just on Tuesday, crude oil at around $106 dollars a barrel.

The UK is beholden to these prices, despite the fact the country doesn't actually buy much oil and gas from Russia directly.

Only about 6% of its oil and 4% of gas comes from Russia. Most of the UK's gas comes from either the North Sea or Norway.

But while Britain only buys a bit, Europe buys a lot - around 40% of its gas supply.

And its centrality to the continent means that any uncertainty or doubt over Russian supply pushes prices right up across the whole market.

The UK's high reliance on gas for energy means these are high prices it has no choice but to pay.

Ecotricity wind farm


The impact will be most keenly felt by households in the form of energy bills.

The Ofgem price cap will protect people to a point, but it is already going up by a record-breaking 54% in April - and the average household's bill will rise to £2,000 a year.

Experts say if the recent rises in gas costs are sustained the price cap will inevitably have to go up again in October, pushing bills to as much as £3,000 a year.

At Brineflow, a leading UK manufacturer of liquid fertiliser, the scale of this business is apparent.


But it will affect people indirectly too, in the price or even availability of food.

There are multiple ways in which this will happen, but a key one is the price of fertiliser.

At Brineflow, a leading UK manufacturer of liquid fertiliser, the scale of this business is apparent.

Tens of thousands of tonnes of the stuff is kept in mammoth tanks, ready for distribution to farms across the country.

But the price of importing it from Europe, where production relies on Russian gas, is crippling. They're building a whole new facility in Sunderland to be more open to global deliveries.

John Fuller says 'we're on the path to the £3 loaf of bread, the £7 pint'


"Prices for nitrogen fertilisers have gone up by 300% or 400% in the last year, and that was without the war," explains John Fuller, Brineflow's chairman.

"So although we may be seen as a small part of the economy, because we're at the start of the food chain, what we pay passes on to farmers and in turn to consumers, it's going to hit everybody in the pocket.

"It means that we're on the path to the £3 loaf of bread, the £7 pint."

So, an already pressing question has now become urgent: how do we reduce our reliance on gas and do it quickly?

Fawley Oil Refinery


Some say the answer lies underground on home soil. Not moving away from gas, but extracting our own - fracking for it in the North of England.

There are vast quantities of shale gas there, but the controversial technology to extract it was banned in the UK in 2019 for safety reasons. It is still undertaken at scale in the US.

Cuadrilla, the company that undertook fracking in the UK says the current crisis is a major failing of energy policy and planning. But it is worth remembering it would sell any gas it fracked on the open market, likely at market prices.

It might not therefore solve the price problem.

But the chief executive rejects this.

"We've got to be able to do it more cheaply than taking shale gas from the United States, putting it on a boat sailing across the Atlantic," says Francis Egan.

"You know, people are saying well, that won't make a difference because it doesn't affect prices tomorrow. But the reason we're in this mess is because we haven't thought about this 10 years ago, which frankly, other countries have been."

The only true shield to all this is alternative energy sources; nuclear, solar or wind. But all are too fledgling to cover the entirety of the demand in this country and scaling up to the amount needed will take years and huge amounts of investment.

UK renewable capacity is up 500% since 2010, but it's still not enough.

The government supports the dual tactic of continuing to back North Sea gas for energy security, while investing in renewables.

But experts say there is another way to reduce our reliance on volatile markets more quickly.

"The immediate step that we can take to reduce our gas demand is by insulating our homes" explains Jess Ralston, an energy analyst at the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit.

"It's so important that we start talking about insulation, you can go out to B&Q today and get some loft installation, roll it out, and you can save, you know, a hundred pounds or so on your annual bills overnight," he says.

These are complex challenges and ones that some say we haven't planned for adequately enough.

For now, if Russia turned off the taps we'd still be able to turn on the lights.

But at what cost?

Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Popeyes UK Eyes Century Mark as Fried-Chicken Chain Accelerates Roll-out
Two-thirds of UK nurses report working while unwell amid staffing crisis
Britain to Reform Human-Rights Laws in Sweeping Asylum Policy Overhaul
Nearly Half of Job Losses Under Labour Government Affect UK Youth
UK Chancellor Reeves Eyes High-Value Home Levy in Budget to Raise Tens of Billions
UK Urges Poland to Choose Swedish Submarines in Multi-Billion € Defence Bid
US Border Czar Tom Homan Declares UK No Longer a ‘Friend’ Amid Intelligence Rift
UK Announces Reversal of Income Tax Hike Plans Ahead of Budget
Starmer Faces Mounting Turmoil as Leaked Briefings Ignite Leadership Plot Rumours
UK Commentator Sami Hamdi Returns Home After US Visa Revocation and Detention
UK Eyes Denmark-Style Asylum Rules in Major Migration Shift
UK Signals Intelligence Freeze Amid US Maritime Drug-Strike Campaign
TikTok Awards UK & Ireland 2025 Celebrates Top Creators Including Max Klymenko as Creator of the Year
UK Growth Nearly Stalls at 0.1% in Q3 as Cyberattack Halts Car Production
Apple Denied Permission to Appeal UK App Store Ruling, Faces Over £1bn Liability
UK Chooses Wylfa for First Small Modular Reactors, Drawing Sharp U.S. Objection
Starmer Faces Growing Labour Backlash as Briefing Sparks Authority Crisis
Reform UK Withdraws from BBC Documentary Amid Legal Storm Over Trump Speech Edit
UK Prime Minister Attempts to Reassert Authority Amid Internal Labour Leadership Drama
UK Upholds Firm Rules on Stablecoins to Shield Financial System
Brussels Divided as UK-EU Reset Stalls Over Budget Access
Prince Harry’s Remembrance Day Essay Expresses Strong Regret at Leaving Britain
UK Unemployment Hits 5% as Wage Growth Slows, Paving Way for Bank of England Rate Cut
Starmer Warns of Resurgent Racism in UK Politics as He Vows Child-Poverty Reforms
UK Grocery Inflation Slows to 4.7% as Supermarkets Launch Pre-Christmas Promotions
UK Government Backs the BBC amid Editing Scandal and Trump Threat of Legal Action
UK Assessment Mis-Estimated Fallout From Palestine Action Ban, Records Reveal
UK Halts Intelligence Sharing with US Amid Lethal Boat-Strike Concerns
King Charles III Leads Britain in Remembrance Sunday Tribute to War Dead
UK Retail Sales Growth Slows as Households Hold Back Ahead of Black Friday and Budget
Shell Pulls Out of Two UK Floating Wind Projects Amid Renewables Retreat
Viagogo Hit With £15 Million Tax Bill After HMRC Transfer-Pricing Inquiry
Jaguar Land Rover Cyberattack Pinches UK GDP, Bank of England Says
UK and Germany Sound Alarm on Russian-Satellite Threat to Critical Infrastructure
Former Prince Andrew Faces U.S. Congressional Request for Testimony Amid Brexit of Royal Title
BBC Director-General Tim Davie and News CEO Deborah Turness Resign Amid Editing Controversy
Tom Cruise Arrives by Helicopter at UK Scientology Fundraiser Amid Local Protests
Prince Andrew and Sarah Ferguson Face Fresh UK Probes Amid Royal Fallout
Mothers Link Teen Suicides to AI Chatbots in Growing Legal Battle
UK Government to Mirror Denmark’s Tough Immigration Framework in Major Policy Shift
UK Government Turns to Denmark-Style Immigration Reforms to Overhaul Border Rules
UK Chancellor Warned Against Cutting Insulation Funding as Budget Looms
UK Tenant Complaints Hit Record Levels as Rental Sector Faces Mounting Pressure
Apple to Pay Google About One Billion Dollars Annually for Gemini AI to Power Next-Generation Siri
UK Signals Major Shift as Nuclear Arms Race Looms
BBC’s « Celebrity Traitors UK » Finale Breaks Records with 11.1 Million Viewers
UK Spy Case Collapse Highlights Implications for UK-Taiwan Strategic Alignment
On the Road to the Oscars? Meghan Markle to Star in a New Film
A Vote Worth a Trillion Dollars: Elon Musk’s Defining Day
AI Researchers Claim Human-Level General Intelligence Is Already Here
×